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I’ve been in crypto for more than 7 years...Here’s 12 brutal mistakes I made (so you don’t have to)) Lesson 1: Chasing pumps is a tax on impatience Every time I rushed into a coin just because it was pumping, I ended up losing. You’re not early. You’re someone else's exit. Lesson 2: Most coins die quietly Most tokens don’t crash — they just slowly fade away. No big news. Just less trading, fewer updates... until they’re worthless. Lesson 3: Stories beat tech I used to back projects with amazing tech. The market backed the ones with the best story. The best product doesn’t always win — the best narrative usually does. Lesson 4: Liquidity is key If you can't sell your token easily, it doesn’t matter how high it goes. It might show a 10x gain, but if you can’t cash out, it’s worthless. Liquidity = freedom. Lesson 5: Most people quit too soon Crypto messes with your emotions. People buy the top, panic sell at the bottom, and then watch the market recover without them. If you stick around, you give yourself a real chance to win. Lesson 6: Take security seriously - I’ve been SIM-swapped. - I’ve been phished. - I’ve lost wallets. Lesson 7: Don’t trade everything Sometimes, the best move is to do nothing. Holding strong projects beats chasing every pump. Traders make the exchanges rich. Patient holders build wealth. Lesson 8: Regulation is coming Governments move slow — but when they act, they hit hard. Lots of “freedom tokens” I used to hold are now banned or delisted. Plan for the future — not just for hype. Lesson 9: Communities are everything A good dev team is great. But a passionate community? That’s what makes projects last. I learned to never underestimate the power of memes and culture. Lesson 10: 100x opportunities don’t last long By the time everyone’s talking about a coin — it’s too late. Big gains come from spotting things early, then holding through the noise. There are no shortcuts. Lesson 11: Bear markets are where winners are made The best time to build and learn is when nobody else is paying attention. That’s when I made my best moves. If you're emotional, you’ll get used as someone else's exit. Lesson 12: Don’t risk everything I’ve seen people lose everything on one bad trade. No matter how sure something seems — don’t bet the house. Play the long game with money you can afford to wait on. 7 years. Countless mistakes. Hard lessons. If even one of these helps you avoid a costly mistake, then it was worth sharing. Follow for more real talk — no hype, just lessons. Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA! 📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.

I’ve been in crypto for more than 7 years...

Here’s 12 brutal mistakes I made (so you don’t have to))

Lesson 1: Chasing pumps is a tax on impatience
Every time I rushed into a coin just because it was pumping, I ended up losing.
You’re not early.
You’re someone else's exit.

Lesson 2: Most coins die quietly
Most tokens don’t crash — they just slowly fade away.
No big news. Just less trading, fewer updates... until they’re worthless.

Lesson 3: Stories beat tech
I used to back projects with amazing tech.
The market backed the ones with the best story.
The best product doesn’t always win — the best narrative usually does.

Lesson 4: Liquidity is key
If you can't sell your token easily, it doesn’t matter how high it goes.
It might show a 10x gain, but if you can’t cash out, it’s worthless.
Liquidity = freedom.

Lesson 5: Most people quit too soon
Crypto messes with your emotions.
People buy the top, panic sell at the bottom, and then watch the market recover without them.
If you stick around, you give yourself a real chance to win.

Lesson 6: Take security seriously
- I’ve been SIM-swapped.
- I’ve been phished.
- I’ve lost wallets.

Lesson 7: Don’t trade everything
Sometimes, the best move is to do nothing.
Holding strong projects beats chasing every pump.
Traders make the exchanges rich. Patient holders build wealth.

Lesson 8: Regulation is coming
Governments move slow — but when they act, they hit hard.
Lots of “freedom tokens” I used to hold are now banned or delisted.
Plan for the future — not just for hype.

Lesson 9: Communities are everything
A good dev team is great.
But a passionate community? That’s what makes projects last.
I learned to never underestimate the power of memes and culture.

Lesson 10: 100x opportunities don’t last long
By the time everyone’s talking about a coin — it’s too late.
Big gains come from spotting things early, then holding through the noise.
There are no shortcuts.

Lesson 11: Bear markets are where winners are made
The best time to build and learn is when nobody else is paying attention.
That’s when I made my best moves.
If you're emotional, you’ll get used as someone else's exit.

Lesson 12: Don’t risk everything
I’ve seen people lose everything on one bad trade.
No matter how sure something seems — don’t bet the house.
Play the long game with money you can afford to wait on.

7 years.
Countless mistakes.
Hard lessons.
If even one of these helps you avoid a costly mistake, then it was worth sharing.
Follow for more real talk — no hype, just lessons.

Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA!
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.
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How Market Cap Works?Many believe the market needs trillions to get the altseason. But $SOL , $ONDO, $WIF , $MKR or any of your low-cap gems don't need new tons of millions to pump. Think a $10 coin at $10M market cap needs another $10M to hit $20? Wrong! Here's the secret I often hear from major traders that the growth of certain altcoins is impossible due to their high market cap. They often say, "It takes $N billion for the price to grow N times" about large assets like Solana. These opinions are incorrect, and I'll explain why ⇩ But first, let's clarify some concepts: Market capitalization is a metric used to estimate the total market value of a cryptocurrency asset. It is determined by two components: ➜ Asset's price ➜ Its supply Price is the point where the demand and supply curves intersect. Therefore, it is determined by both demand and supply. How most people think, even those with years of market experience: ● Example: $STRK at $1 with a 1B Supply = $1B Market Cap. "To double the price, you would need $1B in investments." This seems like a simple logic puzzle, but reality introduces a crucial factor: liquidity. Liquidity in cryptocurrencies refers to the ability to quickly exchange a cryptocurrency at its current market price without a significant loss in value. Those involved in memecoins often encounter this issue: a large market cap but zero liquidity. For trading tokens on exchanges, sufficient liquidity is essential. You can't sell more tokens than the available liquidity permits. Imagine our $STRK for $1 is listed only on 1inch, with $100M available liquidity in the $STRK - $USDC pool. We have: - Price: $1 - Market Cap: $1B - Liquidity in pair: $100M ➜ Based on the price definition, buying $50M worth of $STRK will inevitably double the token price, without needing to inject $1B. The market cap will be set at $2 billion, with only $50 million in infusions. Big players understand these mechanisms and use them in their manipulations, as I explained in my recent thread. Memcoin creators often use this strategy. Typically, most memcoins are listed on one or two decentralized exchanges with limited liquidity pools. This setup allows for significant price manipulation, creating a FOMO among investors. You don't always need multi-billion dollar investments to change the market cap or increase a token's price. Limited liquidity combined with high demand can drive prices up due to basic economic principles. Keep this in mind during your research. I hope you've found this article helpful. Follow me @Bluechip for more. Like/Share if you can #BluechipInsights

How Market Cap Works?

Many believe the market needs trillions to get the altseason.

But $SOL , $ONDO, $WIF , $MKR or any of your low-cap gems don't need new tons of millions to pump.
Think a $10 coin at $10M market cap needs another $10M to hit $20?
Wrong!
Here's the secret

I often hear from major traders that the growth of certain altcoins is impossible due to their high market cap.

They often say, "It takes $N billion for the price to grow N times" about large assets like Solana.

These opinions are incorrect, and I'll explain why ⇩
But first, let's clarify some concepts:

Market capitalization is a metric used to estimate the total market value of a cryptocurrency asset.

It is determined by two components:

➜ Asset's price
➜ Its supply

Price is the point where the demand and supply curves intersect.

Therefore, it is determined by both demand and supply.

How most people think, even those with years of market experience:

● Example:
$STRK at $1 with a 1B Supply = $1B Market Cap.
"To double the price, you would need $1B in investments."

This seems like a simple logic puzzle, but reality introduces a crucial factor: liquidity.

Liquidity in cryptocurrencies refers to the ability to quickly exchange a cryptocurrency at its current market price without a significant loss in value.

Those involved in memecoins often encounter this issue: a large market cap but zero liquidity.

For trading tokens on exchanges, sufficient liquidity is essential. You can't sell more tokens than the available liquidity permits.

Imagine our $STRK for $1 is listed only on 1inch, with $100M available liquidity in the $STRK - $USDC pool.
We have:
- Price: $1
- Market Cap: $1B
- Liquidity in pair: $100M
➜ Based on the price definition, buying $50M worth of $STRK will inevitably double the token price, without needing to inject $1B.

The market cap will be set at $2 billion, with only $50 million in infusions.
Big players understand these mechanisms and use them in their manipulations, as I explained in my recent thread.
Memcoin creators often use this strategy.

Typically, most memcoins are listed on one or two decentralized exchanges with limited liquidity pools.

This setup allows for significant price manipulation, creating a FOMO among investors.

You don't always need multi-billion dollar investments to change the market cap or increase a token's price.

Limited liquidity combined with high demand can drive prices up due to basic economic principles. Keep this in mind during your research.
I hope you've found this article helpful.
Follow me @Bluechip for more.
Like/Share if you can
#BluechipInsights
Yen Intervention Trap – USD Liquidity Flood Mapped 🚨 ARITHMETIC IS MERCILESS : Jan 25, 2026. USDJPY cracks 155.90 (Bloomberg), biggest day surge in 6mo on BOJ/MoF intervention whispers. NY Fed rate checks = pre-strike signal, first joint US-Japan since Plaza '85. Solo Japan fails ('22, '24 interventions fizzled); coordinated? Dollar down 50% post-'85, gold/comms/non-US assets pumped. Trap: $14T JGB derivs repriced at BOJ 0.75%, yen carry unwind ($300B+ est.) forces asset dumps short-term. 1/ Macro Asymétrie : Fed creates USD, sells for JPY – weakens DXY (already -10% '25), spikes global liq. TGA rebuild offsets shutdown risks, but dovish pivot Q2 '26 (80% odds) amplifies. BTC inverse USD corr 0.92 (record highs vs JPY positive). Prédiction #1: Joint intervene by Feb 15 → DXY <95, BTC gap $95k (delete if DXY >97). 2/ Géo-Sovereign Pivot : Not charity saves US Tsy from Japan dump (10% holdings). China watches: Gallium/silver bans (MOFCOM #68) + Taiwan drills. Houthis Eilat choke (-22%) reroutes via Berbera. Energy nexus: Zaporizhzhia BTC mining bids (IAEA pending) hedges yen stress. 3/ Crypto Edge : Carry flush risks -15% BTC dip (Aug '24 echo: $64k→$49k, $600B wipe). But post-flush: Dollar debase = BTC reprice to '25 ATHs. MicroStrategy 671k BTC at parity; ETF inflows $25B YTD absorb. Prédiction #2: Yen +5% Q1 → BTC +20% lag (or thread gone). 4/ Reconstruction Map : Collapse: Carry traps burst. Rebuild: Multipolar liq flood, crypto as debase hedge. Arbitrage: Long BTC dips, short JPY carry vol. Full falsifiables in Substack mirror. Bookmark the flood. Query? We carve.
Yen Intervention Trap – USD Liquidity Flood Mapped

🚨 ARITHMETIC IS MERCILESS : Jan 25, 2026. USDJPY cracks 155.90 (Bloomberg), biggest day surge in 6mo on BOJ/MoF intervention whispers.

NY Fed rate checks = pre-strike signal, first joint US-Japan since Plaza '85. Solo Japan fails ('22, '24 interventions fizzled); coordinated? Dollar down 50% post-'85, gold/comms/non-US assets pumped. Trap: $14T JGB derivs repriced at BOJ 0.75%, yen carry unwind ($300B+ est.) forces asset dumps short-term.

1/ Macro Asymétrie : Fed creates USD, sells for JPY – weakens DXY (already -10% '25), spikes global liq. TGA rebuild offsets shutdown risks, but dovish pivot Q2 '26 (80% odds) amplifies. BTC inverse USD corr 0.92 (record highs vs JPY positive). Prédiction #1: Joint intervene by Feb 15 → DXY <95, BTC gap $95k (delete if DXY >97).

2/ Géo-Sovereign Pivot : Not charity saves US Tsy from Japan dump (10% holdings). China watches: Gallium/silver bans (MOFCOM #68) + Taiwan drills. Houthis Eilat choke (-22%) reroutes via Berbera. Energy nexus: Zaporizhzhia BTC mining bids (IAEA pending) hedges yen stress.

3/ Crypto Edge : Carry flush risks -15% BTC dip (Aug '24 echo: $64k→$49k, $600B wipe). But post-flush: Dollar debase = BTC reprice to '25 ATHs.
MicroStrategy 671k BTC at parity; ETF inflows $25B YTD absorb. Prédiction #2: Yen +5% Q1 → BTC +20% lag (or thread gone).

4/ Reconstruction Map : Collapse: Carry traps burst. Rebuild: Multipolar liq flood, crypto as debase hedge. Arbitrage: Long BTC dips, short JPY carry vol. Full falsifiables in Substack mirror.

Bookmark the flood. Query? We carve.
🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING HELD IN PLACE, BUT IT’S ABOUT TO BREAK If you’re wondering why BTC feels stuck between $85k & $95k while everything else is going up… I have the data right here. And the magnetic pull holding us back expires in only 4 days. Here’s what’s about to happen: Bitcoin is currently caught in a massive options web. Look at the chart below, the concentration for JANUARY 30 is nearly double anything else… Market makers are currently in a "Long Gamma" position in this range. – As price rips: They’re forced to sell to stay hedged. – As price dips: They’re forced to buy to stay hedged. It’s the reason why every pump gets immediately rejected and every dump gets bought up instantly. It’s not weak buyers, it’s forced dealer activity. The chart shows a massive MAJOR UNWIND on January 30. As we approach this date, the "Price Pin" starts to vanish. Once these options expire, the hedges are gone, and the mechanical selling that’s been suppressing our rallies DISAPPEARS. We go from a pinned market to a released market. When that much gamma leaves the system at once, the move is usually fast and violent…
🚨 BITCOIN IS BEING HELD IN PLACE, BUT IT’S ABOUT TO BREAK

If you’re wondering why BTC feels stuck between $85k & $95k while everything else is going up…

I have the data right here.

And the magnetic pull holding us back expires in only 4 days.

Here’s what’s about to happen:

Bitcoin is currently caught in a massive options web.

Look at the chart below, the concentration for JANUARY 30 is nearly double anything else…

Market makers are currently in a "Long Gamma" position in this range.

– As price rips: They’re forced to sell to stay hedged.
– As price dips: They’re forced to buy to stay hedged.

It’s the reason why every pump gets immediately rejected and every dump gets bought up instantly.

It’s not weak buyers, it’s forced dealer activity.

The chart shows a massive MAJOR UNWIND on January 30.

As we approach this date, the "Price Pin" starts to vanish.

Once these options expire, the hedges are gone, and the mechanical selling that’s been suppressing our rallies DISAPPEARS.

We go from a pinned market to a released market.

When that much gamma leaves the system at once, the move is usually fast and violent…
China’s M2 is now approximately 2.2x larger than that of the United States.The divergence begins around 2009 the same period that marks the transition to a liquidity-driven global system. Monetary structure changes first. Asset repricing follows. Let’s understand this shift in more detail. China’s growing dominance China currently represents 37.2% of global M2 liquidity. Since 2009, China has relied increasingly on credit expansion as a core policy tool, using its banking system to stabilize growth during downturns. This dominance is not cyclical. It is structural. The declining U.S. share The United States now accounts for only 17.1% of global M2. For historical context: In 2005, the U.S. held 26.4% of global monetary dominance. The global liquidity center has gradually shifted east. How China injects liquidity China’s monetary expansion occurs in credit waves, visible in the YoY changes of the People’s Bank of China. Each acceleration phase reflects policy intervention aimed at offsetting economic slowdown, particularly in real estate and infrastructure. Liquidity is deployed reactively but at scale. Absolute scale matters Central Bank balance sheet (China): China’s central bank balance sheet expanded from roughly 3T to over 7T in just over a decade. M2: Over the same period, China’s M2 grew from approximately 10T to 49T. This is not merely economic growth. It reflects a system increasingly dependent on monetary expansion to maintain stability. Liquidity is no longer a cycle. It is the framework. Why this matters Since 2009, China has increasingly taken center stage in global liquidity creation. The global monetary system has shifted from a U.S.-centric model to a liquidity-multipolar structure, with China emerging as the largest contributor by volume not through markets, but through sustained credit expansion. This shift is not ideological. It is mechanical. When growth slows, liquidity expansion becomes the primary policy response. Understanding where liquidity is created, how it is transmitted, and which system ultimately absorbs it is essential to understanding future asset repricing. Monetary structure moves first. Markets adjust later.

China’s M2 is now approximately 2.2x larger than that of the United States.

The divergence begins around 2009 the same period that marks the transition to a liquidity-driven global system.

Monetary structure changes first.
Asset repricing follows.
Let’s understand this shift in more detail.

China’s growing dominance

China currently represents 37.2% of global M2 liquidity.

Since 2009, China has relied increasingly on credit expansion as a core policy tool, using its banking system to stabilize growth during downturns.

This dominance is not cyclical.
It is structural.

The declining U.S. share

The United States now accounts for only 17.1% of global M2.

For historical context:
In 2005, the U.S. held 26.4% of global monetary dominance.
The global liquidity center has gradually shifted east.

How China injects liquidity

China’s monetary expansion occurs in credit waves, visible in the YoY changes of the People’s Bank of China.

Each acceleration phase reflects policy intervention aimed at offsetting economic slowdown, particularly in real estate and infrastructure.

Liquidity is deployed reactively but at scale.

Absolute scale matters

Central Bank balance sheet (China):
China’s central bank balance sheet expanded from roughly 3T to over 7T in just over a decade.
M2:
Over the same period, China’s M2 grew from approximately 10T to 49T.

This is not merely economic growth.
It reflects a system increasingly dependent on monetary expansion to maintain stability.
Liquidity is no longer a cycle.
It is the framework.

Why this matters

Since 2009, China has increasingly taken center stage in global liquidity creation.

The global monetary system has shifted from a U.S.-centric model to a liquidity-multipolar structure, with China emerging as the largest contributor by volume not through markets, but through sustained credit expansion.

This shift is not ideological.
It is mechanical.
When growth slows, liquidity expansion becomes the primary policy response.

Understanding where liquidity is created, how it is transmitted, and which system ultimately absorbs it is essential to understanding future asset repricing.

Monetary structure moves first.
Markets adjust later.
$BTC We can see 2 things next week. Scenario 1: We start the new weekly candle with an upward push from the Monday high, then reverse back down into lower demand areas. Scenario 2: We begin the weekly candle with a downward move, taking out long positions first, then reverse upward toward the 28th pivot. From there, we start another push down heading into early February.
$BTC

We can see 2 things next week.

Scenario 1:
We start the new weekly candle with an upward push from the Monday high, then reverse back down into lower demand areas.

Scenario 2:
We begin the weekly candle with a downward move, taking out long positions first, then reverse upward toward the 28th pivot. From there, we start another push down heading into early February.
Bluechip
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$BTC

Give it some time... 84-86K. ⏳
$BTC You know I don’t trade on weekends; the only time I look for gaps is late Sunday evening into Monday. Gaps tend to have a high probability of filling, and with FOMC coming up next week, I wouldn’t be surprised if this one fills fairly quickly.
$BTC

You know I don’t trade on weekends; the only time I look for gaps is late Sunday evening into Monday.

Gaps tend to have a high probability of filling, and with FOMC coming up next week, I wouldn’t be surprised if this one fills fairly quickly.
Bluechip
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$BTC

CME closed at 89265. Likely gets filled either this week or next week with FOMC approaching.
WHEN ALTSEASON?This is a great ALTS/BTC chart ($TOTAL3ESBTC). It excludes stablecoins and is priced in BTC. Obviously, you want your Alt to outpace BTC to be considered a proper altseason, without the noise of stablecoins, and that's what this chart shows. I have no doubt we will see another altseason. ---->The big question is WHEN? <---- Compare the magnitude of 2017 and 2021 altseasons with the most recent 5 years and it becomes obvious what altcoin holders are looking for. Here's the facts regarding this chart: • The chart has been dropping for 5 years (the major, descending trend line has not been broken in 5 years). Hence, no MAJOR altseason since 2021. • The biggest recent "Altseason" was at the very end of 2024. You can see this reflected by a small pump, but then it got rejected from the diagonal trend line. It wasn't a full-blown Altseason like in 2017 and 2021. • Recently, the chart is consolidating into a tighter & tighter range, suggesting a breakout move soon. But which direction? I drew 3 scenarios (A, B, C). Will it break up immediately (Scenario A), or drop down to the yellow support and then bounce (Scenario B), or will it drop all way down to the blue support before finding a bottom and heading up (Scenario C)? If you're holding alts right now, you are counting on Scenario A to occur, otherwise your alt will likely bleed until the breakout in Scenarios B or C occur. I personally think it will be B or C, based on where BTC is in its cycle (I think there's a decent chance the top is in), and due to the risk-off nature of the general economy (high Fed Funds Rate and low ISM PMI). Obviously, people holding alts think the BTC top is not in and are counting on that fact, because if BTC doesn't pump to new ATHs, then alts won't experience a massive altseason like in 2017 and 2021. Also, worth noting is the diminishing nature of the altseason from 2017 to 2021. It's possible that the next altseason could be smaller than 2021's, but this is not a lot of data points so it's just an observation. I'd still expect the next proper altseason to be larger than what we saw at the end of 2024. imo, what needs to happen for a proper, massive altseason? I think we need to see: 1. A fully risk-on environment (Fed Funds rate dropping-- perhaps this will happen later in 2026), and 2. The "Business Cycle" (ISM's PMI) well into positive territory (it's currently negative, and close to neutral). See the second chart for the ISM's PMI as it relates to past crypto altcoin cycles. It becomes pretty clear that the current environment is not like the past Altseasons. The high Fed Funds rate doesn't help. What do you think? Scenario A, B or C?

WHEN ALTSEASON?

This is a great ALTS/BTC chart ($TOTAL3ESBTC). It excludes stablecoins and is priced in BTC.

Obviously, you want your Alt to outpace BTC to be considered a proper altseason, without the noise of stablecoins, and that's what this chart shows.

I have no doubt we will see another altseason.

---->The big question is WHEN? <----

Compare the magnitude of 2017 and 2021 altseasons with the most recent 5 years and it becomes obvious what altcoin holders are looking for.

Here's the facts regarding this chart:
• The chart has been dropping for 5 years (the major, descending trend line has not been broken in 5 years). Hence, no MAJOR altseason since 2021.
• The biggest recent "Altseason" was at the very end of 2024. You can see this reflected by a small pump, but then it got rejected from the diagonal trend line. It wasn't a full-blown Altseason like in 2017 and 2021.
• Recently, the chart is consolidating into a tighter & tighter range, suggesting a breakout move soon. But which direction?

I drew 3 scenarios (A, B, C).

Will it break up immediately (Scenario A), or drop down to the yellow support and then bounce (Scenario B), or will it drop all way down to the blue support before finding a bottom and heading up (Scenario C)?

If you're holding alts right now, you are counting on Scenario A to occur, otherwise your alt will likely bleed until the breakout in Scenarios B or C occur.

I personally think it will be B or C, based on where BTC is in its cycle (I think there's a decent chance the top is in), and due to the risk-off nature of the general economy (high Fed Funds Rate and low ISM PMI).

Obviously, people holding alts think the BTC top is not in and are counting on that fact, because if BTC doesn't pump to new ATHs, then alts won't experience a massive altseason like in 2017 and 2021.

Also, worth noting is the diminishing nature of the altseason from 2017 to 2021. It's possible that the next altseason could be smaller than 2021's, but this is not a lot of data points so it's just an observation. I'd still expect the next proper altseason to be larger than what we saw at the end of 2024.

imo, what needs to happen for a proper, massive altseason?

I think we need to see:
1. A fully risk-on environment (Fed Funds rate dropping-- perhaps this will happen later in 2026), and
2. The "Business Cycle" (ISM's PMI) well into positive territory (it's currently negative, and close to neutral).

See the second chart for the ISM's PMI as it relates to past crypto altcoin cycles. It becomes pretty clear that the current environment is not like the past Altseasons. The high Fed Funds rate doesn't help.

What do you think? Scenario A, B or C?
⚡️JUST IN: Michael Saylor hints at fresh Bitcoin buys with “Unstoppable Orange”
⚡️JUST IN: Michael Saylor hints at fresh Bitcoin buys with “Unstoppable Orange”
$BTC CME closed at 89265. Likely gets filled either this week or next week with FOMC approaching.
$BTC

CME closed at 89265. Likely gets filled either this week or next week with FOMC approaching.
🚨 BREAKING: THE GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 6 DAYS? The last time they shut down, gold and silver jumped to new all-time highs. But if you’re holding other assets like stocks, you need to be extremely careful… Because we’re heading into a total data blackout. Here are the 4 specific threats: – The Data: No CPI or jobs reports leaves the Fed and risk models unable to see what’s going on. Volatility (VIX) must reprice higher to account for the uncertainty. – Collateral Shock: With previous credit warnings, a shutdown could trigger a downgrade. This would spike repo margins and destroy liquidity. – Liquidity Freeze: The RRP buffer is dry. There's no safety net left. If dealers start hoarding cash, the funding markets seize up. – Recession Trigger: The economy loses ~0.2% GDP per week of shutdown, potentially tipping a stalling economy into a technical recession. In the last major funding stress (March 2020), the spread between SOFR and IORB blew out. Watch the SOFR-IORB spread. If it starts gapping, it means the private market is starving for cash even while the Fed sits on a mountain of it. We saw this in 2020. This sounds scary, but don’t worry I’ll keep you updated on everything. $BTC
🚨 BREAKING: THE GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 6 DAYS?

The last time they shut down, gold and silver jumped to new all-time highs.

But if you’re holding other assets like stocks, you need to be extremely careful…

Because we’re heading into a total data blackout.

Here are the 4 specific threats:

– The Data: No CPI or jobs reports leaves the Fed and risk models unable to see what’s going on. Volatility (VIX) must reprice higher to account for the uncertainty.

– Collateral Shock: With previous credit warnings, a shutdown could trigger a downgrade. This would spike repo margins and destroy liquidity.

– Liquidity Freeze: The RRP buffer is dry. There's no safety net left. If dealers start hoarding cash, the funding markets seize up.

– Recession Trigger: The economy loses ~0.2% GDP per week of shutdown, potentially tipping a stalling economy into a technical recession.

In the last major funding stress (March 2020), the spread between SOFR and IORB blew out.

Watch the SOFR-IORB spread. If it starts gapping, it means the private market is starving for cash even while the Fed sits on a mountain of it. We saw this in 2020.

This sounds scary, but don’t worry I’ll keep you updated on everything.
$BTC
Air traffic has returned to normal after the suspension. I think they received alerts that nothing will happen for now. This fear will continue every weekend, because if a strike happens, it has to be while markets are closed. $BTC
Air traffic has returned to normal after the suspension.

I think they received alerts that nothing will happen for now.

This fear will continue every weekend, because if a strike happens, it has to be while markets are closed.
$BTC
Bluechip
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$BTC

Give it some time... 84-86K. ⏳
🚨 BREAKING: US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IS CONFIRMED FOR JANUARY 31! Polymarket is pricing an 85% chance of another US government shutdown by January 31. Read this again. 84% And if you forgot what a shutdown really does, look at 2025. - 43 DAY SHUTDOWN - 2.8% GDP HIT - $34B GONE - 670,000 FED WORKERS SENT HOME That is not “politics”. That is real damage. Now here is why the odds are SKYROCKETING. After the Minneapolis Border Patrol shooting, Democrats are starting to weaponize it into blocking the DHS bill on the Senate floor. That one statement explains a lot. Because DHS funding is the fuse. If DHS stalls, you get a partial shutdown clock ticking into the deadline. And a shutdown is not just “people staying home”. - Paychecks get delayed. - Contracts get delayed. - Approvals get delayed. - Data gets delayed. The economy slows from pure uncertainty. Then the market reaction is always the same. - Bonds move first. - Stocks react later. - Crypto gets the violent move first. Almost no one is paying attention right now. Markets are not pricing it. But they will. $BTC
🚨
BREAKING: US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IS CONFIRMED FOR JANUARY 31!

Polymarket is pricing an 85% chance of another US government shutdown by January 31.

Read this again.

84%

And if you forgot what a shutdown really does, look at 2025.

- 43 DAY SHUTDOWN
- 2.8% GDP HIT
- $34B GONE
- 670,000 FED WORKERS SENT HOME

That is not “politics”.

That is real damage.

Now here is why the odds are SKYROCKETING.

After the Minneapolis Border Patrol shooting, Democrats are starting to weaponize it into blocking the DHS bill on the Senate floor.

That one statement explains a lot.

Because DHS funding is the fuse.
If DHS stalls, you get a partial shutdown clock ticking into the deadline.

And a shutdown is not just “people staying home”.

- Paychecks get delayed.
- Contracts get delayed.
- Approvals get delayed.
- Data gets delayed.

The economy slows from pure uncertainty.

Then the market reaction is always the same.

- Bonds move first.
- Stocks react later.
- Crypto gets the violent move first.

Almost no one is paying attention right now.
Markets are not pricing it.

But they will.
$BTC
I said it once but I will say it again... If we happen to get sub $70K this year, I will be buying all your $BTC .
I said it once but I will say it again...

If we happen to get sub $70K this year, I will be buying all your $BTC .
Entry (Buy) Rules: Wait for the 20 EMA to cross above the 50 EMA. Ensure RSI (14) is above 50. Buy when the price touches the 20 EMA and RSI is still above 50. Exit (Stoploss) Rules: Exit if the 20 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA, or If the price drops below the 50 EMA. This strategy helps traders catch pullbacks in an uptrend with confirmation from the RSI. $BTC
Entry (Buy) Rules:

Wait for the 20 EMA to cross above the 50 EMA.

Ensure RSI (14) is above 50.

Buy when the price touches the 20 EMA and RSI is still above 50.

Exit (Stoploss) Rules:

Exit if the 20 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA, or

If the price drops below the 50 EMA.

This strategy helps traders catch pullbacks in an uptrend with confirmation from the RSI.
$BTC
$BTC Give it some time... 84-86K. ⏳
$BTC

Give it some time... 84-86K. ⏳
For 4 months straight, $BTC has nuked 15/16 times. If you could identify where BTC was likely to reject on Monday, you would have won nearly every trade.
For 4 months straight, $BTC has nuked 15/16 times.

If you could identify where BTC was likely to reject on Monday, you would have won nearly every trade.
Stores of Value Through the Lens of History… Are the Rules of the Game Changing?When we compare the financial landscape between 2021 and 2026, we discover that we are living through a historic shift in how “financial safety” is defined. Numbers don’t lie and they reveal three major truths: 1. Precious Metals… “The Giant That Woke Up” In 2021, the market capitalization of so-called “stores of value” (precious metals) stood at $12 trillion. Today, in 2026, that figure has surged to $40 trillion. This is not just a price increase it is a mass exodus toward tangible assets as fiat currencies steadily lose purchasing power. 2. Crypto… A Phase of Maturity or Stabilization? ₿ While metals exploded in value, the total market cap of cryptocurrencies remained relatively stable around $3 trillion (with volatility pushing it to $3.9 trillion at its peak). The market appears to be clearly distinguishing between high-risk technological assets and traditional safe havens during periods of major systemic stress. 3. Central Banks… A Liquidity Arms Race Behind these assets stand massive balance sheets controlled by central banks, as discussed previously: The European Central Bank leads with $7.1 trillion China follows closely with $6.6 trillion The U.S. Federal Reserve ranks third at $6.5 trillion Bottom Line We are witnessing a comprehensive restructuring of trust. The world is gravitating toward assets that cannot be printed or replicated at the push of a button. When precious metals more than triple in value over five years, it signals that markets are no longer betting on “growth” they are betting on survival. Consider this: If gold and silver represent $40 trillion, while major central banks hold around $20 trillion in paper-based balance sheets… Where do you think liquidity will flow over the next five years? Share your perspective: Has the window for hedging with metals already closed, or has the real journey only just begun? $BTC

Stores of Value Through the Lens of History… Are the Rules of the Game Changing?

When we compare the financial landscape between 2021 and 2026,
we discover that we are living through a historic shift in how “financial safety” is defined.
Numbers don’t lie and they reveal three major truths:
1. Precious Metals… “The Giant That Woke Up”
In 2021, the market capitalization of so-called “stores of value” (precious metals) stood at $12 trillion.
Today, in 2026, that figure has surged to $40 trillion.
This is not just a price increase it is a mass exodus toward tangible assets as fiat currencies steadily lose purchasing power.
2. Crypto… A Phase of Maturity or Stabilization? ₿
While metals exploded in value, the total market cap of cryptocurrencies remained relatively stable around $3 trillion
(with volatility pushing it to $3.9 trillion at its peak).
The market appears to be clearly distinguishing between high-risk technological assets
and traditional safe havens during periods of major systemic stress.
3. Central Banks… A Liquidity Arms Race
Behind these assets stand massive balance sheets controlled by central banks, as discussed previously:
The European Central Bank leads with $7.1 trillion
China follows closely with $6.6 trillion
The U.S. Federal Reserve ranks third at $6.5 trillion
Bottom Line
We are witnessing a comprehensive restructuring of trust.
The world is gravitating toward assets that cannot be printed or replicated at the push of a button.
When precious metals more than triple in value over five years, it signals that markets are no longer betting on “growth” they are betting on survival.
Consider this:
If gold and silver represent $40 trillion, while major central banks hold around $20 trillion in paper-based balance sheets…
Where do you think liquidity will flow over the next five years?
Share your perspective:
Has the window for hedging with metals already closed,
or has the real journey only just begun?
$BTC
$BTC We have some low/high leverage long positions at 85-86K with a decent amount of shorts at 92-94K. My eyes are set on the lower levels, but as we move into the 28th pivot, there’s a chance we push upward first before sweeping the lower liquidations.
$BTC

We have some low/high leverage long positions at 85-86K with a decent amount of shorts at 92-94K.

My eyes are set on the lower levels, but as we move into the 28th pivot, there’s a chance we push upward first before sweeping the lower liquidations.
BREAKING : Russia has sold over 71% of its gold reserves inside the National Wealth Fund to financeThe National Wealth Fund is Russia’s emergency cash reserve. It is the pool used to cover budget gaps when oil revenues fall or spending explodes. Before the war, this fund held more than $113 billion in liquid assets. Today, it is close to $50 billion. More than half of Russia’s financial buffer is already gone. At the same time, Russia’s military budget is now larger than its total oil and gas revenue. For decades, oil paid for everything. Now war costs more than energy earns. Oil and gas revenue is collapsing: - Down 22% year-over-year in 2025 - November alone was down 34% - Discounts on Russian crude keep increasing - Sanctions are tightening logistics and payments Meanwhile, the budget deficit has exploded: Planned: 1.2 trillion rubles Revised: 5.7 trillion rubles That is a 5x jump in one year. This is why Russia is selling its gold inside the NWF. At current burn rates, economists estimate the liquid part of the fund runs out around mid 2026. That is the real timeline the market should be watching. When that happens, Russia faces only four choices: 1. Cut war spending 2. Print money → higher inflation 3. Raise taxes → recession risk 4. Increase domestic debt → rising interest costs None of these are painless. Russia is already isolated. But it is a global commodity risk. Because Russia still controls: - 40% of uranium enrichment - 24% of global wheat exports - 18% of fertilizers - 40% of palladium supply So the danger is not financial contagion. The danger is supply shocks. Russia is running out of money. But it still controls critical resources. $BTC

BREAKING : Russia has sold over 71% of its gold reserves inside the National Wealth Fund to finance

The National Wealth Fund is Russia’s emergency cash reserve. It is the pool used to cover budget gaps when oil revenues fall or spending explodes. Before the war, this fund held more than $113 billion in liquid assets. Today, it is close to $50 billion. More than half of Russia’s financial buffer is already gone.

At the same time, Russia’s military budget is now larger than its total oil and gas revenue.

For decades, oil paid for everything. Now war costs more than energy earns.

Oil and gas revenue is collapsing:

- Down 22% year-over-year in 2025
- November alone was down 34%
- Discounts on Russian crude keep increasing
- Sanctions are tightening logistics and payments

Meanwhile, the budget deficit has exploded:

Planned: 1.2 trillion rubles

Revised: 5.7 trillion rubles
That is a 5x jump in one year.

This is why Russia is selling its gold inside the NWF.

At current burn rates, economists estimate the liquid part of the fund runs out around mid 2026. That is the real timeline the market should be watching.

When that happens, Russia faces only four choices:

1. Cut war spending
2. Print money → higher inflation
3. Raise taxes → recession risk
4. Increase domestic debt → rising interest costs

None of these are painless. Russia is already isolated. But it is a global commodity risk.

Because Russia still controls:

- 40% of uranium enrichment
- 24% of global wheat exports
- 18% of fertilizers
- 40% of palladium supply

So the danger is not financial contagion. The danger is supply shocks. Russia is running out of money. But it still controls critical resources.
$BTC
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