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【唐僧说没说】系列1:近几天能否做空比特币/以太坊因为周四的冲高回落,参与空头博弈的资金有所增加,建议稍安勿躁或是尽可能的不要着急,预测判断行情从来不是因为什么而做什么判断,在我的理解范畴内大概就是一种双边的推演,在这个过程中找到适合自己的交易位置。当前的比特币,往上的话可以是一波强烈的主升,也可以是一种分步向上推进的结构,但谁能说一定是往上的,我个人认知内找不到一个支撑点。即使我认为40000附近是肯定要去的,但我并不知道是什么时候。往下的话,应该是今天周六继续冲高回落且以较快的速度打破原有的上涨状态,大概是砸穿34000附近起到破坏短期趋势进入反向周期。综述,当前比特币34700附近,多空都没有操作意义,加上周末因素,陪陪家人何其美好,等待进一步观察市场。
【唐僧说没说】系列1:近几天能否做空
比特币/以太坊因为周四的冲高回落,参与空头博弈的资金有所增加,建议稍安勿躁或是尽可能的不要着急,预测判断行情从来不是因为什么而做什么判断,在我的理解范畴内大概就是一种双边的推演,在这个过程中找到适合自己的交易位置。当前的比特币,往上的话可以是一波强烈的主升,也可以是一种分步向上推进的结构,但谁能说一定是往上的,我个人认知内找不到一个支撑点。即使我认为40000附近是肯定要去的,但我并不知道是什么时候。往下的话,应该是今天周六继续冲高回落且以较快的速度打破原有的上涨状态,大概是砸穿34000附近起到破坏短期趋势进入反向周期。综述,当前比特币34700附近,多空都没有操作意义,加上周末因素,陪陪家人何其美好,等待进一步观察市场。
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USRetailSalesMissForecast
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I remember a time when one data point quietly changed the mood of the market and most people missed it. That is what this US retail sales miss feels like. On paper it looks small. Forecast said spending should rise. Actual numbers came in flat. No growth. Nothing exciting. But underneath that number is a simple story. People are spending less than expected. When everyday spending slows in the US it usually means households are feeling pressure. Prices are high. Savings are thinning. Confidence is shaky. So people had to pause. Here is where it gets interesting. Once spending slows inflation pressure eases. Once inflation eases the Fed starts losing its excuse to stay aggressive. And when the Fed blinks even slightly liquidity narratives start creeping back in. This is the part most people react to late. Bitcoin does not wait for the news cycle to catch up. Crypto prices move on what comes next not what already happened. By the time everyone agrees rate cuts are back on the table the market has already moved. I am watching this closely because moments like this have quietly set the stage before. It's just data doing its job. The question is not whether this matters. The real question is who is paying attention early enough. If you want clear macro stories and how they connect to crypto without the confusion follow me here on Binance Square and stay ahead of the next move. #USRetailSalesMissForecast
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