Everyone is saying the 4 years cycle is over and we are in a super cycle now, i dont know about that but i do think the most part of 2026 will be bearish/Sideways.
If not Q1 of 2026 i think Q2,3 will be most likely bearish/Sideways.
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Gave you the $65k–$67k zone as a buy opportunity ✅ Gave you an early warning of price weakness above $69k ✅ Price dipped into the $65k–$67k zone ✅ Told you if price holds this zone, we’ll likely see $70k again ✅
Price is back to $70k's ✅
You’re welcome.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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Guts were right, Bitcoin was showing weakness around $70k–71k and ended up getting rejected.
I shared the $65k–67k zone earlier this week as a lower-timeframe trade opportunity, and price is respecting that zone for now. If this zone holds, I think BTC can move back into the $70k's range again.
Things to remember when the market is bearish and trust me, these are the only things I personally follow during a bear market👇
- If you are going long/buying, you are taking a counter-trend trade be okay with the fact that you can be wrong. -Bounces are mostly short-lived as long as the higher-timeframe structure is bearish. - Breakouts will most likely turn into a fake-out. - In bear markets, price usually goes down faster than it goes up. - Support levels tend to break easily, while resistance becomes very strong. - News that sounds bullish often gives only a temporary pump. - Patience pays more than overtrading sometimes the best trade is no trade. - Protecting capital is more important than trying to catch the exact bottom.
Bear markets are not for making fast money they are for staying alive until the next bull run.
Guts were right, Bitcoin was showing weakness around $70k–71k and ended up getting rejected.
I shared the $65k–67k zone earlier this week as a lower-timeframe trade opportunity, and price is respecting that zone for now. If this zone holds, I think BTC can move back into the $70k's range again.
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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I don’t really like what Bitcoin is doing here one candle up followed by four days of consolidation. That move up was likely just shorts taking profits.
Right now, it feels like the same old pattern. -Price broke $90k, struggled to reclaim it, and failed. -Price broke $80k, struggled to reclaim it, and failed. And now it’s struggling to hold above $70k.
I want to see it leave this range soon ideally today. Otherwise, it could rotate lower again. $71,500 is the level to watch. Above that, we’re good. Below that, it still looks bad.
US NFP data came in stronger than expected. Expected: 66K Actual: 130K
This is usually not great for crypto in the short term because strong job data signals a strong economy, which means the Fed has less reason to cut rates anytime soon. That’s why the DXY spiked after the release, A good data is generally positive for the dollar.
I’ve explained how this data typically works, but whether BTC actually goes up or down from here still depends on market makers which way they want to move the market and it will be more dependent on how US stocks will open.
And lets not forget, News impacts are mostly short lived so there is no need to take them too seriously.