Solana price remains under heavy pressure as bearish structure persists, with repeated tests of $117 support increasing the risk of a capitulation-style breakdown.
Summary Solana continues to print lower highs and lower lows. $117 high-time-frame support has been tested multiple times. Lack of bullish volume raises capitulation risk below support. Solana ($SOL ) price action continues to deteriorate, with the broader market structure remains firmly bearish. Despite brief relief rallies, $SOL has consistently failed to regain upside traction, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend.
With price now rotating back toward high-time-frame support at $117, market participants are closely watching this level for signs of either stabilization or failure. Given the lack of bullish participation and the persistence of lower highs, the risk of a capitulation move below support is increasing.
Solana price key technical points Bearish market structure intact: Consecutive lower highs and lower lows persist. $117 support under repeated pressure: Multiple tests weaken the level. Lack of bullish volume: Downside risk remains elevated $SOL #solana #Write2Earn
Kalshi Traders are Bearish on Bitcoin, Will BTC Price Stand the Test?
Kalshi traders expect Bitcoin to go as low as $64,000 this year.
$BTC price is currently down by 1.74% over the last 24 hours.
Probable influential factors are Gold and Silver emerging as better alternatives, among others.
Kalshi traders have expressed a bearish sentiment towards Bitcoin, stating that $BTC price could go lower by the end of this year, that is, 2026. This comes at a time when the flagship cryptocurrency has been trading below $90k for some time now. It remains to be seen if $BTC stands to the test or if it succumbs to several influential factors.
Kalshi Traders on Bitcoin
According to a post by Kalshi Ecosystem and as highlighted by a notable crypto analyst, Ted Pillows, Bitcoin is forecasted to go as low as $64,000 in 2026. A few crypto enthusiasts have said that $BTC may even stoop to around $60,000 if the macro worsens.
Interestingly, Kalshi Ecosystem just reported that Metaplanet has raised approximately $137 million. Funds are expected to be utilized to buy more $BTC. This is a sentiment that aligns across the crypto community. Members have expressed their intent to buy the token if the value worsens – signaling that they would buy the dip in speculation for an eventual bull run.
$BTC Price Now and Later
$BTC price is currently swinging around $88,000. The token is trading at $87,675.67 when the article is being drafted. This is after a 24-hour decline of 1.74% and a weekly plunge of 2.39%. The current value of Bitcoin tokens is just 30.45% down from the ATH of $126,198.07, as recorded on October 07, 2025.
A monthly surge of 17.43% is on the books according to $BTC price prediction. That would take the value to $103,687 amid a medium volatility of 2.76%. The 14-Day RSI remains neutral with 45.67 points. The token is testing critical support levels of $88,602 and $87,018. It is also testing critical resistance levels of $90,186 and $91,771.
What Will Test $BTC Price?
Several factors can test $BTC price in the times to come; however, Gold & Silver and Trump’s international policies are likely to dominate. Gold recently reached a record high of $5,591.61 per ounce. Silver also noted a value of $117.42 per ounce after it briefly recorded a peak of $120.45. This is making Gold and Silver a safe haven for investors who want to avoid volatility at the moment.
Trump’s policies could also set a pattern for $BTC. In the latest scenario, as reported by Reuters, US President Donald Trump is considering options against Iran. This includes taking targets like leaders and security forces who were involved in the crackdown. The move could further escalate uncertainty worldwide to affect not just $BTC or the crypto market, but every other macro perspective #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn #Bullish
Federal appeals court upholds judgment for Ripple in $XRP class action
A class action lawsuit challenging Ripple Labs’ sale of $XRP tokens as unregistered securities will not proceed after the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals this week upheld a lower court’s dismissal of the case. The court’s decision was first reported by Law360.
Filed in 2018, the lawsuit claims that Ripple Labs unlawfully sold $XRP tokens as unregistered securities. Lead plaintiff Bradley Sostack argued that Ripple’s sales activity, including a large distribution of tokens in 2017, breached the Securities Act of 1933.
The case was dismissed in June 2024 when Judge Phyllis Hamilton found the claims untimely under federal law. The court said that $XRP was first offered to the public in 2013, triggering a three-year deadline that expired well before Sostack filed his suit.
The court also found that the 2017 $XRP release did not constitute a separate offering, so it did not extend the time limit for filing.
Sostack filed the notice of appeal in January 2025, seeking to overturn the district court’s summary judgment dismissal of class claims.
On appeal, the Ninth Circuit affirmed the lower court’s dismissal, agreeing that no material facts existed to challenge the statute of repose. The court rejected arguments that the later $XRP distribution created a new offering or that the “economic reality” of $XRP should change the timeline.
As a result, Sostack’s federal securities claims are time-barred, and Ripple’s early legal win is fully affirmed
Binance Wallet Extension launches support for TON network tokens and apps🚨🤔⏰️
$BNB Binance Wallet Extension started support for $TON network. The wallet hub will carry all $TON tokens and apps, with additional developer tools for integration.
Binance Wallet Extension became a gateway to the $TON network after adding developer and end-user support. Until recently, $TON was mostly accessible for native wallets such as Telegram Wallet, as well as independent apps Tonkeeper and MyTonWallet.
While Telegram is a wide-reaching chat app, the $TON network remains relatively isolated in the trading and access ecosystem. Binance Wallet may bring a new wave of users through its updated versions.
Binance Wallet Extension launches $TON update For browser users of Binance Wallet, $TON access will be available after a manual upgrade, in case the automatic upgrade does not work. Binance’s team urged users to check for the inclusion of the new network.
The inclusion of $TON does not guarantee the safety of apps or tokens. Binance Wallet only works as a self-custody tool and a gateway to third-party apps. The wallet activities are not regulated or supervised by any authority, and the $TON chain is rarely tracked for scams or exploits.
For now, Binance Wallet remains one of the few mainstream tools to access the $TON chain. The wallet reports more than 71,000 daily active users, with over 300M users in the Binance ecosystem.
For now, Binance Wallet is mostly used for BNB swaps, with smaller usage on Arbitrum, Ethereum, and Polygon. $TON may start out as a niche chain, as its DeFi and token liquidity are limited. Binance Wallet is also used to swap tokens through its most active chains, and may boost decentralized trading on $TON.
As Cryptopolitan reported, Telegram and the $TON Chain seek to gain influence on the US market. $TON aims to tap into US tokenized stocks and stablecoin transfers.
$TON Chain mostly relies on GameFi $TON Chain liquidity remains relatively low, at around $76M locked in decentralized apps. The chain carries nearly $1B in stablecoins in its native $TON Chain version.
The chain carries DeFi lending and DEXs, but at a smaller scale compared to major networks. One of the growing fields on the $TON Chain is GameFi, based on apps spreading across Telegram communities
TON Chain relies on GameFi and Telegram apps for some of its activities, with a constant user growth in the past year. | Source: Dune Analytics As of January, $TON Chain carried 6.3M users in its GameFi apps. Gamified trading and tokenized games remain active, although closed into their own ecosystem. Older games like Hamster Kombat and MemeFi are still active in their groups.
Despite the activity, $TON trades near its lower range at $1.53. The token has been sliding for the past year, despite the chain’s influence and the growth of Telegram
Ethereum retakes $3,000 as whales buy and Fed decision looms
Ethereum [$ETH ] has surged back above the pivotal $3,000, with bulls retesting the threshold amid a broader cryptocurrency rally.
This comes amid anticipation around the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision.
Notably, the top altcoin’s price climbed as Bitcoin powered to above $89,000, likely capitalizing on a weakening US dollar that bolstered risk assets across markets.
Solana, BNB, and XRP, among other leading altcoins, also registered modest advances.
$ETH retests $3,000 level Copy link to section
Ethereum’s price surged by 4.1% in the last 24 hours to $3,020, at the time of writing.
While the uptick is a boost to buyers, the gains remain tempered as investor caution dominates ahead of the Fed’s policy decision.
Analysts say upbeat traders may be keen on clearer signals from the US central bank.
That’s specifically around whether the Fed takes the route of a widely anticipated pause in rate hikes, which will solidify the recent momentum in risk assets.
On the flip side, hawkish commentary on inflation and future policy could trigger a pullback.
As noted, Ethereum’s uptick aligned with Bitcoin climbing to $89k and strength in global equities.
The Asian markets saw major indices notch gains amid a softer dollar environment. In recent weeks, US dollar weakness has propelled rallies in traditional safe havens like gold and silver.
Analysts say crypto and stocks are playing catch-up.
Ether’s active wallet count explodes Copy link to section
Network growth remains at the center of Ethereum’s underlying strength, with key upgrades and traction for aspects such as tokenization boosting overall sentiment.
Amid this trend, on-chain data shows the network’s count of non-empty wallets has surged to over 175.5 million, eclipsing levels set by any other cryptocurrency.
On-chain data and analytics platform Santiment notes that the milestone highlights robust on-chain activity, driven largely by sustained interest in staking.
“As staking continues to be of strong interest, especially while markets move sideways, exchange supply will continue to shrink as well,” Santiment posted on X.
Whales increase exposure after ERC-8004 launch Copy link to section
Ethereum has drawn fresh market attention following the introduction of ERC-8004, a new AI-oriented standard designed to provide autonomous on-chain agents with identity, reputation, and validation capabilities.
Large Ethereum holders boosted their positions in the wake of the announcement, with whale balances rising from 104.18 million $ETH to 104.61 million $ETH .
The increase of roughly 430,000 ETH represents about $1.3 billion in accumulation at prevailing market prices.
Ethereum price prediction Copy link to section
As more users lock up ETH to earn yields, exchange balances will shrink, and sell-side pressure reduce.
The outlook positions Ethereum for a potential supply squeeze amid fresh demand.
Bullish sentiment across the broader market could also be a factor, with a Fed pause likely to catalyze gains.
Ethereum price chart by TradingView If ETH strengthens above $3,000, the next key upside target lies around $3,500, where prior resistance clusters align.
That said, the possibility of range-bound action below $3,000 remains, particularly if macroeconomic cues disappoint.
Draft Proposal for Publication (Educational/Analytical) Headline: 🛡️ Waiting for a "Black Swan" or Crafting Your Own Strategy? Post Content: Traders often link political tensions (like the #USIranStandoff) to an imminent market crash. However, the reality is that markets have usually "priced in" these events long before they hit the headlines. Why is the "Black Swan Crash" often a myth? Desensitization: Traders grow accustomed to repetitive news cycles, which diminishes the "shock factor." Hedging: Major institutional players secure their portfolios before the event occurs, not after. Liquidity Shifts: During crises, capital seeks safe havens—and increasingly, crypto is becoming that destination. My advice to you: Don't trade based on the fear of an event that hasn't happened. Instead, trade based on a risk management strategy that protects you if it does. Join the Conversation: Do you think current tensions will act as a catalyst for a market surge or a correction? Let’s discuss below. 👇 $BTC $BNB $
China Bitcoin Holdings Near U.S. Record Despite Crypto Ban
China may soon overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest Bitcoin holder. Even though the country has been following a nationwide crypto ban since 2021. Recent reports estimate China’s government holdings at around 194,000 BTC from the 2019 PlusToken seizure. This number puts it just 4,000 BTC short of the U.S.’s 198,000 BTC. Although some sources estimate U.S. holdings to be as high as 328,000 BTC.
⚡️UPDATE: China is on the verge of flipping the U.S. as the top Bitcoin holder, despite maintaining a nationwide crypto ban.
A Strategic Reserve in the Shadows China’s Bitcoin accumulation shows an interesting contrast between public policy and state actions. While the country has strict crypto regulations, its government seems to quietly hold a huge amount of BTC. Experts suggest these holdings act as a strategic reserve asset, similar to gold or foreign currency reserves.
“This shows that Bitcoin appeals to governments as a store of value,” said one analyst. “Even with bans in place, the asset remains attractive at a state level $BTC #BTC #UpdateBTC #Write2Earn #StrategyBTCPurchase
Gold Hits $5,000 for First Time — Three Risks Behind the Panic
Gold broke through $5,000 per ounce for the first time in history. Prices have climbed more than $650 in January alone. Last week’s 8.5% gain marked the largest weekly increase ever in dollar terms. It was also the biggest percentage rise since the Covid pandemic panic in March 2020. Silver also topped $100 per ounce, up 44% this year.
The flight to safe havens comes as markets brace for a triple threat: US-Canada-China tariff escalation, potential yen intervention, and rising odds of a US government shutdown.
Gold Rally Reflects Eroding Trust TD Securities strategist Daniel Ghali told the Wall Street Journal that the gold rally is tied to questions of trust in the global financial system. Trust has been shaken but not broken, he noted, adding that if it does break, the upward momentum could persist much longer.
Multiple factors are driving gold’s surge. The dollar has weakened amid Trump’s intervention in Venezuela, pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and tariff threats over Greenland. Fed rate cuts have reduced yields on Treasuries and money-market funds, lowering gold’s opportunity cost.
China has been buying gold for 14 consecutive months, and Poland’s central bank recently approved a major purchase. Cyclically adjusted P/E ratios show stock valuations at their highest since the dot-com bubble in 2000. Investors are turning to alternative assets.
Three Risks Markets Are Watching Beyond the flight to gold, three specific catalysts are driving investor anxiety this week.
US-Canada-China Tariff Clash President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Canada if it proceeds with a free trade agreement with China. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney immediately pushed back, stating there are no plans for an FTA with China.
“Under the free trade agreement with the US and Mexico, there are commitments not to pursue free trade agreements with nonmarket economies without prior notification,” Carney said. “We have no intention of doing that with China or any other nonmarket economy #Write2Earn #BinanceSquare #BinanceSquareFamily #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
The Great Divergence: Gold at $5,000 vs. Bitcoin at $87K — Is the "Digital Gold" Narrative Over? 📉🌕 The markets are witnessing a historic "Regime Shift." For the first time in years, we are seeing a massive decoupling between traditional safe havens and the crypto market. The Current Snapshot: Gold ($XAU): Surging past $5,000, driven by geopolitical tensions, tariff threats, and central bank accumulation. It has gained nearly 17% just this month! 🚀 Bitcoin ($BTC): Struggling to hold $87,000, with heavy sell pressure as short-term holders exit at a loss and capital rotates back into "Risk-Off" assets. 📉 Why is this happening? 🧐 The Safe-Haven Flight: Amid global uncertainty and potential US budget freezes, institutions are choosing the 5,000-year-old reliability of Gold over the volatility of the "Digital Gold." Liquidity Drain: Prediction markets show traders betting on Gold hitting $5,500 by mid-year, leaving BTC in a consolidation phase. The Yield Gap: With the Fed expected to hold rates steady, the "Smart Money" is playing it safe while waiting for a clear bullish catalyst for Crypto. The Alpha Insight: 💡 Historically, Bitcoin is a "Fast Horse." While it's currently underperforming Gold, these periods of divergence often lead to explosive "catch-up" rallies. The BTC/Gold ratio is at multi-year lows—technically, Bitcoin is oversold compared to Gold. The Big Question: Are we witnessing the death of the "Digital Gold" thesis, or is this the ultimate "Buy the Dip" opportunity before BTC targets $120K? What’s your move? 🟡 Sticking with Gold? ₿ Buying the BTC blood? Let me know in the comments! #bitcoin #BTCVSGOLD #MarketAnalysis #BinanceSquare #Crypto2026