For-Exx Kripto 1

LUNC (Terra Luna Classic): Key Developments Expected in the Coming Years

📌 LUNC – Terra Luna Classic Outlook

🔹 Token Burns

The ongoing burn mechanism for $LUNC , especially monthly burns supported by major exchanges such as Binance (e.g. 1.3 billion LUNC burned), can provide short-term positive price momentum.

Over the long term, continued burns may reduce excess supply and ease downward price pressure.

🔹 Technical & Network Upgrades

SDK upgrades, Cosmos integration, and new security and performance releases for the Terra Classic network remain ongoing. These improvements could enhance network usability and DeFi adoption.

🔹 Supply Issue & Decentralization

The LUNC circulating supply remains extremely high (trillions of tokens), making a sustainable price recovery structurally difficult.

The community is also working to improve decentralization by reducing validator concentration, which could strengthen network security and participation over time.

🔹 Expected Price Range

Price projections remain speculative, but medium- to long-term expectations (for example, by 2028) generally point to a range of approximately $0.0003–$0.001, assuming strong catalysts emerge.

📊 In the short to medium term, LUNC may continue trading sideways or with a modest upward bias. However, a major rally is unlikely without significant supply reduction, broader DeFi integration, and expanded real-world utility.

📊 Overall Risk / Opportunity Assessment

🔸Risks

The project is still dealing with the aftermath of the 2022 Terra collapse, leaving investor confidence weak and volatility high.

Regulatory pressure, potential exchange delistings, and declining liquidity continue to weigh on the price.

🔸Opportunities

Community-driven development, staking, and supply reduction initiatives could strengthen the project's long-term fundamentals.

An increase in LUNC burn activity could also improve short-term price momentum.

Bitcoin has been continuing to develop the Head and Shoulders pattern that I pointed out when it was near the 100,000 level since the beginning of the year...
I am still waiting for it to settle between 57039 - 52800.
$BTC
price. Although there is a possibility of 31000 levels, 31000 does not seem very likely at this rate. The downward leg is not over yet.

27–31 July 2026 | Weekly Risk Calendar (TRT / UTC+3)

🎯 Weekly Theme

This week features the year's busiest overlap of economic data releases and policy decisions. Since Thursday, the outlook has changed dramatically: On Friday, Houthi militants attacked two Saudi oil tankers, effectively shutting down the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—the only alternative Saudi export route after the Strait of Hormuz was closed following the Iran agreement.

The impact on the FOMC is direct: July hike odds have jumped from 10.7% to 38%. Most of the market still expects a hold—but no one knows what Warsh will do. With the Fed deliberately reducing forward guidance, uncertainty has doubled the volatility premium. The Q2 GDP advance estimate and June PCE will be released one day after the FOMC, while the BoJ announces its quarterly outlook Friday morning.

📅 Economic Calendar

Wednesday – July 29
21:00 TRT — FOMC Interest Rate Decision
21:30 TRT — Fed Chair Warsh Press Conference

Thursday – July 30
15:30 TRT — Q2 2026 GDP Advance Estimate
15:30 TRT — June 2026 PCE Deflator & Personal Income/Spending
15:30 TRT — Employment Cost Index (ECI), Q2 2026
15:30 TRT — Weekly Initial Jobless Claims

Friday – July 31
06:20 TRT — BoJ Interest Rate Decision

⚡ Crypto & Market Risks

FOMC: Surprise hike → immediate risk-off; stronger dollar, crypto deleveraging and stop-loss cascades.

Hold + hawkish tone → stronger dollar, downside pressure on crypto.

Hold + uncertain Warsh → high two-way volatility as markets interpret the outcome themselves.

Thursday's data: Strong GDP + soft PCE → supports a hold, risk assets may recover. Weak GDP + hot PCE → confirms stagflation, the toughest scenario for risk assets.

$BTC $XRP

The likelihood of the CLARITY Act being approved before the U.S. Senate begins its summer recess is declining. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said the bill may not reach a final vote before lawmakers leave for the August recess. However, he added that he still hopes Senate floor debate can begin before the break. The crypto industry had viewed August 7 as a critical deadline for the legislation to become law during 2026. If consideration is pushed into the fall, the increasingly limited congressional calendar could significantly reduce the chances of the bill being completed before the end of the year. White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt said the Senate could still take action during the first week of August but acknowledged that a final vote in July now appears unlikely. An updated draft released by Senator Cynthia Lummis includes stronger protections for customer assets. However, disagreements remain over ethics rules governing public officials' crypto activities, stablecoin yield provisions, and several other key sections of the bill. Meanwhile, Galaxy Research Head of Research Alex Thorn cited the shrinking legislative calendar as a growing concern, lowering his personal probability estimate for the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 from 50% to 30%. $BTC $XRP

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🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

Ethereum traded sideways between $ 1,850 and $ 1,900.

Altcoins continued to exhibit selective, low-volume trading activity.

$XRP is approaching the important $ 1.0836 support level. A confirmed break below this area could open the way toward the $ 1.00 psychological level.

LUNC remained under pressure throughout the day, with the 0.00005045 support level remaining critical for Luna Classic.

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📋 KEY CRYPTO NEWS

Expectations surrounding the CLARITY Act continue to influence overall market sentiment. Although ETF inflows have shown signs of recovery, overall market conditions remain fragile.

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🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS — JULY 25

$H — Humanity

Approximately 266 million H tokens, Approximately $15.6 million,8.6% of circulating supply, Selling Pressure: HIGH 🔴

Avalanche (AVAX)

Approximately 1.67 million AVAX, Estimated value: $10.5–15 million, Approximately 0.23% of total supply, Foundation allocation,Estimated unlock time: Around 12:30 UTC

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🔭 OUTLOOK & UPCOMING EVENTS

Markets remain in a consolidation phase ahead of next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with traders showing limited willingness to increase risk exposure.

Key events to watch:

July 25 — Humanity (H) token unlock (~$15.6M, 8.6% of circulating supply)

July 28 — Zcash Ironwood Upgrade

July 28–29 — FOMC Meeting: The most important macro event of the month.

August 10 — Effective Senate deadline for the CLARITY Act.

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🌐 TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES

U.S. equities traded modestly higher despite continued selling pressure in the technology sector, as investors positioned ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting while assessing the risks associated with elevated AI-related capital spending.

Losses among the "Magnificent Seven" weighed on Nasdaq sentiment, with concerns over AI investment costs contributing to increased market volatility.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and renewed tariff announcements continued to create uncertainty, while higher energy prices kept inflation risks elevated.

South Korea blocked downloads of foreign cryptocurrency exchange applications through Google Play. Exchanges including OKX, Bybit, and MEXC are no longer available to new users due to the absence of local Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) registration.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi criticized the U.S. approach, stating that the lack of mediators is not the primary obstacle to renewed negotiations.

Reports indicate that Pakistan and Iran are exploring a China-backed diplomatic channel for new discussions with the United States.

The Trump administration announced new tariffs ranging from 10% to 12.5% on imports from 60 trading partners.

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₿ BITCOIN

$BTC traded between $63,700 and $65,800 during the session.

Although ETF flows recorded a brief period of net outflows, the broader trend continues to point toward sustained institutional interest.

Key Resistance:
$65,800–66,500

Key Support:
$63,700

$LUNC currently has a circulating supply of approximately 5.52 trillion tokens.

Assuming the circulating supply remains unchanged:

• At today's price of $0.00005383, its market capitalization is approximately $297 million.

• If it removes one zero and reaches $0.0005, its market capitalization would rise to approximately $2.97 billion.

• If it removes two zeros and reaches $0.005, its market capitalization would be approximately $29.7 billion.

• If it removes three zeros and reaches $0.05, its market capitalization would reach approximately $297 billion.

• If it removes four zeros and reaches $0.50, its market capitalization would be approximately $2.97 trillion.

• If LUNC reaches $ 1, its market capitalization would be approximately $5.52 trillion.

For comparison:

• The entire cryptocurrency market is currently worth approximately $2.19 trillion.

• Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, has a market capitalization of approximately $ 1.30 trillion.

This means that, at today's circulating supply, a $ 1 LUNC would require a market capitalization more than twice the value of the entire current cryptocurrency market and over four times Bitcoin's current market value.

Therefore, unless the circulating supply is reduced substantially, a $ 1 LUNC valuation appears mathematically extremely difficult under current market conditions.

🔐 END OF DAY MARKET REPORT — JULY 23, 2026 (Page 3/3) 🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS — JULY 24 SOSO | July 24 — 12:00 TRT Approximately 23.46 million SOSO (~$6.73 million) 6.78% of circulating supply Selling Pressure: MEDIUM 🟡 $H — Humanity | July 25 — 03:00 TRT Approximately 266.47 million H (~$15.6 million) 8.6% of circulating supply Selling Pressure: HIGH 🔴 This represents the largest token unlock of the week by token quantity and could have a meaningful impact given the project's relatively limited market liquidity. Total Unlocks (July 24–25): Approximately $22.3 million. Humanity (H) carries the highest proportional supply risk. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔭 OUTLOOK & UPCOMING EVENTS Markets approach the end of the week facing two major uncertainties: the shrinking timeline ahead of the August 10 CLARITY Act deadline and the July 28–29 FOMC meeting. Kalshi's implied probability of approximately 72% suggests that markets have partially priced in expectations for a Senate vote, although the probability of the legislation actually becoming law remains significantly lower. At the FOMC meeting, investors will closely watch whether Governor Kevin Warsh maintains a hawkish tone despite softer CPI and PPI data. That decision could determine whether $BTC is able to break above the key $ 67,000 resistance level. Key events to watch: July 25 — Humanity (H) unlock (~$15.6M, 8.6% of circulating supply) July 28 — Zcash Ironwood Upgrade July 28–29 — FOMC Meeting: The most important macro event of the month. August 10 — Effective Senate deadline for the CLARITY Act.

🔐 END OF DAY MARKET REPORT — JULY 23, 2026 (Page 2/3) 🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS Ethereum remains below the $ 1,900 level. $GRAM entered today's approximately $52 million token unlock, while Telegram's upcoming wallet integration announcement provides a positive counterbalance to potential selling pressure. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📋 KEY CRYPTO NEWS Raphael Zagury officially became CEO of Twenty One Capital. Drawing on experience at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank, he is expected to bring a more institutionally disciplined treasury strategy compared with Jack Mallers' aggressive Bitcoin accumulation approach. The Zcash Ironwood upgrade remains scheduled for July 28, introducing important security and privacy improvements following the Orchard vulnerability. News surrounding Satsuma's liquidation has renewed debate over Bitcoin ownership concentration. Jack Mallers stepped down as CEO of Twenty One Capital to focus on Strike, while Tether's plan to combine Twenty One, Strike, and Elektron Energy has reportedly been abandoned. Zagury now oversees the company's treasury of 43,514 BTC, while XXI shares declined approximately 15%. ETF inflows have returned and exchange Bitcoin balances continue falling. However, ongoing stablecoin outflows suggest that markets have not yet attracted the fresh capital needed for a sustainable breakout. Plume and $ETHFI introduced a new yield-generating real-world asset vault backed by a $100 million private allocation. The effective Senate deadline for the CLARITY Act remains August 10. Failure to pass the legislation before then would likely delay further action until mid-September, leaving the regulatory framework for roughly $680 billion in altcoin market capitalization unresolved. According to VanEck, Bitcoin derivatives markets still point to lingering selling pressure, while Bitfinex analysts argue that Bitcoin's recovery toward $66,990 has been driven more by a lack of sellers than by strong buying demand.

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🌐 TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES

U.S. initial jobless claims fell to 187,000 the lowest level in nearly 60 years. The stronger labor market may reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve could delay interest rate cuts,weighing on risk appetite across both equities and cryptocurrencies.

Following BitMEX's announcement that it will cease operations,$BMEX —the exchange's native ecosystem token—plunged more than 90% within a short period. The collapse not only caused substantial investor losses but also reignited debate over the ethical responsibilities associated with exchange-issued tokens.

Brent crude oil has surged 42% over the past 20 days,climbing above $100 per barrel and fueling renewed inflation concerns.

AFX Trade,BSquared Network and Verus were all targeted by cyberattacks within the past 24 hours. In what many described as"Hackers'Day,"the three protocols collectively lost more than $35 million in crypto assets.

President Trump issued a statement on Truth Social warning Iran after Houthi militants attacked Arab vessels overnight.

Tesla maintained its Bitcoin holdings at 11,509 BTC during the second quarter,extending a holding strategy that has remained unchanged for nearly four years.

The European Central Bank left its deposit rate unchanged at 2.25%, matching market expectations.

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BITCOIN

$BTC traded between $64,724 and $66,313 during the session.

Optimism surrounding the CLARITY Act and the return of ETF inflows continue to provide modest support for the market. However,persistent stablecoin outflows and a rally driven more by the absence of sellers than aggressive buying suggest that the current recovery remains fragile.

The $67,000 level continues to represent the key short-term technical resistance. A stronger catalyst will likely be required to break above that level ahead of next week's FOMC meeting

BMEX Collapse: Where Does Responsibility Begin When an Exchange Shuts Down? Following BitMEX's decision to cease operations, its native ecosystem token, BMEX, lost more than 90% of its value in a very short time. The collapse has reignited debate over the ethical responsibilities of centralized exchanges that issue their own tokens. $BMEX 's utility was tied almost entirely to the BitMEX ecosystem through trading fee discounts, staking rewards, and platform incentives. Once the exchange announced its shutdown, the token's economic foundation largely disappeared, leading to a rapid market repricing. The key issue is not the price crash itself, but whether investors fully understood this risk. Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, centralized exchange tokens depend heavily on the company behind them. This raises important questions: Were investors clearly warned about the possibility of a shutdown? Was there a contingency plan for token holders? Were buyback, conversion, or compensation mechanisms considered? The BMEX case highlights several lessons. A token dependent on a single company carries significant structural risk. Many investors underestimate this corporate exposure and treat exchange tokens like independent blockchain assets. Without predefined investor protection measures, losses can become far more severe. The collapse also reinforces a broader lesson: owning a centralized exchange token is, in many ways, investing in the future of the company itself. If the company fails, the token's value can disappear almost overnight. BMEX is another reminder that legal compliance alone is not enough. Ethical responsibility requires transparency, honest risk disclosure, and clear investor protection plans. In the end, the greatest risk may not be market volatility, but relying on the survival of a single company.

3 Crypto Protocols Drained of $35 Million in 24 Hours AFX Trade, BSquaredNetwork, and $VRSC have all fallen victim to exploits over the last 24 hours.

In what many are calling “Hackers Day,” the three protocols have collectively lost over $35 million in crypto assets.

Crypto Industry Hit With Three Separate Hacks
PeckShieldAlert said it detected an attack on Arbitrum-based protocol AFX on July 22, with estimated losses of about $24.15 million USDC. The on-chain security firm added that the exploiter bridged the stolen funds from Arbitrum to Ethereum, after which they swapped them for 12,467.5 $ETH .

Less than an hour later, PeckShieldAlert reported that attackers had drained BSquaredNetwork of $ 8.59 B2 tokens on BNB Chain, resulting in it losing approximately $ 3.86 million. The hackers then quickly swapped the tokens for more than 5,000 WBNB, converted them into 1,128 ETH, and bridged the funds out using NEAR Intents. The impact on the market was quick, with B2’s price dropping by over 15% in the aftermath of the exploit.

It doesn’t stop there; blockchain security firm Lookonchain also alerted the public to another incident, this time affecting Ethereum-based cross-chain bridge Verus protocol. In this case, the exploiters made off with $ 7.55 million.

Additionally, the latest exploit comes about two months after Verus lost roughly $11.58 million in a separate incident. Blockaid said that the July attack seems to be related to the previous exploit, describing the two as involving the same bridge contract, same entry path, and same bug class.

DEXE's Historic Crash: What Triggered the 80% Collapse? The crypto market witnessed one of its sharpest sell-offs as DeXe ( $DEXE ) plunged more than 80% in a single trading session, erasing billions in market value. The crash quickly sparked speculation, including rumors of a rug pull, hacking, insider selling, and liquidity issues. However, none of these claims has been officially confirmed. On-chain data revealed large DEXE transfers to centralized exchanges before and during the collapse, leading some analysts to believe major holders may have triggered the initial selling pressure. Still, there is no verified evidence linking those wallets to the project team or early investors. The decline was likely intensified by cascading liquidations. After the first wave of selling, stop-loss orders were triggered and leveraged long positions were forcibly closed, accelerating the downward move in a chain reaction. Beyond the price drop, the biggest criticism has focused on transparency. Investors expected a detailed incident report, clarification on major wallet movements, and clear communication about the cause of the crash. Many believe those expectations have not yet been fully met, allowing speculation to spread faster than verified information. Several key questions remain unanswered: Who sold the large amounts of DEXE? Were those wallets connected to the project? Was there a technical issue, or was this purely a market-driven event? Will the team publish a comprehensive report? While the exact cause remains unclear, the incident highlights a fundamental reality of crypto markets: investor confidence is just as important as technology. Until official findings are released, separating verified facts from speculation remains essential.

$AVAX has been sideways for a long time, but it cannot recover reactively to where it started its downward movement, which indicates weakness...
My target of 5.00 first, then 2.67 remains...

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🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS — JULY 22

No major confirmed cliff unlocks are scheduled for July 22.

Ongoing Linear Unlocks

$WLD — World

Approximately 39.6 million WLD (~$16 million) released daily.

Following Grayscale's ETF filing, market attention has shifted toward WLD. However, the concentration of roughly 90% of supply among the largest 100 wallets continues to create structural selling pressure.

Selling Pressure: MEDIUM 🟡

$GRAM — TON | July 23

Approximately 36.6 million TON (~$57.5 million)

0.71% of circulating supply

Selling Pressure: MEDIUM 🟡

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🔭 OUTLOOK & UPCOMING EVENTS

Today marked a genuine catalyst for the cryptocurrency market.

The CLARITY Act cleared its largest political hurdle, AI-related stocks recovered, and Bitcoin advanced into the $66,000 region.

However, three major steps remain before the legislation can become law: the revised text must be released publicly, Democratic lawmakers must complete their review, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune must schedule a vote before the August recess.

If the Senate fails to vote before the recess, expectations for regulatory clarity could quickly unwind, with XRP and the broader DeFi sector facing the greatest downside risk.

Key events to watch:

Coming days — Revised CLARITY Act text: Investors will watch whether Democrats receive the updated draft and whether the remaining seven votes can be secured.

July 28–29 — FOMC Meeting: The most important macro event of the month. The Fed's tone and interest-rate decision will likely determine whether Bitcoin can maintain its position above $66,000.

August 10 — Effective Senate deadline for the CLARITY Act: If this window closes without a vote, legislative progress during 2026 could become significantly more difficult amid the approaching election cycle.

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🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

Ethereum maintained positive momentum after Vitalik Buterin demonstrated an anonymous messaging board built on Aztec, highlighting continued innovation in privacy infrastructure.

Expectations surrounding the Glamsterdam upgrade and BitMine's holdings of 5.77 million $ETH continue to provide long-term support.

$WORLD reacted positively to Grayscale's ETF filing. However, structural concerns remain, as the largest 100 wallets still control roughly 90% of the circulating supply, while token unlocks continue through July 2028.

XRP gained approximately 4% following renewed optimism surrounding the CLARITY Act.

JTO's approved buyback-and-burn proposal also highlights the growing adoption of deflationary tokenomics within the Solana DeFi ecosystem.

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📋 KEY CRYPTO NEWS

The CLARITY Act's ethics provision became a political obstacle after Trump disclosed approximately $ 1.4 billion in crypto-related income during 2025, alongside connections to World Liberty Financial and several memecoin projects. The provision would prohibit the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from profiting from digital assets while in office.

The revised text has so far been shared only with Republican lawmakers, indicating that negotiations remain incomplete.

Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo joined the OKX Board of Directors and also became Co-Chair of the OKX–ICE/NYSE joint venture, marking another step toward deeper integration between traditional finance and cryptocurrency exchanges.

South Korea continues accelerating its regulated stablecoin framework, while Japan's recognition of cryptocurrencies as financial assets further strengthens institutional adoption across Asia.

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🌐 TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES

A major breakthrough emerged for the CLARITY Act. Trump agreed to the bill's ethics provision, removing what had become its biggest political obstacle. The White House circulated the revised language to selected Republican senators. Polymarket raised the probability of passage from 32% to 43–44%. While still well below February's 80% peak, it marks the strongest improvement in sentiment in months. Democrats have yet to review the revised text, and the Senate must vote before the August recess.

Bitcoin traded within a broad intraday range between $63,893 and $66,274, gaining more than 3% from the previous close as the CLARITY Act developments and a rebound in AI-related stocks boosted market sentiment.

Strategy sold 2.73 million MSTR shares between July 13 and July 19 without purchasing additional Bitcoin, raising $263.5 million in cash and increasing its USD reserves to $ 3.225 billion. Its Bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at 843,775 $BTC .

Cardano completed its first community-governed hard fork, with $ADA gaining roughly 3% on the day.

BONK recovered more than 15% following the recent treasury exploit, while JTO rose 8% after approval of its buyback-and-burn mechanism.

Zilliqa (ZIL) urged exchanges to suspend deposits and withdrawals after a partner exchange's cold wallet was compromised.

BitMine increased its total crypto-related assets to approximately $11.5 billion, including 5.77 million ETH, 207 BTC, and a $180 million equity stake in MrBeast's Beast Industries.

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₿ BITCOIN

Institutional signals continue to strengthen, with whale accumulation, options positioning, and ETF flows all pointing in the same direction.

A sustained move above $66,000 would shift technical focus toward the $ 67,000–68,000 resistance zone.

🔐 BÁO CÁO THỊ TRƯỜNG KẾT THÚC NGÀY — 20/07/2026 (Trang 3/3) ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

🔓 CÁC ĐỢT MỞ KHÓA TOKEN — 21/07

$GRVT | 21/07 — Sự kiện Tạo Token (TGE)

GRVT xác nhận phân bổ Mùa 2 của mình đã tăng lên 18% trong tổng cung cố định một tỷ token.

TGE diễn ra ngay hôm nay. Do vốn hóa thị trường tương đối nhỏ và thanh khoản còn hạn chế, rủi ro biến động vẫn ở mức cao. Áp lực Bán: TRUNG BÌNH-CÀNG CAO 🟡

Các đợt Mở khóa Tuyến tính đang diễn ra (21/07)

WLD — World ~39,6 triệu WLD (~16 triệu USD) Áp lực Bán: TRUNG BÌNH 🟡

TRUMP — Trump chính thức ~6,33 triệu TRUMP (~10,2 triệu USD) Áp lực Bán: THẤP 🟢

CC — Phát hành hằng ngày Canton $19,9 triệu Áp lực Bán: TRUNG BÌNH 🟡Sắp tới Đợt Mở khóa Dạng “Vách” Lớn

$GRAM — TON | 23/07

~36,6 triệu TON (~57,5 triệu USD) tương đương 0,71% tổng cung lưu hành, Áp lực Bán: TRUNG BÌNH 🟡

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🔭 TRIỂN VỌNG & SỰ KIỆN SẮP DIỄN RA

Thị trường bước vào tuần mới với hai lực tác động trái chiều.

Một mặt, hai tuần liên tiếp ghi nhận dòng tiền ETF chảy vào và hoạt động tích lũy của tổ chức ngày càng tăng đang tạo nền tảng tích cực.

Mặt khác, sự không chắc chắn liên quan đến đề xuất lệnh ngừng bắn kéo dài 10 ngày giữa Iran vẫn tiếp diễn, trong khi lệnh cấm điều hướng của lực lượng Houthi nhắm vào Saudi Arabia cho thấy căng thẳng địa chính trị tiếp tục mở rộng.

Trong bối cảnh này, khả năng của Bitcoin giữ vững trên mức hỗ trợ 64.000 USD vẫn là yếu tố then chốt. Nếu giá phá vỡ, có thể khiến vùng 62.000–63.000 USD lại bị đưa ra lần nữa.

Các sự kiện quan trọng cần theo dõi trong tuần này:

23/07 — Mở khóa dạng “vách” GRAM (~57,5M): Đợt mở khóa token lớn nhất trong tuần, có thể kéo theo tác động đến hệ sinh thái TON.

Cuối tháng 7 — Cửa sổ bỏ phiếu tại Thượng viện của Đạo luật CLARITY: Thị trường sẽ theo dõi chặt chẽ liệu có thể chốt được bảy phiếu Dân chủ còn lại hay không. Nếu thất bại, áp lực có thể lớn nhất lên XRP và toàn bộ lĩnh vực DeFi.

28/07 — Nâng cấp Ironwood của Zcash: Nâng cấp lớn về bảo mật và quyền riêng tư sau lỗ hổng Orchard.

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🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

Ethereum broke above the $ 1,820 resistance level, bringing the $2,500 technical target into focus. Expectations surrounding the Glamsterdam upgrade and continued $ETH accumulation by Bitmine remain key bullish drivers.

Ethereum ETFs attracted $84.42 million in inflows last week, outperforming Bitcoin ETFs on a relative basis.

$HYPE continues to hold above the $61.01 support level.

SUI recorded a meaningful increase in active addresses over the past seven days.

Zcash will activate its Ironwood upgrade on July 28 following the Orchard vulnerability.

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📋 KEY CRYPTO NEWS

The end of the two-month ETF outflow streak suggests institutional demand is beginning to stabilize. However, CoinDesk notes that the recent $273 million in inflows remains modest compared with the previous $ 8.26 billion in outflows.

Advisor-level purchases through BlackRock and Fidelity distribution networks indicate genuine institutional participation, although sustained momentum will be required to fully reverse previous selling pressure.

Another critical week has passed for the CLARITY Act. The July 17 hearing clarified lawmakers' positions, but seven Democratic votes are still needed, while the window for a Senate vote later this month continues to narrow.

S&P 500 derivative approvals on Hyperliquid represent another milestone in the integration of traditional finance and decentralized finance, although markets have not yet fully priced in its long-term significance.

Japan's decision to legally recognize cryptocurrencies as financial assets also strengthens the foundation for broader institutional adoption across Asia.

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🌐 TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES

Mediators proposed a 10-day ceasefire to revive the temporary Iran–U.S. agreement, according to a senior Iranian official. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi traveled to Pakistan for diplomatic talks.

Trump warned that Iran would "pay many times over" for any American soldier killed, indicating that military pressure and diplomatic efforts continue simultaneously.

The Houthis announced a "navigation ban" for Saudi Arabia in surrounding waters, expanding the conflict zone and increasing risks to Gulf energy shipping routes.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs closed the week ending July 18 with net inflows of $75.7 million, marking a second consecutive week of positive flows after the previous week's $197.4 million. The two-month, $ 8.26 billion outflow streak has ended, although the recovery remains modest.

Seven of eight market analysts expect Bitcoin to move higher this week, with price targets ranging between $61,000 and $70,000.

Tesla continues to accept Dogecoin payments for selected products, providing recurring media exposure for the $DOGE ecosystem.

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₿ BITCOIN

$BTC continues trading within a Fibonacci-based range between support at $62,067 and resistance at $ 67,065.

The $64,000 level remains the key short-term support. Holding above it would keep $65,500 and then $66,000 in focus.

Bitcoin ETFs attracted $273 million over the past two weeks. However, compared with the previous eight weeks' $ 8.26 billion in outflows, the recovery is not yet sufficient to confirm a structural trend reversal.

Chaikin Money Flow remains positive at 0.34, signaling continued buying pressure.

With ETF flows now estimated to explain roughly 45% of Bitcoin's weekly price movement, BlackRock's IBIT daily inflows remain a critical indicator.