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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!

$HYPE recently had a very strong breakout from the EMAs, but after the move buyers had difficulty maintaining the volume and sellers are now starting to dominate.

As sellers are in control — not fully yet, but for now — we see two potential entries for both long and short. Both are based on the local lows and local highs, so our attention is there. As soon as one of those levels gets reached and broken, we will trade accordingly. #HYPEPriceAnalysis

#Ripple had شهد انخفاضًا قويًا مؤخرًا، حيث سقط في ما يُعرف بمنطقة يوم القيامة. منذ ذلك الحين، أظهر السعر ارتدادًا أصغر، ولكن على الرغم من ذلك، فإن وجهة نظرنا واضحة - نريد أن نرى استمرارًا نحو المناطق السفلية.

لكي نعتبر أي فرصة شراء على $XRP ، سنكون مهتمين فقط إذا انخفض السعر إلى منطقة 0.60 دولار. من المرجح أن العديد من اللاعبين الكبار يشاهدون هذه المنطقة أيضًا كمنطقة شراء محتملة. #XRPPriceAnalysis

$HBAR is cooked, at least for now, while the price stays below the major resistance zone, which sellers have secured fully.

Despite the sell-side view we are seeing on the HBAR, we are also seeing a smaller recovery happening, which most likely would lead the price to the $0.105 area.

So we're expecting a smaller bounce here but the bigger picture is clear for us: we should keep moving down from here! #HBARPriceAnalysis

$XLM has been moving in a sideways accumulation area where price has been pressuring the 100 EMA for quite some time now.

As we enter the weekend markets, we are expecting a few scenarios from here. The key point would be the break of the EMAs, which would trigger a movement to the bullish CME gap.

But if that fails, then price might pressure the local low zone, which could form another similar bullish CME gap.

So we wait for the break of the EMAs, but we also keep an eye on the local lows just in case. #XLMPriceAnalysis

$FLOKI يجلس بالقرب من منطقة الدعم المحلية، التي يمكن أن تتحول إلى منطقة ارتداد. حتى الآن، يحتفظ المشترون بهذا المستوى نظيفًا ويمسكون به بقوة. سأقول إن نسبة المخاطر إلى العوائد جيدة جدًا لدرجة أنه يجب علينا تجربة صفقة شراء هنا، لذا هذا بالضبط ما سنقوم به. #FLOKIPriceAnalysis

$FIL had successfully bounced from a very important zone, where sellers tried to break the local support and failed in doing it. So what is the plan? We aim for a correction here, which would fill the major CME gap that looks pretty sweet as a target in our opinion.

What we are looking and waiting for is the EMA to be broken and secured by buyers. After that we will be expecting some kind of market structure break and an upside movement from there. #FILPriceAnalysis

$APT لقد كانت تنخفض بلا شروط، فقط تصنع قيعان جديدة أدنى دون أي ندم، وخلال ظروف مثل هذه في السوق، يجب أن نكون حذرين للغاية.

قد نتبع الاتجاه وننتقل إلى مناطق أدنى ونشكل قيعان محلية جديدة، أو قد نرى ضغطًا قويًا على البائعين، لذا قرب كل قاع محلي جديد حيث قد يتشكل اختراق في الهيكل، نحن دائمًا ننظر إلى سيناريوهات الخطة أ والخطة ب.

بالنسبة للخطة أ، نحتاج إلى اختراق القاع المحلي وتشكيل اختراق في الهيكل.
بالنسبة للخطة ب، نحتاج إلى رؤية استعادة منطقة BOS السابقة، مما سيؤدي إلى حركة زخم صعودي. #APTPriceAnalysis

$ETH يبدو أنه قد أنشأ نوعاً ما من منطقة الدعم، حيث أن حجم الشراء ينمو ببطء وحركة المتوسطات المتحركة الأسية تصبح أكثر واقعية.

تظل خطة اللعبة كما هي؛ سيتم تحديد الدخول حول منطقة 2,100 دولار (بعد اختراق ناجح للهيكل). #ETHPriceAnalysis

$BTC is hovering closely to the 100EMA (light grey line), and as long as the price remains below the 100EMA and 200EMA, we are expecting to see the movement to lower zones.

As the EMAs have been holding the trend loud and clear, we are looking here for movement to lower zones, which eventually should turn into a breakout from the EMAs and a smaller correctional movement to upper zones! #BTCPriceAnalysis

The $ETH structure seems similar to the last time we had the dip where the price shifted apart from the EMAs.

Despite the current dip being more aggressive, we are still expecting a similar playout to happen, which would lead the price towards the EMAs to the region of $2,300-2,400. #ETHPriceAnalysis

$BTC has a nice small correctional movement towards the area of the EMAs, where price had rejection and now is showing signs of downside movement.

What we see is a similar structure that we have seen before as well, wherein a short-term downtrend price likes to form a new break of the local lows zone (BOS in other terms).

So as price had its smaller correction now, the most logical thing would be a short to a lower area, where we might see another liquidity sweep and then another smaller correction. #BTCPriceAnalysis

$TAO has ملأت كل فجوة CME مؤخرًا. البعض استغرق وقتًا أطول والبعض الآخر استغرق وقتًا أقل، لكن في النهاية تم ملء الجميع.

ما لفت انتباهنا هو مدى بطء السعر في الانخفاض إلى المناطق الأدنى، ومع ذلك لا يوجد تحرك حاد أو متقلب. قد يشير هذا إلى أن كسر هيكل السوق قد يتشكل، مما سيؤدي إلى تفعيل عكس الاتجاه.

هذا ما نبحث عنه - كسر هيكلي مناسب. بمجرد أن نرى ذلك، سنستهدف ملء تلك الفجوات غير المملوءة في CME. #TAOPriceAnalysis

$LTC يتم التحليق بالقرب من منطقة القاع المحلية، حيث عادةً بعد أن يصل السعر إلى هذه المنطقة، يميل إلى التقاط بعض حجم الشراء ثم يرتفع إلى الجانب العلوي من القناة الجانبية.

بصراحة، في الوقت الحالي، سعر LTC لا يبدو صحيحًا بالنسبة للانعكاس، ولكن هذه هي المنطقة التي نتوقع حدوث ذلك فيها، لذا حافظ على عينيك على تطور هيكل السوق. بالنسبة للسبوت، سأعتبر هذا كأحد مناطق الشراء! #LTCPriceAnalysi

$BNB has had a really decent rally compared to other altcoins this season. But as we see, strong selling pressure is currently dominating the market, which might lead the price to the $490 area that we marked as the next major support zone.

If this zone is lost to sellers, then we might see a freefall, so be careful!

Meanwhile, we would just glide with the trend and take smaller short trades until that support is reached. #BNBPriceAnalysis

حاليًا على $ETH نحن نركز انتباهنا على $2,300. بمجرد أن نقترب من هذه المنطقة، سنبحث عن رفض يعيد السعر إلى مستويات أدنى.

نتوقع حركة مشابهة لما حدث في المرة الماضية، فقد خرجنا من الاتجاه الصعودي لذا من المرجح بعد الوصول إلى $2,300 أن نرى انخفاضًا حادًا! هذه هي الخطة في الوقت الحالي. #ETHPriceAnalysis

In the short term on $BTC , we are bullish up until the recent broken zone near $80K. Basically, after the long trend holders (both 100 and 200) EMAs were broken, there were the first small signs of potential sell-side dominance to take over the markets.

Now that price formed a confirmational breakdown (the break of local lows), sellers secured the sell-side dominance, which means most likely from here on in long term we are going to keep tanking down.

But as the recent breakdown was rather very sharp, we are expecting to see a smaller recovery to the previous local lows zone, from where we would be looking to take a bigger sell position. #BTCPriceAnalysis

Keeping eyes on the local bottom on $DOT , where we are expecting to see a decent support to establish, which hopefully would push price up towards a proper market structure break.

If this scenario were to play out, this would be an ideal entry for a short-term long position.

For now we just wait! #DOTPriceAnalysis