Entry range : 69,500 – 70,400 Stop loss : 66,800 Take Profit Target 1 : 72,000 Target 2 : 74,500 Target 3 : 78,000
BTC just printed a capitulation wick with heavy volume and is attempting a short-term recovery from an oversold zone. This is a liquidity reaction after aggressive sell pressure, not a confirmed trend reversal. Structure is still bearish on the daily.
This is a bounce trade inside a downtrend. If buyers fail to hold above the entry zone, continuation to new lows is likely. Trade it as a reaction play, not as a macro long. Would you take the bounce knowing the higher timeframe is still down?
Crypto didn’t just bounce — Q1 is showing early signs of a structural shift in sentiment.
BTC reclaiming key zones has pulled capital back into risk. ETF inflows are stabilizing after late-2025 hesitation, and liquidity is rotating from sidelines back into majors. Altcoins are following, but leadership is still clearly Bitcoin-driven — classic early-cycle behavior.
What matters now isn’t the rally itself, but whether support holds. If BTC maintains higher lows, this becomes a base-building phase, not a relief pump. That’s when positioning shifts from short-term trades to cycle accumulation.
Risk remains: shallow order books + macro uncertainty = violent swings. Expect volatility, not a straight line. Q1 isn’t confirming a full bull market yet — but it’s no longer a defensive market either. The tone has changed. Smart money is adjusting exposure, not chasing candles.