Where did Bitcoin stand 180 days before the previous halving events?
✅2016, BTC was trading at -65% below its all-time high (ATH). ✅2019, BTC was -60% below its ATH. ✅2023, BTC is currently situated at -61% below its ATH.
Of course, a case could be made for a double bottom (2015) or higher low (2018-2020), but I would at least keep the 2019 high in mind ($13k-$14k).#Binance #BTC #crypto2023 #BNB
Bitcoin CME gaps at $35,000, $27,000 and $21,000, which one gets filled first?
Bitcoin CME gaps exist due to the lack of trading on CME on weekends.
These gaps have become self-fulfilling prophecies that are often rebalanced.
There are currently $35,000, $27,000 and $21,000.
Bitcoin (BTC) futures product was listed as a product by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) in December 2017. Since then, CME’s BTC futures data has been crucial to identifying institutional flow and interest, among other things. Regardless, the daily chart for BTC now shows three unfilled gaps, two at the top and one at the bottom.
Bitcoin CME gaps and their self-fulfilling prophecy
Bitcoin futures trading on CME closed on the weekends. As trading resumes on CME on Monday, there is a gap between the closing price on Friday and the opening price on Monday, which is effectively named “CME gaps” by the crypto community.
Since its launch in 2017, CME Bitcoin futures have been creating gaps on the weekends. However, investors started noticing that these gaps were often rebalanced by price moving into them. As a result, investors began trading with the expectation of rebalancing gaps, which created a self-fulfilling prophecy.
The most recent CME gap was created after the August 17 crash, extending from $27,005 to $27,485. The other two gaps are 31% and 19% away from Friday’s close of $26,070. The one to the upside ranges from $34,445 to $35,180, and the CME gap to the bottom extends from $20,330 to $21,110.
Judging which CME gap will be filled first based on technicals
Bitcoin price has decreased since July 13 and has shed nearly 20%. A minor recovery rally seems all but likely as BTC hovers around the $26,000 level. Hence, the immediate CME gap will be filled first.
Based on the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has hit the oversold zone for the first time in more than nine months, a pullback is on the cards. This retracement will fill the immediate CME gap, extending from $27,005 to $27,485 and attempting to move higher.
In rare cases, Bitcoin price could sweep the $30,400 hurdle for buy-stop liquidity but is unlikely to have the momentum to scale higher. If things do not improve for Bitcoin price, i.e., a rising hash rate could push BTC miners to sell their stack, ruining the recovery attempt and triggering a selling spree. In such a case, BTC could nosedive and tag the CME gap, stretching from $20,330 to $21,110.
Bitcoin Plunged 11% in Worst Week Since FTX’s Collapse. What’s Next for $BTC price?
BTC’s fall below $26,000 is poised to be the worst weekly decline since the collapse of FTX. Absence of a decision in the closely followed Grayscale vs. SEC lawsuit didn’t support the recovery.
BTC’s price slipped below $26,000 Friday afternoon – which erased some of Thursday’s sharp decline – fizzled. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization had plummeted to $25,392 Thursday afternoon, hitting its lowest price since mid-June, amid cascading liquidations of leveraged trading positions.
The price action puts the flagship crypto’s decline at roughly 11% this week, worst weekly return since November’s market crash to $15,000 that was induced by the failure of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX.
ارتفعت أسعار العملات المشفرة بشكل كبير لتصل إلى أسعار أعلى من أي وقت مضى. مع تقدم Bitcoin وEthereum وXRP، قد يكون الآن هو أفضل وقت للدخول إلى سوق العملات المشفرة.
أصبحت العملات المشفرة ذات شعبية متزايدة كوسيلة للاستثمار. في حين أن إمكانية تحقيق مكاسب هائلة تعد جذابة للعديد من المستثمرين، إلا أن العملات الرقمية يمكن أن تكون أيضًا متقلبة ولا يمكن التنبؤ بها. لضمان عدم تعرضك للحرق بسبب التقلبات الجامحة في الأسعار، من المهم أن تكون مستعدًا قبل اتخاذ هذه القفزة.
We are disappointed that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission chose to file a complaint today against Binance seeking, among other remedies, purported emergency relief. From the start, we have actively cooperated with the SEC’s investigations and have worked hard to answer their questions and address their concerns. Most recently, we have engaged in extensive good-faith discussions to reach a negotiated settlement to resolve their investigations. But despite our efforts, with its complaint today the SEC abandoned that process and instead chose to act unilaterally and litigate. We are disheartened by that choice.
While we take the SEC’s allegations seriously, they should not be the subject of an SEC enforcement action, let alone on an emergency basis. We intend to defend our platform vigorously. Unfortunately, the SEC’s refusal to productively engage with us is just another example of the Commission’s misguided and conscious refusal to provide much-needed clarity and guidance to the digital asset industry. Today’s action is another in a line of examples where, as with other crypto projects facing similar suits, the Commission has determined to regulate with the blunt weapons of enforcement and litigation rather than the thoughtful, nuanced approach demanded by this dynamic and complex technology. Unilaterally labeling certain tokens and services as securities – even ones over which other U.S. authorities have asserted jurisdiction – only compounds these problems.
Perhaps most surprising, the SEC’s actions undermine America’s role as a global hub for financial innovation and leadership. Digital asset laws remain largely undeveloped in much of the world, and regulation by enforcement is not the best path forward. An effective regulatory framework demands collaborative, transparent, and thoughtful policy engagement—a path the SEC has abandoned.
And, to be clear: any allegations that user assets on the Binance.US platform have ever been at risik are simply wrong, and there is zero justification for the Staff’s action in light of the ample time the Staff has had to conduct their investigation. All user assets on Binance and Binance affiliate platforms, including Binance.US, are safe and secure, and we will vigorously defend against any allegations to the contrary. Rather, the SEC’s actions here appear to be in service of an effort to rush to claim jurisdictional ground from other regulators—and investors do not appear to be the SEC’s priority. Because of our size and global name recognition, Binance is an easy target now caught in the middle of a U.S. regulatory tug-of-war. It seems based on these developments that the SEC’s goal here was never to protect investors; if that were truly the case, the Staff would have thoughtfully engaged with us on the facts and in our efforts to demonstrate the safety and security of the Binance.US platform. The SEC’s real intent here, instead, appears to be to make headlines.
We will continue to cooperate with regulators and policymakers in the U.S. and across the globe because that is the right thing to do. And Binance remains committed to productive engagement to ensure the next generation of cryptocurrency regulation fosters innovation while implementing and ensuring important consumer protections. Because Binance is not a U.S. exchange, the SEC’s actions are limited in reach. Still, we stand with digital asset market participants in the U.S. in opposition to the SEC’s latest overreach, and we are prepared to fight it to the full extent of the law.
We will work alongside industry partners to defend this important technology from misguided lawsuits. And we will maintain our unceasing efforts to deliver a safe and trusted platform for our users that holds true to our core value of furthering the freedom of money.