ScalpingX

US midterms add uncertainty for AI stocks

🗳️ Ahead of the November 3 election results, investors are watching Senate control. A Democratic sweep could increase tech scrutiny and complicate fiscal negotiations.

📊 S&P 500 options imply a ±0.8% move for November 4, above the ±0.6% daily average over the past month. Pricing suggests moderately higher volatility.

🤖 AI and data-center stocks could face further sentiment pressure from potential investigations, amid recent weakness in AI shares.

🏛️ However, President Trump’s veto limits the scope for major legislative changes. UBS does not expect the election outcome to derail data-center expansion.

🔎 Citi sees a Republican-held Senate as potentially supportive for stocks, while stronger-than-expected Democratic gains could weigh on equities. How results compare with expectations will be key.

#MarketInsights $XRP

$ARB – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~0.1591

🧭 The preferred scenario is a nearby downside long sweep first. The 0.1568–0.1586 cluster sits close to price, particularly near 0.1572. Cumulative short liquidation exposure is larger across the displayed range, but the strongest short band lies farther away at 0.166–0.1684.

🔻 Losing 0.1581 without a reclaim shifts attention to 0.1568–0.1575. Long liquidations there could amplify the decline; the reaction after the sweep will help assess continuation.

🎯 A further break below 0.1568 brings 0.1545–0.1555 into focus, followed by 0.149–0.152 farther down. Conversely, a downside sweep followed by a quick reclaim of 0.1581 would weaken the case for further declines. Above price, liquidation bars are relatively sparse at 0.160–0.162.

⚖️ A break and hold above 0.1625 shifts priority to short clusters at 0.163–0.1652, then 0.166–0.1684. This band contains several of the map’s largest bars. Holding above it would bring 0.169–0.1721 into focus; avoid chasing a major cluster sweep that quickly reverses.

#LiquidationMap

$HANA - Mcap 12.86M$ - 24h Sentiment -4.00 Bearish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + meets positive simplification with a previous Long order that delivered a very good return, the current support zone is approximately 1.49% wide. The current uptrend has lasted 1 hour and 43 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 7.83%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

$HUMA - Mcap 76.46M$ - 24h Sentiment -6.00 Bearish

SC02 M15 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 6.27% wide. The downtrend has lasted 1 day, 22 hours and 15 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline of 35.54%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is likely to reverse upward.

PBOC signals efforts to cool the yuan’s rally

🏦 On November 3, the PBOC announced an increase in the reserve requirement ratio for foreign-currency deposits from 4% to 6%, effective November 15. Its stated aim is to strengthen foreign-exchange liquidity management.

💱 Following the announcement, the onshore yuan weakened as much as 0.37% against the dollar, pushing USD/CNY to 6.6728. The offshore yuan also declined.

🌏 The move follows a gain of more than 5% in the yuan this year, supported by exports, trade surpluses and corporate conversions of foreign currency into yuan.

💵 The adjustment is estimated to lock up an additional $24 billion in the banking system, reducing available dollar liquidity and helping curb appreciation pressure.

🔎 The decision suggests the PBOC wants to manage the pace of appreciation, though it does not establish a trend reversal. Upcoming daily midpoint settings will offer further clues about policymakers’ stance.

#ForexInsights $CXMT

$XLM – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~0.1614

🧭 The preferred scenario is a nearby downside long sweep first. The 0.1602–0.1609 cluster sits close to price, particularly near 0.1604 and 0.1608. Cumulative short liquidation exposure is larger across the displayed range, but the strongest short band lies farther away at 0.1705–0.1765.

🔻 Losing 0.1609 without a reclaim shifts attention to 0.1602–0.1607. Long liquidations there could amplify the decline; the reaction after the sweep will help assess continuation.

🎯 A further break below 0.1602 brings 0.1587–0.1595 and 0.1558–0.1576 into focus. Conversely, a downside sweep followed by a quick reclaim of 0.1609 would weaken the case for further declines.

⚖️ A break and hold above 0.1623 shifts priority to short clusters at 0.1632–0.1658, then 0.1675–0.1687. Farther up, the dense 0.1705–0.1765 band contains large bars around 0.1723–0.1727 and 0.1747. Avoid chasing a major cluster sweep that quickly reverses.

#LiquidationMap

$BMT - Mcap 18.45M$ - 24h Sentiment -2.59 Bearish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 1.67% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours and 23 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 15.08%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

$UAI - Mcap 36.39M$ - 24h Sentiment -5.60 Bearish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 3.06% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours and 17 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 26.66%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

Apple beats earnings estimates as margin outlook weighs on shares

📊 Apple reported fiscal Q4 2026 revenue of $114.48 billion, up 12% year over year. EPS reached $2.10, beating the $1.99 forecast even after excluding the benefit from tariff refunds.

📱 iPhone revenue totaled $57.58 billion, above the $56.54 billion estimate. Demand for the iPhone 18 Pro and price increases helped partially offset higher memory costs.

⚠️ Apple expects holiday-quarter gross margin of 45–46%, compared with 47.9% in the quarter just reported. However, tariff refunds contributed approximately one percentage point to the reported margin.

☁️ Services revenue growth is projected at 8–9%, below expectations of 10.7%. With memory costs continuing to rise, Apple’s ability to protect profitability remains a key focus.

📉 Shares fell around 4% at one point in after-hours trading before paring losses. The reaction suggests the earnings beat was insufficient to offset concerns about the profit outlook.

#Apple $AAPLB

$AAPL – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~330.5

🧭 The preferred scenario is an upside short sweep, starting at 331–333, then 335–337. Short clusters appear in succession, while nearby long exposure below price is more scattered. Estimated cumulative short liquidation exposure is roughly $33 million across the displayed range, more than three times the long side.

🔺 A break and hold above 333 after the initial sweep shifts attention to 335–337, then 340–343. The large bar near 342.5 stands out; short liquidations there could amplify the advance.

🎯 Holding above 343 would bring clusters at 348–355 into focus next. Farther up, the dense 358–366 band is particularly prominent around 360–365. Beyond 372, bars become noticeably smaller and more scattered, making continuation worth reassessing after the main band is swept.

⚖️ Losing 329 without a reclaim would weaken the upside scenario and shift attention to long clusters at 327.5–328.5, then 322–325. The bar near 324 is the most prominent below price. Avoid chasing a sweep of 340–343 that quickly reverses below 340.

#LiquidationMap

$PIEVERSE - Mcap 341.86M$ - 24h Sentiment +5.33 Bullish

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 1.22% wide. The uptrend has lasted 6 hours and 2 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 11.36%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

$UVXYB

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 1.00% wide. The uptrend has lasted 8 hours and 20 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 6.47%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

TotalEnergies expands US renewables investment as some developers pull back

🏗️ TotalEnergies says US spending is slightly above its original plan because projects are larger than in Europe. The company is taking on additional projects, particularly wind.

🔄 Some developers are seeking exits amid concerns about market growth in 2028–2030. This creates opportunities for TotalEnergies to acquire projects under development and handle construction.

📉 The accelerated phaseout of US wind and solar tax credits is putting pressure on project timelines. Eligibility for incentives remains an important factor in investment returns.

⚡ CEO Patrick Pouyanné still sees the US market as promising. Other developers’ caution is creating opportunities for the group to expand its portfolio.

⚖️ The strategy could increase TotalEnergies’ scale, although returns will depend on acquisition prices, construction costs and demand for the electricity produced.

#EnergyInsights $CL $BZ

$ZRO – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~1.712

🧭 The preferred scenario is a downside long sweep. Long clusters are denser across 1.638–1.705, while short exposure above price consists mainly of scattered bars. Estimated cumulative long liquidation exposure is roughly $8 million across the displayed range, versus nearly $5 million on the short side.

🔻 Losing 1.700 without a reclaim shifts attention to 1.680–1.690. Long liquidations there could amplify the decline; the reaction after the sweep will help assess continuation.

🎯 A further break below 1.680 brings the dense 1.638–1.675 band into focus, particularly around 1.650–1.665. Conversely, a downside sweep followed by a quick reclaim of 1.700 would weaken the case for further declines.

⚖️ A break and hold above the short cluster near 1.730 would weaken the downside bias. Exposure farther up is relatively sparse until the prominent cluster at 1.800–1.805, followed by 1.838–1.845. Avoid chasing a sweep of 1.730 that quickly reverses below 1.712.

#LiquidationMap

$GPROB

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 2.03% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours and 7 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 17.92%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

$PUFFER - Mcap 16.11M$ - 24h Sentiment Neutral

SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 1.53% wide. The uptrend has lasted 3 hours and 48 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 10.24%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

Rising ammonia prices pressure US farming costs

📈 Midwest ammonia prices have reached around $875 per short ton, up nearly 46% since late June. The increase comes as autumn fertilizer demand remains strong.

🏭 US imports from Trinidad & Tobago have fallen about 34% this year amid natural gas shortages affecting production. Supplies from other regions have yet to fill the gap.

🚢 The US has expanded domestic production, but operational issues at some newer plants have limited replacement supply. Nutrien’s confirmation of an indefinite shutdown at its Trinidad facility also reduces prospects for a supply recovery.

🌾 Higher ammonia costs, alongside elevated diesel prices, are putting further pressure on farmers’ margins, particularly for nitrogen-intensive crops such as corn.

🔎 Replacement supply and seasonal demand will shape the next price moves. Higher input costs alone do not establish that crop prices will rise proportionately.

#Agriculture $TREE $GRASS

$QQQ – Liquidation Map (7 days) – Index ~684.8

🧭 The preferred scenario is a nearby downside long sweep first. Clusters at 678–684 sit close to price, while exposure above is relatively sparse between 688 and 701. Cumulative short liquidation exposure is larger across the displayed range, but the strongest short bands lie farther away at 710–734.

🔻 Losing 681.8 without a reclaim shifts attention to 676–680. Long liquidations there could amplify the decline; the reaction after the sweep will help assess continuation.

🎯 A further break below 676 brings dense clusters at 668–673, then 660–664 into focus. The map’s largest liquidation bar sits near 664. Conversely, a downside sweep followed by a quick reclaim of 681.8 would weaken the case for further declines.

⚖️ A break and hold above 703 shifts priority to short clusters around 703–708, then 710–719. Holding above 719 would bring 724–734 into focus, particularly near 726–727 and 732–733. Avoid chasing a major cluster sweep that quickly reverses.

#LiquidationMap

$SOXSB

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 2.75% wide. The uptrend has lasted 8 hours and 35 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase of 17.28%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.

$ACT - Mcap 8.14M$ - 24h Sentiment +2.94 Bullish

SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 0.77% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours, with the largest recorded price increase of 6.50%. If price breaks below this support zone, the trend is likely to reverse downward.