BTCUSD Pullback Into Demand Zone Price Action & Market Structure.
BTCUSD is currently trading within a corrective phase after a strong bullish expansion, with recent price action showing a loss of short-term momentum beneath a marked resistance zone. The chart highlights a previous Break of Structure (BOS) followed by multiple Change of Character (CHoCH) points, suggesting the market is transitioning into a pullback rather than extending immediately higher. Price is approaching a highlighted demand area where liquidity could be resting, making this zone important for observing buyer reaction. As long as the broader market structure remains intact, the current decline may represent a retracement within the larger trend rather than a confirmed reversal. The nearby resistance area continues to act as a key technical barrier. 🔸 If BTCUSD finds support inside the highlighted demand zone and bullish price action is confirmed, the market could attempt another move toward the overhead liquidity and resistance levels. On the other hand, if this support area fails to hold, price may continue lower into the next demand zone where additional liquidity could become a focus. Traders may prefer to wait for clear price confirmation before considering any trade, as confirmation around these technical levels may provide stronger context than reacting to the first touch alone. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin: Global M2 jumps $1 trillion, yet BTC could still fall – Why?
The crypto market has yet to shake off the turbulence that has rattled it for weeks. The signals also failed to rule out a further decline in the coming weeks. Capital flow drove much of that weakness, particularly as stablecoin supply kept falling short of demand. Global M2 supply, another major market lever, climbed steadily without delivering the growth many had priced in. Can Global M2 supply lift crypto? Alphractal recently reported that Global M2 money supply jumped by roughly $1 trillion in a single week. China accounted for roughly 80% of that increase, or $800 billion. Other economies accounted for the remainder. Global M2 supply captures cash and liquid deposits across the world. It acts as a primary liquidity source for risk assets. Expanding M2 can push money into stocks, crypto, and real estate. Contracting M2 typically weighs on those same assets. Setting M2 supply against Bitcoin’s [$BTC] performance sharpens the picture. Historically, declines in Global M2’s year-over-year growth marked Bitcoin price bottoms. Those periods also opened the door for broader rallies. However, YoY M2 growth remained positive, with no clear move into negative territory. That suggested Bitcoin and altcoins could still slide lower before a reversal emerges. Can China’s liquidity move Bitcoin? China led the recent Global M2 surge as one of its largest contributors. Yet, it had limited exposure to Bitcoin, crypto’s largest risk asset. Hong Kong Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) absorbed just 48.1 $BTC since August began. That was worth roughly $3.057 million. Hong Kong capital has historically reached Bitcoin through official channels, including ETF providers, in thin amounts. That pointed to a limited Bitcoin impact from China’s M2-driven liquidity surge. Mainland China remained hostile to cryptocurrency and largely banned the asset class. This further limited potential flows from the region. Why do U.S. inflows matter most? U.S. flow remained the key factor to watch for Bitcoin. The country’s money supply kept expanding against M2 readings from other economies. TradingView placed the latest U.S. money-supply figure at $23.16 trillion. The Global M2 surge may have helped U.S. crypto ETFs record their strongest weekly inflow since 17th April 2026.Weekly inflows across crypto ETFs That same surge also supported a calmer market mood. Quieter Middle East war headlines helped ease pressure in recent weeks. The inflow could filter through Bitcoin and select altcoins in the near term. Final Summary Global M2 supply jumped roughly $1 trillion in a week. China drove 80% of the rise, though its Bitcoin exposure remained thin. U.S. crypto ETF inflows reached $1.10 billion as #BIP110ForkSignalingExpectedThisWeekend the U.S. money supply climbed to $23.16 trillion. $NVDAB
BTCUSD | Bullish Continuation After Trendline Break
Price has broken above the descending trendline after forming a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling a shift in short-term momentum. The recent rally has reclaimed key structure, and price is now consolidating beneath a nearby resistance/liquidity zone. The highlighted resistance remains the primary decision area. A successful breakout and acceptance above this level could expose the next liquidity target near the previous Weak High. However, if price fails to hold the recent breakout structure, a pullback into the highlighted demand zone may occur before buyers attempt another move higher. Key Levels Support: Previous breakout structure and highlighted demand zone around 64,000. Resistance: 64,900–65,000 supply/liquidity zone. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed close above resistance could continue the move toward the weak high around 66,700. Bearish Scenario: Rejection from resistance may lead to a retracement into support before the next directional move. Invalidation: A confirmed close below the highlighted demand zone would weaken the current bullish outlook. Technical Confluences Descending trendline breakout Bullish CHoCH and BOS Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Liquidity and weak high target Price action confirmation This analysis is based on market structure, liquidity, and Smart Money Concepts. It outlines possible scenarios rather than predicting a guaranteed outcome. Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own analysis and use appropriate risk management. Note This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and reflects my interpretation of price action, market structure, liquidity, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). It is not financial or investment advice. Markets are inherently uncertain, and no setup is guaranteed. Always wait for confirmation, manage your risk appropriately, and conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
The cryptocurrency industry’s top Washington priority has run into a stinging setback in the U.S. Senate. After GOP senators and crypto executives spent weeks publicly insisting that a floor vote on a sweeping bill to create new, industry-friendly rules governing digital assets was imminent, Senate Republicans are now set to leave for their August recess without taking the measure up, punting it instead to September. The delay — one of many that have beset the so-called Clarity Act over the past year — is a significant blow that diminishes prospects for the bill. The legislation has been the subject of months of acrimonious bipartisan negotiations as well as a vicious lobbying spat between banks and crypto companies. “I do think the odds drop precipitously,” said Sen. Thom Tillis, a retiring North Carolina Republican who has become a key player in negotiations on the bill. “We leave for a month, we come back, we’ve got an election ahead of us. I think it gets difficult to get done.” The fresh skepticism about the fate of the Clarity Act shows how even an industry awash in campaign money and lobbying resources is struggling to get its longtime priority across the finish line. Senate Republicans have pledged to put the measure on the floor as soon as they return, but lawmakers will have a mere three weeks just ahead of the midterm elections to pass a bill that requires bipartisan support and features several contentious unresolved issues. The 616-page bill, which would overhaul an array of arcane regulations to accommodate digital assets, carries outsize political importance. The crypto industry has threatened to unleash millions in super PAC money this election cycle against lawmakers who stand in the way. A super PAC network known as Fairshake ended June with more than $128 million in the bank — a titanic sum that has loomed large over the legislative effort as lawmakers in both parties eye the rapidly approaching midterm elections. The crypto industry will now enter the August recess without the Senate naughty-and-nice list of its supporters and detractors that it desired to help inform its spending decisions. The bill’s supporters say there is enough time to take up and pass the bill. Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), the Senate’s leading crypto ally, said in a statement Friday that she is “frustrated” by the delay, but added: “We’ve come too far to quit now.” “I will continue working with my colleagues to get this done— this fight is far from over,” she said. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, a New York Democrat who has partnered for years with Lummis on industry-friendly crypto legislation, said she is “still optimistic.” The delay “gives the staff several more weeks to work with the White House and to work with industry and to work with our Senate colleagues to button” down the remaining issues, she said. Republicans blame Democrats for the delay. GOP leaders needed all 100 senators to sign off on a time agreement in order to complete the laundry list of items on their pre-recess to-do list without keeping members in Washington deep into next week. Democrats balked at going along with a time agreement to speed up consideration of the outstanding legislative business that would allow the Clarity Act to come up for a vote. They said they want bipartisan negotiations to continue and warned that if a vote came up without a deal locked in, it could go down on the floor and sink the entire effort. A group of about a dozen Democrats has signaled openness to backing the crypto bill, but three main issues need to be resolved to secure their support. Most importantly, Democrats are pushing for an ethics provision that would crack down on President Donald Trump’s ability to profit off his family’s crypto businesses. Tillis and Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) teamed up on a counteroffer they sent to the White House last week after Democrats rejected previous ethics language offered up by Republicans that had the blessing of the president’s team. It’s unclear how viable the Tillis-Gallego plan, which includes a divestment requirement for Trump, is for the White House and other Republicans. In addition to language that would likely force the president to divest from some of his crypto businesses, it includes a provision that would allow state attorneys general to sue the Justice Department for not enforcing the rules — an idea some GOP senators have thrown cold water on. Beyond the ethics fight, Democrats are also pushing for changes to address concerns raised by law enforcement groups about the bill and for amendments to the commodities portion of the measure that is overseen by the Senate Agriculture Committee. “I think there is a really good bipartisan pathway to getting this done if they will do on ethics what they should do, which is not allow a president or anybody else to grift off of their office,” said Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.), who is leading negotiations for Democrats on the issues under the Ag panel’s jurisdiction. The bill is also facing headwinds among some Republicans, as banking groups push for changes that would crack down on crypto rewards programs that lenders say mimic old-school checking and savings accounts. At least two Republicans have said they plan to vote against the bill, citing concerns voiced by banks that crypto rewards programs could spark deposit flight and threaten their capacity to lend. The Wall Street Journal editorial board — influential in Republican circles in Washington — has twice sided with banks on the issue in recent days, pushing back against crypto companies that are accusing Wall Street groups of trying to ban their competition. “The pressure from the banks — this is just a general impression — has given some people pause,” Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.), who supports the bill, told reporters Friday. Kennedy, who sits on the Senate Banking Committee, called it a “mistake not to vote now.” He said he was “just reading a very critical article in the Wall Street Journal about the Clarity Act.” With the delay, he said, “the pressure’s just gonna continue.”
MAGA Inc. 在2025年結束時手頭上擁有超過3億美元,與加密貨幣和人工智慧產業相關的團體旨在展示他們的政治影響力。 與加密貨幣和人工智慧產業相關的政治團體根據新的競選財務報告已經籌集了數千萬美元,因為他們希望在今年的中期選舉中成為主要參與者。 最知名的支持加密貨幣的團體在2025年結束時擁有近1.94億美元可支配,幾乎全部與Fairshake有關,這是一個由Coinbase和其他風險投資者支持的團體,根據向聯邦選舉委員會提交的新報告顯示。一個支持人工智慧的團體,Leading the Future,在其競選帳戶中結束了這一年,擁有3900萬美元。