Bea Hoy ndKg

Bitcoin ($BTC C) hiện đang giao dịch quanh mức $USDC 68,000 khi thị trường phản ứng với các ngày hết hạn quyền chọn gần đây. Các nhà phân tích lưu ý rằng với $2Z .5 tỷ USD trong các quyền chọn BTC hết hạn, các biến động giá có thể phải đối mặt với sự biến động ngắn hạn, đặc biệt là quanh mức “đau tối đa” $74,#000.
Dữ liệu trên chuỗi cho thấy Bitcoin đang bước vào vùng giá trị sâu, báo hiệu cơ hội mua tiềm năng cho các nhà đầu tư dài hạn. Các nhà giao dịch nên cẩn trọng, vì thị trường tiền điện tử vẫn nhạy cảm với các ngày hết hạn quyền chọn lớn và những biến động ngắn hạn.

Trade Direction: LONG 🚀

Leverage: 12x ⚠️

Entry Price: 69,158.30
🎯 Targets & Protection:
TP 1: 69,850.00 (lock in profits) TP 2: 70,500.00 (aim for bigger gains) 🚀SL: 68,400.00 (stay protected) 🛡️
Market Update:

BTC is showing strong momentum! We’re already in profit and riding the upward trend. Keep an eye on these levels for your next move.
Pro Tip: Move your stop loss to entry price now to secure a risk-free trade 💰
Pair: BTCUSDT Perpetual

Current Price: 68,795.3 (+4.74%)

Bitcoin is currently trading near $68,000 as around $2.5 billion worth of BTC options are set to expire today (Feb 13). The main level traders are watching is $74,000, which is the “max pain” price — the point where most options would expire worthless.

Right now, Bitcoin is trading below that level, so the big question is whether price will move upward toward $7#4K before settlement or continue trending lower.

Market activity has slowed down slightly. Trading volume and futures activity have both declined, showing that traders are reducing positions instead of opening aggressive new ones. The put/call ratio is 0.72, meaning there are more call options than puts, which slightly favors bullish expectations.

Technically, however, the chart still looks weak. Bitcoin is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the trend shows lower highs and lower lows. RSI is in oversold territory, which could allow for a short-term bounce, but there is no strong reversal signal yet.

Key levels to watch:

Support: $65,000–$66,000, then $60,000

Resistance: $USDC 74,000–$USDC 76,000
In short, options expiry may cause short-term volatility, but unless Bitcoin reclaims $USDC 74K with strong momentum, the broader trend remains under pressure.

Bitcoin’s recent price drop has made many traders panic, but from my point of view, the risk-reward profile has clearly shifted after this selloff.
According to on-chain data analysis shared by James “Checkmate” Check (former lead researcher at Glassnode and author of Check On Chain) in an interview on the What Bitcoin Did, Bitcoin has entered what can be considered “deep value” territory across several mean-reversion models. When price moved into these recent zones, capitulation-style losses spiked to levels similar to the 2022 cycle bottom.
If Bitcoin is not going to zero (which I personally don’t believe), then statistically the setup now looks asymmetric — meaning downside risk is limited compared to potential upside. This is the kind of market phase where smart participants stay alert instead of losing focus.

Rather than blaming a single forced seller, the focus should be on overall market structure. Based on probabilistic analysis, there is now more than a 50% chance — possibly around 60% — that a meaningful bottom has already formed. However, the probability of Bitcoin making a new all-time high this year seems low unless we see a major macroeconomic shift or a strong market catalyst.
Regarding ETFs, billions in outflows were seen during the decline. But this appears more like positioning unwinds and basis-trade adjustments (linked with CME open interest) rather than structural weakness. At one point, nearly 62% of cumulative inflows were underwater, yet ETF assets under management only declined in the mid-single digits — which shows resilience rather than collapse.

One important point: relying too much on the four-year halving cycle as a timing strategy may create unnecessary bias. Markets evolve, and each cycle has different dynamics.
In my view, this phase is less about fear and more about opportunity — but only for those who understand risk management.

#BTC #Bitcoin