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ENTRIES & KEY INDICATORS – FEBRUARY 10
🟢 LONG SCENARIO (Currently Invalid - Requires Reconfirmation)
· Trigger: Coinbase Premium > -0.10%
· Entry Zone: $68,200 - $68,500
· Stop Loss: $67,800
· Targets: $69,500 → $70,500 - $71,000
🔴 SHORT SCENARIO (Active - Immediate Monitoring)
· Trigger: 5-min Close < $68,200 + Coinbase Premium < -50
· Entry Zone: $68,000 - $68,150
· Stop Loss: $68,800
· Targets: $66,500 → $65,000
📊 DECISIONAL INDICATORS (Current)
· Coinbase Premium: -77.57 (⬇️ Aggressive Institutional Selling)
· Funding Rate: -0.0008 (⬇️ Bearish Positioning)
· RSI (1-min): 68.9 (Extreme Short-Term Overbought)
⚠️ ABSOLUTE CONDITION: Short scenario is invalidated if Coinbase Premium > -20.$BTC
#WhenWillBTCRebound #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #RiskAssetsMarketShock
🟢 LONG SCENARIO (Currently Invalid - Requires Reconfirmation)
· Trigger: Coinbase Premium > -0.10%
· Entry Zone: $68,200 - $68,500
· Stop Loss: $67,800
· Targets: $69,500 → $70,500 - $71,000
🔴 SHORT SCENARIO (Active - Immediate Monitoring)
· Trigger: 5-min Close < $68,200 + Coinbase Premium < -50
· Entry Zone: $68,000 - $68,150
· Stop Loss: $68,800
· Targets: $66,500 → $65,000
📊 DECISIONAL INDICATORS (Current)
· Coinbase Premium: -77.57 (⬇️ Aggressive Institutional Selling)
· Funding Rate: -0.0008 (⬇️ Bearish Positioning)
· RSI (1-min): 68.9 (Extreme Short-Term Overbought)
⚠️ ABSOLUTE CONDITION: Short scenario is invalidated if Coinbase Premium > -20.$BTC
#WhenWillBTCRebound #USTechFundFlows #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #RiskAssetsMarketShock
Where is the market heading now?
I am focused on two primary scenarios, with a strong bias towards the first.
🟢 MAIN SCENARIO (70% Probability): Pullback, Then Upside Continuation to $71,000
Thesis: The pivotal improvement in institutional flow is legitimate, but the price has moved too far, too fast (LTF RSI is overbought). Healthy trends require consolidation.
Key Watch Zone: A retracement towards the $68,200 - $68,500 range. This former resistance should now act as support, creating a favorable risk/reward asymmetry.
Execution Plan:
· Entry (Limit Order): $68,300
· Stop-Loss: $67,900. A break below this level invalidates the support thesis.
· Take-Profit 1: $69,500 (Initial resistance test)
· Take-Profit 2: $70,500 - $71,000 (Technical & psychological resistance zone)
· Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🔴 COUNTER SCENARIO (30% Probability): Rejection and Retest of $66,000
Trigger: Resumption of aggressive whale distribution (Exchange Whale Ratio > 0.92) coupled with a deterioration in the Coinbase Premium.
My Action: Immediately invalidate the long plan. I will NOT short against such negative funding rates. Instead, I will revert to a NO TRADE stance and await a new, clearer signal.$BTC
I am focused on two primary scenarios, with a strong bias towards the first.
🟢 MAIN SCENARIO (70% Probability): Pullback, Then Upside Continuation to $71,000
Thesis: The pivotal improvement in institutional flow is legitimate, but the price has moved too far, too fast (LTF RSI is overbought). Healthy trends require consolidation.
Key Watch Zone: A retracement towards the $68,200 - $68,500 range. This former resistance should now act as support, creating a favorable risk/reward asymmetry.
Execution Plan:
· Entry (Limit Order): $68,300
· Stop-Loss: $67,900. A break below this level invalidates the support thesis.
· Take-Profit 1: $69,500 (Initial resistance test)
· Take-Profit 2: $70,500 - $71,000 (Technical & psychological resistance zone)
· Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🔴 COUNTER SCENARIO (30% Probability): Rejection and Retest of $66,000
Trigger: Resumption of aggressive whale distribution (Exchange Whale Ratio > 0.92) coupled with a deterioration in the Coinbase Premium.
My Action: Immediately invalidate the long plan. I will NOT short against such negative funding rates. Instead, I will revert to a NO TRADE stance and await a new, clearer signal.$BTC
#RamadanGiveaway
🌙✨ Chaque jour du Ramadan est une nouvelle opportunité de grandir et de partager ! Aujourd’hui, j’ai accompli une mission spéciale du calendrier du Ramadan et je suis ravi de voir ma progression. Continuons ensemble sur cette belle lancée ! #RamadanGiveaway
🌙✨ Chaque jour du Ramadan est une nouvelle opportunité de grandir et de partager ! Aujourd’hui, j’ai accompli une mission spéciale du calendrier du Ramadan et je suis ravi de voir ma progression. Continuons ensemble sur cette belle lancée ! #RamadanGiveaway
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