🚨 FOMC SEPTEMBER: THE FED’S NEXT MOVE COULD SHAKE BTC, TECH & GOLD

The Fed is back in the spotlight, and this time the market is already leaning hawkish.

August core CPI came in at 0.3% MoM, above expectations, pushing the odds of a 25bp rate hike close to 90%.

My base case? A 25bp hike is increasingly likely. But the bigger question isn’t the first hike—it’s what comes after.

If this is a one-off move, markets could quickly shift back toward risk-on positioning.

But if the Fed signals more hikes ahead, the reaction could be much sharper:

₿ BTC: Higher yields and tighter liquidity could create short-term selling pressure. But if traders start pricing eventual easing again, BTC could rebound aggressively.

📉 Tech Stocks: Growth stocks are highly sensitive to higher discount rates, so another hawkish signal could pressure valuations, especially in high-multiple AI names.

🥇 Gold: Persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainty could keep gold supported, even as higher real yields create headwinds.

The real trade is not simply “hike = bearish.”

It’s about the Fed’s forward guidance.

I’m watching the statement, rate projections, and Chair’s tone more closely than the headline 25bp itself.

One hike could be noise.
A hiking cycle could change the entire market regime.

What’s your move—BTC, tech, or gold? 👀

#FedRateWatch

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