鬼谷研究院

$BNB B Don't be like a complaining woman over there, CZ! Some foolish people just can't see reality.
​Open your eyes and take a look, how many in the entire industry can do what he does, turning liquidity into an ocean? Bringing the government to stand on stage? The threshold is so high that you can't even touch your heels!
​To put it bluntly, attacking CZ is hitting everyone's rice bowl. This is not just stupid, it’s simply terrible! Without such top-tier big shots holding the fort, you trolls would still be playing in the mud.
​Admit it, this is a legendary existence, if you don't agree, hold it in!
​Thank you for reading this, wishing you a good morning☀️ good afternoon🥰 good night💤
$ETH

The market has rebounded, but will it continue to fall?

A couple of days ago, there was a waterfall effect, with hundreds of thousands of people getting liquidated.
Several big players and whales have lost everything,
with some losing billions of dollars, while others still have $8000 left.

Today, a good piece of news has surfaced:
High-ranking officials from the U.S. and Iran are preparing to resolve issues through negotiations,
and they will meet in Istanbul, Turkey, on Friday.
Last week, we were on the brink of war,

To calm the situation, Iran is likely willing to close or pause its nuclear program.
Therefore, our market analysis has emphasized in recent days,
that as long as the Iran issue can be resolved, BTC will see a rebound immediately.

Yesterday, it fell to the cost price of our micro strategy: $76000,
with the average cost of ETF funds being $90000.
At the current BTC price, there is definitely no risk in the long term.

Next comes the dollar-cost averaging or patiently holding.
BTC still has hope of returning to its peak in 2026; the issue is not significant.
Gold has plummeted, but it won't affect the continued rise, and it's easy to return above $5000.

Precise Market Analysis 2.2

Brothers, good morning, a new week has begun.
Last week, Waller was nominated as the chairman of the Federal Reserve and did not commit to interest rate cuts.
Gold plummeted, BTC crashed.
How should we operate this week?

What is our analysis of the market situation?

(1) Will there be another crash?
The possibility of a crash is low, with strong support around $77000.
However, we cannot rule out the possibility of ETF funds continuing to sell off, leading to a sustained decline.
In extreme cases, the lowest point for BTC may be around $70000.

(2) How do we view the future market?
Before the Iranian issue is resolved,
the market will experience fluctuations for the next 1-2 months, similar to the trends in March-April last year.
By around April, with the increase in employment due to the impact of AI,
and after the Iranian issue is resolved, the market will recover.

(3) How to operate currently?
Don't cut losses, while keeping some bullets to guard against a big drop.
Don't buy other currencies outside of BTC, ETH has also dropped significantly.
Be cautious of the possibility of war breaking out and another drop occurring.

This Friday, the January non-farm payroll report will be released, which is also a key point.
Don't use all your bullets, keep some for extreme situations.

Good afternoon, brothers. There has been a major drop, with 240,000 people liquidated.
There are several main reasons:

(1) The latest news shows that the U.S. aircraft carrier and its strike group have entered a full blackout and communication interruption status.
This move is typically seen as standard operating procedure before a significant military action, leading the market to speculate that actions against Iran are entering a highly sensitive phase.
Meanwhile, Iran's statements have clearly shifted to a state of military readiness.

(2) At the January FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate unchanged in the range of 3.50% to 3.75%.

(3) Kevin Warsh has been appointed as the chairman of the Federal Reserve; he is not inclined to lower interest rates, adopting a hawkish stance, which has broken market expectations.

(4) Due to the first two reasons, combined with the recent significant increase in gold prices, gold has plummeted, and under the conditions of market panic, BTC has also dropped sharply.

What will happen next in the market?
Firstly, the market's expectations have already reflected in the prices, and the sharp drop has occurred, so there is no need to worry about the next plunge.
The previous support level for BTC is around $80000, with many whales having their costs far from the current level.
At the same time, if the Iran issue is resolved through negotiations, the market may see a reversal.
So there is no need to be too pessimistic; it is recommended not to sell at the bottom and to patiently observe.

Will gold trap you for 15 years?

The first gold crash was from June 1980 to 1982, where gold fell by 58.2% over 19 months.

The reason for the crash was the high interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve and a decline in demand for safe-haven assets.

The second crash occurred from March to October 2008, with gold dropping by 29.5%.

This time, the global financial crisis led to a contraction in liquidity, and institutions rushed to sell assets for cash.

The third crash happened from 2012 to 2015, with gold falling by 39%.

This was due to all asset directions flooding into the housing and stock markets.

The fourth crash took place from July to December 2016, with a decline of 16.6%.

This was caused by expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

The reasons for the nearly 40 years of gold crashes can be boiled down to three main points:

First, expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Second, funds seeking better investment directions with higher yields.
Third, the emergence of a reservoir, similar to what happened in the housing market back then.

Do you think this time it will trap you as well?

@TermMaxFi

My boyfriend has an annual salary of 300,000.

When my dad asked for a gift of 280,000, he agreed without hesitation.

He also didn't hesitate to put my name on the marriage house.

But when I suggested managing the salary card, he suddenly changed his mind and said we weren't compatible and wanted to break up.

Hearing the words 'break up,' I was stunned.

He has put in so much for our future, why did he choose to withdraw at the last moment?

One hundred million financing??? What exactly is it?? Liangxi has returned to zero again 😂😂😂😂
What happened to zama that it has been going down like this??

Brothers, good morning. These past few days have reminded everyone to buy the dip.
Today the market welcomes a big rebound.
BTC stands above $89000,
Meanwhile, gold breaks through $5200.

Recently, the Federal Reserve is expected to pause interest rate cuts, and the path to resuming cuts is still unclear.
At the same time, the U.S. military has initiated multi-day air exercises in the Middle East, and preparations for strikes against Iran have been reported to Israel.
In this situation, BTC has not crashed, indicating that things are beginning to change:
BTC is gradually beginning to achieve results on the road to becoming digital gold.

Currently, central banks and sovereign wealth funds around the world are shifting from U.S. Treasury bonds to gold,
Gold is now the second-largest currency,
but gold is not easy to carry, and there are issues with its high market value.
This will lead some large capital to gradually start positioning in BTC.

From on-chain data, BTC has plummeted from October to these three months,
The reserves in exchanges are decreasing.
So we are optimistic about BTC's market in 2026, which may rise to $150,000.

In any case, breaking new highs is not a problem.
The recent strategy is to buy BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, etc. on dips, waiting for a big surge.
Do not lose the bottom chips.
Dollar-cost averaging in BTC while waiting for a turning point, and playing with meme stocks with small funds.

Shock!!! Such a big event happened in the crypto world??

Brothers, good morning. Over the past few days, I've reminded everyone to buy the dip.
Today, the market welcomes a big rebound.
BTC stands above $89000,
Meanwhile, gold breaks through $5200.

Recently, the Federal Reserve is expected to pause interest rate cuts, and the path to resuming cuts is still unclear. At the same time, the U.S. military has initiated a multi-day air exercise in the Middle East, and the progress of strikes against Iran has been communicated to Israel.
In this situation, BTC did not crash, which indicates that things are starting to change: BTC is gradually beginning to achieve results on the path to becoming digital gold.

Currently, central banks and sovereign wealth funds in various countries are shifting from U.S. debt to gold. Gold is now the second largest currency, but it is not easy to carry and has issues related to its high market value. This will lead some large capital to gradually lay out BTC.

From on-chain data, BTC has fallen sharply since October, and reserves in exchanges are declining over the past three months. Therefore, we are optimistic about BTC's market in 2026, which could rise to $150,000.

Anyway, breaking new highs is not a problem.
The recent strategy is to buy the dip in BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, etc., and wait for a big surge. Do not lose your bottom chips.
Invest regularly in BTC while waiting for a turnaround, and small funds can play with memes.

The second day of a new week, today gold and silver have surged across the board, is a bigger storm coming?

Gold has risen 15% so far this year, it's simply insane.
I reminded everyone to buy gold six months ago.
Last week I told everyone to get into gold, and now it has made over 10% profit.

In the midst of Trump's crazy antics,
we are now facing two major changes.

(1) Major Change
We might be on the brink of a third world war.

Recently, a US aircraft carrier has entered the range of Iran, and the clouds of war are thickening in the Middle East!
Various signs indicate that the US may take military action, and they have evacuated non-essential personnel from some regional bases.
Iranian officials claim that their armed forces are on full alert.
At the same time, the US government is reportedly considering implementing a maritime blockade on Cuban oil imports.

Previously, the US forcibly controlled Venezuela's leader Maduro, and Trump mentioned wanting to seize Greenland.
Last week, Trump insulted the rocket launcher sweeping Davos, and core allies were insulted in succession!
The Western alliance is starting to fracture.
Details of the first round of talks between Russia, the US, and Ukraine have been disclosed, and there is still no consensus on territorial issues.
Negotiations will continue a week later, and it is estimated that fighting will continue.

(2) Major Change
We are at the beginning of a global debt crisis.

The market is increasingly worried about the US government continuing to print money,
Trump's chosen Federal Reserve Chairman will continue to inject liquidity after taking office.
Latest data shows that the proportion of the US dollar in global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 60%.
In this context, where will BTC go?

I feel somewhat optimistic; the trend is to fall first and then rise,
it reflects as such at the moment.
Gold is no longer moving, and some funds will be allocated to BTC.

Last week, ETFs kept flowing out, Coinbase exchange had a negative premium,
but BTC did not drop much, reflecting its resilience.
However, BTC's path to becoming digital gold will take some time; the road is winding.
From the perspective of a 1-2 year investment return rate, regular investment in BTC is a good choice.

Germany holds the second-largest national gold reserves in the world, second only to the United States.
Among them, about 164 billion euros worth of gold, weighing 1236 tons, is stored in New York.
Now they are uneasy and want to bring the gold back, but what if Trump doesn't allow it?
This is where BTC's advantages come into play: decentralization, no physical existence.

Recent strategy: Regularly invest in BTC and wait for a turning point.

Same day 🙋🏻‍♂️

$RIVER Waking up at 70, sent also finished at 0.30, the coins listed by Binance recently are very powerful, feeling great
The current market situation is confusing, what should be the next step?
Will there be a major crash? Now is the time to escape.
Or will there be a big surge? Is it appropriate to buy the dip now?

Last week, after issuing a bearish warning about the market, I reminded everyone to buy gold, target $5000
Now the gold price has risen to $4970, approaching the target price.
Partial profit-taking can be done, wait for the price to drop before buying again.

Currently, central banks around the world are continuously and massively absorbing physical gold, estimated to rise to around $6000 in 2026.
Chuanzi is still crazily causing events, verbally cooling down saying no fighting, but the US military aircraft carriers are quietly pressuring Iran.
There is still a possibility of action against Iran in the future; if it happens (probability 40%), BTC may drop by 5%.

We need to be prepared for a potential drop, no more buying altcoins, exchange the altcoins in hand for BTC or directly liquidate.
NATO officials stated that there has been a breakthrough on the Greenland issue,
The negotiation focus has shifted to broader security issues in the Arctic region, so the Greenland issue will not continue to cause a drop in the near future.

The Chuanzi family has been buying BTC at the bottom, there must be their reasons.
Every time Chuanzi creates bearish conditions, part of the reason may be to buy at the bottom for family interests, creating entry opportunities.
Additionally, BTC continues to flow out of exchanges, so bullish outlook for 2026.

But we need to wait until these issues are resolved before a large-scale rebound can occur:
(1) Resolution of the Iran issue, whether to strike or not, comes to a conclusion
(2) The next Chairman of the Federal Reserve will be announced soon, this person is likely to be favorable for interest rate cuts

Note to buy on dips, not on rises, consider sustainable dollar-cost averaging into BTC, and be careful not to buy altcoins
Wait for the market to rebound in February, with a chance to return to $100,000.

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123

Why do poor people lose more in the stock market?

Because they simply can't wait. Rich people have 10 million in their accounts; seizing a good opportunity and making 10% means earning 1 million. But the poor only have 100,000; even if they gain 10,000, it won't fill the gaps in their lives. Thus, they trade desperately, looking for opportunities every day, and in the end, they end up losing more and more.

What truly destroys them is not the market, but the pressure of life combined with the anxiety of trading. They mistakenly believe that trading is like working a job, where they must make money every day to survive.

However, the rhythm of experts is never about winning every day, but rather about fighting once every three years, and getting fully satisfied from that one battle. When the trend comes, they strike with all their might, and after the tide recedes, they practice in empty positions.

🏆Guigu Morning Report 1.19

Good afternoon, brothers,
Yesterday we clearly reminded everyone to pay attention to risks,
Today the market has directly entered a sharp decline mode, I hope everyone listened.

The reason for the decline is the same as we predicted,
The trigger came from Trump, who threatened to impose a 10% tariff on 8 European countries to secure Greenland.

EU representatives held an emergency meeting yesterday,
Their attitude was tough, firmly defending the sovereignty of Greenland and Denmark.
The confrontation between Europe and America is escalating, leading to a crash in the cryptocurrency market!

How to look at the next steps:

1. Pay attention to whether the US and Europe continue to escalate tariffs/countermeasures. If signs of easing appear, consider gradually increasing positions; if conflicts escalate again, continue to maintain a wait-and-see attitude.

2. The market liquidity is relatively weak, more suitable for regular investment in Bitcoin; small funds can participate in Memecoin and interactive airdrop operations.

Last night A7, today A0

All witches were directly hacked by the domain
The dog house is still a dog

Half-time champagne？？？？🐵

[🏋️🏻‍♂️]Guigu Morning News 1.18

Good afternoon, brothers. The market is rebounding strongly,
two negative factors have appeared again.
Are we going to see a big drop next week?

First, Chuanzi is causing trouble.
He threatened to impose a 10% tariff on 8 European countries to achieve the goal of purchasing Greenland.
He said if Greenland is not sold to the United States, then starting from February 1, a 10% tariff will be imposed.
If it still isn’t sold by June 1, the tariff will increase to 25%.
Wow, the world is completely chaotic!
This is simply coercion through military and economic means.
The risk is rising sharply, better to buy some gold to protect assets, the U.S. stock market is likely to drop significantly on Monday.

Secondly, Coinbase is causing trouble.
The Clarity Act, which is positive for the crypto world, has been unilaterally opposed by Coinbase.
The White House is outraged by Coinbase's unilateral actions and is considering withdrawing support for the Clarity Act.
This brings another negative factor.
Last week, institutions bought over 1 billion USD of BTC,
if there are no negative factors next week, it will still rise, but there may be minor negatives.

What should we do next?
(1) Don't buy altcoins, they won't perform in this market; you can short altcoins like Bera that surge wildly.
(2) Buy and hold gold, hold patiently. When the cannon fires, gold will rise significantly; sell when it reaches $5000.
(3) Besides holding BTC, keep some bullets; I am optimistic in the long term, but there is pressure in the short term, and we cannot stay in cash.

......