The U.S. government is likely to shut down THIS WEEK.
Markets are underestimating how bad this is for crypto.
Here’s why 👇 A shutdown means the U.S. Treasury rebuilds its TGA That means liquidity is pulled out of markets. Crypto is the first victim of liquidity drains.
Last shutdown cycle: • ~$200B+ drained • BTC & ETH −20–25% • Alts got destroyed
This time is worse: • Liquidity already thin • Confidence already weak • Volatility already high
Add shutdown risk to: • Stablecoin bill chaos • Tariff threats • Japan dumping U.S. bonds
If the shutdown happens, crypto goes lower before it goes higher.
February → Bear trap March → Bitcoin breakout April → Altcoin season May → Bitcoin new ATH around $200K June → Bull trap July → Liquidation cascade August → The real bear market begins