Crypto Web3 Today

Following strong selling pressure, ETH staged a comeback, rising 5.8% and officially surpassing the crucial psychological threshold of $2,000.

🍒This momentum largely stemmed from Spot ETFs ending their "bleeding" streak and beginning to inject net funds of approximately $10.26 million on February 13th.

$ETH

The market is a game of patience right now.

In a bear market, the key is to take your time. Unlike bull markets, where reversals happen quickly, bearish phases last for months and don't end abruptly.

Looking at the bigger picture, rather than just daily fluctuations, the picture remains weak. Despite some positive ETF days, the cumulative net flow over the last 10 trading days remains negative (around -18,000 BTC). This means there's no sustainable demand yet.

A reversal doesn't start with a single strong day, but with a systematic return of capital to the market. Until that happens, upward movements look more like noise within a bear market.

BTC has been in its current drawdown for over four months, having lost more than 50% from its October peak. This isn't unique by BTC standards. But when a drawdown exceeds 100 days, history shows that recovery usually takes months, and sometimes years, not weeks.

$BTC

😘Happy Valentine's Day, my dear followers! I hope your day is filled with love, good vibes, and maybe even some sweet crypto gains ❤🤩

$BNB
$SUI
$TAO

Can analysis predict both rises and falls? Or do analytical tools only predict rises? In other words, why didn't most analysts who were certain of a rise for Bitcoin predict the crash from its peak of $126,000?

Answer: Technical analysis (on charts) is not a crystal ball that reveals the future, but rather a science built on probabilities and scenarios. They say that probabilities that have happened before might happen again now.

Regarding predicting rises and falls, there's something called "confirmation bias." This means that analysts are psychologically inclined towards a rise because society loves positive news and posts. For example, "The time for the great rise has come..." "The bull market has begun..." "The decline is over, and now the upward explosions will begin..." "Bitcoin is headed to $250,000 tomorrow at 9:00 PM Flat Earth Time," and so on with other fantastical positive predictions.

This human bias leads analysts (most, but not all) to ignore clear downward signals (on the ground) and cling only to the scribbles on the charts.

Regarding Bitcoin reaching a peak of $126,000, the prevailing excessive optimism within the community (led by analysts) at this stage is causing them to ignore realistic indicators that warn of a potential downturn or impending danger.

$BTC
$BNB
$XRP

ALTSEASON 2026 WILL BE EPIC 🔥

Stick to the plan,
Do not panic sell in any situation
You knew it’s wasn’t going to be easy

If Gold can pump 100% in 1 year
Silver can pump 300% in 1 year

Just imagine how fast Altcoins will
pump 20x-100 from these prices.

It’s time to Lock in…

$XAU
$XAG
$BTC

💥BREAKING:

Ethereum Founder Vitalik Butterin says prediction markets are addicted to dopamine, not real info.

Vitalik’s critique isn’t about banning prediction markets. It’s about design. Right now, shallow bets dominate, so traders chase thrill instead of value. Well-structured markets could actually surface real signals, not just short-term swings. Understanding the mechanics matters.

Not all prediction markets are equal. Many reward fast clicks over thoughtful analysis. Vitalik’s warning is a reminder that design shapes behavior. Users should know what the platform incentivizes: insight or instant gratification. The difference changes how markets show reality.

$ETH

CPI: 8-month low

Core CPI: 5-year low

2025 Non-farm payrolls revision: -862,000 (worst since 2009)

Large bankruptcies: Worst since 2009

Credit card delinquencies: Worst since 2011

Vacancy-to-unemployed ratio: Worst since pandemic

Housing market buyers vs. sellers: Worst ever

But according to the Fed, every aspect of the economy is strong, and the only concern is inflation.

The Federal Reserve is not describing the economy; it is managing expectations to prevent a liquidity cascade. The 2025 benchmark revision of -862,000 payrolls confirms that resilience was a statistical mirage. When large bankruptcies hit 2009 levels and credit card delinquencies surpass a year peak, the lag effect of restrictive policy is no longer a risk it is the current reality. Sustaining a hawkish bias while core CPI hits a 5year low is not a strategy; it is a policy error in real-time.

$TAO
$BNB
$ZEC

Experienced Analyst Makes Bold Claim: “If This Happens, Bitcoin Will See a Rally”

Analyst James Van Straten claims that a development that could trigger a new rally in Bitcoin may be on the way.

In the cryptocurrency markets, attention has turned to a proposed technical update aimed at increasing the Bitcoin network’s resilience against quantum computers. Some analysts in the sector argue that an agreement on this could trigger a sharp revaluation of prices.

James Van Straten, a senior analyst at the cryptocurrency exchange Bullish, commented on the Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 (BIP-360). Straten stated that after the Bitcoin price dropped to the $60,000 level, the industry began to take the potential threats posed by quantum computing more seriously. He described this increased awareness as a “welcome development.”

According to Straten, if a network-wide consensus is reached on a quantum-resistant solution, markets could see a dramatic price revaluation of between 50% and 100% within weeks. The analyst stated that reducing technical risks could boost investor confidence, which in turn could pave the way for a strong upward price movement.

However, Straten pointed out that this process also carries potential risks. In particular, he said that uncertainties regarding the fate of Bitcoins believed to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto and which have been inactive for a long time could create volatility in the market. The potential activity of such old wallets could be decisive in investor psychology.

As previously reported, Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 (BIP-360) has been added to the official codebase. The proposal aims to introduce a new output type called Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR). With this planned soft fork, the goal is to strengthen the Bitcoin network’s defenses against potential cryptographic threats from quantum computers in the future.

$BTC

Is it possible we'll see these prices in the third and fourth quarters of 2026? Write your thoughts below 🤔

$BTC : $36,500

ETH: $800

SOL: $20

XRP: $0.30

SUI: $0.05

$APT : $0.25

$ICP : $0.40

#BTC

#ETH

#sol

🇺🇸 The U.S. Supreme Court has set February 20 as the next possible date for a ruling on President Trump’s tariffs.

This matters:
• Binary outcome
• Policy credibility on the line
• Volatility risk spikes across stocks, FX, and crypto

Markets will frontrun this.

$BNB
$SOL
$SUI

JUST IN : 🇧🇷 BRAZIL LAWMAKERS PROPOSE 1 MILLION $BTC SOVEREIGN RESERVE

Lawmakers in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies have reintroduced an expanded proposal to create a Strategic Sovereign Bitcoin Reserve (RESBit)

They are planning to purchase 1,000,000 $BTC over five years!

The bill now heads to committee review.

$BTC

🚨🇺🇸 DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY PARTIAL SHUTDOWN BEGINS.

The Department of Homeland Security entered a partial shutdown at 12:01 a.m. ET after Congress failed to extend funding.

Most DHS operations continue ; about 90%+ of staff are classified as essential!

Travel impacts are expected to be minimal for now, though prolonged shutdown risks could increase airport delays.

Congress is scheduled to return Feb. 23 unless negotiations accelerate.

A “partial” shutdown where 90% is still essential shows how political these standoffs really are.

Markets usually shrug at first, but if negotiations drag, sentiment can shift quickly. Short-term noise… unless it isn’t 🇺🇸⚖️

$TAO
$ZEC
$VIRTUAL

US equity market stress is rising beneath the surface:

The put-call skew in the Nasdaq 100 ETF, $QQQ, is up to 0.39, the highest since the April 2025 market sell-off.

The skew measures how much more investors are paying for downside protection using out-of-the-money puts versus upside exposure via calls.

The index is now in-line with levels seen during the 2022 bear market, signaling growing investor concerns about technology stocks.

Meanwhile, the average S&P 500 stock has moved 10.8% in absolute terms over the last month, despite the index itself remaining roughly unchanged.

This level of dispersion ranks in the 99th percentile over the last 30 years and is the highest since 2008.

Underlying stock market volatility has rarely been this high.

$BTC
$BNB
$XRP

NERA/USDT 💰

The price of NEAR has gathered liquidity from its previous low and is approaching the psychological level of $1. If the price manages to break through this level and consolidate above it, the upward movement will continue. The main target for price growth is liquidity above the $1.1 level.

$NEAR

📉🔥 Extreme fear has always been a sign of opportunity.

Look at history:

The 2012 crash, the Mt. Gox crisis, the 2017–2018 bear market, the COVID-19 pandemic, the FTX crash…

All of these events marked the “Extreme Fear” indicator.

Back then, Bitcoin was at:

$7, $400, $3,000, $15,000…

And each time, it seemed like the end.

And today?

We’re back in the territory of extreme fear.

But the difference is crucial:

• The network is stronger
• Institutions are present
• ETFs exist
• Countries are mining
• The infrastructure is deeper than ever

📊 Historically, fear peaks at the bottoms because positions are washed out and narratives collapse.

But structurally, Bitcoin has withstood every macro shock, every platform bankruptcy, and every liquidity crisis.

Extreme fear has never been where Bitcoin dies…

Rather, it's where long-term conviction is rewarded. 🔥

$ENS
$ZKC
$TON

The probability of an interest rate cut in March has dropped to just 7%… What does this mean for the markets?

When the probability of an interest rate cut falls to 7%, it's not just a passing figure…

It's a clear message from the market:

No rate cut is imminent.

But why has pricing in the rate cut fallen so quickly?

Markets had been anticipating an early easing cycle, but recent economic data – both inflation and labor market strength – have completely changed the picture.

Inflation remains above target, and the economy hasn't shown a sharp slowdown that would force the central bank to act immediately.

In other words:

There isn't enough pressure to cut interest rates right now.

What does this mean in practical terms?

1. The dollar remains relatively supported, as higher interest rates for a longer period mean better returns on dollar-denominated assets.

2. Stocks may experience some volatility, as part of the recent rally was based on expectations of a rapid rate cut.

3. Gold may enter a temporary equilibrium, as the metal reacts strongly to monetary policy expectations.

Most importantly:

The shift from expecting an early rate cut to “higher interest rates for longer” is re-evaluating risk across all markets.

The market doesn't just react to the actual decision,

it reacts to expectations.

And when expectations suddenly change, money moves quickly.

The real question now isn't:

Will there be a rate cut in March?

But:

When will the first actual cut begin?

And how many cuts will there be during the year?

Because the next monetary policy cycle will determine the direction of liquidity, the cost of funding, and global risk appetite.

In the markets, 7% means one thing:

March is no longer on the table.

But the cycle isn't over… it's just being postponed.

$XAU
$BTC
$BNB

🇺🇸 INFLATION COOLS : LOWEST LEVEL SINCE MID-2025

U.S. inflation fell to 2.4% in January, below expectations and down from 2.7% in December.

• Monthly CPI rose just 0.2%
• Core inflation held at 2.5%
• Energy prices dropped 1.5%

Cooling shelter and food costs helped bring inflation closer to the Fed’s target, but consumers remain cautious as markets watch closely for possible rate cuts. 👀

$NXPC
$ALLO
$KITE

CPI is at 8 month low.

Core CPI is almost at 5-year low.
Job market is cooked.
Bankruptcies are rising.
Credit card delinquencies are going up.
Housing market is in trouble.

And still, Powell is acting like the economy is stronger than ever and only concern is the inflation.

Powell already made a horrible mistake by continuing QE for longer in 2021, which destroyed the markets in 2022.

He is doing something similar again by being hawkish for longer than needed.

$ZKP
$ZAMA
$AAVE

Around ~$254m in BTC positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours: ~$180m in longs and ~$74m in shorts.

$BTC

BTC UPDATE

Many influencers feel the same but are very scared to post this. I think crypto market finally deserves some fresh air to breath.

- Indicators and oscillators are oversold
- Sales are gradually decreasing, while purchases are increasing (spot)
- Meanwhile, the crowd started opening shorts
- Huge profile volumes are spotted near $64,000 - $65,000 support
- Stocks are dumping, while crypto is staying strong
- Fear&Greed Index is 5 (meme argument but still)

As the result, I expect to see some local growth towards $72,000 resistance and probably even $76,000 (if the previous one is broken up) and then dump continuation.

SETUP INVALIDATION: Breakdown of the $64,000 support level. In this case we will go straight short down to $52,000 zone.

$BTC