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$MVLL After sliding down from the high point, it basically hasn't stopped. The short-term moving averages have formed a clear dead cross, exerting downward pressure. On the chart, there are no signs of a rebound or any indication that the selling pressure is easing.

$MVLL - Empty

Execution framework:
Entry: 24.90 - 25.20
Stop Loss (SL): 25.80
Target 1 (TP1): 24.11
Target 2 (TP2): 23.50
Target 3 (TP3): 22.80

Chart analysis:
After the surge to a peak around 32, the price has been moving downward all the way. It is now trading below MA7, MA25, and MA99 entirely, with the moving-average system fully arranged in a bearish configuration. As a 2x leveraged ETF, its drops are much more aggressive than ordinary coins. As long as any rebound cannot even touch the edge of 25.5, this extremely weak structure will very likely continue lower, breaking down past the previous low at 24.11 and potentially even deeper. Going to short here is more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound, and the stop loss must be tightly placed.

$TAO The chart has been held down by the long-term moving averages and keeps trending downward. The short-term rebound has basically no strength at all—bears have basically given up resistance.

$TAO - Empty

Execution framework:
Entry: 190.20 - 190.80
Stop Loss (SL): 193.00
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 187.50
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 185.00
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 182.00

Chart analysis:
After price topped out around 210, it dropped and has since kept sliding along below the moving averages. It couldn’t even climb back above MA7. Trading volume has shrunk drastically, indicating that there is basically no money willing to step in at this level to take the risk of holding the position. The prior low at 189.3 is the first support line; once that level fails to hold, it’s very likely price will continue to press lower. For now, shorting with the trend is far more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound.

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After the surge high above $TRX , the momentum is clearly insufficient. Now the price has been hovering below the moving average, and it looks like it may continue to trade sideways and move lower.

$TRX - Empty

Execution plan:
Entry: 0.3318 - 0.3325
Stop Loss (SL): 0.3345
Target 1 (TP1): 0.3280
Target 2 (TP2): 0.3250
Target 3 (TP3): 0.3230

Market outlook (scenario analysis):
After encountering resistance near the prior high, the price has not been able to form a meaningful rebound. It is currently being capped by the short-term moving averages. The rebound strength is notably weak, and the trading volume hasn’t been supportive. A fairly clear resistance zone has formed around 0.3345. As long as this level isn’t broken back above with increased volume, this weak market structure is likely to continue lower, retracing down to the prior low support at 0.3280 or even deeper areas. Going along with the trend to sell in anticipation of a pullback still offers a good risk-reward ratio.

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$AAPL After the price stayed above the moving average line on the chart, it’s been moving quite steadily. In the short term, the focus is continuously rising.

$AAPL - More

Quantitative framework:
Entry: 310.00 - 311.00
Stop Loss (SL): 308.00
Target 1 (TP1): 314.20
Target 2 (TP2): 318.00
Target 3 (TP3): 322.00

Core idea:
After rebounding from the bottom, the price has already held above the long-term moving average. The short-term moving average has also started to turn upward, supporting the move. The session’s swing lows are gradually rising, indicating that there’s fairly good support/absorption below. Although there’s resistance near 314, as long as the stop-loss line hasn’t been broken through, following this rebound momentum to test the resistance zone near the previous high should still offer a pretty favorable risk-reward ratio.

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$ENA The rebound strength is clearly insufficient. The price keeps bouncing back and being blocked near the moving average, and the market focus is gradually tilting downward.

$ENA - Empty

Trading framework:
Entry: 0.0832 - 0.0836
Stop Loss (SL): 0.0856
Target 1 (TP1): 0.0815
Target 2 (TP2): 0.0800
Target 3 (TP3): 0.0780

Market analysis:
After the price rebounded earlier toward the previous high, it weakened again. It is currently being tightly suppressed by the moving average system, and trading volume continues to shrink, indicating extremely low chasing demand. The area around 0.0856 has already formed a near-term resistance zone. As long as the stop-loss line is not broken upward with volume, a shrinking, rejection-style market is very likely to follow through and test the prior low support at 0.0815—possibly even deeper. For a short (sell) position to catch a pullback in line with the trend, the risk-reward ratio remains good.

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$ZHIPU After falling all the way down from the peak, the bulls have basically not been able to organize a decent counterattack. At the moment, the price is being kept under the moving averages, and it feels like it may continue to drop further.

$ZHIPU - None

Trading framework:
Entry: 129.00 - 129.90
Stop loss (SL): 132.50
Target 1 (TP1): 125.70
Target 2 (TP2): 122.00
Target 3 (TP3): 118.00

Market analysis:
After that earlier peak at 181 topped out, it has been slowly drifting down with bearish candles. The current price has already fallen far below the short-term moving averages. Around 132, a clear resistance zone has formed. Any rebounds have little to no volume—there’s simply no sign of capital coming in to take over. As long as the stop-loss level doesn’t break back upward with strong volume, this extremely weak structure is very likely to keep moving down with inertia, testing the prior low at 125.7 and potentially going deeper into support zones. Going with the trend to short remains the most stable choice right now.

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$GOOGL is pressing under the moving averages above. The rebound doesn’t have much volume; it feels like it still needs to go down a bit.

$GOOGL - None

Trading setup:
Entry: 343.5 - 344.5
Stop Loss (SL): 346.5
Target 1 (TP1): 340.0
Target 2 (TP2): 336.0
Target 3 (TP3): 330.0

Chart analysis:
Price has been repeatedly capped under the moving average. The rebound clearly lacks volume, which indicates there’s basically no willingness for chasing buyers. If it can’t get past the 346.5 level overhead, it will most likely pull back further to retest the prior low at 340 or even deeper areas. Going short in line with the trend by timing the pullback is much more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a hard breakout.

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$CBRS above 265 after the spike-and-fade, the market has been constrained by the suppression of the medium- and short-term moving averages. The rebound strength is clearly insufficient.

$CBRS - Empty

Quantitative plan:
Entry: 219.0 - 221.0
Stop loss (SL): 226.0
Target 1 (TP1): 215.0
Target 2 (TP2): 211.0
Target 3 (TP3): 205.0

Scenario analysis:
Although the current price has managed to get slight support around MA7, the two moving-average lines above—MA25 and MA99—have already formed a clear double top-down pressure. The rebound cannot even reach the edge of 225. Meanwhile, the trading volume has continued to shrink, indicating there is simply no willingness for incremental capital to step in. This kind of low-volume resistance is extremely likely to turn downward again. As long as the stop-loss level is not effectively reclaimed with increased volume, this weak structure will most likely, driven by momentum, continue to pull back and retest the prior low at 215—or even deeper areas in search of support. Going short in line with the trend remains the more prudent choice.

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$APR Current APR Today’s decline has reached -9.17%. The price has already broken below short-term moving average support, and the overall trend is clearly weak.

$APR - Empty

Trading framework:
Entry: 0.1975 - 0.1985
Stop Loss (SL): 0.2030
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.1965
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.1920
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.1880

Market outlook / projection:
After today’s long bearish candle dropped, the price has already fallen below the 0.20 level. Any rebound can’t even touch the edge of the moving averages. Trading volume has also been steadily shrinking, indicating that there is basically no willingness from buyers to step in at this level to take over. As long as the 0.203 threshold is not reclaimed with volume, this weak market is likely to continue trending lower on momentum, probing the 0.196 area—or even lower support zones. Following the trend and looking for shorts remains the most stable choice right now.

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$LITE From the recent high-point exhaustion to breaking below the key support zone, the overall market has been gradually weakening, and the bulls are unable to organize an effective counterattack.

$LITE - Short

Trading plan:
Entry: 865 - 875
Stop Loss (SL): 910
Target 1 (TP1): 854
Target 2 (TP2): 810
Target 3 (TP3): 770

Why go short?
The moving averages above have already formed a bearish crossover, exerting downward pressure. After that surge that peaked around 1000, the price has been trending down; each rebound has been weaker than the last. Volume has also been steadily shrinking, indicating there is basically no real capital willing to step in and take positions at this level. As long as this 910 level doesn’t regain it with volume, in such a weak market the price will most likely, driven by momentum, retest the prior low at 854—or even go deeper. Following the trend with a short is more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound.

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$APR —That previous surge basically exhausted the long-side sentiment. Now the price keeps hovering just below the moving average line, with no sign of any meaningful buy orders that actively enter the market.

$APR - Empty

Execution plan:
Entry: 0.1980 - 0.2000
Stop loss (SL): 0.2050
Target 1 (TP1): 0.1965
Target 2 (TP2): 0.1800
Target 3 (TP3): 0.1430

Key assessment:
Price is being constrained by a dense moving-average zone, so the rebound strength is very weak and volume also can’t really be built up. As long as the level around 0.205 isn’t broken and reclaimed with volume, this weak market structure will likely, driven by momentum, revisit the prior low area. At this point, the risk-reward ratio for taking a short is still better than hard-waiting for a confirmed breakout.

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$CBRS The drop from the recent high has been quite deep. Currently, the price has been consolidating with reduced volume below the moving averages. In the short term, it feels difficult for the bulls to organize a decent counterattack.

$CBRS - Empty

Specific setup:
Entry: 219.5 - 221.0
Stop Loss (SL): 225.0
Target 1 (TP1): 211.0
Target 2 (TP2): 200.0
Target 3 (TP3): 190.0

Market analysis:
That big surge from above has left a large number of trapped positions. Now the price is being pushed down by the short-term moving averages, and rebounds lack strength. Trading volume has been steadily shrinking, indicating that no one is willing to step in at this level to take the bag. As long as the stop-loss line is not reclaimed with volume, this weak structure will most likely continue—following momentum—to retest the prior low or even deeper areas. Going short in line with the trend is still more reliable than stubbornly waiting for a rebound.

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$VVV After falling back from the top, it has clearly become somewhat weak. The short-term moving averages have already started to turn downward, and the signs of a weakening market are quite clear.

$VVV - Empty

Trading framework:
Entry: 14.00 - 14.10
Stop Loss (SL): 14.30
Target 1 (TP1): 13.50
Target 2 (TP2): 13.00
Target 3 (TP3): 12.50

Core idea:
After the previous move that surged to the high, it couldn’t hold and immediately reversed downward. Now the price has broken below the short-term MA support, and the trading volume is also shrinking, indicating that the funds chasing the rally have basically withdrawn. There is already resistance near 14.3 above. As long as this level does not reclaim on increased volume, this kind of pullback after rejection is highly likely to, following momentum, press down to test how strongly the lower moving average holds. Compared with stubbornly waiting for a rebound, shorting at this point is more stable.

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$LITE After falling all the way down from the recent high, the rebound is obvious but can’t hold. The moving average system has already turned downward and is being pressed; the short-term trend is still bearish.

$LITE - Sell

Specific setup:
Entry: 872 - 878
Stop Loss (SL): 905
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 854
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 830
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 800

Key assessment:
Price encountered resistance near the prior one-thousand-yuan level and then pulled back. It has now broken below the mid-term and long-term moving averages consecutively. The area around 905 is a fairly clear resistance zone. The rebound strength has been weaker each time, and trading volume has also been shrinking, indicating that the willingness to chase has basically dried up. As long as the stop-loss line isn’t reclaimed with volume, this weak market is likely to continue, driven by momentum, to probe the previous low around 854 and even test the support zone near 800. Following the trend to sell short remains the more suitable strategy right now.

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$ALPINE After a rapid surge to a high point, it leaves an extremely long upper wick. There is a heavy buy-stops/squeeze overhead, and the price has quickly broken below the short-term moving average support.

$ALPINE - empty

Trading framework:
Entry: 0.3570 - 0.3600
Stop Loss (SL): 0.3750
Target 1 (TP1): 0.3430
Target 2 (TP2): 0.3300
Target 3 (TP3): 0.3070

Key analysis:
This move surged up from the bottom and left an extremely long upper wick near 0.4293, indicating that chasing funds got trapped and the main players show clear signs of distribution. Now the price has already broken through the MA7 short-term support line, and the trading volume has started to shrink, suggesting insufficient follow-through/market support. As long as the 0.3750 pressure level does not reclaim its breakout with volume, this kind of A-shaped sell-off after a spike (a “spike-and-drop” structure) will very likely continue downward to test the lower support/acceptance area. In that scenario, the risk-reward for shorting on a pullback remains favorable.

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$CLO 前面那波冲高明显接不住，价格一路回落到均线下方，短期走势依然偏弱。

$CLO - 空

操作框架：
入场：0.1340 - 0.1348
止损 (SL)：0.1385
目标1 (TP1)：0.1300
目标2 (TP2)：0.1260
目标3 (TP3)：0.1220

盘面解析：
从0.1523那波高点见顶之后，盘面就一路掉头往下走，目前已经接连跌穿两条短期均线，上方压得比较死。反弹基本没什么量，说明根本没多少资金愿意在这个位置进场接盘。只要0.1385这道坎没放量站回去，这种弱势结构大概率会顺着惯性继续往下踩，去摸0.13甚至更低的支撑区，现在摸空依然比等反弹要稳。

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$AAOI has surged up and it’s clearly not being held—several consecutive long bearish candles have directly smashed through the moving averages. In the short term, there are no signs of a bottom.

$AAOI - Empty

Trading framework:
Entry: 130.50 - 131.50
Stop Loss (SL): 133.50
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 125.70
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 123.00
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 120.00

Market analysis:
After this move came down from above 161, the price has fully broken through the short- and medium-term moving average system. The two key levels above at 140 and 150 have clearly turned into resistance zones. When it’s been selling down recently, volume has also expanded, indicating that selling pressure is still being released. There’s simply no capital willing to step in at this level to catch the falling knife. As long as this 133.5 defense line is not broken with increased volume returning above it, this extremely weak market is likely to continue, following momentum, to test the previous low around 125 or even deeper areas. Going short in line with the trend remains the most stable option right now.

$EDEN The rebound force is clearly not enough. The upper moving averages are pressing down as price moves, and in the short term it still feels like it needs to step down a bit more.

$EDEN - Blank

Quant reference:
Entry: 0.0512 - 0.0516
Stop loss (SL): 0.0535
Target 1 (TP1): 0.0500
Target 2 (TP2): 0.0485
Target 3 (TP3): 0.0460

Key assessment:
Price has just fallen back from the recent high to the area where the short-term moving averages are tangled, but trading volume has been steadily shrinking, and the rebound simply has no real strength. The area above has already formed resistance. As long as this level is not broken and reclaimed with increased volume, this weak market structure will most likely continue drifting toward the lower band to test the consolidation/absorption zone.

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After the recent high of $NEAR was rejected, it has been sliding all the way down. In the short term, all moving averages have already turned downward and are pressing. The signs of weakness in the market are quite obvious.

$NEAR - Empty

Specific structure:
Entry: 1.575 - 1.585
Stop loss (SL): 1.620
Target 1 (TP1): 1.530
Target 2 (TP2): 1.500
Target 3 (TP3): 1.470

Key analysis:
The current price has already fallen below the short-term moving averages, and the moving averages above have formed a fairly dense resistance zone. In recent candles, when the price has been dropping, the volume has also increased, indicating that selling pressure is still being released. The previous low at 1.536 is the first line of defense; if this level cannot be held, it is likely to move toward 1.50, or even deeper, to seek support. As long as the stop-loss level does not re-enter the market with increased volume, probing downward in line with this momentum remains the more prudent choice.

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$FIL After the bottom was confirmed, the price action has shown initial signs of stabilization. In the short term, the moving average system has started to turn and form support.

$FIL - More

Quant reference:
Entry: 0.6300 - 0.6340
Stop-loss (SL): 0.6180
Target 1 (TP1): 0.6550
Target 2 (TP2): 0.6700
Target 3 (TP3): 0.6900

Key assessment:
After a deep selloff, the price has stabilized and rebounded. It has now regained the support zone of the short- and medium-term moving averages, and the lows are gradually rising. Around MA25 below, there is a relatively clear consolidation/holding area. As long as the stop-loss defense line is not decisively broken by a surge in volume, this oversold rebound structure is highly likely to test a repair move toward MA99 and the prior high zone. The risk-reward ratio for going long in line with the trend still remains favorable.

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