oct14

🚨 CPI OCT 14 - 3.7% EXPECTED - WILL BTC BREAK $80K OR $90K?

BTC $83,944 +1.02% as we enter CPI week

CPI Sep:
- Expected 0.6% m/m (was 0.4%)
- Expected 3.7% y/y (was 3.4%)
- Core expected 2.5% (was 2.4%)

Last Aug: 3.4% headline, 2.4% core
Sep 2025: Inflation was 3.4% headline

If CPI hot:
- Core ≥0.3% m/m = Fed hike fears = 16/18 officials want hike
- Oct 27-28 Fed meeting = second hike of year?
- BTC to $80,400 then $77K (NordFX)
- ETH to $2,300

If CPI soft:
- 81% chance Fed holds (was 51%)
- 83.5% no hike Oct
- BTC to $87,100 then $90K
- 86% chance above $85K in Oct

Polymarket: BTC 82-84K 49.5% chance tomorrow

My plan: 50% USDT until CPI, $82,804 stop

Are you buying before CPI or waiting?

#CPI #Oct14 #Bitcoin #TradingPlan