clarityactpassessenatecommittee

The next vote in the U.S. Senate on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is expected to take place between late June and early July 2026 (before Congress's official summer recess in August). The bill was officially added to the Senate Legislative Calendar on June 1, 2026 , after passing the Senate Banking Committee by a vote of 15 to 9 on May 14, 2026.
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US Senate Calendar and Possible Date Scenarios
Critical Timeframe (June - July 2026): The White House and senators supporting the bill (including Senator Cynthia Lummis) aim for final approval of the law by July 4th . The Senate leadership is expected to announce the floor vote date in the next few weeks.
August Deadline: If the bill fails to pass the Senate before the five-week congressional recess at the beginning of August, the political focus will shift entirely to the November midterm elections, severely jeopardizing its chances of passing this year.🚑
The 60-Vote Threshold Obstacle: Because Republicans hold 53 seats in the Senate, at least 60 votes are needed in the general assembly to overcome the "filibuster" rule that blocks the bill . This necessitates the support of at least 7 or 8 Democratic senators.
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Market Predictions and Rates (Polymarket / Kalshi)
This law, seen as a turning point for the cryptocurrency sector, has recently caused sharp fluctuations in the prediction markets:
Polymarket Prediction: According to Polymarket , a decentralized forecasting platform , the probability of the CLARITY Act being enacted before the end of 2026 currently ranges from 56% to 59% . This rate, which reached 75% before committee approval, has declined due to pressure from the banking lobby and the tight timeline.
Kalshi and Institutional Betting: While investors see the likelihood of the law passing very quickly (before June) as quite low, there is significant activity on the institutional side. Indeed, Galaxy Digital executed a $10 million over-the-counter (OTC) institutional prediction market transaction betting that the law will pass in 2026 .
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The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is considered the final law that will permanently end the SEC's securities crackdown on Stellar (XLM) and institutionalize corporate RWA (Real World Assets) adoption . With the bill formally entering the Senate calendar on June 1, 2026, very critical developments are taking place within the XLM ecosystem.
The expectations, institutional moves, and market pricing centered around XLM are as follows:
1. Legal Status for XLM: "Commodity" Classification
CFTC Assurance: The biggest benefit of the CLARITY Act is that it removes XLM from the jurisdiction of the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and registers it as a "Digital Commodity" under the oversight of the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) .
Permanent Exemption: Legal analyses published by K&L Gates have confirmed that XLM, due to its network structure, does not pass the "Howey Test" and is clearly classified as a commodity under the bill. This completely dispels the dark clouds hanging over XLM, which has carried similar legal risks to XRP for years.
2. Corporate RWA (Tokenization) and DTCC Partnership
Statement by the SDF CEO: Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO Denelle Dixon, in a statement made in early June 2026, emphasized the network's technical independence, saying , "The Clarity Act will give a huge boost to the tokenization ecosystem, but Stellar infrastructure is at the heart of global finance even without this law . "
DTCC Integration: DTCC , the US clearing and custody giant , has selected Stellar as the first public blockchain to connect to its new tokenized securities settlement platform . The volume of tokenized treasuries and RWAs on Stellar has already exceeded $3 billion .
Timing: Production testing with DTCC will begin in July 2026. This date coincides precisely with the potential Senate vote on the CLARITY Act (late June - early July).
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#CLARITYActPassesSenateCommittee