琳琅高反福利官

1. First, save the QR code below
2. Open the Binance homepage and search for the chat room
3. Click the search in the upper right corner (h6wwvdm2l)
4. Click on scan and scan the QR code
Then you can add me as a friend
Feel free to discuss any questions!

History is repeating itself! BTC 200,000, ETH 10,000 is just the starting point? A three-month countdown strategy for seasoned investors
On one side, panic is spreading, while on the other, undercurrents are surging. The market will never peak when everyone is cheering, nor will it bottom out when everyone is in despair.
"Bitcoin has dropped below 90,000! Ethereum has fallen below 3,000!" In the past few days, such headlines have occupied most of the cryptocurrency media's pages. The market is filled with a sense of panic, and in just 41 days, over 1.1 trillion USD in cryptocurrency market value has evaporated, with average daily losses reaching as high as 27 billion USD.
But I must tell you, as someone who has survived three rounds of bull and bear markets, I am all too familiar with this scene. The true end of a bull market is always born in doubt and ends in celebration.
The current market is the "fake weak, real strong" pattern I recognize. ETF funds appear to be flowing out, but long-term holders are quietly accumulating. Since October 6, these price-insensitive investors have accumulated 186,000 bitcoins, marking the largest increase in this recent cycle.
1. History does not simply repeat itself, but it is always remarkably similar
The rhythm of the crypto world has long written the answer:
2017 Bull Market End: 3 months from 4,000 to 24,000
2019 Bear to Bull: 3 months from 3,500 to 15,800
2021 Bull Market End: 3 months from 15,000 to 62,000
2023 Starting Wave: 3 months from 38,000 to 69,000
2024 Main Surge: 3 months from 52,000 to nearly 126,000
Every true end of a bull market has a wave of astonishing acceleration. Those who missed Bitcoin at 4,000 and Ethereum at 2,000 made the biggest mistake not by entering at the wrong time, but by choosing to follow the panic when the market was in turmoil.
Why do I dare to say three months now? Because the cyclical patterns are right in front of us. Legendary trader Peter Brandt previously analyzed and pointed out that if Bitcoin does not peak at specific key points, it may welcome a "dramatic" price surge. And now, this condition has been met.
2. Look at the data, not the slogans: these signals do not lie
Yes, on the surface, it all looks terrible. Bitcoin has dropped below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the options market believes that the probability of Bitcoin breaking 100,000 USD in 2025 is only 30%.
But if you only see this, you will miss the most important information:
The ETF mechanism is changing the rules of the game.

Newcomers in the cryptocurrency world want to avoid loss traps? These practical guidelines, which I have repeatedly verified through market fluctuations, can help you avoid many unnecessary detours. The core logic of trading is never about chasing highs and cutting losses, but rather finding the right timing and identifying signals: only when the market is consolidating or correcting is it a good time to enter; decisively avoid chasing a market that is shooting straight up. When the market is bustling and everyone is talking about cryptocurrencies, it is actually time to take profits decisively; only by remaining calm can one navigate the market stably and sustainably. K-line signals hide key codes: a series of small bullish candles is a solid signal of an upward trend, worth holding onto patiently; however, when there are many large bullish candles pushing higher, it is often a precursor to a peak, so do not blindly follow the trend. After a sharp rise, a correction is inevitable; before a deep adjustment occurs, one should never heavily enter the market — the acceleration phase of a main upward wave is often just the final sprint, while a sharp decline is usually a short-term sell-off, and a gradual decline is the real signal of the main force unloading. Pay close attention to the combination of volume and price: a sharp decline with low volume is often due to panic, so there is no need to overreact; however, when there is high volume with a gradual decline, one must exit decisively to avoid being trapped. If the price breaks below a key support level, do not hesitate; timely swing trading can preserve profits; be sure to closely examine larger time frame charts like daily and monthly charts, and build positions in the direction of the main force trend, which is much safer than guessing the bottom against the trend. Also, distinguish between real and false trends: if the price is rising but accompanied by decreasing volume, it is likely a trap set by the main force to lure buyers; do not blindly stand guard; a new low with decreasing volume is often a bottom signal, wait for a volume increase to enter the market, as it has higher certainty. The essence of trading is the realization of cognition; the simplest logic often withstands the test of the market. Keep these guidelines in mind and refine them in actual trading to avoid most rookie pitfalls. Many people fall into a cycle of losses, not because they are not working hard enough, but because they have not grasped these practical logics. The market is always there, but opportunities do not wait for anyone; find the right methods and steadily refine your skills to stand firm in the cryptocurrency world!

December 5th 9:20 AM
BTC
=== Short Position Reference ===
Short-term Resistance: 93000--93500
Aggressive: 93660--94820--95890
Conservative: 96670--99830
Cautious: 100280--101650
=== Long Position Reference===
Short-term Support: 92000--91500
Aggressive: 90620--87530-86750
Conservative: 84640-83340-82630
Cautious: 81840-80520

$ETH $BNB $BTC
Hey, friends, today's data is crucial! 📣 At 8:30 AM, the latest initial jobless claims in the U.S. will be announced, and the expectation is 220,000 people. What do you think will happen if the final number is even lower than this? 💥 Doesn't it feel like your wallet is itching to move? Hold on, this matter might really be closely related to your holdings!
In simple terms, if the data comes in lower, it indicates that the job market is pretty solid 💪, and the hope for a "soft landing" for the economy increases. This serves as a strong boost for the entire risk market; Bitcoin and Ethereum, these big players, are likely to follow the sentiment of the U.S. stock market! 🚀 If investors feel that the traditional market is stable, they'll turn to the volatile and opportunity-rich crypto world, and that liquidity will come! Moreover, a data point that is "neither strong nor weak just right" will neither rush the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates nor instill fear of recession in everyone, making it the market's favorite "golden script"! 🎯
So, today's data might just be the key to breaking the recent deadlock. Keep an eye on the movements of the dollar and U.S. stocks; once the wind changes, the opportunity might just arrive.
What do you think? If the data is indeed positive, which sector will take off first? Is it Layer 1, or AI concept coins? Or do you have even more insightful predictions? Come and chat in the comments, let's share and reference together! 💬✨
#CryptoMarketObservations #USSECApprovesLiquidityStaking

$ETH #The Federal Reserve Restarts Interest Rate Cuts
The Federal Reserve is cutting rates, Japan is raising rates, the tug-of-war between the eldest son and the father, how will the market move?
I feel there will be a wave of pullbacks, sideways fluctuations, the main force is covering and retreating, while the bulls are supporting below, is this Japanese rate hike going to eat up the sweetness of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts?
Leaving me shivering in the wind!!!
$ETH

December 4th, 9 AM
BTC
=== Short Selling Reference Points ===
Short-term Resistance: 94000--94500
Aggressive: 93660--94820--95890
Conservative: 96670--99830
Cautious: 100280--101650
=== Long Buying Reference Points ===
Short-term Support: 92500--92000
Aggressive: 92280--91452--90620--87530
Conservative: 86750--84640--83340
Cautious: 82630--81840--80520

Short sellers were collectively slapped in the face last night! Ignore it and you will still lose.
ETH made a desperate comeback of 200 points! Short sellers were schooled, but the key battle is at 3050!
Was last night's market action a solid lesson for those brothers who went short crazily leveraging Japan's interest rate hike? The three major US stock indexes opened higher and continued to rise, with technology stocks leading the charge, and the crypto market also welcomed a drastic reversal, with Bitcoin leading a surge of over 6%. Our second token, Ethereum, also performed admirably, rising nearly 200 points from its low and reclaiming the $3000 mark!
The impact of Japan's interest rate hike is short-term and sentiment-driven, and the market is quickly digesting it. The fierce battle between bulls and bears on Monday morning and night, especially that precise deep V spike, has starkly displayed the strong support from funds below. Why was it able to rebound quickly? Because the larger favorable logic has not changed at all—the expectation of the Federal Reserve's rate cut has reached its peak! The market is currently betting on a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut in December, and this shift in macro direction is the deep foundation supporting asset prices. Yesterday, Shanghai silver hit a new high, which is the best portrayal of this expectation game. Therefore, the rise from 2800 to 3000 is by no means accidental, but rather an inevitable foreshadowing of bullish logic.
Current market sentiment: Bulls and bears are fiercely competing at the 3050 level.
Now that the second token has returned to 3000, many friends are instead caught in confusion: Should they chase or should they run?
The current market sentiment can be described as a stark contrast, with both sides forming a brief standoff at the critical point.
The spear of the bears: Short-term hesitation of institutional funds. It cannot be denied that there is short-term pressure. Data shows that in November, Ethereum ETF funds are showing a net outflow, indicating that some institutional funds have recently adopted a relatively cautious or profit-taking attitude. At the same time, on the technical side, the fluctuation pattern formed by ETH since October has kept some chartists on alert.
The shield of the bulls: Macroeconomic shift and unchanged trend. But the more powerful force lies in the macro level. The expectation of the Federal Reserve's rate cut is the most core driving logic of the current market. In addition, a well-known analyst pointed out that a key observation point for determining whether this round of bull market has ended is the high反聊天室找我.

The shorts were collectively slapped in the face last night! Old Chen reveals the core of ETH reversal: ignore it and you will lose.\nETH made a comeback of 200 points! The shorts were taught a lesson, but the key battle is at 3050!\nBrothers, Old Chen is here! Was last night's market action a solid lesson for those who crazily shorted, taking advantage of Japan's interest rate hike? The three major U.S. stock indexes opened high and continued to rise, with technology stocks leading the way, and the cryptocurrency market also experienced a drastic reversal, with Bitcoin leading a surge of over 6%. Our second currency, Ethereum, also performed well, soaring nearly 200 points from the lows, reclaiming the $3000 mark!\nOld Chen made it very clear in yesterday's live broadcast: The impact of Japan's interest rate hike is short-term and sentiment-driven, and the market is rapidly digesting it. The fierce battle between bulls and bears in the early morning and night of Monday, especially the precise deep V spike, has starkly shown the strong support from below. Why was it able to rebound so quickly? Because the larger favorable logic has not changed at all — the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has heated up to the extreme! The market is now betting on a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut in December, and this shift in macro wind is the deep foundation supporting asset prices. Yesterday, Shanghai silver reached a new high, which is the best portrayal of this expectation game. Therefore, the rise from 2800 to 3000 is by no means accidental, but rather an inevitable foreshadowing of the bullish logic. Old Chen also lives up to expectations and brings everyone some small gains in this wave!\n\nCurrent market sentiment: Bulls and bears are in fierce contention at 3050\nNow that the second currency has returned to 3000, many friends are confused: should they chase or run?\nThe current market sentiment can be described as a stark contrast of ice and fire, with both sides forming a brief standoff at critical points.\nThe spear of the shorts: the short-term hesitation of institutional funds. It cannot be denied that short-term pressure exists. Data shows that in November, Ethereum ETF funds showed a net outflow, indicating that some institutional funds have taken a relatively cautious or profit-taking attitude recently. At the same time, technically, the oscillating pattern formed by ETH since October has also kept some chart traders on alert.\nThe shield of the bulls: macro shift and trend unchanged. But the stronger force lies at the macro level. The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is the core driving logic of the current market. In addition, well-known analysts point out that a key observation point to determine whether this bull market has ended is whether Ethereum can...

Why did BTC suddenly rebound?
Due to the impact of the U.S. officially stopping its tapering, the U.S. stock market rose after the opening yesterday, and BTC also rebounded along with the U.S. stock market.
Bitcoin is the barometer of market liquidity; as soon as the U.S. stops tapering, the price immediately rises.
This wave of increase is mainly driven by sentiment, as everyone expects the Federal Reserve to start injecting liquidity, so even if Japan raises interest rates, there is no fear.
However, until liquidity is fully restored, this can only be considered a rebound and is unlikely to completely reverse.
Who will be the next chairman of the Federal Reserve?
Trump gave a latest speech yesterday, stating that he will announce the new Federal Reserve chairman candidate early next year.
He also hinted that a potential Federal Reserve chairman was present. It is clear that this statement hints that Hassett will become the next Federal Reserve chairman.

Those who play contracts know that transaction fees are also a significant expense. Many people, even with only one or two thousand U, have monthly fees amounting to several hundred.
Saving this money to buy cosmetics or toys for my wife and children can provide emotional value, and even give a chance to bounce back after occasional failures.
As for ten to twenty thousand U, or even hundreds of thousands U, that's a huge number.
If you have high sensitivity, contact me for a chat.

December 3rd 9:30 ETH
Minor Resistance: 3028-3053
Aggressive: 3073-3100-3123
Moderate: 3169-3185-3224
Conservative: 3383-3406
Minor Support: 2993-2978
Aggressive: 2960-2934-2913
Moderate: 2893-2876-2842
Conservative: 2811-2785-2752

Crash alarm sounded: Japan's 80% interest rate hike probability triggers a 19 trillion "bomb"! Have you bottomed out your BTC? Do you remember the 2022 interest rate arbitrage disaster?
This morning, BTC suddenly fell below 83000. Did you think it was just a normal adjustment? Staring at the screen, I broke into a cold sweat—just because of one number: 80%. The market is crazily betting on the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December, with the probability soaring to 80%, and even as high as 90% in January! This is not just an interest rate hike; it directly ignites the fuse for the global 19 trillion yen interest rate arbitrage trading!
For global traders, this awakens the painful memories of Christmas 2022. At that time, the Bank of Japan also unexpectedly adjusted its yield curve control (YCC) policy in the December meeting, raising the upper limit of the 10-year government bond yield from 0.25% to 0.5%, triggering severe turmoil in global markets.
Considering that December 19th is just before the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is usually at an annual low, and any unexpected policy tightening could be amplified in a weak liquidity environment, thus triggering a new round of "interest rate arbitrage disaster."
For decades, the nearly zero-interest yen has been borrowed and exchanged for dollars to flood into the US stock and crypto markets. Once Japan raises interest rates, massive funds will instantaneously flow back out. Result? BTC is the first to suffer. The data doesn't lie: BTC's monthly decline exceeds 20%, ETF losses of 3.5 billion dollars, over 400 million liquidated overnight... The market has become as fragile as paper.
Don't forget about the Federal Reserve! Powell didn't mention policy tonight, which is even scarier—silent periods are often the calm before the storm. If Japan tightens and the US doesn’t loosen, BTC will face a "double kill" scenario.
Look at BNB, it's heartbreaking. The new official, Lina, parachuted in as the growth director of BSC, but retail investors are almost gone; what will drive growth? On-chain projects have fallen below CZ's buying price, and the vulgar penguin has long become a "fallen penguin." But don’t panic, the most anxious are not you—but the new officials and exchanges. Market rescue? It might already be on the way.
Remember: interest rate arbitrage liquidation is just a short-term shock, not the end of the world. After Japan raises interest rates in 2024, BTC will hit a new high in three months. Key points to watch: December's Bank of Japan meeting and the Federal Reserve's dot plot. Don't rush to go all in, manage your positions, and survive to enjoy the next rebound.

Hassert's probability of being elected as the Federal Reserve chairman has soared to 78%, and the market is getting all hyped up again. But let's not rush to follow the trend; today I’ll chat with you about how to avoid these pitfalls and not let the news turn us into chives!\nFirst of all, this news looks scary, but there’s actually quite a bit of fluff. A change in the Federal Reserve chairman could indeed impact monetary policy, like interest rate hikes or cuts, which indirectly affects the crypto market. But think about it: now the probability in the prediction market has risen, but it's not an official announcement—what if it's just a smokescreen? I've seen too many people rush in without thinking when they hear such news, only to end up trapped as the market moves against them. So, the first pitfall: don’t FOMO! When the news comes out, the market often reacts in advance, and if you enter now, you might just become the bag holder.\nPersonally, I think the future trend will likely be chaotic for a while. If Hassert really takes office and leans dovish (expansive), it might be short-term positive for crypto, and Bitcoin could spike; but if he leans hawkish (restrictive), then it’s bearish. But the question is, who knows what his style will be? The market is purely guessing right now! So, the second pitfall: don’t bet on direction based on a single piece of news. The crypto market is as complex as a tangled ball of yarn, with economic data and global events mixed together; we need to wait for solid evidence before taking action.\nEmotionally, I’m really anxious and frustrated; every time such breaking news comes out, a bunch of people start making reckless moves, and in the end, they lose money and complain. Folks, stay calm! My advice is: hold onto your spot and don’t make rash moves. Short-term traders can test the waters with small positions, but definitely set stop-losses. Don’t forget, the news is just a catalyst; the real trend depends on the flow of funds and market sentiment.\nIn short, let’s not be led by the market, do more homework and be less impulsive. If you feel confused, just observe; the money is ours, don’t let the probability numbers fool you! Fans, stay steady, we can win!

📣【Late Night Breaking! Powell Suddenly Resigns, Global Markets Are Destined for Sleepless Nights】$BTC
🔥Just revealed bombshell news: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has submitted his resignation to the White House and will officially step down after an emergency meeting at 7 PM Eastern Time on Monday!
(Source: Reuters Breaking News, informed sources in Washington revealed)
💥The market exploded instantly:
· Bitcoin has now risen from 81000 to 91000 over the past few days
· US stock futures are experiencing wild fluctuations
· The dollar index has plunged sharply
🤔There are three major doubts behind this:
1️⃣Why choose to do this during a tight liquidity period at year-end?
2️⃣Does the emergency meeting involve a significant policy shift?
3️⃣Will the successor be hawkish or dovish?
💡Veteran's quick review:
👉If a dovish candidate takes over: Interest rate cut expectations brought forward → Liquidity frenzy → Crypto market takes off
👉If a hawkish candidate takes over: Policy continuation of tightening → Short-term pain → Bottom-fishing opportunities arise $BNB
🎯Key observation points:
▫️Emergency meeting statement at 7 PM tonight
▫️Background of Trump-nominated successor
▫️Changes in CME interest rate futures positions
⚠️Reminder: Every power transition at the Federal Reserve causes massive market tremors:
· In 2018, Powell took over from Yellen, and BTC plummeted 40% that month
· In 2022, during his reappointment, US stocks faced the worst earnings season in a decade
.2025❓❓❓❓
💎Ultimate prediction:
No matter who takes over, maintaining policy continuity is essential for market stability, but short-term volatility is inevitable! Smart money has already started positioning:
· Grayscale GBTC premium continues to expand
· Fear and Greed Index skyrockets to “Extreme Greed”
(Small rumor: The White House has contacted former Federal Reserve Governor Brainard, known for supporting digital currencies)
🔥🔥Rapid attention:
▫️21:30 Powell's farewell speech
▫️22:00 White House press conference
▫️Tomorrow early morning, Federal Reserve emergency meeting minutes
💬Now asking you:
1. Do you think this is good news or bad news?
2. Are you ready to face the volatility?
3. What is your current position size? $Binance Life

💥【Important Signal! Taiwan Province, China is considering including Bitcoin in its foreign exchange reserves, and a comprehensive review will be completed by the end of the year!】
Latest news shows that Taiwan Province, China has made a significant response to the issue of Bitcoin reserves for the first time during inquiries in the Legislative Yuan! Premier Su Tseng-chang promised on the spot: A comprehensive review of the Bitcoin holdings of all government agencies in Taiwan will be completed by the end of the year, and an evaluation plan for including Bitcoin in foreign exchange reserves will be submitted simultaneously.
📌 Policy Direction Interpretation
· Background: Taiwan's foreign exchange reserves exceed $600 billion, currently highly reliant on US dollar assets
· Purpose: To achieve diversification of foreign exchange reserves through the allocation of Bitcoin and other crypto assets
· Scope: Comprehensive inventory of the crypto assets held and seized by government agencies
💰 Potential Scale and Opportunities
· The value of seized crypto assets has significantly increased, with previous cases growing from $146 million to nearly $300 million
· If Bitcoin is officially included in reserves, it will set a regional precedent
· Following the trend of digital asset layout in El Salvador and some states in the United States
⚖️ Challenges and Prospects
· Regulations to be improved: The "Virtual Assets Management Regulations" special law is still in the legislative process
· Stablecoin standards: A corresponding regulatory framework needs to be established
· Market impact: If implemented, it will bring significant confidence support to the crypto market
🌍 Global Trends Resonating
From El Salvador designating Bitcoin as legal tender to many countries exploring central bank digital currencies, digital assets are gradually entering the mainstream financial system. Taiwan's recent movement signifies that the region is actively embracing this trend.
Feel free to share your views in the comments!
#CryptoMarketObservation $BTC $DOGE $ZEC

$BTC
On the 11.30 BTC monthly level, there is a death cross at the high point of the weekly level
Daily 12-hour level is at the bottom Pay attention to the 8-hour underwater pullback 6-hour EMA pressure
The 2, 3, and 4-hour horizontal EMA is above the 0 axis Observe whether there can be a resonant trend
Resistance above: 91508 92169 92916 93548
Support below: 90438 89459 88315 87186
BTC long-short ratio: 1.58 Fear index: 28
Actual long-short ratio 53:47 Overall long-short ratio 49:51
Do not act without seeing a pattern, and do not open a position without a stop loss
(The above content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice)

$Binance Life

Binance Life
Alpha
0.1199
+28.17%
🔥【Gold skyrocketed by $4200, amid the interest rate cut frenzy!】
Dear friends, have you seen the crazy rise in gold and U.S. stocks these past two days? The market is frantically betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December, with the probability shooting up to 86.4%! But is the truth really that simple? 🤔
👉On the surface:
· Gold broke through 4190, U.S. stocks have risen for 4 consecutive days
· The U.S. dollar index fell to 99.7
· Central banks worldwide are buying gold like crazy
👉But upon closer inspection:
1️⃣ There is serious division within the Federal Reserve; Powell himself said, "A December rate cut is far from a certainty"
2️⃣ Inflation is still at a high of 2.7%, far from the 2% target
3️⃣ Key economic data is missing, making it as if the Federal Reserve is making decisions in the dark
4️⃣ Wall Street is popping champagne early; be careful, when the music stops, no one might be left to take over
Do you remember 2019? The market bet on a 90% chance of a rate cut, but the Federal Reserve remained still, and U.S. stocks plummeted 5% in a week! History tends to repeat itself🔄
Entering the market to chase high prices now is like playing a game of musical chairs. When the music stops, who do you think will be standing? What ordinary investors should do now is not to FOMO chase the rise, but to stay clear-headed and wait for clearer signals!
What do you all think? Is this a real trend or a capital trick? Waiting for your insights in the comments! 👇

$TURBO

TURBO
0.002393
+8.87%
$BAT

BATUSDT
Perpetual
0.2743
+3.94%
Breaking news, Trump is stirring things up again, is cryptocurrency about to take off?
Trump's recent actions have left the cryptocurrency community stunned. In a recently released significant statement, he surprisingly proposed the complete abolition of federal income tax, suggesting that the country’s finances would rely solely on tariffs from now on.
This is no joke; if this actually happens, will it be a thunderbolt or a timely relief for the cryptocurrency community? It's important to understand that the U.S. tax policy has always been a critical aspect of cryptocurrency regulation, and the elimination of income tax could fundamentally alter the tax environment for cryptocurrencies. On one hand, without income tax, does that mean profits from trading cryptocurrencies won't be taxed? Wouldn't that lead to a massive influx of funds into the crypto space, potentially igniting the market? But on the other hand, if tariffs become the primary means of supporting the economy, the U.S. may likely tighten regulations on cross-border transactions, leading to cryptocurrencies, as a significant tool for cross-border payments, becoming a major target for scrutiny?
The entire crypto community is in an uproar; some say this is a tremendous boon, predicting Bitcoin could directly surge to $100,000, while others argue it's the calm before the storm, with a regulatory tempest about to hit. The situation is becoming increasingly tense, with suspense at its peak!
Let's discuss in the comments, do you think Trump's tax reform is a blessing or a nightmare for the crypto world? Will Bitcoin soar or plummet as a result?
#Bitcoin trend analysis