$MAGMA Short Setup played out and price is now sitting near the 24h low.
Earlier we marked a short at 0.46715 after sellers rejected price from the highs. The target was 0.40920 and the stop loss was 0.51057. Price dropped from there and hit the target.
$MAGMA is now at 0.37027 and down 4.26% today. The 24h range is 0.36514 to 0.46000. Price is trading just under 0.37261 and the 24h low is only a small step below.
My own short from 0.41783 is at +138.95 USDT with +262.02% ROI on 20x cross.
If price keeps closing below 0.37261 a move to 0.36514 and then 0.36000 is likely.
A bounce can retest 0.37261 from below. Only a strong close back above it weakens the short idea and opens a move toward 0.40920.
Our last BTC call played out and price is now testing support.
Earlier $BTC was at 80667 and up 3.9% after breaking the falling trendline and bouncing from 76361. We said the Double Bottom neckline at 78400 to 78700 had broken and price was running into the R-OB zone at 81150 to 82000. We also said a rejection from R-OB could bring a retest of 78400 to 78700 and that losing it can send price back to 76361.
That is exactly what happened. Sellers rejected price at R-OB and the retest zone failed to hold. BTC dropped about 5% from our last update and is now at 76664 and down 5.09% today.
The 24h range is 76171 to 80962. Price is sitting right on the 76361 support and the 24h low shows it already dipped just under that level.
The Double Bottom idea has failed for now. 78400 to 78700 is no longer support. It is now resistance.
If a 1H candle closes below 76361 price can drop toward 75736 where the last sweep happened.
If support holds a bounce can retest 78400 to 78700 from below. A strong close above 78700 brings the bullish structure back and 80000 comes into play.
For now BTC stays weak below 78400. Support has not broken on a close yet. The next 1H closes around 76361 will decide the move.
SnEmroz
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Pasayuvchi
$BTC hozir 80,667 darajasida va bugun 3.9% ga oshdi.
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘ini yorib o‘tdi va 76361 dagi qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan keskin qaytdi. So‘nggi pasayish bu darajadan pastga, 75736 gacha tushdi, ammo xaridorlar narxni tezda qaytarishdi.
Grafikda Ikki tub shakli ko‘rinmoqda. Bo‘yin chizig‘i 78400–78700 atrofidagi OB zonasida joylashgan va narx allaqachon undan yuqoriga yorib o‘tgan.
Kuchli yashil shamlar bilan momentum o‘sish tomonga yo‘nalgan. Ammo narx hozir sotuvchilar avval faollik ko‘rsatgan 81150–82000 dagi R-OB zonasiga yaqinlashmoqda.
R-OB zonasidan narx allaqachon qaytdi va 78400–78700 dagi OB zonasini qayta sinab ko‘rishga urinmoqda. Bu narxdan taxminan 3% past.
Agar narx 78400 darajasidan pastga tushsa, 76361 gacha qaytib pasayishi mumkin.
Price made two tops at the 0.0381 liquidity zone and both got rejected with long upper wicks. The second push grabbed the stops above the first top and then sellers took control. Price is now sliding in lower highs and has left the zone. If it stays under 0.0375, a drop toward the demand zone near 0.0352 is likely. The neckline sits near 0.0345 to 0.0350, so a close under the demand zone would confirm the full pattern.
$TURTLE Congratulations to everyone who followed this setup.
Our bearish scenario played out as expected. The first two targets have been hit and price is now close to the third.
Price was rejected twice at the $0.0381 liquidity zone and sellers took control after that. The drop moved through $0.0360 and $0.0355 and price now sits at $0.03528.
$TURTLE near our final target at $0.03524.
That is about a 2.5% move from our entry at $0.03651.
Stay patient, protect your profit and stay alert for the next one.
Price made two tops at the 0.0381 liquidity zone and both got rejected with long upper wicks. The second push grabbed the stops above the first top and then sellers took control. Price is now sliding in lower highs and has left the zone. If it stays under 0.0375, a drop toward the demand zone near 0.0352 is likely. The neckline sits near 0.0345 to 0.0350, so a close under the demand zone would confirm the full pattern.
Price made two tops at the 0.0381 liquidity zone and both got rejected with long upper wicks. The second push grabbed the stops above the first top and then sellers took control. Price is now sliding in lower highs and has left the zone. If it stays under 0.0375, a drop toward the demand zone near 0.0352 is likely. The neckline sits near 0.0345 to 0.0350, so a close under the demand zone would confirm the full pattern.
Challenge trade completed. All three targets have been hit.
When BMT was pumping around 30%, most traders were looking for more upside. We went the other way with a short setup at $0.0302 because price had touched the PSH near $0.0322 and made a big rejection inside a liquidity zone.
Sellers took control after that. Price moved through $0.0290 and $0.0275 and then reached our final target at $0.02605.
That is about a 13.7% move from our entry.
Patience and a clear plan did the job. Stay careful, protect your profit and stay alert for the next setup.
$BTC hozir 80,667 darajasida va bugun 3.9% ga oshdi.
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘ini yorib o‘tdi va 76361 dagi qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan keskin qaytdi. So‘nggi pasayish bu darajadan pastga, 75736 gacha tushdi, ammo xaridorlar narxni tezda qaytarishdi.
Grafikda Ikki tub shakli ko‘rinmoqda. Bo‘yin chizig‘i 78400–78700 atrofidagi OB zonasida joylashgan va narx allaqachon undan yuqoriga yorib o‘tgan.
Kuchli yashil shamlar bilan momentum o‘sish tomonga yo‘nalgan. Ammo narx hozir sotuvchilar avval faollik ko‘rsatgan 81150–82000 dagi R-OB zonasiga yaqinlashmoqda.
R-OB zonasidan narx allaqachon qaytdi va 78400–78700 dagi OB zonasini qayta sinab ko‘rishga urinmoqda. Bu narxdan taxminan 3% past.
Agar narx 78400 darajasidan pastga tushsa, 76361 gacha qaytib pasayishi mumkin.
CAP keskin yuqoriga ko‘tarildi va hozir $0.0870–$0.0885 atrofidagi M-OB qarshilik zonasini sinab ko‘rmoqda. Bu hududda sotuvchilar faollashishi mumkin. Agar narx qaytsa va pasayish impulsi tiklansa, pastga yo‘nalishdagi maqsadlar $0.07766, $0.07439 va $0.06769 bo‘ladi. Stop-loss darajasidan yuqoriga ko‘tarilish bu rejani bekor qiladi.
🔶 Qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan pastga tushib, qayta ko‘tarilish
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘i bo‘ylab 124 cho‘qqisidan tushdi va 95–96.5 qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan pastga yorib o‘tdi. U 90.8 minimumigacha tushdi, ammo xaridorlar kuchli yashil sham bilan narxni tezda qaytarishdi. Hozir narx shu zonaning sal pastida turibdi, demak 95–96.5 birinchi to‘siq bo‘ladi. 4 soatlik sham shu darajadan yuqorida yopilsa, narx avval 99.5 atrofidagi pasayuvchi trend chizig‘iga, so‘ng 102.7 gacha ko‘tarilishi mumkin. Narx 90.18 dan pastga tushsa, bu savdo rejasi bekor bo‘ladi.
Narx ikkinchi foyda olish maqsadimiz — $0.04420 darajasiga yaqin ko‘tarilib, maqsadga deyarli yetdi. Hozir esa $0.04280 atrofidagi yangi qo‘llab-quvvatlash order blokini sinab ko‘rmoqda.
Umid qilamizki, bu qo‘llab-quvvatlash zonasi saqlanib qoladi va xaridorlarga narxni yakuniy foyda olish maqsadimiz tomon ko‘tarish uchun turtki beradi.
Keling, bu yerdagi reaksiyani kuzatamiz. To‘liq foyda olish maqsadi hali ham ko‘z oldimizda. 🔥
Narx ko‘tariluvchi kanal bo‘ylab yuqoriladi, so‘ng pasayuvchi kanal bo‘ylab tushdi va bayroq shaklini hosil qildi. Narx 0.0409 darajasigacha tushib ketdi, ammo xaridorlar uni uzun soyali sham bilan tezda qaytarib oldi. Endi narx yashil sham bilan bayroqning yuqori chegarasidan oshdi. Agar 0.0425 dan yuqorida ushlanib tursa, bayroq boshlangan 0.0448 darajasigacha yo‘l ochiladi. Narx 0.04113 dan pastga tushsa, bu savdo rejasi bekor bo‘ladi.
Narx tasodifiy harakatlanmaydi. U ko‘plab buyurtmalar kutib turgan joylar tomon harakatlanadi. Bu joylar likvidlik deb ataladi. Ularni ko‘rishni o‘rganganingizda, soxta yorib o‘tishlar tuzog‘iga tushmay qo‘yasiz va narx nega to‘satdan keskin ko‘tarilib, yana qaytishini tushuna boshlaysiz. Likvidlik nima? Likvidlik — bu bozorda kutib turgan buyurtmalar. Har bir stop-loss, har bir bajarilishini kutayotgan xarid yoki sotuv buyurtmasi hamda har bir yorib o‘tish buyurtmasi likvidlik hisoblanadi. Yirik treyderlarga katta pozitsiyalarini to‘ldirish uchun qarama-qarshi tomonda ko‘plab buyurtmalar kerak bo‘ladi. Shu sababli narx ko‘pincha buyurtmalar to‘planib turgan joyga boradi.
IDOL taxminan $0.02339 atrofida savdo qilmoqda, bu $0.022316 darajasidagi PDHdan biroz yuqori.
Dastlab narx xaridorlar uni $0.0245–$0.0255 atrofidagi order blokiga tomon ko‘tarishidan oldin PDHni qayta sinab ko‘rishi mumkin.
Agar momentum davom etsa, narx yaqindagi $0.027762 swing high darajasidan o‘tib, uning ustidagi likvidlikni yig‘ishi mumkin.
Ammo kuzatish kerak bo‘lgan kattaroq harakat — likvidlik yig‘ib olinganidan keyingi ehtimoliy rad etilish. Pasayish tendensiyasidagi burilish narxni $0.016107 darajasidagi PDL tomon yuborishi mumkin; $0.012383 darajasidagi RSL esa yanada pastroq maqsad bo‘lishi mumkin.
Asosiysi — narx RSH va order bloki atrofida qanday munosabat bildirishida. RSHdan yuqoriga kuchli yorib chiqish va shu darajadan yuqorida saqlanib qolish ushbu pasayish tendensiyasidagi burilish ssenariysini bekor qiladi.
IDOL keyingi pasayish harakatidan oldin yuqoridagi cho‘qqilarni supurib o‘tadimi?
$BMT ko‘tarilib borayotganida, hamma narx yanada yuqoriga chiqadi deb o‘yladi. Narx taxminan 30% ga oshdi va ko‘plab treyderlar tobora ko‘proq xarid qilishda davom etishdi.
Ammo biz short pozitsiya ochishni tavsiya qildik. Nega? Chunki narx allaqachon PSH — oldingi tebranish cho‘qqisi bo‘lgan, taxminan $0.0322 darajasiga yetib borib, u yerdan keskin qaytgan edi.
Bu hudud likvidlik zonasi sifatida ham belgilangan edi. Narx cho‘qqi ustidagi likvidlikni yig‘ib oldi va yirik o‘yinchilar undan short pozitsiya ochish hamda chakana treyderlarni bozordan siqib chiqarish uchun foydalangan bo‘lishi mumkin.
Hozir narx $0.0278 darajasida — $0.0302 dagi kirish narximizdan taxminan 8% past va ikkinchi maqsadimizga yetildi.
Mehr bilan, ehtiyotkor bo‘ling va keyingi savdo imkoniyatiga sergak turing.
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘ini yorib o‘tdi va 0.0205 atrofidagi S-OB qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan keskin ko‘tarildi — taxminan 45%. Hozir narx avval sotuvchilar faollik ko‘rsatgan OB zonasiga kirib bormoqda. So‘nggi soya PSH darajasidagi 0.0322 dan yuqoriga chiqib, qaytib tushdi — bu likvidlikni yig‘ib olishga o‘xshaydi. Bugungi 30% lik o‘sishdan keyin harakat haddan tashqari cho‘zilgan. Agar narx 0.0322 dan pastda qolsa, avval 0.0290, keyin esa 0.0275 gacha tushishi ehtimol. 4 soatlik sham 0.0331 dan yuqorida yopilsa, setup bekor bo‘ladi.
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘ini yorib o‘tdi va 0.0205 atrofidagi S-OB qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan keskin ko‘tarildi — taxminan 45%. Hozir narx avval sotuvchilar faollik ko‘rsatgan OB zonasiga kirib bormoqda. So‘nggi soya PSH darajasidagi 0.0322 dan yuqoriga chiqib, qaytib tushdi — bu likvidlikni yig‘ib olishga o‘xshaydi. Bugungi 30% lik o‘sishdan keyin harakat haddan tashqari cho‘zilgan. Agar narx 0.0322 dan pastda qolsa, avval 0.0290, keyin esa 0.0275 gacha tushishi ehtimol. 4 soatlik sham 0.0331 dan yuqorida yopilsa, setup bekor bo‘ladi.
🔶 PDL qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasini qayta egallash
Narx avvalgi kunning eng past darajasidan pastga tushib, $3.827–$3.844 qo‘llab-quvvatlash zonasiga qaytdi. Keskin pasayishdan so‘ng xaridorlar ushbu hududni himoya qilishga urinmoqda. Agar qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasi saqlanib, ko‘tarilish sur’ati kuchaysa, narx $4.040 gacha tiklanishi mumkin.
Narx pasayuvchi trend chizig‘ini yorib o‘tdi va 0.0205 atrofidagi S-OB qo‘llab-quvvatlash darajasidan keskin ko‘tarildi — taxminan 45%. Hozir narx avval sotuvchilar faollik ko‘rsatgan OB zonasiga kirib bormoqda. So‘nggi soya PSH darajasidagi 0.0322 dan yuqoriga chiqib, qaytib tushdi — bu likvidlikni yig‘ib olishga o‘xshaydi. Bugungi 30% lik o‘sishdan keyin harakat haddan tashqari cho‘zilgan. Agar narx 0.0322 dan pastda qolsa, avval 0.0290, keyin esa 0.0275 gacha tushishi ehtimol. 4 soatlik sham 0.0331 dan yuqorida yopilsa, setup bekor bo‘ladi.
$LIGHT Barcha foyda olish maqsadlariga erishildi ✅
Ayiqcha ssenariyimiz kutilganidek amalga oshdi. Uchala maqsadga ham erishildi.
LIGHT $0.2574 atrofidagi qarshilik zonasidan qaytdi va sotuvchilar narxni $0.2470 hamda $0.2414 darajalaridan pastga, so‘ng $0.2390 gacha tushirishdi. Bu pasayish avvalgi savdo rejamizda kuzatgan zaiflikni tasdiqladi.
Bu kirish narximiz — $0.2517 dan taxminan 5% ga siljishni anglatadi.
Savdo yakunlandi. Sabrli bo‘ling va keyingi aniq savdo imkoniyatini kuting.
SnEmroz
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Pasayuvchi
$LIGHT Qisqa pozitsiya rejasi, 1 soatlik grafik🔴
🔶 Ikki cho‘qqili M shaklidagi naqsh
Narx qarshilik zonasida 0.2574 atrofida ikki marta cho‘qqiga chiqdi va har ikkala safar ham pastga qaytdi. So‘nggi ko‘tarilishda narx yana shu hududga yetib bordi, ammo qizil sham hosil bo‘ldi va sotuvchilar yana nazoratni qo‘lga oldi. Bugungi tiklanish kuchsiz, narx qarshilik darajasidan pastda atigi 2% ko‘tarildi. Agar narx 0.2570 dan pastda qolsa, 0.2414 dagi qo‘llab-quvvatlash chizig‘igacha pasayishi ehtimol. 0.2414 dan pastdagi yopilish naqshni tasdiqlaydi va 0.2390 tomon yo‘l ochadi.
Narx ko‘tariluvchi kanal bo‘ylab yuqoriladi, so‘ng pasayuvchi kanal bo‘ylab tushdi va bayroq shaklini hosil qildi. Narx 0.0409 darajasigacha tushib ketdi, ammo xaridorlar uni uzun soyali sham bilan tezda qaytarib oldi. Endi narx yashil sham bilan bayroqning yuqori chegarasidan oshdi. Agar 0.0425 dan yuqorida ushlanib tursa, bayroq boshlangan 0.0448 darajasigacha yo‘l ochiladi. Narx 0.04113 dan pastga tushsa, bu savdo rejasi bekor bo‘ladi.