Until you look at what could actually push it there.
Bernstein’s argument isn’t simply “Bitcoin is going up.”
It’s that the macro environment may be changing the way capital thinks about scarcity.
Governments are sitting on massive debt. Rates aren’t returning to the old easy-money era. And if inflation/debasement becomes part of how that debt gets managed, scarce assets start looking very different.
That’s where Bitcoin gets interesting.
This cycle also hasn’t followed the old playbook perfectly.
The drawdown was around 50%, not the 75–90% crashes seen in previous cycles. More importantly, institutions appeared to absorb a meaningful part of the selling rather than treating the dip as an exit.
If that behaviour continues, maybe #Bitcoin’s floor really is changing.
But here’s where I’m still watching closely:
If institutions are helping create a stronger floor, do they also create a ceiling?
Bernstein sees $125K by year-end, with a $200K bull case by mid-2027.
The market is more cautious, with Polymarket giving $85K a 69% chance by year-end.
So I’m less interested in asking “will Bitcoin hit $125K?”
I’m more interested in whether the underlying structure of this cycle is actually different.
Because if it is…
the price target might be the least interesting part of the story. 👀
Digital Credit could become one of the more interesting RWA narratives in crypto.
We’ve spent years talking about bringing assets onchain, but what happens when we start bringing the financial cash flows behind those assets onchain too?
That’s where Apyx_Fi comes in.
Apyx is building around the idea of Digital Credit, using dividend-producing preferred equity such as $STRC and $SATA as an underlying source of recurring cash flows.
$STRC, issued by Strategy, and $SATA, issued by Strive, are publicly traded preferred equity instruments tied to companies operating in the Digital Asset Treasury space.
What makes them particularly interesting for the Digital Credit thesis is the recurring dividends associated with preferred equity.
Apyx brings this financial exposure into an onchain environment through products such as apxUSD and apyUSD, creating a bridge between traditional capital markets and DeFi.
And bringing Digital Credit to Solana makes the thesis even more interesting.
Solana provides a fast, low-cost environment where onchain assets can be composable across swaps, liquidity, lending and other #DeFi applications.
That means the opportunity isn’t simply about tokenizing another #RWA