Bitcoin: Historically Undervalued Trading below its long-term adoption curve Below power-law trends Below where liquidity cycles have priced it at this stage The network keeps growing. Hash rate keeps hitting new highs. Long-term holders aren’t selling. Price is lagging reality.
Gold: Overpriced by Fear Gold is priced like the world is ending. It’s absorbing: Sovereign debt panic Geopolitical fear Currency debasement Policy distrust That’s not value. That’s crowded protection.
What People Miss Gold moves when fear peaks. Bitcoin moves when liquidity returns.
Right now: Fear is fully priced in gold Liquidity is not priced in Bitcoin
In other words: Gold = yesterday’s anxiety Bitcoin = today’s disbelief ⚡ Disbelief is where the biggest mispricings live. When everyone agrees gold is “safe,” the trade is already late. When everyone says Bitcoin is “too risky,” the repricing hasn’t started.
Why are successful trades said to be contrary to human nature?
1. Human nature likes certainty, while trading is uncertain, and the future is unpredictable;
2. Human nature dislikes losses, so when losses begin, it is unwilling to cut losses and accept the loss, and even adds to losing positions, resulting in larger losses;
3. Human nature likes to secure profits, so it will prematurely close positions as soon as there are profits, missing opportunities to make big money;
4. Human nature likes to gamble, and after losing several times in a row, it will increase position sizes to bet, always believing that the probability of winning will increase, hoping to recover losses overnight, but the results are always contrary to expectations;
5. Human nature likes to fantasize about future trends based on news, placing orders according to news rather than market conditions. #Crypto2025Trends