#cryptanov
cryptanov
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Hi Square! I'm Cryptanov, and I run CAFE (Crypto ATR Fractal Engine): a system that looks for spots where price, on its way to a level, reverses more often than it continues.
What you'll find here:
• daily forward-test results, wins and losses, nothing hidden;
• popular trading myths tested on 5 years of data;
• candles and coins broken down with numbers, not beliefs.
Measure, don't believe. Possibly the only honest crypto CAFE.
#Cryptanov #CAFE #BTC #trading
Hi Square! I'm Cryptanov, and I run CAFE (Crypto ATR Fractal Engine): a system that looks for spots where price, on its way to a level, reverses more often than it continues.
What you'll find here:
• daily forward-test results, wins and losses, nothing hidden;
• popular trading myths tested on 5 years of data;
• candles and coins broken down with numbers, not beliefs.
Measure, don't believe. Possibly the only honest crypto CAFE.
#Cryptanov #CAFE #BTC #trading
What you'll find here:
• daily forward-test results, wins and losses, nothing hidden;
• popular trading myths tested on 5 years of data;
• candles and coins broken down with numbers, not beliefs.
Measure, don't believe. Possibly the only honest crypto CAFE.
#Cryptanov #CAFE #BTC #trading
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Article
A trend-following strategy that stood the test of 5 years: I’m sharing the whole thingI’ve spent a year working on my system. I’m not revealing how it works—that’s how I make a living. But I’ve always wondered: does trend-following actually work? Everyone says, “The trend is your friend.”
I tested it. Honestly, including fees, on 34 Binance coins from December 2021 to September 2026. Hundreds of variations: breakouts, EMAs, channels, candlestick patterns. After fees, almost everything was unprofitable or around breakeven.
A trend-following strategy that stood the test of 5 years: I’m sharing the whole thing
I’ve spent a year working on my system. I’m not revealing how it works—that’s how I make a living. But I’ve always wondered: does trend-following actually work? Everyone says, “The trend is your friend.”
I tested it. Honestly, including fees, on 34 Binance coins from December 2021 to September 2026. Hundreds of variations: breakouts, EMAs, channels, candlestick patterns. After fees, almost everything was unprofitable or around breakeven.
I tested it. Honestly, including fees, on 34 Binance coins from December 2021 to September 2026. Hundreds of variations: breakouts, EMAs, channels, candlestick patterns. After fees, almost everything was unprofitable or around breakeven.
НейроМатематик:
Спасибо, очень подробно, теперь всё понятно 🤝 Ушёл проверять, вернусь с результатами.
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Bitcoin: Is the decline over or not?$BTC Below 70,000: the knockout candle we were waiting for. And why this might not be over yet
Yesterday I wrote: the trend filter has been blocking longs for almost a day, BTC and ETH have reached an important level, and at times like these there’s often one more candle down—a knockout blow.
It happened today. BTC plunged below 70,000, hitting a low of 67,449. That’s nearly −9% from the November 11 close.
Bitcoin: Is the decline over or not?
$BTC Below 70,000: the knockout candle we were waiting for. And why this might not be over yet
Yesterday I wrote: the trend filter has been blocking longs for almost a day, BTC and ETH have reached an important level, and at times like these there’s often one more candle down—a knockout blow.
It happened today. BTC plunged below 70,000, hitting a low of 67,449. That’s nearly −9% from the November 11 close.
Yesterday I wrote: the trend filter has been blocking longs for almost a day, BTC and ETH have reached an important level, and at times like these there’s often one more candle down—a knockout blow.
It happened today. BTC plunged below 70,000, hitting a low of 67,449. That’s nearly −9% from the November 11 close.
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Article
Lines drawn 3 years ago — and what a 5-year check revealed 📐I drew these lines on Bitcoin in 2023, when
it was breaking out of the 20,000 zone. The horizontal line at 69,000 marks the 2021 high. The diagonal lines start from the low of 15,476.
And in the last few days, we spoke directly about the decline:
• 12.11 — the trend filter ruled out longs, BTC was at an important level, and “there’s often one more final candle down”;
Lines drawn 3 years ago — and what a 5-year check revealed 📐
I drew these lines on Bitcoin in 2023, when
it was breaking out of the 20,000 zone. The horizontal line at 69,000 marks the 2021 high. The diagonal lines start from the low of 15,476.
And in the last few days, we spoke directly about the decline:
• 12.11 — the trend filter ruled out longs, BTC was at an important level, and “there’s often one more final candle down”;
it was breaking out of the 20,000 zone. The horizontal line at 69,000 marks the 2021 high. The diagonal lines start from the low of 15,476.
And in the last few days, we spoke directly about the decline:
• 12.11 — the trend filter ruled out longs, BTC was at an important level, and “there’s often one more final candle down”;
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Bitcoin lines drawn 3 years ago 📐
I drew them in 2023. In February 2026, the low came right at 60,000 — on the downward-sloping line. Now 69,000 has broken to the downside, and the bounce from below didn’t hold. And in recent days, we warned of a decline — it’s unfolding step by step.
I checked 5 years of BTC data:
• price tends to stay within a line like this twice as long;
• after a breakout, a retest happens in 93% of cases;
• but a bounce or a breakout is a 50/50 call.
My scenario: 65 → 60 → 55–48K by spring 2027, then a new high above 125K in 2028–2029. Invalidated if BTC holds above 71,000 on the daily chart. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
More details in the article on my profile. Shall we discuss? 👇
#BTC #биткоин #теханализ #cryptanov
Bitcoin lines drawn 3 years ago 📐
I drew them in 2023. In February 2026, the low came right at 60,000 — on the downward-sloping line. Now 69,000 has broken to the downside, and the bounce from below didn’t hold. And in recent days, we warned of a decline — it’s unfolding step by step.
I checked 5 years of BTC data:
• price tends to stay within a line like this twice as long;
• after a breakout, a retest happens in 93% of cases;
• but a bounce or a breakout is a 50/50 call.
My scenario: 65 → 60 → 55–48K by spring 2027, then a new high above 125K in 2028–2029. Invalidated if BTC holds above 71,000 on the daily chart. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
More details in the article on my profile. Shall we discuss? 👇
#BTC #биткоин #теханализ #cryptanov
I drew them in 2023. In February 2026, the low came right at 60,000 — on the downward-sloping line. Now 69,000 has broken to the downside, and the bounce from below didn’t hold. And in recent days, we warned of a decline — it’s unfolding step by step.
I checked 5 years of BTC data:
• price tends to stay within a line like this twice as long;
• after a breakout, a retest happens in 93% of cases;
• but a bounce or a breakout is a 50/50 call.
My scenario: 65 → 60 → 55–48K by spring 2027, then a new high above 125K in 2028–2029. Invalidated if BTC holds above 71,000 on the daily chart. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
More details in the article on my profile. Shall we discuss? 👇
#BTC #биткоин #теханализ #cryptanov
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