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Wise Analyze
2023年4月9日
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#Bitcoin
处于无贸易区。等待价格在 27650 和 27166 下方寻找停损，或向 28.4k 缺口发动看涨冲动
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Both of the most likely scenarios I posted yesterday played out one after another ✅✅ $BTC is now in the process of closing the CME gap, which has been a major magnet for this pullback. Most likely scenarios from here: 1️⃣ This move may have satisfied the market’s “liquidity hunger”, allowing BTC to bounce higher. I still expect a possible dip toward ~84K before that happens. 2️⃣ Or — 88752 was the top of a weekly dead cat bounce, and the next liquidity pool worth visiting is below 81K (while still keeping the recovery scenario alive). Watching closely for confirmation either way. Nearest targets: • Bullish move: 86044 / 87500 / 88500 / 91130 • Bearish move: 84300 / 83925 / 82541 / 81113 #Bitcoin Liquidation heatmap: • Above: 87851 / 89055 / 89860 • Below: 83031 / 81023 / 79015
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 Yesterday’s forecast for a BTC dip to the bottom of the range played out ✅ Today, I see the consolidation pattern shifting shape slightly — but that doesn’t change its bullish nature. While I still expect a dip into the CME gap, I also believe it could easily be followed by a sharp bullish move. That said, as long as the CME gap remains open, I can’t be fully bullish. It makes little sense to plan swing trades when $BTC has a near 100% chance of dipping at least 2% from the current price. Most likely scenarios: 1) Dip to ~86K (bottom of the horizontal range) and bounce — but this would leave the CME gap open, so any bounce would likely be weak and unreliable for mid/long-term positions. 2) Dip into the CME gap (and possibly below) — the key will be volume and price action during that move. 🎯 Breakout targets remain unchanged: 91130 / 92800. Nearest targets: ⬆️ Bullish move: 88909 / 91130 / 92780 / 94373 ⬇️ Bearish move: 86044 / 85270 / 84300 / 83925 #Bitcoin Liquidation heatmap: • Above: 87778 / 88305 / 89170 / 90367 • Below: 86583 / 86052 / 85587 / 85122
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$BTC touched the top of range I mentioned yesterday ✅ If this really is a consolidation range, we’ve now got two possible bullish entry setups: 1) Breakout above 88500 2) Dips below 87000 Breakout targets: 91130 / 92800 The pullback scenario to the 4H CME gap at 84813–85478 is still on the table too. Nearest targets: ⬆️ Bullish move: 88909 / 91130 / 92780 / 94373 ⬇️ Bearish move: 87000 / 85270 / 84300 / 83925 #Bitcoin Liquidation heatmap: • Above: 88329 / 88915 / 89700 / 91459 • Below: 86894 / 86177 / 85438 / 84719
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$BERA is looking strong — moving up toward the top of the range. This will be the fourth test of that level, and from a TA perspective, the more times it’s tested, the higher the chance of a breakout. That said, a breakout doesn’t have to happen right now. Price could consolidate between 8.4 and 7.5, forming a bull flag. So if you're looking to buy — waiting for dips makes more sense. ⏰ Setting an alert at 7.495 to take a closer look when it gets there.
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#Ethereum has been moving sideways around its 2021 low vs BTC for the past two weeks. Against USDT, the picture is more or less the same — slight upward movement, mainly thanks to BTC’s strength. So, what does this tell us? Simply put, $ETH hasn’t done anything yet to stand out as an attractive option for either investment or speculation. If BTC pumps, ETH will likely rise in USDT terms as well. But if BTC dumps, ETH will follow — and probably drop even harder. On the fundamental side: The Hoodi fork is scheduled for March 26, followed by the Pectra mainnet upgrade. It’s still hard to predict the impact, but development is actively progressing, which keeps ETH relevant for long-term investors. 💡 ETH CME gaps: above at 2566-2623 / 2911-3237. Below at 2911-3237
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