Bu shunchaki pasayish emas. Bu tuzoq zona. Sababi:
*1. Keskin qulashdan oldingi so‘nggi himoya* BTC $77,600 da, $75k qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasining ro‘parasida turibdi. Bu daraja allaqachon 3 marta sinovdan o‘tdi, har safar esa zaiflashib bormoqda. Agar $75k dan pastga tushsa, $72k gacha kuchli qo‘llab-quvvatlash yo‘q. Bu to‘g‘ridan-to‘g‘ri 6% pasayish degani.
*2. Soxta o‘sish = ayiq tuzog‘i* Narx $78.5k gacha ko‘tarilishga urindi, ammo darhol qaytarildi. Kitlar long pozitsiyalarni ovlamoqda. $78k da long ochgan ko‘plab treyderlar endi tuzoqda — agar ular pozitsiyalarini yopsalar, narx yanada keskin tushadi.
*3. $1.2B likvidatsiya xavfi* $75k dan sal pastroqda $1.2B dan ortiq long pozitsiyalar yig‘ilib qolgan. $75k dan pastga tushish = bir necha soat ichida zanjirli likvidatsiya va narxning $72k gacha tushishi + Qo‘rquv va ochko‘zlik indeksi 34 (Qo‘rquv).
$77k treyderlar uchun xavfli, ammo aqlli xaridorlar kuzatuv ro‘yxatini tuzishni boshlaydigan daraja. ---
$BTC Broke below $80k and is testing the major demand zone *$75k - $78k*. Daily chart is bearish - lower highs, lower lows. Holding this zone can give relief bounce to $78k-$80k, but to be bullish again it needs to reclaim $81k. c624
*Next catalysts to watch:* Binance reopening on Sunday, US Midterms Nov 3, and US Payrolls Nov 6. Pivot level for week is $75,718 - weekly close below exposes $72,956 c77f