Ok listen.📢
*For Gold!* (Buy plan)
Those who got $1000 and want to buy gold for the long-term in spot.
Start buying with $100 from $4150 level on every $50 drop.
Like!
$100 @ 4150
$100 @ 4100
$100 @ 4050
$100 @ 4000
$100 @ 3950
$100 @ 3900
$100 @ 3850
$100 @ 3800
And leave $200 for my 2800-3200 level.
If my analysis gets right u can buy remaining $200 all-in at 2800-3200 simple.
*My plan?*
I will go all-in at 2800-3200 level in a single entry.
Disclaimer:
Don't follow my plan. Its for me, my close friends and my IMS students.
U guys can follow the plan mentioned above.
Thanks!
*Reason!*
The bond market crash will burn all the capital markets like Equities, Commodities, Crypto etc...
Right now Debt to GDP Ratio has reached 130%.
And it won't stop.
At time of 2002 crash it was only 60% and Us debt was less than $6T but now debt has reached $40T.
This reason is enough to bring Bond Market down.
Let me give u another reason which will burn Equities.
In 2000 PE ratio of S&P-500 at the time of .com peak was...
~28-30x trailing (current)
~25.2 forward (expected)
And when the bubble burst it went to ~46.5x
Reason why PE went to 46.5x?
Bcoz earnings fell faster than prices of stocks. Almost 50% earnings fell down as compared to price
And now?
Trailing PE: ~26.2x (current)
Forward PE: ~19.4x ( expected)
Based on previous 1 year data.
Cape: 41x (based on 10y data)
Smjhy? Ni smjhy? Same to same scene as .com bubble.
Ok let me give u another confluence no one will tell u not even any CFA... Only CA's 🤷♂️
*Lets compare S&P-500 PE vs 10-y Treasury yields.*
Right now Us 10-y yields around 5.30%.
S&P 500 trailing PE: Around 25–26×.
S&P 500 forward PE: Around 19–19.4x.
*Where is my calculator*🙈
Lets calculate earning yield for an investor.
Earnings yield = 1 ÷ PE
So if forward PE = 19.4×:
1 ÷ 19.4 = 5.15%
That means the S&P 500's expected earnings yield is approximately 5.15%, while the 10-year Treasury is around 5.30%.
So the Equity Earnings Yield minus 10Y Treasury Yield is roughly 0.15%.
#38k $BTC #3200 $XAU