301308

📌 A-share market “V-shaped rebound” three times in three days, yet the downtrend hasn’t ended! How should we understand it?

🍖 Chopper says:
This news is quite interesting. It has V-rebounded every day over three days, but the index still hasn’t stopped falling—this suggests intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears, and market sentiment is actually quite divided. For example, the SSE Composite Index (000001.SH) has recently been repeatedly fighting around the 3300-point level—up one day, down the next—and everyone still feels uncertain.

The bullish case is that every time it drops, there’s capital stepping in—for instance, the Technology ETF was bought up by more than 20 billion yuan in three days, which suggests some people view it as an opportunity. But there are also many bears, who worry this is only a rebound rather than a reversal, especially since trading volume hasn’t consistently expanded. The main risk is that if external markets cause more surprises again—for example, something like South Korea’s semiconductor stocks bringing A-shares down—then a second dip is easy to trigger.

Comparing within the same sectors, stocks like Jianghai Long (301308) have been extremely volatile recently, and they track U.S. peer Micron Technology (MU) quite clearly. But after Micron pulled back from its high point, the A-share counterpart fell even harder, suggesting sentiment here is more fragile. Overall, it feels like right now is a good time to watch more and act less, and wait for the direction to become clear.

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