Crypto Web3 Today

📉 Bitcoin may show its worst first quarter since 2018.

Since the beginning of the year, BTC has already fallen by 22% (from $87k to $68k). If the trend continues, this will be the weakest first quarter in the last 8 years.

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

📊 Analysis: BTC 1D

BTC – Daily Timeframe Update ✔️

Bitcoin is currently ranging between $66,500 support and $71,000 resistance 🕯
A confirmed breakout from either side will likely define the next major directional move 💻

🔴 Major Resistances:
• $83,700 – $84,700
• $88,600 – $90,600

🟢 Major Supports:
• $52,400 – $50,400
• $43,800 – $38,500

↗️ Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and holds above $71,000, momentum can expand toward the first major resistance zone around $83,700.
That area becomes a key decision point, watch for continuation setups or partial profit management.

📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC loses the $66,500 support, a deeper correction toward the $50,000 zone becomes highly probable.
That region is a strong higher-timeframe demand area and could offer a solid re-accumulation opportunity.

$BTC

With each correction cycle, BTC becomes increasingly "smaller."

$BTC

💰 XRP/USDT

The price of XRP may begin a new phase of growth after accumulating liquidity in the $1.39–$1.36 zone. If the price successfully holds this zone and forms an upward structure, we will then see growth with the goal of reaching the current maximum.

$XRP

💥BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Fed will inject another $16,000,000,000 into the economy this week.

Worth noting this isn’t outright stimulus, it’s short-term bill purchases / liquidity ops to smooth funding markets.
But functionally, it does add reserves and ease conditions at the margin.
Looser liquidity → risk assets breathe easier.

Yeah it's real NY Fed doing ~$8B T-bill buys on around Feb 17 and probably another ~$8B shortly after as part of the ongoing ~$40B/month reserve management purchases. Not surprise QE, but still net liquidity add → mildly bullish for risk (BTC included). 🚀 Just the usual technical plumbing until mid-April.

$INIT
$UMA
$PROM

$SPY $QQQ High short interest ≠ automatic squeeze. You need a CATALYST to force covering.

- $XLK at 1.8% is elevated BUT still tiny compared to meme stock squeezes (GME hit 140%)
- $IGV at 19% is legitimately high — THIS is where squeeze potential lives
- $MSFT/$CRM levels are notable but not explosive

What creates the squeeze:
1. Unexpected positive catalyst (earnings beat, Fed pivot, China trade deal)
2. Shorts capitulate simultaneously
3. Low liquidity amplifies the move

The problem: shorts are here for a REASON — tech valuations are stretched, growth is slowing, and AI spend ROI is getting questioned.

A squeeze needs fuel. Watch for:
- Mega-cap tech earnings surprises
- Macro relief (Fed cuts, recession fears fade)
- Short covering volume spikes

Without a trigger, high short interest just means... people are short.

$AMZN
$GOOGL $META $TSLA
$AVGO $MU

Consumer Staples stocks are thriving:

The S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector is up +17% in 5 weeks, its best performance since the 2020 pandemic recovery.

Only 4 other 5-week runs have been stronger since 1990, including February 1991, November 1998, April 2000, and April 2020.

This comes as investors bought a record +$3.6 billion in consumer staples stocks and ETFs over the last 4 weeks.

This brings the 4-week average of net purchases to +$912 million, an all-time high.

By comparison, average over the previous 52-weeks was just +$7 million.

Investors are piling into defensive stocks at a record pace.

$UMA
$PROM
$MUBARAK

💰 Why does a true Bitcoin bottom take time to form?

~9.31M $BTC — ≈46% of circulating supply — is sitting above the current price.

A large share of holders are waiting to sell at breakeven or a small profit.

That overhead supply must be absorbed and redistributed to stronger hands before a durable bottom can emerge.

$BTC

💰 ENA/USDT

↗️ The ENA price has reached a major OB 4h zone between $0.1150 and $0.1200. If the price can hold this zone, then the upward movement will continue. The main target for growth is liquidity at previous highs above $0.1430.

$ENA

Over $130 Million Worth of Tokens to Be Unlocked This Week.

According to DefiLlama data, over $130 million worth of tokens will be unlocked this week.

📌 The largest unlock will be for TON, valued at approximately $53.27 million, on February 21st.

📊 Unlocks can increase the market supply and cause volatility if there is a direct sell-off.

$TON

📊 The US stock market has never been this expensive.

The gap between stock prices and the actual money supply (M2) has reached a record high of 270%.

• Currently 120 points higher than in 2022.

• 40 points higher than the peak of the dot-com bubble.

• 75 points higher than the level of the 2008 financial crisis.

While the UK and France are at around 60% (and below their pre-COVID peaks), the US market is defying gravity. Even Japan has only just returned to the 1990s levels.

The market isn't just ahead of liquidity… it's completely detached from reality.

$NIL
$ALPINE
$ATM

Fun fact:

The US government is offering voluntary donations to help pay off its $38 trillion debt.

$INIT
$MUBARAK
$ALPINE

🤝 It's easy in 2026 to look back at the NFT trend and say it was stupid

But it was also easy in 2021 to look at it and say it was stupid.

$INIT
$NIL
$ALPINE

📊 Key Market Developments and Geopolitical Tensions:

🔸 Washington Considers Supporting Israeli Action Against Tehran if Negotiations Fail

🔸 Second Sanctioned Iranian Oil Tanker Intercepted

🔸 Global Stocks Flooded by Anxiety as Bets Rise on the Impact of Agent AI on Entire Sectors

🟣 US Markets Agenda:

🔸 Week Begins with a Holiday in the US

🔸 Trading Resumes Tuesday with Key Data That Could Strongly Move Markets

🟢 Currency Movements:

🔸 Dollar Moves Cautiously Despite Support from Low Inflation Data

🔸 Euro Continues to Fall for the Fifth Day as Demand for the Dollar Rises.

$INIT
$MUBARAK
$ATM

💰 Michael Saylor hints at buying more Bitcoins.

$BTC
$INIT
$MUBARAK

#MicroStrategy"
#MichaelSaylor
#MicroStrategy
#BTC

🌍💰 Countries with no taxes on Bitcoin earnings:

🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
🇨🇾 Cyprus
🇵🇹 Portugal
🇵🇦 Panama
🇸🇬 Singapore
🇲🇹 Malta
🇧🇧 Barbados
🇧🇲 Bermuda
🇰🇾 Cayman Islands
🇭🇰 Hong Kong
🇲🇺 Mauritius
🇻🇺 Vanuatu
🇬🇮 Gibraltar
🇱🇮 Liechtenstein
🇸🇰 Slovenia
🇨🇭 Switzerland
🇺🇾 Uruguay
🇸🇻 El Salvador
🇵🇷 Puerto Rico

The regulatory environment has become a crucial factor in attracting [Bitcoin/Markets/Economic ... Cryptocurrency investors 🌐🔥

$BTC
$INIT
$ALPINE

This chart explains the entire market right now.

BTC.D is sitting near major resistance around ~51–52%.

Strong uptrend since late 2025 → consistent higher highs and higher lows.

This means capital has been rotating into Bitcoin and away from alts.

Implication:

As long as BTC.D stays elevated, altcoins will continue to underperform.

Real altseason only begins when BTC.D rejects and trends down.

Right now: Bitcoin is still the safer asset in the market’s eyes.

$BTC

🚨 KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK

• Monday: U.S. markets closed for Presidents Day.

• Wednesday: December Durable Goods Orders data + FOMC Meeting Minutes release.

• Friday: December PCE Inflation numbers + 15% of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings.

Expect big volatility!

$INIT
$ATM
$DYM

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 90.2%.

February 16 - According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 25 basis points before March is 9.8%, and the probability of keeping them unchanged is 90.2%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points before April is 26.4%, the probability of keeping them unchanged is 71.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by a total of 50 basis points is 2.0%. The probability of cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points before June is 51.8%.

$INIT
$ATM
$DYM

#Gold 60 Min Structure Analysis.

📈Current Structure Breakdown

Price is now consolidating between a small range trading zone 4,965 -5,045

This is a classic accumulation.

Key Liquidity & Reaction Zones
🔴 Resistance / Liquidity Above
If the price manages to break above 5045 it will rise and the first and the strongest zone will be found at 5110. This is a strong liquidity zone that will show also the next price direction.

A break through 5110 should confirm a bigger bullish wave with targets:
5,179 → 5,245 → 5,305 → 5,371 → 5,424
These are areas from where the price can move down again.

🟢 Support Levels Below
If the price breaks below 4,965 Immediate intraday support will be found as below:
4,878.500 – Reaction demand
4,794.311 – Structure zone
4,683.597 – Structure zone

You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck!

#XAUUSD

$XAU