Gold is respecting key technical levels nicely. The 4,900 support held firm once again on yesterday’s retest, setting up a clean push into the 5,000 breakout.
Bulls hesitated to challenge the 5,100 area for now, so the focus shifts to whether price can accept above 5,000 and establish a higher low, which would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
#bitcoin didn’t rally on bullish conviction. It bounced because uncertainty cleared. $BTC flushed toward ~$73K as shutdown fears, ETF outflows, and macro pressure piled up.
Once the U.S. funding bill passed, risk appetite returned fast. Price reclaimed ~$75K on relief, not true strength.
The structure is clear: $72K–$76K = demand zone $80K = real momentum test
$ETH :The rising support I flagged at $2.8K failed to hold, triggering a daily breakdown and a sharp flush into the next major demand zone near $2.15K.
This is the key level now. If $2.15K holds, the move likely plays out as a liquidity sweep and reset, with price chopping and rebuilding between $2.15K–$2.7K.
A true bullish shift only comes with a reclaim of $2.7K and sustained acceptance above $2.85K.
The USD Is Weakening, And It’s Not a Mistake. It’s a Strategy.
Most people see a falling dollar as a problem. Smart money sees asset rotation.
When the USD drops, four big things happen:
• Gold & commodities rise, priced in dollars, they gain when the dollar loses value • US stocks get an earnings boost, overseas revenue converts back into more dollars • Emerging markets strengthen, dollar debt becomes easier to repay • Global capital shifts into hard assets and growth regions
We’re literally watching this play out: metals have outperformed, equities remain resilient, while crypto has lagged.
I learned this the hard way by staying overexposed to one asset class. Now I follow macro flows, not narratives.
Weak dollar environments are historically where real wealth rotations begin.
The question isn’t “Why is the dollar falling?” It’s “Which assets benefit most while it does?”
That’s where positioning, not predicting, makes the difference.
$ETH Intraday Playbook Price action isn’t as constructive as it was yesterday so far.
The chart highlights composite value areas from the last two sessions, along with the prior day’s VAH and VAL.
A sharp push into the lower end of value followed by a quick reclaim could trigger a relief move higher, especially with liquidity stacked above the clustered highs. For now, though, I’m staying flat and letting price show its hand.
Bottom #bitcoin kemungkinan sudah semakin dekat. Kenapa bisa begitu? Begini penjelasannya. Di timeframe 3D, $BTC membentuk bullish divergence pada indikator RSI. Dalam dua tahun terakhir, titik pembalikan paling krusial untuk $BTC selalu diawali oleh kemunculan bullish divergence.
Dan saat ini, sinyal serupa kembali muncul. Namun perlu diingat, sudah dekat bukan berarti sudah benar-benar bottom. Divergence pada dasarnya menandakan bahwa tren mulai kehilangan momentum, bukan konfirmasi mutlak bahwa harga telah menyentuh titik terendah. Karena itu, beberapa minggu ke depan akan menjadi fase yang sangat krusial bagi pergerakan Bitcoin.
$BTC Technically, as long as higher lows keep forming, a push toward a new all-time high is still possible. However, multiple indicators are now signaling a potential top, reducing that likelihood.
A break to a lower low wouldn’t immediately mark a bear market, but it would raise the chances that Bitcoin is entering a wider ABC corrective structure.
Ethereum ($ETH ) continued to slide, falling below the $2,500 level as broader market weakness weighed on crypto. At the time of writing, $ETH trades around $2,307, down more than 14%, pressured by ETF outflows, large whale transfers, and cascading liquidations.
Although some analysts are now floating sub-$2,000 targets, the current move appears driven by overall risk-off sentiment across markets, not a fundamental breakdown in Ethereum itself.
$BTC is holding around ~$74,600 following the sharp correction. Last week saw heavy selling pressure, with Bitcoin dropping roughly 20% in just seven days. This move flushed a large amount of long positions, and historically, such liquidation events often set the stage for a short-term relief bounce.
For today, I’m slightly biased toward longs, as upside liquidity remains attractive and price is currently sitting at a key support zone. That said, shorts are still on the table, which is why I’ve mapped out the major liquidity and resistance levels above.
My long trigger is a break in the H4 market structure, specifically a clean reclaim of the ~$79,388 resistance. If that level is reclaimed, I’ll target the next liquidity/resistance area around ~$84,635. However, ~$79,388 is also a potential short setup. A liquidity sweep followed by rejection would open the door for shorts targeting new lows.
I also pointed out higher-timeframe liquidity resting below the ~$74,450 low. On a retest of that area, I’ll look for high-probability reversal signals to build larger long positions. Given the size of the recent dump, early lower-timeframe bounces can be deceptive. Patience is key, let price settle, wait for confirmation, and then execute. Let’s see how the week unfolds.
What’s happening with ETH? Over the past three days, $ETH has underperformed the rest of the market, dropping roughly 6–7% more than BTC, SOL, and XRP.
You can see it clearly in the size of the red candles and on the ETH/BTC chart — Ethereum has been bleeding relative strength.
It makes you question whether there’s some $ETH , related overhang behind the scenes. A potential bankruptcy or forced selling from an entity tied to ETH (maybe something like Bitmine?) would explain why the selling pressure feels unusually heavy and why price isn’t bouncing at all.
BITCOIN HAD A TOUGH JANUARY — HISTORY FAVORS FEBRUARY When $BTC posts a weak or negative January, February has often brought a momentum shift. Not because of one big catalyst, but because early-year selling washes out excess leverage and resets market positioning.
That’s exactly what we just saw: . Leverage wiped out . Sentiment plunged into extreme fear . Positions fully reset
This doesn’t mean price immediately moons, it means the pressure dynamic changes. Rough starts rarely define the year for #bitcoin . More often, they lay the groundwork for what comes next.
$ETH remains in a clear downtrend after being rejected at the supply zone. Price attempted to consolidate but ultimately broke down with strong momentum, confirming seller dominance.
The next crucial level to watch is the major support zone below, where buyers could attempt a reaction. If that level gives way, further downside is likely.
For now, bearish momentum remains in control, and any short term bounce may face resistance on pullbacks.
Bitcoin ($BTC ) and Ethereum ($ETH ) stand as the foundation of the cryptocurrency market, shaping adoption, innovation, and investor confidence across digital assets.
Bitcoin (BTC): Digital Store of Value Bitcoin is designed as decentralized, scarce money with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Its security and simplicity make it a hedge against inflation and financial uncertainty.
Ethereum (ETH): Smart Contract Engine Ethereum is a programmable blockchain powering DeFi, NFTs, and Web3. ETH is used for gas fees and staking, giving it strong utility-driven demand.
BTC vs ETH: Market Roles BTC leads market cycles and attracts institutions, while ETH thrives during innovation-led growth phases.
Conclusion
Together, Bitcoin provides monetary stability while Ethereum drives technological progress.
$ETH Let’s remember the recent whale liquidation happened right at Ethereum’s exact weekly double bottom.
Technical analysis doesn’t lie, and with the massive CME gap in play, I’ll be watching the $2,300 level to buy Ethereum when the market opens on Monday. #WhenWillBTCRebound #PreciousMetalsTurbulence
$ETH is currently trading near $2,300 and could remain range bound between $2,100 and $2,500 for a while. A clean break above this zone may open the door to a move toward $3,400.
If broader market conditions improve, higher targets like $3.5k, $3.9k, and even $4.4k come into play. On the downside, increased volatility could still drag $ETH back toward the $1,930 area.