🚀 LUNC explodes 20% before Do Kwon’s sentence — is a bigger move coming next?
$Luna Classic just pumped 20% on Friday, making it four green days in a row. The community is literally on fire right now — almost 959 million LUNC have been burned in December already, and that supply drop is helping the price bounce hard.
But here’s the twist: Do Kwon’s final court hearing is on December 11… and this pump could be a massive bull trap if whales play the news.
🔥 Why LUNC is pumping right now
Do Kwon already pleaded guilty in the $40B Terra crash — the fraud charges include commodities fraud, securities fraud, and two wire fraud counts.
On December 11, Judge Engelmayer is going to announce his sentence.
US prosecutors reportedly agreed to max 12 years
South Korea wants 40 years
That huge difference is creating crazy speculation in the market… and many retail traders might get caught buying late.
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🧨 Token burns are fueling demand
The burn rate is insane this month. According to Luncmetrics:
959M LUNC burned in December
182.09M burned on Friday alone
This forced supply cut is boosting confidence right before the hearing. Smart money is already active here.
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📈 Technical chart looks bullish — but risky
Right now, LUNC is building a bullish Marubozu candle on the daily log chart, showing strong buying dominance. With a 20% daily move, the price is pushing directly into the R1 Pivot at $0.00003914 — this is the key resistance blocking LUNC’s fourth straight recovery day.
If bulls flip this level, we can see a clean run toward the R2 Pivot at $0.00005107, which means LUNC can reclaim the $0.00005000 psychological level.
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📊 Momentum indicators support the move
RSI at 66 — buyers are strong, momentum running toward overbought after a bullish divergence between the November 21 and December 1 lows
MACD is rising above the signal line, big green bars — clear strength, clear trend reversal energy
This looks like aggressive accumulation.
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⚠️ Key level to watch
If the price drops below $0.00003241 (center Pivot), LUNC can easily retest the December 1 low at $0.00002485. That would wipe out the whole recovery and trap late entries. $LUNC $LUNA
Several firms and analysts have published various price-forecasts for ADA. Their predictions vary widely — which reflects differing assumptions on adoption, macroeconomic conditions, crypto-market cycles, and project developments.
Source / Analysis 2025 2026 2027 2028
DigitalCoinPrice ~$0.90 (avg) ~$1.12 (avg) ~$1.57 (avg) ~$1.99 (avg) CryptoDisrupt — — — ~$3.05 (avg), up to ~$3.51 (bullish) PrimeXBT / PricePrediction-type models — — — ~$2.42 (avg), up to ~$2.90 (bullish) A moderate-bullish composite scenario (from market commentary) ~ $0.66 to $1.88 (2025) ~$1.25–$3.03 up to ~$3.30+ potentially up to ~$3–$4+ (base–bullish)
Summary of Ranges
Conservative / “low growth” path: ADA could remain under $1.00–$2.00 through 2025–2028 (per conservative estimates such as DigitalCoinPrice).
Moderate growth path: If adoption picks up but macro conditions remain neutral, ADA might reach $2.00–$3.00 by 2028 (per PrimeXBT, CryptoDisrupt).
Bullish path: Under favourable conditions — strong ecosystem expansion, supportive macroeconomic environment, successful upgrades/adoptions — ADA could potentially reach $3.00–$4.00+ by 2028 (some models suggest $3.50+).
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⚠️ Why So Much Variation (Risk Factors + Key Drivers)
Ecosystem adoption & development: Realistic upside depends on successful network upgrades, increased DeFi / dApp usage, scalability improvements, and developer activity on Cardano.
Crypto-market cycles & macro factors: Crypto tends to follow broader cycles; macroeconomic conditions and overall investor sentiment (especially toward risk-assets) will heavily influence outcomes.
Competition & innovation risk: The broader blockchain space is evolving fast — competing networks, new technologies, or shifts in demand could limit how high ADA can realistically climb.
Volatility & uncertainty: As with all crypto, sharp swings — both up and down — are possible. Conservative forecasts reflect this risk.
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🔮 My View (2025–2028 Outlook)
If everything aligns moderately well (steady adoption, some favourable market cycles, continued interest in altcoins), I think ADA has a plausible shot at $2.50–$3.50 by 2028.
If there’s a broader altcoin bull-market and positive catalysts (ecosystem growth, macro tailwinds), going beyond — $3.50–$4.50 — isn’t impossible.
But it’s also entirely possible ADA remains below $2.00 if crypto markets st $ay sluggish or if adoption remains muted. $ADA
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Originally, LUNC’s predecessor LUNA once traded as high as ≈ $119. That was before the collapse of the stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) in May 2022 — which triggered a massive crash.
After the crash: the original chain was rebranded as Terra Classic, and the old LUNA token became LUNA Classic (i.e. LUNC).
The collapse was due to a flawed design: UST’s peg was maintained algorithmically by minting/burning LUNA, but when UST lost peg, hyperinflation destroyed LUNA’s value — and by extension, LUNC lost nearly all value.
So: the “$119” value refers to pre-collapse LUNA, not present-day LUNC. Comparing that to current LUNC price is like comparing apples and oranges — misleading and rooted in nostalgia, not fundamentals.
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📉 What LUNC is today — and why value is so low now
After the collapse, LUNC lost its main function (stabilizing UST). It was reborn under community governance, but the original ecosystem — including stablecoin peg mechanism — largely vanished.
Today, LUNC has trillions of tokens in total supply (original supply was ~6.48 trillion), which makes per-token value inherently tiny unless supply is drastically reduced — a huge headwind.
Because its core utility is gone and no broad, real-world adoption has come to replace it, most analysts describe LUNC as “speculative” rather than built on strong fundamentals.
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🔥 What’s fueling recent hype — and why to treat with caution
Token burns & reduced supply: The LUNC community and some exchanges have implemented regular token burns, which reduce supply and — in theory — increase scarcity.
Spikes in trading volume & social media hype: Some recent rallies are driven by surges in trading volume (~370%+ in a day) and renewed interest among retail traders, possibly triggered by community buzz or “nostalgia trading.”
Confusion & mis-attribution: Part of the hype seems to come from people conflating LUNC with the old LUNA value and believing “maybe it can moon again.” Some spikes may also be due to technical mis-reports (e.g. pricing errors) rather than real fundamentals.
But: even burning billions of tokens still leaves trillions in circulation, and there’s no major ecosystem or stablecoin peg to support renewed growth. That makes any sharp price rises highly speculative.
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🧠 So what’s the “truth” behind LUNC — and should you believe in another “moon”?
The $119 price refers to the old LUNA — not today's LUNC. Holding that number against LUNC value today is misleading.
LUNC today is essentially a deflated and rebranded relic of the original project. Its major use-case (stablecoin stabilization) is gone, and while the community still burns tokens and promotes it, that doesn’t guarantee sustainable value.
Most of its recent “success” seems driven by hype, speculation, tokenomics (burns), and narrative momentum — not real adoption or fundamentals.
✅ In short: LUNC might see volatile moves. But expecting a return to $100+ or anything close is — on fundamentals alone — extremely unlikely. Its best angle today is speculative/short-term upside from burns, social hype, or ra re catalysts — not a long-term “moon mission.” $LUNC $USTC $BTTC #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #USJobsData
For LUNC, trading volume shot up dramatically — one report cites a ~370% jump in 24-hour trading activity.
That surge in demand, combined with a thinner order book, pushed prices up rapidly.
• Token burns meaning supply is shrinking
The LUNC community and ecosystem have burned hundreds of millions of tokens in the past week.
Historically over 426 billion tokens have been burned since May 2022 — reducing circulating supply significantly.
Less supply, equal or rising demand → upward pressure on price.
• Technical developments & upcoming upgrades
LUNA is seeing renewed investor interest ahead of a planned chain upgrade (v2.18) scheduled for December 8, 2025.
For LUNC, network upgrades for the old chain (e.g. v3.6.0) — supported by major exchanges — are also contributing to optimism.
• Social-media buzz & “nostalgia” factor
A recent viral moment: a journalist was spotted wearing a vintage Terra-Luna logo T-shirt during a major crypto event, which reignited memories of the old Terra ecosystem.
That “nostalgia + hype” catalyzed retail interest and helped drive a wave of buying.
• Speculation around legal / news events
The looming sentencing of the former founder Do Kwon (scheduled Dec 11) is drawing attention back to the Terra ecosystem — some traders are speculating that every news swing could shake sentiment.
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⚠️ What to watch out for — volatility, not fundamentals
Even though LUNC and LUNA are rallying, their prices remain a tiny fraction of what they once were before the 2022 crash.
The current rally seems driven largely by short-term factors: supply reductions, volume, hype — not necessarily by strong new fundamentals or utility improvements.
If demand fades, or if social buzz dies down, the price could drop sharply. History shows the project’s long-term fundamentals remain weak.
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🔎 What this means for investors and traders
Some traders treat this as a speculative short-term trade: ride the hype; exit before volume fades.
Others in the community see this as a “comeback of Terra Classic,” betting that continuous burns and community momentum could slowly revive LUNC (though that’s speculative).
Either way: this remains a high-risk / high-volatility pla y. Gains can be swift — but losses may come just as fast. $LUNC $LUNA $ETH
$Luna Classic (LUNC) jumped 20% on Friday. This is the fourth day in a row with a green candle. The community is very active — almost 959 million LUNC have been burned in December, and the lower supply is helping the price go up.
But there is a big risk: Do Kwon’s final court hearing is on December 11. Big traders (whales) may be using this news to pump the price and sell later.
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🔥 Why LUNC is moving up
Do Kwon already admitted to fraud in the $40 billion Terra crash. The charges include commodities fraud, securities fraud, and two counts of wire fraud.
Now the judge will decide the sentence on December 11.
U.S. prosecutors want a maximum of 12 years
South Korea wants 40 years
This big gap is creating a lot of speculation, and many small traders may enter late and get trapped.
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🧨 Burns are pushing the price
The token burn is very big this month:
959M LUNC burned in December
182M burned on Friday alone
The lower supply is giving buyers more confidence right before the hearing. Big money is already active.
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📈 Chart looks strong — but be careful
The daily chart shows a bullish candle (Marubozu), which means strong buying. After a 20% jump, the price is at $0.00003914, which is the main resistance.
If buyers break this level, the next target is:
$0.00005107 This would help LUNC move above the $0.00005000 level again. $LUNC
Is $LUNC really on the way to $1? Can it happen? Just look at the chart — it’s telling the whole story. LUNC just printed massive bullish candles in a short span, showing buyers are fully in control and momentum is getting hotter every hour.
Yesterday, I clearly told you all that I was buying $LUNC — and I asked you to join me. So tell me… who entered with me at that moment? Because whoever did is already enjoying this explosive rally.
But listen carefully — this isn’t the moment to panic or rush. This is the time to hold strong, stay patient, and let the momentum keep building. Personally, I’m still thinking of adding more LUNC to my bag because the trend is looking powerful and clean.
Stay prepared, stay sharp… The next move could be even bigger. 💥🚀