Michael Saylor has spent nearly $50 billion over the last 5 years buying Bitcoin, and now he’s sitting underwater.
Adjusted for inflation, he’s down around $10 billion.
The bigger issue is that a large part of these BTC purchases were made using borrowed money and that debt has to be paid back. This is where things can get very messy, very fast.
I talked about this more than a month ago and warned about the risks. People like this create centralization, which goes against Bitcoin’s original purpose.
When leverage and concentration build up too much, the system becomes fragile.
I’ll keep you updated over the next few months.
And when I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll say it here publicly.
A lot of people are going to regret ignoring these warnings.
$STABLE /USDT Perp (4H) just bounced from 0.01544 and ran back to ~0.0214… but now it’s hitting the real wall: 0.0221–0.0226 (24H high + MA99 ~0.02263).
This zone decides everything.
Instant trade map (simple)
✅ Long only if: 4H close above 0.0226 (hold it) 🎯 Targets: 0.0259 → 0.0297 ❌ Invalidation: back below 0.0210
❌ Short if: rejection at 0.0221–0.0226 + lose 0.0210 🎯 Targets: 0.0195 (MA7) → 0.0182 (MA25) → 0.0176 (24H low)
Perp = wicks. Don’t chase the candle. Let it confirm.
$POWER /USDT Perp (4H) just went parabolic from the base and now it’s hovering near the top. Price is sitting around 0.269 and the real wall is 0.278–0.283 (24H high zone).
This is where they either breakout… or dump into FOMO.
Instant trade map (easy)
✅ Long only if: break + 4H close above 0.278 🎯 Targets: 0.283, then 0.30 (psych level) ❌ Invalidation: lose 0.259–0.260
❌ Short if: rejection at 0.278–0.283 + lose 0.259–0.260 🎯 Targets: 0.245 (MA7) → 0.217 (MA25)
Perp = wicks. Don’t chase the candle. Let it confirm.
$DUSK /USDT pullback is starting to look heavy again and that last pop got sold into fast.
Short Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.1045 – 0.1085
Stop Loss: 0.1135
Targets:
TP1: 0.0995
TP2: 0.0945
TP3: 0.0885
The bounce attempt into the 0.108 area didn’t hold, and price is slipping back under the fast MA with the 99MA still overhead (around ~0.12). Higher pushes are getting rejected quicker, and the drop candles are moving cleaner than the bounce candles usually a sign sellers are in control. If 0.10 starts to crack, continuation lower becomes the higher-probability path.
$ACA /USDT spike into the downtrend line got rejected hard and the follow-through isn’t sticking. Buyers pushed it up, but they’re not defending the move each pop is getting sold back down and price is slipping under the short MAs again.
Short Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.00435 – 0.00465
Stop Loss: 0.00525
Targets:
TP1: 0.00395
TP2: 0.00335
TP3: 0.00290
Price is still capped under the descending trendline + the 99MA area (~0.0052), and the latest impulse failed to hold above the local breakout. Last 4H candle closed back weak near 0.0042 after opening 0.0045 — that’s sellers absorbing strength. If 0.0040/0.0039 (25MA zone) cracks cleanly, downside continuation should open up fast toward 0.0033 then the 0.0029 swing low.
Extra note: chart shows a delisting notice expect higher volatility and nasty wicks. Not financial advice.
$YALA /USDT Perp (4H) just flipped from a long bleed into a sharp reversal. The bottom was 0.0042… now price is ~0.0109.
But don’t celebrate yet: The price is running into the real wall → 0.0117–0.0125 (24H high + MA99 ~0.0125). That zone decides if this is a breakout… or a trap.
Instant trade map (simple)
✅ Long only if: 4H close above 0.0125 🎯 Targets: 0.016 → 0.0188 ❌ Invalidation: back below 0.0100 (momentum dies)
❌ Short if: rejection at 0.0117–0.0125 + lose 0.0100 🎯 Targets: 0.00876 (MA7) → 0.00744 (24H low)
$GPS /USDT (4H) is in a clean trend reversal + breakout.
It based at 0.00611, started printing higher lows, reclaimed the averages… and now it’s pushing 0.01229 with the 24H high at 0.01234.
But don’t get it twisted:
when price sits at the daily high, this is where they wick both sides to farm FOMO.
Levels that matter (from your chart)
Resistance (decision zone):
0.01234 = 24H high / current wall
If it breaks and holds → you’re in price discovery
Support (where the move stays alive):
0.01180 = last pullback low 0.01077 (MA7) = first real support 0.00983 (MA25) = line in the sand 0.00935 = 24H low (if this breaks, momentum dies) 0.00812 (MA99) = deeper reset level This is bullish as long as it holds above 0.0107–0.0098.
BTC Didn’t Crash From Panic It Got Hit By Multi-Asset Fund De-Grossing
Listen everyone Feb 5 wasn’t a “crypto panic.” It was TradFi deleveraging. Bitwise advisor Jeff Park says the Feb 5 crypto selloff wasn’t driven by crypto-native fear. It was a multi-asset portfolio deleveraging event — the kind where funds cut risk everywhere, and crypto gets hit like a high-beta asset. This is why the move felt so violent and “indiscriminate.” What actually caused the bloodbath According to Park, a big driver was pod shops and multi-strategy funds de-grossing across portfolios. When risk managers hit the brakes, these funds don’t sell “just one thing.” They cut exposure across the board fast. Goldman Sachs’ prime brokerage desk reportedly flagged Feb 4 as one of the worst daily performances for multi-strategy funds, with a z-score of 3.5 a rare outcome that suggests serious stress inside systematic and multi-asset positioning. The CME basis trade unwind was a major accelerant Park pointed to the CME basis trade as a key mechanism behind the sell pressure. The near-dated basis reportedly jumped from ~3.3% (Feb 5) to ~9% (Feb 6) one of the biggest moves since ETFs launched. When that trade unwinds, it can force funds to sell spot and buy futures at scale, creating sharp downside pressure even if “retail sentiment” isn’t the core problem. He also noted the catalyst likely started in software equity selloffs, not crypto-specific headlines which lines up with the idea that BTC has been trading more like a risk asset inside multi-asset books. Why it dumped hard even with ETF inflows Here’s the part most people miss: BTC fell ~13.2%, but IBIT still recorded strong activity, including ~$10B in trading volume (a reported record) and ~$230M in net creations, adding around 6M shares. Total ETF inflows reportedly stayed above $300M. So the tape looked like “crypto is dead,” but under the hood, this was more about forced positioning unwind than “everyone suddenly hates Bitcoin.” Options and structured products made it worse Park also highlighted how structured products and options dealer positioning can turn a drop into a waterfall. Barrier-style structures (like knock-in features) can trigger accelerated hedging once price hits certain zones. At the same time, weeks of put activity meant many dealers were positioned short gamma — which forces them to hedge in a way that adds fuel to the downside as price falls. That’s how you get a dump that feels mechanical: not emotional, just flows. Bottom line Feb 5 looked like a crypto crash, but the explanation is simpler: TradFi de-risking hit multi-asset funds → basis trades unwound → short gamma hedging amplified the drop. When big money is forced to cut exposure, crypto doesn’t get a special treatment. It gets sold like everything else. Not financial advice
$BANANAS31 spike looks stretched and sellers are starting to fade the strength again.
Short Setup:
Entry Zone: 0.00435 – 0.00465
Stop Loss: 0.0050
Targets:
TP1: 0.00405
TP2: 0.00365
TP3: 0.00325
Pushes higher aren’t holding cleanly and buyers aren’t defending the move after the surge. Strength keeps getting sold into, and downside reactions are starting to move smoother. If sellers stay active, continuation lower is likely.