杀破狼 WolfyXBT
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杀破狼 WolfyXBT
X 账号：@wolfyxbt
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The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning,"
After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End,"
The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market,
The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
Yay!
Waa waa waa
Hang in there!
This is Musk's current balance
Wow, Binance is awesome! Full refunds, no fees.
Then all participants split a whopping $1 million. You can always trust Binance 😂
Then all participants split a whopping $1 million. You can always trust Binance 😂
Binance Wallet
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Due to circumstances outside of our control, we are unable to proceed with SPCXx IPO Campaign.
🔸All locked USDC from participating users have been fully refunded to their Binance Wallet.
🔸 As a token of appreciation, we will distribute a total of $1,000,000 worth of bStocks SpaceX tokens (SPCXB) equally among all participating users’ Binance Spot Accounts by 2026-06-18.
🔸 No need to wait — you can now place whole-share limit orders for SpaceX (SPCX) stock during regular trading hours on Binance.
👉 Thank you for your patience and support. For more details, please refer to the announcement
🔸All locked USDC from participating users have been fully refunded to their Binance Wallet.
🔸 As a token of appreciation, we will distribute a total of $1,000,000 worth of bStocks SpaceX tokens (SPCXB) equally among all participating users’ Binance Spot Accounts by 2026-06-18.
🔸 No need to wait — you can now place whole-share limit orders for SpaceX (SPCX) stock during regular trading hours on Binance.
👉 Thank you for your patience and support. For more details, please refer to the announcement
SpaceX has officially gone public, and Musk's net worth has just officially surpassed $1 trillion.
It's quite the historical moment, witnessing the first person in history to hit a trillion-dollar net worth. Back when Tesla went public 16 years ago, Musk's net worth was around $670 million. In just 16 years, he's managed to pump it up by 1493 times.
It's quite the historical moment, witnessing the first person in history to hit a trillion-dollar net worth. Back when Tesla went public 16 years ago, Musk's net worth was around $670 million. In just 16 years, he's managed to pump it up by 1493 times.
The crypto scene has totally exploded, and everyone got wiped out.
A bunch of exchanges took the SpaceX IPO quota intending to sell it to the crypto folks. Half the crypto community forked over cash to participate in the new offering, and now that it's done, they’re being told there’s no quota, and refunds come with a few hundred bucks in fees.
The worst part is, some traders saw that $SPCX 's pre-market contracts shot up a lot, so they went short to hedge and lock in profits. But the hedge positions are now in the red, and they still can't get their hands on the IPO stocks.
After years of hype around RWA tokens, who’s gonna dare to play after this?
A bunch of exchanges took the SpaceX IPO quota intending to sell it to the crypto folks. Half the crypto community forked over cash to participate in the new offering, and now that it's done, they’re being told there’s no quota, and refunds come with a few hundred bucks in fees.
The worst part is, some traders saw that $SPCX 's pre-market contracts shot up a lot, so they went short to hedge and lock in profits. But the hedge positions are now in the red, and they still can't get their hands on the IPO stocks.
After years of hype around RWA tokens, who’s gonna dare to play after this?
Partly True
Lately, more and more exchanges are starting to support trading US stocks.
It's getting a bit confusing for me; some aren't real US stocks but tokenized versions or US stock contracts. Currently, the main players that allow you to buy real US stocks are: MEXC, Backpack, BIT, Binance, Gate, Kraken, and Coinbase—those 7.
The fee structures are also quite a mess, each one is different. Some charge by %, some charge per share, and some have discounts during certain periods. Here’s a simple comparison table I’ve put together to share with you all.
It's getting a bit confusing for me; some aren't real US stocks but tokenized versions or US stock contracts. Currently, the main players that allow you to buy real US stocks are: MEXC, Backpack, BIT, Binance, Gate, Kraken, and Coinbase—those 7.
The fee structures are also quite a mess, each one is different. Some charge by %, some charge per share, and some have discounts during certain periods. Here’s a simple comparison table I’ve put together to share with you all.
Heard someone scored on Binance Square, that's awesome! Binance Square is about to see the biggest user growth ever, that's the real deal for a social platform.
I predict that the bull market peak in 2029 will only hit $170,000, with the date being 2029/09/03.
So, in my view, a dip in Bitcoin right now would be a massive win for the crypto space. We should all pray together for it to drop to $35,000, that's the way to go. If this bear market doesn't drop enough, the profit potential in the next bull run will be severely limited.
Assuming $60,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market would only have +183% profit potential; assuming $35,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market still has +385% left to play with.
Bitcoin's wild volatility is what makes it so attractive to outsiders and speculative traders. If this bear market doesn't correct enough, the imagination space for the next bull market will shrink too, and Bitcoin's price might start stabilizing. Speculative traders may lose interest, and at that point, Bitcoin could really become yesterday's news.
So, in my view, a dip in Bitcoin right now would be a massive win for the crypto space. We should all pray together for it to drop to $35,000, that's the way to go. If this bear market doesn't drop enough, the profit potential in the next bull run will be severely limited.
Assuming $60,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market would only have +183% profit potential; assuming $35,000 is the bear market bottom and $170,000 is the top, the bull market still has +385% left to play with.
Bitcoin's wild volatility is what makes it so attractive to outsiders and speculative traders. If this bear market doesn't correct enough, the imagination space for the next bull market will shrink too, and Bitcoin's price might start stabilizing. Speculative traders may lose interest, and at that point, Bitcoin could really become yesterday's news.
Partly True
MicroStrategy is buying crypto again! Buying high, selling low! They’re like top-tier traders!
Now things are super awkward!
MicroStrategy announced they bought 1550 coins $BTC , and the market is totally flat!
MicroStrategy announced they sold 32 coins $BTC , and panic caused a massive dip!
Now things are super awkward!
MicroStrategy announced they bought 1550 coins $BTC , and the market is totally flat!
MicroStrategy announced they sold 32 coins $BTC , and panic caused a massive dip!
Most folks in the crypto space have a twisted value system.
When they're making money, they don't treat it like real cash, and when they're losing, they treat it even less like cash. After I just shared my $792 paycheck from Musk, a bunch of people commented: "Stop acting broke, you’re making so much from shorting, why care about this tiny paycheck from Musk?"
But I care a lot; it’s two different things. Making money from shorts comes with the risk of losses, while this paycheck from 𝕏 is my hard-earned income. I post daily and can count on a few thousand bucks each month as steady income.
Just because I hit a win at the casino doesn’t mean I can disregard that $792 paycheck, right? That $792 translates to: 5374 RMB, 3189 MYR, 268 plates of pork knuckle, 107 KFC meals, or 1 iPhone 17.
Today, I made some cash, and someone next to me said they’d gift me an iPhone 17. By your logic, should I say: "Sorry, I made a good chunk today, an iPhone 17 ain’t worth my time; only a Lamborghini would cut it"?
Isn’t that a bit ridiculous?
After noticing these chaotic situations in the crypto world, I invented the world's first "Value Correction Tool" hoping to fix the twisted values of crypto gamblers as much as possible. I hope everyone can use it: https://wolfyxbt.github.io/ValuesCorrector/
When they're making money, they don't treat it like real cash, and when they're losing, they treat it even less like cash. After I just shared my $792 paycheck from Musk, a bunch of people commented: "Stop acting broke, you’re making so much from shorting, why care about this tiny paycheck from Musk?"
But I care a lot; it’s two different things. Making money from shorts comes with the risk of losses, while this paycheck from 𝕏 is my hard-earned income. I post daily and can count on a few thousand bucks each month as steady income.
Just because I hit a win at the casino doesn’t mean I can disregard that $792 paycheck, right? That $792 translates to: 5374 RMB, 3189 MYR, 268 plates of pork knuckle, 107 KFC meals, or 1 iPhone 17.
Today, I made some cash, and someone next to me said they’d gift me an iPhone 17. By your logic, should I say: "Sorry, I made a good chunk today, an iPhone 17 ain’t worth my time; only a Lamborghini would cut it"?
Isn’t that a bit ridiculous?
After noticing these chaotic situations in the crypto world, I invented the world's first "Value Correction Tool" hoping to fix the twisted values of crypto gamblers as much as possible. I hope everyone can use it: https://wolfyxbt.github.io/ValuesCorrector/
I've been slacking off these past two weeks, barely tweeted, and got my paycheck docked by Elon 😭
Short-term target 55,000
Mid-term target 35,000
Long-term target 200,000
Today’s focus SONE-616
Mid-term target 35,000
Long-term target 200,000
Today’s focus SONE-616
Suddenly feeling like what the 'Killer Wolf' said about 35,000 isn't that outlandish after all.
杀破狼 WolfyXBT
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I predict that the bottom of this round of bear market $BTC is 35,000.
Come on, let's tank already! I need to close my positions and focus on preparing for the exam.
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