Happy Monday everyone, best of luck this trading week! 📈
Let’s take a look at $BTC . The chart shows an interesting setup: there’s a large CME gap above and two gaps still open below, all marked clearly.
What stands out is that the lower gaps align with the middle and bottom of the Bear Flag, which makes those levels particularly important.
Another key point: the recent rally came with RSI divergence. Price has been making higher highs, but the RSI isn’t confirming it. In simple terms, price is rising while buying momentum is weakening.
Think of it like an auction where the host shouts “73 thousand!” but only one hesitant bidder raises a hand. The price increases, but the enthusiasm isn’t really there.
That’s why I’m skeptical about the sudden calls for $80K+ on this move. In the short term, I’m watching for a potential move toward $68,800 first. After that, we’ll see how the market reacts.
Right now the market feels highly manipulated and unpredictable, and many of you probably know the reasons behind that.
$BTC Price is nearing a key decision zone. The monthly open lies within the golden pocket, while the uptrend that began around 60k sits just below. This creates a critical area where several important levels converge.
A bounce from this region would favor a continuation to the upside. However, if price breaks below it, a move back below 60k becomes a real possibility.
Bitcoin is still trading around resistance, and this recent move up doesn’t look very sustainable to me.
Because of that, I’m waiting for price to sweep the highs one more time and take out the last significant liquidity cluster above.
Once that happens, I’ll be looking for a short entry, targeting the unswept liquidity sitting below.
My first target will be the $70K support, which is an important level bulls need to defend if they want continuation to the upside.
From there, I plan to secure more profits at the key range S/R level, which has repeatedly acted as strong support within this range.
My final target is the range lows, where I’ll close the remaining position. This setup becomes invalid if we see a confirmed breakout above the range highs.
$BTC Across the last 10 CPI releases, a consistent pattern stands out.
In 9 out of 10 cases, price rallied into the announcement, then fully retraced that move within days or a week afterward. Only once did momentum continue higher after the data release.
This time, we’re seeing a similar setup again, with Bitcoin up around 7% in recent days heading into CPI.
With price sitting at a key resistance zone, liquidity clustered below, and the move largely driven by news flow, there’s little evidence to suggest this cycle will behave differently.
Bitcoin may have just completed its final bull trap, and most people still haven’t noticed.
The same market structure has appeared before, and it seems to be repeating again. Based on this chart, the next downward move for $BTC could already be underway. $44,000 isn’t just a random prediction, it’s a potential setup.
The real question is: are you prepared for what’s coming next, or about to become exit liquidity?
$BTC has reached the first bullish target for the week.
As mentioned in Monday’s analysis, the week started with strong momentum and the initial target around $72,000 has now been achieved. After hitting that level, I closed my long position and am now watching for new setups for the rest of the week.
The $68,200 imbalance retest held well, and the recent impulse move created another significant imbalance in the market.
My overall bias for the remainder of the week remains slightly bullish, with $74,800 liquidity as the next potential target. The $69,100 H4 imbalance is a key point of interest where I would consider looking for long positions.
If Bitcoin reclaims $72,000 with strong momentum, I may look for more aggressive scalp longs targeting the $74,800 area. Short positions are possible locally, but for me they would only be small scalps, since they go against my current bullish bias.
I still haven’t seen Bitcoin confirm a bottom on the 1-minute timeframe, so for now I’m continuing to observe. Please remember that this caution is for your protection.
My last three plans all reached around 1.5–2R before eventually getting stopped out. Even though I repeat the principles every day, I still see some people
complaining about hitting stop losses. That tells me some of you haven’t fully adapted to my trading style yet.
Going forward, I’ll provide slightly more cautious setups and will update you as early as possible if anything changes (except when I’m asleep)
$BTC continues to move sideways, closely echoing the structure of the previous bear market cycle. If this pattern holds, we’re still roughly 80+ days away from a potential sweep of the $60K wick low, a move that could signal the start of a true bottoming phase.
While many expect an immediate breakout or breakdown, the market may continue ranging for several more weeks as it builds toward that final capitulation. For now, this zone still looks like a reasonable area to slowly accumulate spot positions.
$BTC Price is currently stuck within a tight weekend range. If we get a breakout, the next target could be around $67.4K, where liquidity sits above the highs.
A breakdown, however, would likely send price toward the $65.7K area, where there’s liquidity resting below.
At the moment, a downside sweep looks slightly more likely. But a quick fake move above the highs wouldn’t be surprising.
That kind of move would clear upside liquidity first, while also creating more liquidity below setting up a stronger move once the downside eventually gets taken.
$XRP could be gearing up for an interesting April.
A long-term Saturn, Jupiter alignment hits its exact point on April 19 (UTC), a subtle but bullish signal that might support regulatory progress and market cap growth. The key point.
Market cap expansion often comes first, with price following. Don’t expect a straight upward move this influence builds slowly rather than triggering an immediate spike. The real question.
Will strong fundamentals drive the price higher, or will momentum trail behind?
$BTC is sitting around $66,671, with the macro trendline directly beneath price. That level has already been tested three times, and each time buyers stepped in to defend it.
Still, the structure doesn’t feel strong. Every bounce gets sold quickly, and price struggles to reclaim $70K.
The $72K–$76K zone has acted as firm resistance, rejecting multiple rally attempts.
Until BTC can secure a strong close above $70K, it’s safer to treat rebounds cautiously.
If this macro trendline fails, it could remove the last meaningful support before downside pressure increases significantly.
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