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Swallow Academy

Pure work of art since 2015, Picasso of Trading | https://x.com/SwallowPremium
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Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly). What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases. Simple, but it’s done the job for years. Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).

What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.

Simple, but it’s done the job for years.

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).

Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.

But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$HYPE recently had a very strong breakout from the EMAs, but after the move buyers had difficulty maintaining the volume and sellers are now starting to dominate. As sellers are in control — not fully yet, but for now — we see two potential entries for both long and short. Both are based on the local lows and local highs, so our attention is there. As soon as one of those levels gets reached and broken, we will trade accordingly. #HYPEPriceAnalysis
$HYPE recently had a very strong breakout from the EMAs, but after the move buyers had difficulty maintaining the volume and sellers are now starting to dominate.

As sellers are in control — not fully yet, but for now — we see two potential entries for both long and short. Both are based on the local lows and local highs, so our attention is there. As soon as one of those levels gets reached and broken, we will trade accordingly. #HYPEPriceAnalysis
#Ripple had a strong dip recently, falling into the so-called doomsday area. Since then price has shown a smaller bounce, but despite that, our view is clear — we want to see continuation toward lower zones. For us to consider any buying opportunity on $XRP , we would only be interested if price drops into the $0.60 region. Most likely many bigger players are also watching this zone as a potential buy area. #XRPPriceAnalysis
#Ripple had a strong dip recently, falling into the so-called doomsday area. Since then price has shown a smaller bounce, but despite that, our view is clear — we want to see continuation toward lower zones.

For us to consider any buying opportunity on $XRP , we would only be interested if price drops into the $0.60 region. Most likely many bigger players are also watching this zone as a potential buy area. #XRPPriceAnalysis
$HBAR is cooked, at least for now, while the price stays below the major resistance zone, which sellers have secured fully. Despite the sell-side view we are seeing on the HBAR, we are also seeing a smaller recovery happening, which most likely would lead the price to the $0.105 area. So we're expecting a smaller bounce here but the bigger picture is clear for us: we should keep moving down from here! #HBARPriceAnalysis
$HBAR is cooked, at least for now, while the price stays below the major resistance zone, which sellers have secured fully.

Despite the sell-side view we are seeing on the HBAR, we are also seeing a smaller recovery happening, which most likely would lead the price to the $0.105 area.

So we're expecting a smaller bounce here but the bigger picture is clear for us: we should keep moving down from here! #HBARPriceAnalysis
$XLM has been moving in a sideways accumulation area where price has been pressuring the 100 EMA for quite some time now. As we enter the weekend markets, we are expecting a few scenarios from here. The key point would be the break of the EMAs, which would trigger a movement to the bullish CME gap. But if that fails, then price might pressure the local low zone, which could form another similar bullish CME gap. So we wait for the break of the EMAs, but we also keep an eye on the local lows just in case. #XLMPriceAnalysis
$XLM has been moving in a sideways accumulation area where price has been pressuring the 100 EMA for quite some time now.

As we enter the weekend markets, we are expecting a few scenarios from here. The key point would be the break of the EMAs, which would trigger a movement to the bullish CME gap.

But if that fails, then price might pressure the local low zone, which could form another similar bullish CME gap.

So we wait for the break of the EMAs, but we also keep an eye on the local lows just in case. #XLMPriceAnalysis
$UNI has a good chance for a potential long-term spot trade but what is more interesting to us is what is happening on the smaller timeframes, where we are expecting a good long setup to form! #UNIPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$UNI has a good chance for a potential long-term spot trade but what is more interesting to us is what is happening on the smaller timeframes, where we are expecting a good long setup to form! #UNIPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
$FLOKI is sitting right near the local support zone, which can turn into a bounce area. So far buyers are keeping this level clean and holding it strongly. I would say the R:R is too good not to try a long here, so that’s exactly what we will be doing. #FLOKIPriceAnalysis
$FLOKI is sitting right near the local support zone, which can turn into a bounce area. So far buyers are keeping this level clean and holding it strongly. I would say the R:R is too good not to try a long here, so that’s exactly what we will be doing. #FLOKIPriceAnalysis
$FIL had successfully bounced from a very important zone, where sellers tried to break the local support and failed in doing it. So what is the plan? We aim for a correction here, which would fill the major CME gap that looks pretty sweet as a target in our opinion. What we are looking and waiting for is the EMA to be broken and secured by buyers. After that we will be expecting some kind of market structure break and an upside movement from there. #FILPriceAnalysis
$FIL had successfully bounced from a very important zone, where sellers tried to break the local support and failed in doing it. So what is the plan? We aim for a correction here, which would fill the major CME gap that looks pretty sweet as a target in our opinion.

What we are looking and waiting for is the EMA to be broken and secured by buyers. After that we will be expecting some kind of market structure break and an upside movement from there. #FILPriceAnalysis
$APT has been falling unconditionally, just making new lower lows without any remorse, and during conditions like this in the market, we have to be extra careful. We might follow the trend and move to lower zones and form new local lows, or we might see a strong short squeeze, so near each new local low where a break of structure might be forming we are always looking at Plan A and Plan B scenarios. For Plan A we need to break the local low and form a break of structure. For Plan B we need to see the reclaim of the previous BOS zone, which would result in a bullish momentum move. #APTPriceAnalysis
$APT has been falling unconditionally, just making new lower lows without any remorse, and during conditions like this in the market, we have to be extra careful.

We might follow the trend and move to lower zones and form new local lows, or we might see a strong short squeeze, so near each new local low where a break of structure might be forming we are always looking at Plan A and Plan B scenarios.

For Plan A we need to break the local low and form a break of structure.
For Plan B we need to see the reclaim of the previous BOS zone, which would result in a bullish momentum move. #APTPriceAnalysis
$ETH seems to have established some kind of supportive area, where buy-side volume is slowly growing and the movement to EMAs is getting more and more realistic. The game plan remains the same; entry would be set around the $2,100 zone (after a successful break of structure). #ETHPriceAnalysis
$ETH seems to have established some kind of supportive area, where buy-side volume is slowly growing and the movement to EMAs is getting more and more realistic.

The game plan remains the same; entry would be set around the $2,100 zone (after a successful break of structure). #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is hovering closely to the 100EMA (light grey line), and as long as the price remains below the 100EMA and 200EMA, we are expecting to see the movement to lower zones. As the EMAs have been holding the trend loud and clear, we are looking here for movement to lower zones, which eventually should turn into a breakout from the EMAs and a smaller correctional movement to upper zones! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC is hovering closely to the 100EMA (light grey line), and as long as the price remains below the 100EMA and 200EMA, we are expecting to see the movement to lower zones.

As the EMAs have been holding the trend loud and clear, we are looking here for movement to lower zones, which eventually should turn into a breakout from the EMAs and a smaller correctional movement to upper zones! #BTCPriceAnalysis
Seeing $CAKE sitting inside the sideways channel (at the bottom of it) opens for us a potential for 250% of upside movement. Worth the risk.... #CAKEPriceAnalysis More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Seeing $CAKE sitting inside the sideways channel (at the bottom of it) opens for us a potential for 250% of upside movement. Worth the risk.... #CAKEPriceAnalysis

More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
The $ETH structure seems similar to the last time we had the dip where the price shifted apart from the EMAs. Despite the current dip being more aggressive, we are still expecting a similar playout to happen, which would lead the price towards the EMAs to the region of $2,300-2,400. #ETHPriceAnalysis
The $ETH structure seems similar to the last time we had the dip where the price shifted apart from the EMAs.

Despite the current dip being more aggressive, we are still expecting a similar playout to happen, which would lead the price towards the EMAs to the region of $2,300-2,400. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC has a nice small correctional movement towards the area of the EMAs, where price had rejection and now is showing signs of downside movement. What we see is a similar structure that we have seen before as well, wherein a short-term downtrend price likes to form a new break of the local lows zone (BOS in other terms). So as price had its smaller correction now, the most logical thing would be a short to a lower area, where we might see another liquidity sweep and then another smaller correction. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC has a nice small correctional movement towards the area of the EMAs, where price had rejection and now is showing signs of downside movement.

What we see is a similar structure that we have seen before as well, wherein a short-term downtrend price likes to form a new break of the local lows zone (BOS in other terms).

So as price had its smaller correction now, the most logical thing would be a short to a lower area, where we might see another liquidity sweep and then another smaller correction. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$TAO has filled each and every CME gap lately. Some took longer and some took less time, but eventually they all got filled. Now what caught our attention is how slowly price is dipping to lower zones, yet there is no sharp or volatile move. This might indicate that a market structure break could form, which would activate a trend reversal. This is what we are looking for — a proper MSB. Once we see that, we are going to aim for the fill of those unfilled CME gaps. #TAOPriceAnalysis
$TAO has filled each and every CME gap lately. Some took longer and some took less time, but eventually they all got filled.

Now what caught our attention is how slowly price is dipping to lower zones, yet there is no sharp or volatile move. This might indicate that a market structure break could form, which would activate a trend reversal.

This is what we are looking for — a proper MSB. Once we see that, we are going to aim for the fill of those unfilled CME gaps. #TAOPriceAnalysis
$LTC is hovering near the local bottom area, where usually after the price reaches this area, it tends to pick up some buyside volume and then rally to the upper side of the sideways channel. Honestly for now, the price of LTC does not look right for the reversal, but this is the zone we will be expecting it to happen in, so keep your eyes on the market structure development. For Spot, I would consider this as one of the buy zones! #LTCPriceAnalysi
$LTC is hovering near the local bottom area, where usually after the price reaches this area, it tends to pick up some buyside volume and then rally to the upper side of the sideways channel.

Honestly for now, the price of LTC does not look right for the reversal, but this is the zone we will be expecting it to happen in, so keep your eyes on the market structure development. For Spot, I would consider this as one of the buy zones! #LTCPriceAnalysi
$BNB has had a really decent rally compared to other altcoins this season. But as we see, strong selling pressure is currently dominating the market, which might lead the price to the $490 area that we marked as the next major support zone. If this zone is lost to sellers, then we might see a freefall, so be careful! Meanwhile, we would just glide with the trend and take smaller short trades until that support is reached. #BNBPriceAnalysis
$BNB has had a really decent rally compared to other altcoins this season. But as we see, strong selling pressure is currently dominating the market, which might lead the price to the $490 area that we marked as the next major support zone.

If this zone is lost to sellers, then we might see a freefall, so be careful!

Meanwhile, we would just glide with the trend and take smaller short trades until that support is reached. #BNBPriceAnalysis
Currently on $ETH we are keeping our attention at $2,300. Once we approach this zone, we will look for a rejection that sends the price back to lower levels. Expecting similar movement like last time, we exited the bullish trend so most likely after hitting the $2,300 we will see a sharp dip! That's the plan for now. #ETHPriceAnalysis
Currently on $ETH we are keeping our attention at $2,300. Once we approach this zone, we will look for a rejection that sends the price back to lower levels.

Expecting similar movement like last time, we exited the bullish trend so most likely after hitting the $2,300 we will see a sharp dip! That's the plan for now. #ETHPriceAnalysis
In the short term on $BTC , we are bullish up until the recent broken zone near $80K. Basically, after the long trend holders (both 100 and 200) EMAs were broken, there were the first small signs of potential sell-side dominance to take over the markets. Now that price formed a confirmational breakdown (the break of local lows), sellers secured the sell-side dominance, which means most likely from here on in long term we are going to keep tanking down. But as the recent breakdown was rather very sharp, we are expecting to see a smaller recovery to the previous local lows zone, from where we would be looking to take a bigger sell position. #BTCPriceAnalysis
In the short term on $BTC , we are bullish up until the recent broken zone near $80K. Basically, after the long trend holders (both 100 and 200) EMAs were broken, there were the first small signs of potential sell-side dominance to take over the markets.

Now that price formed a confirmational breakdown (the break of local lows), sellers secured the sell-side dominance, which means most likely from here on in long term we are going to keep tanking down.

But as the recent breakdown was rather very sharp, we are expecting to see a smaller recovery to the previous local lows zone, from where we would be looking to take a bigger sell position. #BTCPriceAnalysis
Keeping eyes on the local bottom on $DOT , where we are expecting to see a decent support to establish, which hopefully would push price up towards a proper market structure break. If this scenario were to play out, this would be an ideal entry for a short-term long position. For now we just wait! #DOTPriceAnalysis
Keeping eyes on the local bottom on $DOT , where we are expecting to see a decent support to establish, which hopefully would push price up towards a proper market structure break.

If this scenario were to play out, this would be an ideal entry for a short-term long position.

For now we just wait! #DOTPriceAnalysis
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