Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares fell 6% in pre-market trading Wednesday after cutting its 2026 adjusted EPS forecast to $3.65–$3.70, down from $3.80–$3.90.
The profit cut is driven by integration costs from recent acquisitions, including the $25 billion CyberArk deal and the $3.35 billion Chronosphere acquisition.
Revenue guidance was raised to $11.28–$11.31 billion, up from $10.50–$10.54 billion.
TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and $255 price target, representing 56% upside from ~$163.50.
Q2 results beat expectations, with next-gen security ARR up 33% and remaining performance obligations up 23%.
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares dropped 6% in pre-market trading Wednesday after the company trimmed its annual profit outlook, blaming rising integration costs tied to a string of recent acquisitions.
$PANW (Palo Alto Networks) #earnings are out: pic.twitter.com/UIJpNMwjSD
— The Earnings Correspondent (@earnings_guy) February 17, 2026
The cybersecurity firm cut its 2026 adjusted earnings per share forecast to a range of $3.65–$3.70, down from its prior guidance of $3.80–$3.90. The stock had already slipped 7% in after-hours trading the night before.
Despite the profit cut, Palo Alto raised its annual revenue forecast to $11.28–$11.31 billion, well above its earlier estimate of $10.50–$10.54 billion.
The main culprit behind the margin pressure is acquisition activity. Palo Alto spent $2.3 billion on CyberArk in Q3 alone, completing that deal earlier in February. It also agreed to acquire cloud monitoring firm Chronosphere for $3.35 billion, and picked up Israeli cybersecurity startup Koi.
The company has been building itself into a one-stop platform for enterprise security, leaning into AI-driven threat detection as customers increasingly look to consolidate vendors.
Acquisitions Weigh on Margins
Morningstar analyst Malik Ahmed Khan acknowledged the hit to profitability but pointed to the upside. “The profitability ‘cut’ is mostly due to the firm’s acquisitions and we see the firm being able to leverage these acquisitions by cross-selling its existing customer base,” he said.
TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating and $255 price target after the results — that target represents a 56% upside from the current price of around $163.50. The firm noted that demand remained healthy and that AI is continuing to drive business growth.
TD Cowen also said the CyberArk and Chronosphere deals reinforce Palo Alto’s platform strategy, making identity security a central pillar and improving real-time visibility across applications, infrastructure, and AI systems.
Both acquisitions are included in the company’s adjusted free cash flow margin targets of 37% for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, and 40% for fiscal year 2028.
Q2 Results Beat Expectations
The underlying quarterly numbers were solid. Palo Alto reported 33% growth in next-generation security annual recurring revenue and 23% growth in remaining performance obligations for Q2 fiscal 2026.
The company generated $3.69 billion in levered free cash flow over the last twelve months, with a free cash flow yield of 3%, according to InvestingPro data.
Palo Alto also reaffirmed its free cash flow targets for the year, and InvestingPro noted its cash flows are sufficient to cover interest payments.
Analyst reactions were mixed but mostly constructive. Truist Securities kept its Buy rating with a $200 price target. Piper Sandler held its Overweight rating with a $265 target. BMO Capital maintained an Outperform rating, also at $200, and projected 13–15% organic growth in next-gen security revenue over the next two quarters.
Needham lowered its target to $200 from $230, citing acquisition costs. Scotiabank cut its target to $180 from $228, maintaining a Sector Outperform but flagging complexity and a lack of organic upward momentum.
Analyst consensus currently sits at 1.71, reflecting a Strong Buy.
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Fortinet (FTNT) Stock Slides as Analyst Downgrades on Valuation Concerns
TLDR
Freedom Capital Markets downgraded Fortinet (FTNT) from Buy to Hold on Monday, citing valuation concerns
Price target held at $90 despite the rating cut
Fortinet posted a strong Q4 with 20% product revenue growth and 18% billings growth
30 analysts have revised earnings estimates downward for the upcoming period
Risks include rising memory prices, currency volatility, and growing competition
Fortinet (FTNT) was downgraded to Hold from Buy by Freedom Capital Markets on Monday. Analyst Almas Almaganbetov kept the price target at $90 but flagged valuation as the key concern. The stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of 33.65.
The move came just after Fortinet posted a strong Q4 2025. Product revenue grew 20% and billings rose 18% year-over-year, well ahead of the 12% consensus estimate. A large-scale network equipment refresh cycle helped drive those numbers.
The service segment held steady too, with Unified SASE cloud solutions expanding and recent acquisitions integrating well. Gross profit margins came in at 80.46%. Some customer caution around contract durations was flagged, but it didn’t overshadow the overall result.
Other Analysts Still Bullish
Not everyone is pulling back. Several firms raised their price targets after Q4 results.
TD Cowen kept its Buy rating with a $100 target. BMO Capital raised its target to $95, though it noted service revenue growth missed projections. RBC Capital lifted its target to $90, calling the quarter a solid base for 2026.
UBS also moved to $90, pointing to strong product growth and improved Enterprise License Agreement renewals. Jefferies matched that $90 target, citing the 18% billings growth that came in well above expectations.
Risks Ahead
Despite the strong quarter, headwinds are building. Rising memory prices and currency swings could pressure margins going forward. Competitive pressure in the cybersecurity space is also increasing.
InvestingPro data shows 30 analysts have revised earnings estimates downward for the upcoming period — a trend worth watching.
Freedom Capital’s downgrade is a straight valuation call. The business is performing well. The stock price may have simply run ahead of where the fundamentals can justify it right now.
Fortinet shares were down 4.52% at the time of the downgrade.
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ETHZilla (ETHZ) Stock Drops as Peter Thiel Exits Ethereum Treasury Firm
TLDR
Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund fully exited its stake in ETHZilla (ETHZ) by end of 2025, per a recent SEC filing.
ETHZ shares fell 3% in extended trading and are down 28% year-to-date.
Ethereum dropped 28.4% in Q4 2025 and has continued falling in 2026, now trading around $2,017.
ETHZilla sold roughly $114.5 million in ETH across two rounds to cover buybacks and debt repayment, cutting holdings from 100,000+ ETH to 69,802 ETH.
The company has pivoted again, launching ETHZilla Aerospace to offer tokenized exposure to leased jet engine revenue.
Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund has fully exited its position in ETHZilla (ETHZ), according to a recent SEC filing. The exit was complete by the end of 2025.
ETHZ shares dropped 3% in extended trading following the news. The stock is already down 28% so far this year.
Thiel, co-founder of PayPal and Palantir, had previously controlled a 7.5% stake in ETHZilla through entities including The Founders Fund, according to a BeInCrypto report from August 2025. The latest SEC filing shows zero ownership by those entities at year-end.
The exit has drawn attention in crypto circles. “This matters because Thiel is considered smart institutional capital, and a full exit from an ETH treasury firm could signal shifting sentiment, risk reduction, or a strategic rotation away from Ethereum exposure,” Crypto Town Hall posted.
ETHZilla is one of several companies that adopted the crypto treasury playbook pioneered by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) in 2020, accumulating Ethereum as a reserve asset.
The timing of Thiel’s exit lines up with a rough stretch for Ethereum. The token fell 28.4% in Q4 2025 — its first negative fourth quarter since 2022. It then closed January 2026 down 17.7% and has dropped another 18.1% so far in February. ETH was trading at around $2,017 at time of writing.
ETHZilla Cuts ETH Holdings as Losses Mount
That sustained price weakness has hit ETHZilla hard. At its peak, the company held more than 100,000 ETH. As conditions worsened in October, the company sold roughly $40 million in Ether, using the proceeds for share buybacks.
A second round of sales followed in December — about $74.5 million worth — with funds directed toward repaying senior secured convertible debt. ETHZilla now holds 69,802 ETH, according to CoinGecko data.
The broader sector is under similar pressure. BitMine, another crypto treasury firm, is sitting on unrealized losses exceeding $7 billion and is down 25.7% year-to-date.
A New Direction: Tokenized Jet Engines
ETHZilla, which previously operated as 180 Life Sciences before its Ethereum pivot and rebrand, has now outlined another strategic shift.
Its wholly owned subsidiary, ETHZilla Aerospace, recently launched the Eurus Aero Token I. The product offers investors tokenized exposure to revenue rights from leased aircraft engines via tradable digital tokens.
ETHZilla Aerospace is seeking to expand that model by providing tokenized equity exposure to leased jet engines, according to Bloomberg.
The company currently holds 69,802 ETH and ETHZ shares are down 28% year-to-date.
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