mvrvratio

MVRV Ratio: The Cycle Compass Most Traders Ignore

If you want a single on-chain metric to orient yourself in the market cycle, MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) is it.

Here's what it tells you:

Realized Value is the aggregate cost basis of every $BTC on-chain — the price each coin last moved at. Market Value is simply current market cap. The ratio between them reveals how much unrealized profit (or loss) the entire market is sitting on.

📊 MVRV interpretation:
• Below 1.0 → Market in loss territory. Historical capitulation zone. Structurally the best accumulation window.
• 1.0–2.0 → Recovery phase. LTH accumulation continues. Risk/reward still favors longs.
• 2.0–3.5 → Bull market expansion. Profit-taking ramps up. Tighten stops on leverage.
• Above 3.5 → Euphoria zone. Distribution typically underway. Reduce exposure, prioritize capital preservation.

This framework applies across $ETH and $SOL too — each has its own realized value baseline.

The deeper signal: when MVRV resets toward 1.0, it's not a crash — it's the market resetting cost basis, shaking out weak hands, and preparing the foundation for the next expansion leg.

Long-term players don't time tops. They buy MVRV compression and let the cycle do the work.

Track it. Respect it. Let the data lead.

$BTC $ETH $SOL
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