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$BTC squiggles
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
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$ARDR : Insane 342.8x Abnormal Volume! 🚀
Massive volume anomaly classic sign of smart money accumulation or targeted manipulation. Expect healthy pullbacks before any sustainable continuation.
Pullback Entry: 0.03798 – 0.03752 (Look for a clear bullish reversal signal)
Breakout Entry: Confirmed long if price breaks and holds above 0.04069 on high volume
Targets: 0.04069 | 0.04171+
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local retracement swing low
The Bull Trap Warning: If price fails to hold 0.03700, the move is a trap stand aside. Watch for rapid rejections or spike-and-dump candles at the target levels.
Play the structure, don't chase!
Massive volume anomaly classic sign of smart money accumulation or targeted manipulation. Expect healthy pullbacks before any sustainable continuation.
Pullback Entry: 0.03798 – 0.03752 (Look for a clear bullish reversal signal)
Breakout Entry: Confirmed long if price breaks and holds above 0.04069 on high volume
Targets: 0.04069 | 0.04171+
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local retracement swing low
The Bull Trap Warning: If price fails to hold 0.03700, the move is a trap stand aside. Watch for rapid rejections or spike-and-dump candles at the target levels.
Play the structure, don't chase!
$ZEREBRO : Double Alert! +6.2% Surge & 9.3x Volume 🚀
Massive volume spike from a major liquidation or whale entry. Price will either accumulate for a leg up or sharply reverse into a bull trap. No confirmation, no trade.
Pullback Entry: 0.025123 – 0.024463 (Look for 5m/15m bullish wicks, pin bars, or double bottoms)
Breakout Entry: Clean 15m close above 0.026188 on strong volume
Targets:
0.025873 |
0.026188 |
0.027551 – 0.028000
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local swing low (just under 0.024463)
Invalidation: A breakdown under 0.023979 on high volume kills the setup. Stand aside or look to short toward 0.023158 – 0.022154.
Patience pays, skip the FOMO!
Massive volume spike from a major liquidation or whale entry. Price will either accumulate for a leg up or sharply reverse into a bull trap. No confirmation, no trade.
Pullback Entry: 0.025123 – 0.024463 (Look for 5m/15m bullish wicks, pin bars, or double bottoms)
Breakout Entry: Clean 15m close above 0.026188 on strong volume
Targets:
0.025873 |
0.026188 |
0.027551 – 0.028000
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local swing low (just under 0.024463)
Invalidation: A breakdown under 0.023979 on high volume kills the setup. Stand aside or look to short toward 0.023158 – 0.022154.
Patience pays, skip the FOMO!
$STG just saw 3.6x buying volume, real demand or trap?
- With all major indicators aligned bullish and a massive volume anomaly, I expect the price to RISE further, but I recommend waiting for a pullback or a clear consolidation before jumping in.
- A solid trade setup would be: if price dips into the 0.3245-0.3119 zone and forms a bullish reversal pattern (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection wick), consider a long entry.
- Entry idea: Enter long in the 0.3245-0.3119 demand zone after confirming a lower timeframe reversal (such as bullish divergence, strong buying candle, or quick wick-down and recovery).
- Take profit levels: First target at 0.3440, next at 0.3711, and then 0.4030.
- Place your stop-loss below the swing low of 0.3119 or even more conservatively below 0.2785 depending on your risk tolerance.
- If price convincingly breaks and closes below 0.3119, my bias would flip to neutral or bearish in the short term.
- If price surges above 0.3440 and holds, consider scaling in on a retest for a move towards 0.3711 and 0.4030.
- With all major indicators aligned bullish and a massive volume anomaly, I expect the price to RISE further, but I recommend waiting for a pullback or a clear consolidation before jumping in.
- A solid trade setup would be: if price dips into the 0.3245-0.3119 zone and forms a bullish reversal pattern (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong rejection wick), consider a long entry.
- Entry idea: Enter long in the 0.3245-0.3119 demand zone after confirming a lower timeframe reversal (such as bullish divergence, strong buying candle, or quick wick-down and recovery).
- Take profit levels: First target at 0.3440, next at 0.3711, and then 0.4030.
- Place your stop-loss below the swing low of 0.3119 or even more conservatively below 0.2785 depending on your risk tolerance.
- If price convincingly breaks and closes below 0.3119, my bias would flip to neutral or bearish in the short term.
- If price surges above 0.3440 and holds, consider scaling in on a retest for a move towards 0.3711 and 0.4030.
✅ +5.8% Pump & 105.1x Volume Spike on $AGLD , what's happening here?
Massive volume anomaly. Big players are likely hunting liquidity. Don't chase the green candles expect a sharp retrace or a breakout trap.
Pullback Entry: 0.226 – 0.223 (Look for 1m–5m bullish engulfing/wick grab)
Breakout Entry: Entry only on a decisive close above 0.238 with rising volume
Targets:
0.0235
0.238
0.245 – 0.250
Stop-Loss: Strictly below 0.217 or 0.215
Invalidation: A breakdown below 0.217 kills the setup. Next stop: 0.209.
Trade the reaction, not the FOMO!
Massive volume anomaly. Big players are likely hunting liquidity. Don't chase the green candles expect a sharp retrace or a breakout trap.
Pullback Entry: 0.226 – 0.223 (Look for 1m–5m bullish engulfing/wick grab)
Breakout Entry: Entry only on a decisive close above 0.238 with rising volume
Targets:
0.0235
0.238
0.245 – 0.250
Stop-Loss: Strictly below 0.217 or 0.215
Invalidation: A breakdown below 0.217 kills the setup. Next stop: 0.209.
Trade the reaction, not the FOMO!
Massive +5.0% Surge on $ESPORTS , should you jump in?
- This explosive move looks like a classic liquidity grab above prior highs, and the price may be vulnerable to a retracement before any sustainable upside.
- I expect a pullback toward 0.0484, possibly deeper toward 0.0411–0.0405 to fill imbalances and test demand before any fresh long entry is safe.
- If you want to long, consider entries in the 0.0484–0.0405 region, but only after you spot a clear bullish confirmation (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong bounce on lower timeframes). Take profit targets: initial TP at 0.0604, extended TP at 0.0640. Stop-loss should be placed under the swing low below your entry (for example, below 0.0405 if entering there).
- If price breaks cleanly above 0.0604 and retests as support with strong volume, a breakout long toward 0.0640–0.0700 is possible, but only after confirmation of strength (such as a flag/pennant breakout or demand holding on the lower timeframe).
- If price loses 0.0405 demand and closes below 0.0375, expect deeper retracement back toward 0.0354 and possibly even 0.0319. In that case, the long bias is invalidated.
- This pump is likely not fully sustainable without a correction; avoid chasing here and let the setup come to you for the best risk/reward.
- This explosive move looks like a classic liquidity grab above prior highs, and the price may be vulnerable to a retracement before any sustainable upside.
- I expect a pullback toward 0.0484, possibly deeper toward 0.0411–0.0405 to fill imbalances and test demand before any fresh long entry is safe.
- If you want to long, consider entries in the 0.0484–0.0405 region, but only after you spot a clear bullish confirmation (like a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or strong bounce on lower timeframes). Take profit targets: initial TP at 0.0604, extended TP at 0.0640. Stop-loss should be placed under the swing low below your entry (for example, below 0.0405 if entering there).
- If price breaks cleanly above 0.0604 and retests as support with strong volume, a breakout long toward 0.0640–0.0700 is possible, but only after confirmation of strength (such as a flag/pennant breakout or demand holding on the lower timeframe).
- If price loses 0.0405 demand and closes below 0.0375, expect deeper retracement back toward 0.0354 and possibly even 0.0319. In that case, the long bias is invalidated.
- This pump is likely not fully sustainable without a correction; avoid chasing here and let the setup come to you for the best risk/reward.
$IOTA 8h | Chart Analysis
- Bias leans cautiously bullish from key support between 0.0571-0.0591
- Strong demand zone locked at 0.0536, last swing low tested for liquidity sweep
- Resistance cluster between 0.0605-0.0647 could trigger significant sell pressure
- Mapped potential move of +8-10% if momentum holds above support
- Watch closely for a pivotal reaction that could dictate next big swing...
- Bias leans cautiously bullish from key support between 0.0571-0.0591
- Strong demand zone locked at 0.0536, last swing low tested for liquidity sweep
- Resistance cluster between 0.0605-0.0647 could trigger significant sell pressure
- Mapped potential move of +8-10% if momentum holds above support
- Watch closely for a pivotal reaction that could dictate next big swing...
$CHIP 4h
- I expect the price to continue rising as long as it stays above 0.03806 and especially above 0.03649. The fresh bullish FVG fill and strong indicator alignment support this view.
- A good trade setup is to look for a long after a bullish confirmation signal and target 0.04104 and then 0.04528. If price sweeps below 0.03649 with strong rejection and reversal signals, that would be an even better opportunity to get in long, aiming for liquidity-driven expansion upward.
- My bias will change only if price closes below 0.03449 (the most recent swing low from the last move), which would open the door for deeper downside, potentially to 0.03200 or even 0.02943.
- I expect the price to continue rising as long as it stays above 0.03806 and especially above 0.03649. The fresh bullish FVG fill and strong indicator alignment support this view.
- A good trade setup is to look for a long after a bullish confirmation signal and target 0.04104 and then 0.04528. If price sweeps below 0.03649 with strong rejection and reversal signals, that would be an even better opportunity to get in long, aiming for liquidity-driven expansion upward.
- My bias will change only if price closes below 0.03449 (the most recent swing low from the last move), which would open the door for deeper downside, potentially to 0.03200 or even 0.02943.
$EPIC long from $0.351 to $0.38 in just over 6 hours. +8.26% profit. And guess what? The next target is still in sight 🔥
Bluechip
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Bikovski+4.6% Pump & 2.5x Volume Spike on $EPIC , what's happening here?
- With the current price action and volume explosion, I expect the price to continue pushing upward toward the 0.299- 0.304 resistance zone first. If that level is cleared with continued momentum and confirmation, 0.318 is the next bullish target.
- Trade setup: If price retests 0.284 or 0.280 and shows a clear bullish reversal (confirmation required, such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or a double bottom on 5m/1m), consider entering long with a take profit at 0.299, and secondary TP at 0.318. Place your stop-loss below the swing low of your entry candle or at a critical swing low (e.g., below 0.271 or 0.256, depending on entry).
- Only enter after confirmation don't chase the pump, wait for a retrace and proof of demand.
- If price fails to hold 0.271 and especially 0.251 (most recent low), that would invalidate the bullish outlook and could turn into a deeper correction or bull trap.
- The volume spike is likely due to aggressive smart money activity or a large player sweeping liquidity and triggering stops. This can be accumulation if the price holds above 0.284/0.280, but if price collapses back below 0.271/0.256, it may just be a stop hunt/bull trap.
- With the current price action and volume explosion, I expect the price to continue pushing upward toward the 0.299- 0.304 resistance zone first. If that level is cleared with continued momentum and confirmation, 0.318 is the next bullish target.
- Trade setup: If price retests 0.284 or 0.280 and shows a clear bullish reversal (confirmation required, such as a pin bar, bullish engulfing, or a double bottom on 5m/1m), consider entering long with a take profit at 0.299, and secondary TP at 0.318. Place your stop-loss below the swing low of your entry candle or at a critical swing low (e.g., below 0.271 or 0.256, depending on entry).
- Only enter after confirmation don't chase the pump, wait for a retrace and proof of demand.
- If price fails to hold 0.271 and especially 0.251 (most recent low), that would invalidate the bullish outlook and could turn into a deeper correction or bull trap.
- The volume spike is likely due to aggressive smart money activity or a large player sweeping liquidity and triggering stops. This can be accumulation if the price holds above 0.284/0.280, but if price collapses back below 0.271/0.256, it may just be a stop hunt/bull trap.
6.1x Unusual Selling Volume on $SIREN , what just happened?
- With such a large volume spike and no reversal signals, I expect further downside in the short term, especially if price continues to get rejected under 0.5941.
- If shorting, ideal entry is between 0.5941 and 0.5862 after a failed retest or bearish rejection, with take profit targets at 0.5607, 0.5575, and 0.5306.
- Place stop-loss above the swing high of the rejection candle or above 0.5941 if entering aggressively.
- If price breaks above 0.5941 and holds, especially with strong green candles and volume, then the sell-off could be a trap and we might see a return to 0.6342–0.6530. In that case, cancel shorts and look for reversal signals.
- Watch lower timeframes for signs of capitulation or reversal (sharp wicks, doji candles, bullish engulfings) before considering a long. Only consider longs if you see a strong manipulation wick under 0.5575 or 0.5306, with quick recovery and strong buy volume.
- With such a large volume spike and no reversal signals, I expect further downside in the short term, especially if price continues to get rejected under 0.5941.
- If shorting, ideal entry is between 0.5941 and 0.5862 after a failed retest or bearish rejection, with take profit targets at 0.5607, 0.5575, and 0.5306.
- Place stop-loss above the swing high of the rejection candle or above 0.5941 if entering aggressively.
- If price breaks above 0.5941 and holds, especially with strong green candles and volume, then the sell-off could be a trap and we might see a return to 0.6342–0.6530. In that case, cancel shorts and look for reversal signals.
- Watch lower timeframes for signs of capitulation or reversal (sharp wicks, doji candles, bullish engulfings) before considering a long. Only consider longs if you see a strong manipulation wick under 0.5575 or 0.5306, with quick recovery and strong buy volume.
$WCT 4h | Technical Outlook
- Overall, trend is still bearish, but price is showing potential for a liquidity sweep reversal around 0.05386.
- If a clear bullish confirmation occurs (such as a strong pin bar, bullish engulfing, or W-pattern on lower timeframes after a sweep of the recent low), I would expect a move up to 0.05539, and possibly to 0.05740 if momentum sustains.
- If 0.05277 is broken and price holds below, expect continuation of the downtrend toward new lows.
- For a long setup, wait for clear bullish reversal pattern after liquidity sweep below 0.05386, then enter with targets at 0.05539 and 0.05740.
- Bias shifts bearish again if price closes below 0.05277 with strong selling pressure.
- Overall, trend is still bearish, but price is showing potential for a liquidity sweep reversal around 0.05386.
- If a clear bullish confirmation occurs (such as a strong pin bar, bullish engulfing, or W-pattern on lower timeframes after a sweep of the recent low), I would expect a move up to 0.05539, and possibly to 0.05740 if momentum sustains.
- If 0.05277 is broken and price holds below, expect continuation of the downtrend toward new lows.
- For a long setup, wait for clear bullish reversal pattern after liquidity sweep below 0.05386, then enter with targets at 0.05539 and 0.05740.
- Bias shifts bearish again if price closes below 0.05277 with strong selling pressure.
$DEXE crashing 4.2% with 10.9x volume surge
- With the current structure, I expect further downside is likely unless the price shows a very strong reversal after retesting the 18.740–18.990 area.
- If price bounces up to 18.740–18.990 and shows rejection (like a pin bar or bearish engulfing candle), a short could be entered around 18.890–18.990, aiming for 18.150 first, then 18.00, and possibly 17.770 if the bearish momentum continues. Stop-loss should be set above the swing high of the rejection wick.
- If price instead sweeps below 17.770 with a major wick and a swift recovery, and lower timeframe reversal patterns form, a quick scalp long could be considered – but only with clear confirmation.
- If price manages to reclaim 18.990 and close above it on strong volume, the bearish outlook would be invalidated and I would not look for shorts until a new setup forms.
- In summary: The volume anomaly looks like selling by larger players, but watch for manipulation and liquidity grabs at swing lows. For now, bias remains bearish with short setups favored on weak bounces into resistance. Only consider longs if there’s clear evidence of a reversal at or below 17.770.
- With the current structure, I expect further downside is likely unless the price shows a very strong reversal after retesting the 18.740–18.990 area.
- If price bounces up to 18.740–18.990 and shows rejection (like a pin bar or bearish engulfing candle), a short could be entered around 18.890–18.990, aiming for 18.150 first, then 18.00, and possibly 17.770 if the bearish momentum continues. Stop-loss should be set above the swing high of the rejection wick.
- If price instead sweeps below 17.770 with a major wick and a swift recovery, and lower timeframe reversal patterns form, a quick scalp long could be considered – but only with clear confirmation.
- If price manages to reclaim 18.990 and close above it on strong volume, the bearish outlook would be invalidated and I would not look for shorts until a new setup forms.
- In summary: The volume anomaly looks like selling by larger players, but watch for manipulation and liquidity grabs at swing lows. For now, bias remains bearish with short setups favored on weak bounces into resistance. Only consider longs if there’s clear evidence of a reversal at or below 17.770.
$EDGE 48% since the first signal in only 1 hour 🤙
Bluechip
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Medvedji6.3% Dump & 3.0x Volume Spike on $EDGE , panic or opportunity?
- Given the magnitude of the dump, the volume spike, and the lack of support or demand, I expect further downside is likely after minor relief bounces. This doesn’t look like a bottom just yet.
- Best short setup: If price rebounds to 1.0645 or up towards 1.1099 and fails to reclaim it (with rejection signals or lower-high formations), consider entering a short position. Take profit targets at 1.0364 first, then 0.9910 if selling accelerates.
- Wait for a confirmation signal before shorting a clear bearish reversal on the 1m/5m TF after price retests resistance or a failure to break higher after a liquidity sweep.
- If, however, price somehow reclaims and closes above 1.1099 with strong volume and momentum, my bearish bias would weaken, and I would reassess for a potential reversal to the upside.
- Place your stop-loss at the swing high of the most recent failed rally (where the trend would shift bullish).
{future}(EDGEUSDT)
- Given the magnitude of the dump, the volume spike, and the lack of support or demand, I expect further downside is likely after minor relief bounces. This doesn’t look like a bottom just yet.
- Best short setup: If price rebounds to 1.0645 or up towards 1.1099 and fails to reclaim it (with rejection signals or lower-high formations), consider entering a short position. Take profit targets at 1.0364 first, then 0.9910 if selling accelerates.
- Wait for a confirmation signal before shorting a clear bearish reversal on the 1m/5m TF after price retests resistance or a failure to break higher after a liquidity sweep.
- If, however, price somehow reclaims and closes above 1.1099 with strong volume and momentum, my bearish bias would weaken, and I would reassess for a potential reversal to the upside.
- Place your stop-loss at the swing high of the most recent failed rally (where the trend would shift bullish).
{future}(EDGEUSDT)
$ZEC 4h Breakdown
- With mixed signals and choppy momentum, a range-bound scenario is likely unless we see a clear breakout. I would lean bullish if 526.66 holds and a reversal forms, aiming for 570.68 and 597.39 as targets.
- If price loses 526.66 on strong volume, expect a move to 502.6, where another bullish setup could appear.
- If price approaches 570.68–597.39 and gets rejected with clear bearish signs, a short trade becomes attractive.
- Confirmation examples: Look for pin bars, bullish engulfing at support, or a sweep below 526.66 followed by a v-shape recovery for longs. For shorts, watch for bearish engulfing or liquidity sweeps above 570.68 or 597.39 followed by strong rejection candles.
- Bias will turn fully bullish above 597.39 with decisive close and retest; bearish bias if 502.6 is lost and retested as resistance.
- Trade setups should always be confirmed with price action on lower timeframes for best results.
- With mixed signals and choppy momentum, a range-bound scenario is likely unless we see a clear breakout. I would lean bullish if 526.66 holds and a reversal forms, aiming for 570.68 and 597.39 as targets.
- If price loses 526.66 on strong volume, expect a move to 502.6, where another bullish setup could appear.
- If price approaches 570.68–597.39 and gets rejected with clear bearish signs, a short trade becomes attractive.
- Confirmation examples: Look for pin bars, bullish engulfing at support, or a sweep below 526.66 followed by a v-shape recovery for longs. For shorts, watch for bearish engulfing or liquidity sweeps above 570.68 or 597.39 followed by strong rejection candles.
- Bias will turn fully bullish above 597.39 with decisive close and retest; bearish bias if 502.6 is lost and retested as resistance.
- Trade setups should always be confirmed with price action on lower timeframes for best results.
$VIC : Pumping +4.4% on 2.6x Abnormal Volume!
This surge points to smart money accumulation or a targeted liquidity hunt. Large trader activity is present, but late retail buyers risk getting caught in a sharp correction.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of 0.0600, or a sweep down to 0.0577 – 0.0523. Look for a strong 5m/15m bullish engulfing or a pin bar on increased volume.
Targets: 0.0645 |
0.0699 |
0.0743 (Recent swing high)
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local swing low under 0.0505.
The Short Scalp / Reversal
Trigger: If price hits 0.0645 or sweeps 0.0699 – 0.0700 and immediately prints a sharp bearish reversal on high momentum, look for shorts on confirmation. Late longs will get trapped.
Targets: 0.0523 – 0.0505
The Bearish Shift
The outlook remains cautiously bullish while 0.0577 – 0.0600 holds. A significant breakdown and close below 0.0523 invalidates the pump, shifting the bias heavily bearish toward 0.0440 – 0.0416.
Let the market come to your levels!
This surge points to smart money accumulation or a targeted liquidity hunt. Large trader activity is present, but late retail buyers risk getting caught in a sharp correction.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a retest of 0.0600, or a sweep down to 0.0577 – 0.0523. Look for a strong 5m/15m bullish engulfing or a pin bar on increased volume.
Targets: 0.0645 |
0.0699 |
0.0743 (Recent swing high)
Stop-Loss: Strictly below the local swing low under 0.0505.
The Short Scalp / Reversal
Trigger: If price hits 0.0645 or sweeps 0.0699 – 0.0700 and immediately prints a sharp bearish reversal on high momentum, look for shorts on confirmation. Late longs will get trapped.
Targets: 0.0523 – 0.0505
The Bearish Shift
The outlook remains cautiously bullish while 0.0577 – 0.0600 holds. A significant breakdown and close below 0.0523 invalidates the pump, shifting the bias heavily bearish toward 0.0440 – 0.0416.
Let the market come to your levels!
$NIL : 10.0x Buying Volume Spike! Real Demand or Trap?
A rapid +3.6% move on massive volume points to smart money accumulation. However, profit-taking and liquidity hunters could trigger a fast retrace before any real continuation. Stay disciplined let the setup come to you.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a short-term pullback into the FVG around 0.06546 – 0.06384. Look for price to stabilize with 5m–15m reversal signals (bullish pin bar, strong engulfing candle, or a clean change of character).
Targets: 0.06656 | 0.06977
Stop-Loss: Place strictly at the local swing low just below 0.06309.
The Liquidity Sweep & Invalidation
The Fakeout: If price spikes above the recent high and immediately prints a sharp rejection wick, it’s a liquidity hunt. Ignore longs until price returns to the FVG and rebuilds a bullish structure.
The Invalidation: A breakdown and close below 0.06309 completely kills the bullish thesis. Expect a deeper flush targeting 0.06162 – 0.05926.
Wait for confirmation, don't chase the green candles!
A rapid +3.6% move on massive volume points to smart money accumulation. However, profit-taking and liquidity hunters could trigger a fast retrace before any real continuation. Stay disciplined let the setup come to you.
The Long Setup
Entry Zone: Wait for a short-term pullback into the FVG around 0.06546 – 0.06384. Look for price to stabilize with 5m–15m reversal signals (bullish pin bar, strong engulfing candle, or a clean change of character).
Targets: 0.06656 | 0.06977
Stop-Loss: Place strictly at the local swing low just below 0.06309.
The Liquidity Sweep & Invalidation
The Fakeout: If price spikes above the recent high and immediately prints a sharp rejection wick, it’s a liquidity hunt. Ignore longs until price returns to the FVG and rebuilds a bullish structure.
The Invalidation: A breakdown and close below 0.06309 completely kills the bullish thesis. Expect a deeper flush targeting 0.06162 – 0.05926.
Wait for confirmation, don't chase the green candles!
$AIOT : +4.5% Surge & 5.8x Volume Spike!
Following a massive spike like this, expect heavy volatility and a short-term pullback or sideways chop. Late buyers are chasing, which means trap action is highly likely. Let the noise clear first.
The Bullish Setups
Setup 1 (The Sweep & Reclaim): Wait for a dip into 0.06448 – 0.06347. If you see a sweep below that zone followed by a sharp reclaim, look for a reversal candle (bullish pin bar/engulfing) to enter.
Setup 2 (The Bull Flag): If price holds in a tight bull flag above 0.06580 with declining volume, wait for a strong breakout to trend-follow.
Targets: 0.06702 | 0.07142
Stop-Loss: Below the reversal candle's swing low, or below 0.06028 for extra breathing room.
The Bull Trap & Bearish Flip
The Trap: If price fakes out above 0.06702 and slams back below 0.06580 on high volume, it's a confirmed bull trap. Expect a drop toward the 0.06028 – 0.05711 demand/FVG zone.
The Invalidation: If price loses 0.06028 and closes below it on heavy volume, the pump is dead. Bias flips completely bearish, targeting 0.05711 and 0.05492.
Don't chase the green candles let the structure form!
Following a massive spike like this, expect heavy volatility and a short-term pullback or sideways chop. Late buyers are chasing, which means trap action is highly likely. Let the noise clear first.
The Bullish Setups
Setup 1 (The Sweep & Reclaim): Wait for a dip into 0.06448 – 0.06347. If you see a sweep below that zone followed by a sharp reclaim, look for a reversal candle (bullish pin bar/engulfing) to enter.
Setup 2 (The Bull Flag): If price holds in a tight bull flag above 0.06580 with declining volume, wait for a strong breakout to trend-follow.
Targets: 0.06702 | 0.07142
Stop-Loss: Below the reversal candle's swing low, or below 0.06028 for extra breathing room.
The Bull Trap & Bearish Flip
The Trap: If price fakes out above 0.06702 and slams back below 0.06580 on high volume, it's a confirmed bull trap. Expect a drop toward the 0.06028 – 0.05711 demand/FVG zone.
The Invalidation: If price loses 0.06028 and closes below it on heavy volume, the pump is dead. Bias flips completely bearish, targeting 0.05711 and 0.05492.
Don't chase the green candles let the structure form!
$XTZ 8h Price Chart Analysis
- Bias leans bullish despite recent bearish pressure
- Critical support zone around 0.3115 with a deeper test near 0.2971 possible
- Breaking above 0.3301 could trigger a +8% upside towards major resistance levels
- Indicators show a battle of bulls vs bears, but momentum edges to buyers
- Watch closely, there’s a key setup forming that could define the next major move…
- Bias leans bullish despite recent bearish pressure
- Critical support zone around 0.3115 with a deeper test near 0.2971 possible
- Breaking above 0.3301 could trigger a +8% upside towards major resistance levels
- Indicators show a battle of bulls vs bears, but momentum edges to buyers
- Watch closely, there’s a key setup forming that could define the next major move…
Double Alert: 4.1% Drop & 8.0x Volume on $ON
- With the magnitude of the volume spike and the violent break of recent lows, I expect further downside unless a rapid absorption by strong buyers is visible. The market is likely to retest the 0.09419 wick or push even lower to hunt more liquidity.
- If price bounces, look for short entries in the 0.09807-0.09988 zone, targeting a move back down to 0.09419 or lower.
- Entry idea: Wait for a weak relief rally into that resistance zone, confirm with bearish price action (like a lower high and bearish engulfing candle), then enter short targeting 0.09419 and possibly 0.09250 (next psychological level).
- Stop-loss should be set above the most recent swing high formed on the relief rally.
- If price quickly reclaims 0.09988 and holds above it with strong bullish reversal patterns, abandon the short bias as it could indicate a spring and short squeeze back to 0.10109 or higher.
- For now, the weight of evidence points to more downside unless there’s a sudden absorption and reversal signal.
- With the magnitude of the volume spike and the violent break of recent lows, I expect further downside unless a rapid absorption by strong buyers is visible. The market is likely to retest the 0.09419 wick or push even lower to hunt more liquidity.
- If price bounces, look for short entries in the 0.09807-0.09988 zone, targeting a move back down to 0.09419 or lower.
- Entry idea: Wait for a weak relief rally into that resistance zone, confirm with bearish price action (like a lower high and bearish engulfing candle), then enter short targeting 0.09419 and possibly 0.09250 (next psychological level).
- Stop-loss should be set above the most recent swing high formed on the relief rally.
- If price quickly reclaims 0.09988 and holds above it with strong bullish reversal patterns, abandon the short bias as it could indicate a spring and short squeeze back to 0.10109 or higher.
- For now, the weight of evidence points to more downside unless there’s a sudden absorption and reversal signal.
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