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Bernstein analysts on Monday maintained their $150,000 target for $BTC despite the recent sell-off that they said was being driven by lacking investor confidence rather than structural stress.
Calling the pullback the “weakest bear case” in the asset’s history, the analysts’ note to investors said no major failures have emerged across Bitcoin’s market plumbing, and pointed to relatively modest 7% net outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs even as BTC price dropped by about 50%.
“The current Bitcoin price action is a mere crisis of confidence. Nothing broke, no skeletons will show up,” analysts led by Gautam Chhugani said.
Bernstein said Bitcoin’s recent underperformance relative to gold reflects its continued treatment as a liquidity-sensitive risk asset rather than a long-term safe haven. The analysts said tight financial conditions and elevated rates have favored artificial intelligence-linked equities and precious metals, limiting near-term upside for Bitcoin despite broader adoption trends.
The report also pushed back on several of the emerging risk narratives, including concerns that artificial intelligence is diverting capital away from crypto or that quantum computing poses an imminent threat to Bitcoin. Bernstein wrote:
Framing quantum computing as a Bitcoin-killer ignores the timeline, the upgrade path and the fact that the entire digital world shares the same vulnerability and will migrate together.
Addressing leverage at major corporate Bitcoin holders such as Michael Saylor’s Strategy, Bernstein said the company relies largely on long-dated perpetual preferred equity and maintains enough cash to cover dividends without near-term refinancing risk.
As well, the analysts expect Bitcoin miners to capitulate and sell as the price moves below their production cost.
After addressing the prevailing bear case narratives, Bernstein predicted Bitcoin is likely to return to new highs as liquidity conditions improve. The company reiterated its $150,000 Bitcoin price target for 2026.
Institutions view Bitcoin pullback as entry point as traders warn of further downside
On Friday, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley said Bitcoin’s move below $70,000 is being interpreted differently across the market, with long-time holders showing caution while institutional investors view the pullback as a renewed entry opportunity. 
Speaking on CNBC, Horsley said institutions are revisiting price levels they previously believed they had missed. He attributed the decline to broader macro pressure rather than crypto-specific stress, saying Bitcoin is trading in line with other liquid assets as investors “sell everything that is liquid.”
While Horsley framed the sell-off as a macro-driven reset in positioning, short-term traders remain cautious about Bitcoin’s near-term price trajectory. 
On Sunday, independent analysts Filbfilb and Tony Severino highlighted technical indicators they say still signal further downside, while other traders argued that a “real bottom” may not form until Bitcoin falls below $50,000.

Bitcoin reached an all-time high of over $126,000 on Oct. 6, but has since fallen to about $70,000 at time of writing, according to CoinGecko data.📈
#BinanceSquare #WhenWillBTCRebound #WhenWillBTCRebound #CoinGecko

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As the ecosystem evolves, keeping an eye on @undefined and the progress around $XPL could be worthwhile for anyone who values fundamentals over noise. #Plasma

#Solana price saw a sharp pullback at the start of the month, with the price sliding to a low near $67.48. Since then, the recovery has looked fragile. After losing an important support zone, SOL has moved into a weaker position, allowing sellers to regain control. Buyers tried to steady the price during the consolidation phase, but the lack of strong follow-through has kept downside risks alive, shifting focus toward the $50 area as the next key support.
The move has closely followed Bitcoin’s recent breakdown below a major psychological level. While Ethereum and $XRP managed to defend their supports, Solana struggled to build momentum after its bounce, raising concerns that the current setup could still open the door to a deeper pullback.
Big Players Step Back From Solana
Since their launch, Solana ETFs have largely recorded consistent net inflows, with outflows remaining limited and short-lived. However, the chart above highlights a clear shift in that trend. There have been a few instances where outflows briefly overtook inflows, signalling cooling institutional interest, and the latest data points to one of the most notable moves so far.

According to Santiment, Solana ETFs recently saw nearly $11.9 million in net outflows, marking the second-largest outflow day on record, trailing only December 2025. This comes at a time when SOL has already shed over 62% of its market capitalization in the past four months, reinforcing the view that institutional sentiment has weakened alongside price.
Historically, sharp ETF outflows during extended downtrends have often coincided with late-stage selling or capitulation, rather than the start of fresh declines. While this does not confirm a bottom, the scale of the outflow suggests traders are becoming increasingly cautious, a dynamic that has, in past cycles, preceded periods of stabilization once selling pressure begins to exhaust.
Is Solana Price Heading to $50?
Selling pressure has picked up again on Solana’s weekly chart, even after a brief rebound attempt. As the chart shows, buyers failed to deliver sustained follow-through, keeping SOL capped below key resistance zones. Last week’s sharp spike in trading volume triggered heightened volatility, but with volume now cooling and price stuck in a tight range, momentum has clearly weakened.

More importantly, the weekly Gaussian Channel has flipped bearish, signaling that $SOL may have entered a broader downtrend phase rather than a short-lived correction. This shift aligns with the confirmed breakdown of a head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe, a structure that often precedes extended downside if price fails to reclaim lost levels.
On a slightly constructive note, the weekly RSI appears to have bottomed and is attempting a rebound, suggesting selling pressure may be slowing. However, until momentum improves and price reclaims key resistance levels, the broader setup continues to favor caution, keeping the risk of further downside open as the month progresses.
The Bottom Line
Solana remains in a fragile position as long as the price stays below the $105–$110 resistance zone. Failure to reclaim this range could keep downside pressure intact, opening the door for a move toward $77–$75, where short-term demand may attempt to slow the decline. A deeper breakdown would bring the $50–$55 region into focus, aligning with historical support. 
On the upside, bulls need a strong weekly close back above $115 to invalidate the bearish setup and shift momentum toward $135–$150. Until then, risk remains skewed to the downside.