India's Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has just announced that consumer price inflation (CPI) for September rose 5.54% from a year earlier. The jump from August's 4.83% marks the highest inflation in two years, mainly driven by food prices accelerating from 5.97% to 7.74%.
The figures are now close to the upper 6% limit of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) target range. This reinforces the RBI's decision to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly four years last week, while also quashing expectations of any near-term easing.
Financial markets reacted immediately as Indian government bonds came under heavy selling pressure. The benchmark 10-year bond yield surged by about 10 basis points to 7.40%, reflecting concerns that price pressures will remain persistent due to rainfall shortages.
Tighter monetary policy in major emerging economies such as India could reduce global liquidity. Rising risk aversion is causing capital inflows into speculative assets such as
$BTC to pause in the short term as investors prioritize capital preservation.
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