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🚨 BTC WARNING — THE 4-YEAR CYCLE IS BACK 🚨
Bitcoin’s monthly chart is doing the same thing it has every single cycle.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
No exceptions. No misses.
Since 2013, BTC always follows this pattern:
• 2 years of steady growth
• 1 year of explosive bull run
• 1 year of brutal bear market
The bull run peaked in October 2025.
That phase is over.
📉 We are now in the bear market, likely lasting until October 2026.
If history repeats:
BTC may chop around $80k first
Then slide toward ~$50k by October 2026
This is the only indicator that has never failed me.
Save this. I’ll revisit it in October 2026.
Bitcoin is on edge — and the market can feel it.
After another brutal week of pressure, BTC is stuck near $69,000, unable to break higher. Then the CPI data dropped: inflation came in at 2.4%, hotter than expected — and traders jumped.
Futures activity exploded. In just one hour, over $265 million rushed into aggressive long positions. Open Interest surged, meaning traders are piling into leveraged bets. Big confidence… but big risk.
Here’s the twist.
On-chain data shows short-term holders are bleeding. Many are sitting on roughly 44% losses. Historically, that kind of pain leads to panic selling.
Meanwhile, long-term holders aren’t flinching. They’re still holding strong.
What this really means:
Leverage is rising. Stress is rising. Volatility is coming.
Bitcoin sits around $68,929, up 5% — but the next move could be explosive.
Futures activity exploded. In just one hour, over $265 million rushed into aggressive long positions. Open Interest surged, meaning traders are piling into leveraged bets. Big confidence… but big risk.
Here’s the twist.
On-chain data shows short-term holders are bleeding. Many are sitting on roughly 44% losses. Historically, that kind of pain leads to panic selling.
Meanwhile, long-term holders aren’t flinching. They’re still holding strong.
What this really means:
Leverage is rising. Stress is rising. Volatility is coming.
Bitcoin sits around $68,929, up 5% — but the next move could be explosive.
🚨 Bitcoin on the Edge: Is $55K Next?
Bitcoin is swinging hard.
• Dropped below $66K → $177M in longs wiped out.
• Jumped above $69K → $140M in shorts crushed.
This isn’t steady investing. It’s leveraged chaos.
BTC now sits around $68.7K, but fear is extreme. The Fear & Greed Index is at 9. Traders are nervous.
Why $55K Matters
Bitcoin’s realized price is near $55K.
In past bear markets, BTC often fell 24–30% below this level before bottoming.
Right now:
• Still above $55K
• Most holders are still in profit
• No full panic yet
If fear spreads, $55K becomes the real battlefield.
• Dropped below $66K → $177M in longs wiped out.
• Jumped above $69K → $140M in shorts crushed.
This isn’t steady investing. It’s leveraged chaos.
BTC now sits around $68.7K, but fear is extreme. The Fear & Greed Index is at 9. Traders are nervous.
Why $55K Matters
Bitcoin’s realized price is near $55K.
In past bear markets, BTC often fell 24–30% below this level before bottoming.
Right now:
• Still above $55K
• Most holders are still in profit
• No full panic yet
If fear spreads, $55K becomes the real battlefield.
$GIGGLE – Dead cat bounce into supply
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 33.50 – 34.20
SL: 36.80
TP1: 30.00
TP2: 27.00
TP3: 25.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
Short $GIGGLE
Entry: 33.50 – 34.20
SL: 36.80
TP1: 30.00
TP2: 27.00
TP3: 25.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $GIGGLE here 👇
$ADA – Relief rally into resistance
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.288 – 0.295
SL: 0.308
TP1: 0.270
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.222
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
Short $ADA
Entry: 0.288 – 0.295
SL: 0.308
TP1: 0.270
TP2: 0.245
TP3: 0.222
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ADA here 👇
$HYPE – Lower high into resistance, momentum fading.
Short $HYPE
Entry: 30.8 – 31.5
SL: 33.2
TP1: 28.5
TP2: 25.8
TP3: 22.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
Short $HYPE
Entry: 30.8 – 31.5
SL: 33.2
TP1: 28.5
TP2: 25.8
TP3: 22.0
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $HYPE here 👇
$PIPPIN – Vertical squeeze into heavy resistance. Late longs about to feel it.
Short $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.705 – 0.720
SL: 0.775
TP1: 0.600
TP2: 0.470
TP3: 0.310
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
Short $PIPPIN
Entry: 0.705 – 0.720
SL: 0.775
TP1: 0.600
TP2: 0.470
TP3: 0.310
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PIPPIN here 👇
$TAO – Dead cat bounce into daily resistance
Short $TAO
Entry: 188–195
SL: 210
TP1: 170
TP2: 150
TP3: 130
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $TAO here 👇
Short $TAO
Entry: 188–195
SL: 210
TP1: 170
TP2: 150
TP3: 130
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $TAO here 👇
$PLAY – Breakdown, not a bounce.
Short $PLAY
Entry: 0.0375 – 0.0390
SL: 0.0440
TP1: 0.0320
TP2: 0.0260
TP3: 0.0200
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PLAY here 👇
Short $PLAY
Entry: 0.0375 – 0.0390
SL: 0.0440
TP1: 0.0320
TP2: 0.0260
TP3: 0.0200
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $PLAY here 👇
$MYX – Panic flush into support. Now watch the bounce.
Long $MYX
Entry: 2.25 – 2.40
SL: 1.95
TP1: 2.75
TP2: 3.20
TP3: 3.90
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $MYX here 👇
Long $MYX
Entry: 2.25 – 2.40
SL: 1.95
TP1: 2.75
TP2: 3.20
TP3: 3.90
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $MYX here 👇
$ARC – Lower high into heavy supply.
Short $ARC
Entry: 0.073–0.076
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.060
TP2: 0.048
TP3: 0.032
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ARC here 👇
Short $ARC
Entry: 0.073–0.076
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.060
TP2: 0.048
TP3: 0.032
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ARC here 👇
$RIVER – Panic flushed, structure still alive.
Long $RIVER
Entry: 13.6 – 14.1
SL: 12.4
TP1: 15.8
TP2: 18.5
TP3: 22.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
Long $RIVER
Entry: 13.6 – 14.1
SL: 12.4
TP1: 15.8
TP2: 18.5
TP3: 22.0
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $RIVER here 👇
$POWER – Blow-off top into instant rejection. Classic fade.
Short $POWER
Entry: 0.275 – 0.285
SL: 0.325
TP1: 0.240
TP2: 0.205
TP3: 0.180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $POWER here 👇
Short $POWER
Entry: 0.275 – 0.285
SL: 0.325
TP1: 0.240
TP2: 0.205
TP3: 0.180
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $POWER here 👇
$BTC
⚠️ ALTCOINS ARE MOVING FIRST.
Is a Bitcoin breakout about to explode?
When Bitcoin goes quiet and moves sideways like this… something big is usually loading behind the scenes.
XRP and Solana are flashing signals.
Slow, controlled pullbacks.
One sharp flush (the flash crash)… and then stability.
That kind of action doesn’t happen by accident.
When price goes flat and boring, that’s often when smart money is buying quietly.
This looks like stealth accumulation.
Altcoins are setting the stage.
If Bitcoin closes this weekly candle strong, we could be looking at the start of a massive recovery.
Momentum is building.
I’m turning bullish — now all eyes on the weekly close.
Is a Bitcoin breakout about to explode?
When Bitcoin goes quiet and moves sideways like this… something big is usually loading behind the scenes.
XRP and Solana are flashing signals.
Slow, controlled pullbacks.
One sharp flush (the flash crash)… and then stability.
That kind of action doesn’t happen by accident.
When price goes flat and boring, that’s often when smart money is buying quietly.
This looks like stealth accumulation.
Altcoins are setting the stage.
If Bitcoin closes this weekly candle strong, we could be looking at the start of a massive recovery.
Momentum is building.
I’m turning bullish — now all eyes on the weekly close.
$XRP – Flush low, sharp reclaim.
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.44–1.48
SL: 1.32
TP1: 1.60
TP2: 1.75
TP3: 2.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
Long $XRP
Entry: 1.44–1.48
SL: 1.32
TP1: 1.60
TP2: 1.75
TP3: 2.00
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $XRP here 👇
$BNB – Sharp flush into support, now showing signs of absorption.
Long $BNB
Entry: 625–635
SL: 590
TP1: 660
TP2: 700
TP3: 760
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BNB here 👇
Long $BNB
Entry: 625–635
SL: 590
TP1: 660
TP2: 700
TP3: 760
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BNB here 👇
$SOL – Weak bounce into resistance.
Short $SOL
Entry: 86.50–88.00
SL: 92.50
TP1: 80.00
TP2: 72.00
TP3: 67.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SOL here 👇
Short $SOL
Entry: 86.50–88.00
SL: 92.50
TP1: 80.00
TP2: 72.00
TP3: 67.50
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $SOL here 👇
$ETH – Dead cat bounce into supply.
Short $ETH
Entry: 2,080–2,120
SL: 2,180
TP1: 1,950
TP2: 1,820
TP3: 1,700
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ETH here 👇
Short $ETH
Entry: 2,080–2,120
SL: 2,180
TP1: 1,950
TP2: 1,820
TP3: 1,700
The push higher stalled quickly and sell pressure showed up on the first test, suggesting this move is corrective rather than a trend shift. Momentum is rolling over again and buyers aren’t getting acceptance above this zone, keeping downside continuation in play.
Trade $ETH here 👇
$BTC – Higher low loading.
Long $BTC
Entry: 69,800–70,400
SL: 67,800
TP1: 72,500
TP2: 75,800
TP3: 80,000
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTC here 👇
Long $BTC
Entry: 69,800–70,400
SL: 67,800
TP1: 72,500
TP2: 75,800
TP3: 80,000
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $BTC here 👇
$DOGE – Is this the base before the squeeze?
Long $DOGE
Entry: 0.095 – 0.098
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.104
TP2: 0.112
TP3: 0.125
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
Long $DOGE
Entry: 0.095 – 0.098
SL: 0.089
TP1: 0.104
TP2: 0.112
TP3: 0.125
The dip didn’t get continuation and bids stepped in quickly, which looks more like absorption than distribution. Buyers are still defending structure well and downside momentum failed to expand. As long as this area holds, continuation higher remains the cleaner path.
Trade $DOGE here 👇
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