Everyone right now thinks that gold is a buying opportunity… and that’s exactly what worries me.
Why?
$PAXG Because the price is currently holding at a strong support around 4020, which makes most traders think in the same way:
“Price dropped a lot.”
“Reached support.”
“Of course it will go up.”
#paxag But the market doesn’t work that simply.
If you look at the price structure, you’ll find that the 4-hour trend is still bearish, and the highs and lows are still forming in a negative way.
That’s why I believe any rise from the current area isn’t necessarily the start of a brand-new bullish trend.
On the contrary…
It might just be a retest of the supply zones:
📍 4090 - 4130
📍 4205 - 4278
And for me, these are likely areas where sellers could step back in again.
The scenario I’m watching:
✔️ A bounce from the current support.
✔️ A rally to trick buyers and give the impression that the drop is over.
✔️ Then the bearish move continues toward the 3690 - 3620 zones.
Of course, this is just a scenario and personal analysis, and the market can dismiss any idea in a second.
But what really surprises me is how many people are entering buy trades with full confidence, as if the rise is guaranteed.
The market rewards analysis… not wishes.
Write your expectation:
🔥 4300 first
or
📉 3690 first
#تابع_واربح #المايسترو $PAXG