马克Mark-

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$1000RATS This short call really gave us face again—20x from 0.07324 short to 0.05526, up 648%. Actually, the logic is the same as the previous trade. When this kind of coin is pumped, it’s driven by sentiment. Once the buy side above can’t keep up, it drops faster than anyone.

Back then, my feeling from the order book was that the price was still hovering at a high level, but on closer inspection it already looked a bit shaky—the volume couldn’t keep up, yet it was still being propped up. Many retail traders make mistakes at times like this: seeing the sideways movement, they think it’s about to surge again, and can’t resist bottom-fishing or adding positions—only to end up right on the tip of the shorts’ knife.

I never short blindly just to bet on a drop. I only act when the market shows signs of exhaustion itself. While 20x isn’t as thrilling as 50x, it’s still enough to make good money—the key is not to get greedy. Once the profit is in, I close in batches and don’t fight the tape. In the crypto market, both bulls and bears can survive—don’t let one-way narratives brainwash you. Next trade, I’ll keep waiting for the order book to speak.$BLESS #特朗普取消打击伊朗待协议

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$BLESS a big one again. The 40x long was taken from 0.013117 to 0.019058, and the return hit 1247%. This trade had already been “eaten” once by the earlier order—after many people made big profits, they didn’t dare touch it again, worried about a pullback. But my chart-reading says the momentum hasn’t dispersed yet.

The signal from the order book was very direct at the time: the dip wasn’t deep, and every time it got smashed down, someone quickly bought it back. That means the low-level holders basically didn’t want to give up their positions. At this spot, many people make an easy mistake: they think it’s already gone up so much that it should be sold or shorted—and end up missing the main surge. In small-cap coins, the most brutal pattern is exactly this kind of move where “you think it’s expensive, but it can still keep running.”

Still, you really can’t get carried away with 40x. I’m always scaling out while it’s moving—no “falling in love” with the price action. In the contract market, huge-profit trades aren’t rare; what’s hard is still being able to keep rhythm after each win. Once this one is done, it’s done—keep waiting for the next comfortable entry point. $SNDK #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$UAI This 50x short trade was eaten really well. I opened the short at 0.5321 and got 0.4984, with an unrealized profit of 339%. Actually, at that time the market already felt a bit shaky—price was pulling up with difficulty, and volume couldn’t keep up. But in the group, people were still forcefully hyping, “AI narrative returns.” In that moment, I was the one who felt more cautious.

I’m not shorting just because I think it will fall. I felt that at that level, too many people chased longs too aggressively—the leverage was piled up high, and if you just tap it a little, it could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. A lot of new traders see one big bullish candle and think the trend is solid, but they ignore whether the resistance/holding at the top is truly strong. I’ve seen this trap way too many times.

Risk with a 50x short isn’t small, so I didn’t get greedy to the bottom. Once the profit was in, I stepped out in batches. In the futures contract market, being short and being long are both equally important—don’t let one-sided sentiment tie your hands. After taking profit on this one, stay calm and wait for the next signal. Staying alive off the table matters more than anything.$1000SATS #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$UB This 50x long is really pushing hard. It went from around 0.143 to 0.167, with an unrealized profit of 711%. This kind of return looks exaggerated, but it wasn’t just random guessing. Back at the lower level, the order book was already showing something off.

At the time, a lot of people were still hesitant—they thought the drop was too deep and that the rebound wouldn’t last. But from watching the tape, I felt the sell pressure clearly eased, while support underneath stayed solid. It had a bit of a “if it keeps dropping, it can’t drop anymore, so it has to pull up” vibe.

At this position, if you’re too scared to try, then when it really starts moving, you’ll only be able to chase high and take the bag. I also won’t hold the 50x leverage position to death. Once the profit comes in, I’ll take it step by step while watching. The biggest risk with these contracts is getting carried away—profit you don’t lock in isn’t really yours. For small-cap coins, the swings are wild, and timing matters more than direction. Stay clear-headed. For the next trade, I’ll keep waiting for the chart to give a signal. $1000SATS $BLESS

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$1000RATS This short trade was really satisfying. 20x leverage, shorted from 0.07324 to 0.05300, floating profit up 763%. Many people only know how to chase pumps, but old hands know that after a manic-style surge, the coin often drops even more irrationally.

At the time, what the chart felt like to me was that the sell-side? No—the upside volume momentum at the top was already struggling to keep up, while the community was still going crazy shouting for 100x, shouting to break the previous high. When that kind of sentiment is at its peak, that’s when I actually feel it’s dangerous. A lot of retail traders see a small red candle and immediately FOMO in, completely ignoring how absurd the entry price is. That’s exactly the position most likely to “catch the flying knife.”

Shorting is most afraid of sudden needle spikes—blow-up on the head—so I kept my position size very light. I dared to test at the high level because the stop-loss was set to be decisive. Now that the profit is in the bag, there’s no need to stubbornly keep holding through the noise. In crypto, both longs and shorts can make money; the key is not to get dragged along by one-sided sentiment. Staying clear-headed is what helps you last. $SNDK #加密市场24小时清算3.3亿美元 #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$BLESS This trade went straight to 1132%, 40x leverage, from 0.013117 to 0.018310. Honestly, I was a bit surprised even by myself. Small-cap coins are just like that—usually dead and slow, but once the money locks on, in just a few minutes it can leave people stunned.

When entering, there wasn’t any complicated logic. I just saw that price at that level had stopped dropping much—the order book had very light sell pressure, like someone was quietly catching bids underneath. At the time, many people were still yelling that it was going to collapse. But I thought that kind of hopeless sentiment is actually the best fuel: being brave enough to experiment around 0.013, betting on a quick rebound.

But with trades that offer 10x returns, I’m actually even less willing to get carried away. High-multiplier contracts hate greed. One tiny wick and all the profit can vanish, and you might even end up losing. So once it moved up, I was already gradually taking profit—what’s realized is what’s truly mine. In crypto, there are no shortages of get-rich-quick myths. What’s missing is the kind of person who can keep staying at the table. After this one, I’ll keep waiting for the next opportunity. $1000SATS #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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Last night’s order from $BANK —turned out pretty comfortable to hold. Went long with 50x leverage, watching it from 0.04684 up to 0.04905, and in the end it showed a floating profit of 225%. For these small-coin impulse moves, if you catch it, it’s basically pure reward.

Honestly, before entering I didn’t think too much. I just noticed that there was money quietly accumulating at the low end—order book pressure wasn’t that aggressive, but the buy side was tough. A lot of people at this kind of spot get shaken out instead, thinking it won’t go up, but I actually like trying things out at moments of disagreement like this.

With high-leverage contracts, the biggest fear is getting carried away. I usually use a light position to play the swing. Once it’s at target, I’m ready to withdraw in batches. Don’t be fooled by how pretty the profit chart looks in red—out there, surviving in the crypto market, are the ones who know when to pull back. This one’s done; I’ll keep waiting for the next opportunity.$1000SATS #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$UB This 50x long trade ended up with +688%. To be honest, these kinds of multiples look exciting, but the process isn’t easy at all.

I entered around 0.143. Back then the chart was just chopping sideways, making it hard to stay focused. A lot of people found the low volatility boring and went elsewhere to chase excitement. But I kept watching the order book and felt the support below was holding up reasonably well—the shorts couldn’t push it down. So I dared to try a small position.

Once it pulled up to around 0.166, the unrealized profit ran fast. A 50x trade really tests your mindset. One little spike can shake people out of the car. Luckily I didn’t get greedy or add randomly—I just followed my own pace and held.

You can’t get addicted to high-multiple trades. After two wins in a row, it’s easy to get cocky. Next, I’ll stay steady first. I’ll take part of the profit off the table, and keep the rest to see whether there’s a chance for continuation.

The market is always full of opportunities; what’s missing is the ability to live to see tomorrow and still have bullets left. $BLESS #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$BLESS This trade is a long. With 40x leverage, I pushed it directly to +1127%. Honestly, even I was a bit surprised.

I entered at 0.013117. At the time, the market was already falling so hard that nobody dared to go long. In the community, everyone was bearish. But I watched it for a few days and felt that this level started to settle the accumulated positions, and the sell pressure wasn’t as heavy as I expected—so I took a small position to test the shot.

Later, the price gradually climbed. After it broke through a smaller timeframe resistance, I didn’t exit—I actually added a bit more to observe. A lot of people here get too scared. They run as soon as it rises a little, then miss the main surge. I held onto it until around 0.018277, and the unrealized profit kept growing and growing.

High-leverage contracts are the most afraid of getting carried away. 40x isn’t a hand you can play every day. For this one to work, half was planning and half was luck. Next, I won’t chase too aggressively. I’ll first protect the profits, then wait for a pullback to see if there’s a second opportunity.$1000SATS #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高 #伯克希尔股价创八个月新高

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$1000RATS This trade ate even more—short opened at 0.07324, and now it’s down to 0.04706; the floating profit directly hit 1113%. Honestly, once the downtrend for this kind of meme coin is underway, it’s way more ruthless than the broader market—it doesn’t give you a chance to catch your breath.

I dared to flip short above 0.07 because the chart had already started looking shaky: price was rising but volume couldn’t keep up, and there were especially many people calling trades. Old-school traders know—when it’s like this, chasing longs usually means becoming the bag holder. Instead, I prefer to try shorting from the top.

A lot of people, in the middle, see a small rebound and panic-sell to close, or—worse—go and bottom-fish to long. Before the trend has actually turned, these moves are basically just handing over money. 20x leverage isn’t that crazy, but what matters is whether you can hold through it.

Keep observing from here; don’t rush to close everything. In the futures/contract market, if you can let the profit run, don’t be afraid—but make sure your stop-loss is always set properly. $SNDK #特朗普取消打击伊朗待协议

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$BTC This short order was taken pretty smoothly. With 150x leverage, from 63429 short to 63080, profit is up 82%. Don’t be misled by the absolute drawdown not being huge—on high-leverage contracts, a few hundred points of drop is already enough to be brutal.

At the time, I placed the short around 63400. The main reason was that I felt the sell pressure overhead was quite heavy. In the short term, it couldn’t really push higher, and nobody was willing to keep taking it. A lot of retail traders see range-bound action and think it’s about to skyrocket, so they can’t help but chase longs—then a small “probe” wick shakes them out.

My trading habit is to look at the rhythm first, not the news. Once the chart doesn’t give a strong sense of continuation, I try a small, contrarian position. High leverage is especially dangerous when you get carried away—if you can’t control your position size, even the right direction can easily trip you up.

For now, I’m not in a hurry to close this trade. I’ll see whether 63000 can hold steady. If it breaks, I’ll keep holding; if the rebound is too aggressive, I’ll exit. Old traders all know this—staying alive matters more than anything. $1000SATS #加密市场24小时清算3.3亿美元

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This short trade ($1000RATS ) this time was a big win—an eye-popping 970% return. But really, it was just 20x leverage timed perfectly.

When I opened at 0.07324, the price action had already started to stall a bit. Volume was shrinking, yet sentiment was still highly excited. In that kind of spot, I usually don’t chase longs—instead, I prefer to flip and try a short.

When it dropped toward 0.04926, the unrealized profit kept building and getting heavier. A common mistake people make with this contract is thinking, “It’s already fallen a lot,” and then rushing to bottom-fish. But as long as the trend hasn’t actually turned, going against it can be genuinely dangerous.

Posting this isn’t to brag—it’s to say something veteran traders all understand: direction matters more than effort. If the short is right, hold onto it and don’t get shaken out by a small rebound. Next, I’ll keep watching the chart closely; I’ll follow up if there are signals. $BTC #加密市场24小时清算3.3亿美元

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$GIGGLE This set of trades has been quite smooth. 20x leverage, entry at 40.57, and now the latest price is 43.92—floating profit +152.55%. At the time, that pullback dipped a bit too deep; a lot of people were scared and cut their losses outright. But I felt the order book support was still okay—the sell pressure wasn’t as brutal as I imagined—so I dared to step in at this level.

Many people make mistakes at this point. When they see the price just moving sideways and not going anywhere, they think it’s no good, or they’re afraid it will dip further and don’t dare to act. In reality, after these small-cap coins wash out the floating positions, it often turns into a bullish candle rally. Back then, I just sensed the shorts’ momentum was almost used up, so I followed in decisively with more.

Now that I have profit, I don’t plan to be too greedy. 20x isn’t extreme, but in futures, unexpected things always happen more often than you plan for. Next, I’m going to take some partial profits first, keep a bit of the remaining position to see if it can push even higher. Seasoned traders all understand: don’t so easily give back to the market the money you’ve already put in your pocket. $1000SATS #加密市场24小时清算3.3亿美元

$UAI This long/short positioning is a bit beyond expectations. 50x leverage, entered at 0.5320, now running at 0.5526—floating profit +186.53%. When that lower wick came out, the order book clearly had funds coming in; I felt the shakeout was about done, so I just followed the long.

At this level, many people make mistakes: they panic and cut when they see a wick, or they think the rebound lacks strength and don’t dare to enter. But I watched for a long time—the sell-side was already thin. A little buy-side pressure would be enough to lift it. With AI-narrative coins, sentiment swings a lot; during panic, that’s when opportunities are often created.

Now that the profits are so thick, I’m actually hesitant to hard-hold. With 50x leverage, one opposite-direction wick could swallow a lot of the gains. I plan to take profit in batches: first pull my cost out, and then keep the remaining core position to see if it can push for another round. Don’t get carried away with the contract—only what you lock in is yours. $1000SATS #加密市场24小时清算3.3亿美元

$APR This short trade went pretty smoothly. 20x leverage, entry at 0.2301, and the latest price is 0.2192 now—profits are nearly doubling fast. Back then, there was a layer upon layer of sell pressure overhead; even when they pushed it up, there wasn’t much volume. Clearly it was a bull trap, so I followed and pressed the short.

A lot of people get confused here. They see a small rebound and think a new uptrend is starting, then they chase in and end up buying near the top of the hill. My short isn’t a blind gamble. The order book just didn’t feel right—the buy side was flimsy, but the sell orders were very solid.

Now at +99.45%, don’t get carried away yet. This kind of low-cap coin moves insanely fast—profits come quickly and vanish just as fast. Next, I’m planning to take profit in batches, and keep a little core position to see if we can probe further downward. As for the contract—staying alive matters more than anything. Don’t end up spitting the money you’ve already made back out.$GIGGLE #金价站上4000美元 #灰度敦促参议院表决CLARITY法案

$HOME This trade was quite comfortable to do. 20x leverage long; I went from 0.007436 to 0.008138 and watched the floating profit climb to 177%. Never underestimate the explosive power of small-cap coins—especially when the market has been ranging at a low level and then suddenly increases volume.

Before opening the position, I hesitated a bit. A lot of people at this level don’t dare to follow, worried it might be a fake breakout. But I saw the order book was eating orders very decisively. Even when it pulled back, it didn’t break below the prior low, so I went in directly. In futures trading, it’s all about this kind of critical point—by the time everyone has figured it out, the gains won’t be this thick anymore.

Now that the profit buffer is enough, the next thing is whether it can hold steady above 0.008. If you don’t have a position, I don’t recommend chasing blindly or opening too much leverage. When small-cap coins start to swing, the volatility can instantly pull away your margin. Protecting your profits matters more than anything. $SNDK #灰度敦促参议院表决CLARITY法案

Just now $BLESS this trade ate some meat again—40x leverage going long, floating profit has been pulled up to 154%. Opened around 0.0131, now 0.0136. Don’t look at how the coin price has only moved a little—inside perps it’s already enough to feel very comfortable.

Actually, I was also纠结 about it before entering. The small-cap coin’s swings are just too messy—lots of people at this spot don’t dare chase long, fearing a fake breakout. But I was watching the order flow: I felt that support/consolidation underneath had been there all along, and the selling pressure wasn’t as heavy as I imagined. So I went in with a light position, with some leverage, and took a shot.

In contracts, the biggest thing isn’t just being wrong on direction—it’s also getting it right but not being able to hold it. 40x is indeed exciting, but risk control has to keep up. When profits run too fast, I’ll first think about protecting the principal, and only then consider letting the gains keep flying. $BTC #比特币挖矿难度较年内高点降14%

Bitcoin spot ETF saw total net outflows of $49.7544 million yesterday, continuing net outflows for 4 days
PANews, July 29. According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (July 28, U.S. Eastern Time) Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net outflows of $49.7544 million. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net inflow on a single day was Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF BTC, with a net inflow of $5.0796 million. As of now, BTC’s historical total net inflows have reached $2.654 billion. The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest net outflow on a single day yesterday was Blackrock’s ETF IBIT, with net outflows of $54.8340 million. As of now, IBIT’s historical total net inflows have reached $60.331 billion. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin spot ETFs’ total net asset value was $77.234 billion, and the ETF net asset ratio (the proportion of ETF market value relative to Bitcoin’s total market value) was 6.02%. The historical cumulative net inflows have reached $51.325 billion.$BTC $ETH

The Federal Reserve is scheduled to release its interest rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, and Fed Chair Wash is expected—as usual—to hold a press conference at 2:30 a.m. Facing what industry insiders call the Fed’s most difficult-to-predict decision, JPMorgan’s U.S. market intelligence trading desk, in its latest research note, expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged. It also anticipates at least two dissenting votes from hawkish members—including dissents from Hammack and Logan.
Lighthouse lays out five scenario forecasts for the Fed’s decision and the potential path of the S&P 500 (ranked by probability from high to low):
① The Fed keeps rates unchanged while taking a hawkish stance (probability 50%)—the S&P 500 is expected to trade today within a range of up 0.25% to down 0.5%. This is the current baseline forecast: the Fed will keep rates unchanged given the strength of the labor market and economic growth, but will remain alert to inflation—recent energy price trends suggest that another round of inflation may be on the way.
② The Fed keeps rates unchanged while taking a dovish stance (probability 28%)—the S&P 500 is likely to rise 0.5%–1%. This would be the most favorable outcome for equities.
③ The Fed hikes rates by 25 bps (probability 20%)—the S&P 500 is expected to fall 1.5%–2%, and the Nasdaq 100’s decline could be about double. Driven by the market shifting away from momentum stocks/AI-related names, the Russell 2000 index may show relatively better resilience in this selloff.
④ The Fed hikes rates by 50 bps (probability 1%)—the S&P 500 falls 2%–4%. If the Fed also releases information indicating that this hike is only a temporary measure to address traditional inflation indicators and should not be interpreted as the start of a series of hikes, the downside may be limited.
⑤ The Fed cuts rates (probability 1%)—the S&P 500 trades within a range of up 1% to down 1.5%. The market’s potential negative outcome is due to the possibility that investors view this as a sign of the Fed losing independence, which would lead to higher yields, a higher breakeven inflation rate, rising volatility, and a weaker stock market. #美联储利率决议即将公布

Federal Reserve July Decision: Don’t bet on the outcome—watch the wording

At 2:00 a.m. Thursday, the Fed will release its interest rate decision.
Cut rates or not?
The market has basically priced it in:
Most likely, it will hold steady.
What truly drives the move isn’t the rate number.
It’s how a few words in the statement are changed.
There are three areas that matter most:

1. How inflation is described
If it still says: inflation remains elevated → Markets interpret it as hawkish, and rate-cut expectations keep waiting.
If it changes to: inflation is making further progress → More dovish; the market will start pricing a September cut early.

2. How employment is described
If it stays: the labor market remains strong → Neutral.
If it becomes: the labor market is moving toward balance → Markets may read this as the Fed starting to focus on employment risk.

3. The risk of the dual mandate
The key question now is: what does the Fed worry about more—inflation, or jobs?
If it emphasizes inflation risks: → Hawkish.
If it emphasizes pressure on employment: → Dovish.

My personal view:
The statement may include a slightly more dovish adjustment.
But Powell’s remarks are unlikely to directly confirm a September rate cut.
More likely, it will be: leave room in the text, and keep a cautious tone in public comments.

$BTC How should it be viewed?
If dovish: pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields may ease. Risk assets could rebound.
BTC focus: the 66–67K zone.

If neutral: the market will keep waiting for data.
BTC likely: digesting via range trading.

If unexpectedly hawkish: risk assets may come under pressure first.
BTC key level to watch: support around 63K.

Don’t pick sides too early.
Wait for the 2:00 a.m. statement and see how the first wave of money votes.
At 2:30, after Powell speaks, watch whether the market changes direction.
What the Fed meeting fears most isn’t the outcome.
It’s:
The market getting the direction wrong too early. #Fed to release interest rate decision early Thursday #美联储利率决议即将公布