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GM. Will share my thoughts here as well other than on X, hope the algo and community is kind to me here!
GM.
Will share my thoughts here as well other than on X, hope the algo and community is kind to me here!
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USJulyJobsUnexpectedlyFall
22,568 views
514 Discussing
#usjulyjobsunexpectedlyfall — The Labor Market Just Gave the Fed a Curveball U.S. employers shed 23,000 jobs in July — the first monthly decline since February — versus +80K expected. And the revision knife cut deeper: May and June were revised down by a combined 103,000 jobs . Economists called it a "massive surprise." 🔍 What's underneath the surface Unemployment fell to 4.1% (from 4.2%) — but for the wrong reason: labor force participation kept sliding (61.4%), meaning fewer people are even looking for work. It's the lowest jobless rate in two years, yet it's a "soft" print, per Fed mouthpiece Nick Timiraos. The breakdown matters: private sector actually added +30K jobs; the entire net decline came from government (-53K, mostly local education seasonal noise). So this is cooling, not collapse (Viral Patel's breakdown — personal take, for reference only).Wages +3.2% y/y — still sticky enough to keep inflation fears alive. 💥 Market reaction — risk-on, not risk-off This is the interesting part: bad jobs = good markets (rate-hike hopes fade). 💥Bitcoin ($BTC ) climbed back above $65K 💥Nasdaq futures +0.79% , S&P +0.39%, Dow +0.27% 💥10Y Treasury yield down to 4.627% ; DXY slipped to 99.67 ; gold ($XAU ) spiked ~$40 to $4,351 💥September hike odds collapsed from 57% → 44% ⏭️ The real pivot: CPI on Aug 12 Timiraos' read: this report is "hard to decipher" — it reduces the urgency for a September hike, but inflation is now the key variable . One moderate CPI print and the Fed can comfortably hold; a hot one and the "no hike" trade unwinds fast. Bottom line for traders: cooling labor + falling rates expectations = tailwind for risk assets (BTC, gold, tech). But the whole narrative hinges on next week's CPI — stay nimble. Informational purposes only — not financial advice. $CL #SpaceXMarketCapTops$1.613TPassingMeta #USSolarStocksRisePremarket #AlphabetPlansToIssue$25BBonds #GoldBreaksOutFromJanuaryDowntrend
Rohan Kishibe
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AlphabetPlansToIssue$25BBonds
6,540 views
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SpaceXMarketCapTops$1.613TPassingMeta
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