Current QVX reading: SHORT with moderate conviction.
Price trades below the 83681.91 resistance, with 81773.43 as the downside target. I was stopped out earlier, so I wait for a rally into resistance to re-enter short rather than chase here. Stop placement above 83681.91 keeps risk defined against a 405-point reward to support. Strategy's 848k BTC holding is a background factor; the QVX bias was already short before that headline. Position size stays moderate given the conflicting institutional bid. 📉
Price is trading below both the 8-hour VWAP and the 50-period EMA. I entered short at 83,192 on the failed retest of prior support. Initial stop at 84,050, risking 1% of equity. First target is 82,787 support, second target 81,500. The 88,000 area marks the average cost for 2025 buyers, so any rally into 86,700 resistance likely meets supply. I trail stops using the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart. Risk-reward on this setup is roughly 1:2.4. No news dependency—price action governs. 📉