MarketNodeQ1

It is timely to revisit the typical crypto market cycle, as Bitcoin continues to respect it with remarkable precision.

The macro top was confirmed in October, when $BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.

From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.

Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.

Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.

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{future}(BTCUSDT)

They’ve run out of road.

For decades, developed countries played the same simple game.

Steal 2% of purchasing power a year via currency debasement, kick the can, and hide the rot under a mountain of cheap credit.

But as of this morning, the US national debt is sitting close to $39 trillion.

We are adding a billion dollars in debt every few hours.

And now the math is forcing the debt to become predatory as it approaches the exponential knee in the chart.

In other words, the debt has entered its terminal phase and governments are coming for the only resource they have left: You.

This week, the Netherlands showed us exactly what the future looks like in the form of unrealized gains taxation.

A 36% tax on paper gains you haven’t even cashed out to enjoy.

Let's look at the math.

If your Bitcoin goes from $70,000 to $100,000 on paper, even if you never sell a single sat, you owe the government over $10,000.

You are forced to liquidate part of your position just to pay for the 'privilege' of holding an asset that outperformed their failing currency.

And if the market crashes before the bill is due? Too bad. The tax is locked in at the earlier valuation.

You can turn a real gain into a net loss and permanently lose a chunk of your stack.

This law is scheduled to start 2028.

It passed the Dutch House with politicians openly saying, 'We don’t like it either, but we have to.'

And they aren't alone.

Erica Payne and the 'Patriotic Millionaires' just told the IMF exactly what the second half of this trap looks like: A Global Asset Registry.

They want to 'map the money' and define 'what is enough.'

Because when a government is $40 trillion in the hole, 'enough' is whatever you have in your bank account.

They are building a digital panopticon to ensure no one escapes the burning house of fiat.

Your taxes haven't gone towards paying the budget in a long time.

Now they are telling you what they are really for: limiting your personal economic power and agency.

They want to ensure you never gain the economic velocity to question the authorities who broke the system.

Thankfully, we live in a time where the most liquid capital asset in the world is also the most mobile and censorship resistant.

Bitcoin.