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abş

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CekoAZE
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Bullish
Strong NFP raised the likelihood of a Fed rate hike again #ABŞ The economy created 162,000 new jobs in August instead of the expected 56,000, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. The probability of a September rate hike rose to 65% after the data, but eased to about 57% by the end of the session; the dollar index closed around 99.17, and the U.S. 10-year yield closed near 4.78%. Forex/ICT impact: The fundamental backdrop is positive for the USD, especially putting pressure on EUR/USD. Rather than following the first impulse at Monday's Asian open, a sweep of Friday's high/low and displacement during the London session should be expected.
Strong NFP raised the likelihood of a Fed rate hike again
#ABŞ The economy created 162,000 new jobs in August instead of the expected 56,000, while unemployment remained at 4.1%. The probability of a September rate hike rose to 65% after the data, but eased to about 57% by the end of the session; the dollar index closed around 99.17, and the U.S. 10-year yield closed near 4.78%.
Forex/ICT impact: The fundamental backdrop is positive for the USD, especially putting pressure on EUR/USD. Rather than following the first impulse at Monday's Asian open, a sweep of Friday's high/low and displacement during the London session should be expected.
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Bullish
The U.S. is pulling back from the Iran borders! 🇺🇸 Trump: "We will be leaving Iran soon, and if necessary, we will only conduct point strikes." The war is nearing its end. Are we entering a new era in the region? What’s expected for crypto this May? As geopolitical tensions ease (even though the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues, the end of the war is in sight), risk appetite will increase. Historically, in such scenarios, Bitcoin and Ethereum tend to rebound, as oil prices stabilize, inflationary pressures decrease, and there's room for Fed's interest rate policies to shift. May predictions (according to analysts): - BTC: Could test the $85K–$100K+ zone if de-escalation continues. New ATH possible, but volatility will remain high. - ETH: Strong with ETF inflows and upgrades, signaling an altcoin season. - Altcoins: RWA, stablecoin, and AI-crypto projects will come to the forefront. - Overall market: Institutional inflows (ETPs $400B+), tokenization, and clearer regulation create a bullish setup. But beware of the classic "sell in May" risk – stay cautious! Conclusion: If the war ends, we could enter a risk-on mode – May could be green for crypto. Get ready for a new era! 🚀📈 What’s your take? Are you going long, or are you waiting? #ABŞ #İran #Trump #Bitcoin #Kripto
The U.S. is pulling back from the Iran borders! 🇺🇸

Trump: "We will be leaving Iran soon, and if necessary, we will only conduct point strikes." The war is nearing its end.

Are we entering a new era in the region?

What’s expected for crypto this May?

As geopolitical tensions ease (even though the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues, the end of the war is in sight), risk appetite will increase. Historically, in such scenarios, Bitcoin and Ethereum tend to rebound, as oil prices stabilize, inflationary pressures decrease, and there's room for Fed's interest rate policies to shift.

May predictions (according to analysts):
- BTC: Could test the $85K–$100K+ zone if de-escalation continues. New ATH possible, but volatility will remain high.
- ETH: Strong with ETF inflows and upgrades, signaling an altcoin season.
- Altcoins: RWA, stablecoin, and AI-crypto projects will come to the forefront.
- Overall market: Institutional inflows (ETPs $400B+), tokenization, and clearer regulation create a bullish setup. But beware of the classic "sell in May" risk – stay cautious!

Conclusion: If the war ends, we could enter a risk-on mode – May could be green for crypto. Get ready for a new era! 🚀📈

What’s your take? Are you going long, or are you waiting?

#ABŞ #İran #Trump #Bitcoin #Kripto
Article
Modernizing Federal Reserve Operations in the 21st CenturyThanks a bunch, David, and big shoutout to Brookings for letting me have the floor today. When folks hear "Federal Reserve," they instantly think of monetary policy and how the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets that federal funds rate. These policy moves are a big deal since they impact US households, businesses, and the global finance markets, which is why they get so much buzz in the media—totally fair. But the FOMC only meets 16 days a year to nail down those monetary policies, so what are we doing with the Fed for the rest of the time?

Modernizing Federal Reserve Operations in the 21st Century

Thanks a bunch, David, and big shoutout to Brookings for letting me have the floor today. When folks hear "Federal Reserve," they instantly think of monetary policy and how the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets that federal funds rate. These policy moves are a big deal since they impact US households, businesses, and the global finance markets, which is why they get so much buzz in the media—totally fair. But the FOMC only meets 16 days a year to nail down those monetary policies, so what are we doing with the Fed for the rest of the time?
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