BeyOglu - The Analyst
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🔶X: @Beyoglu124 | Crypto enthusiast since 2019, sharing insights on market trends, News and Events.
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Fed hawks and doves: What US central bankers are saying
After cutting interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in 2025, Federal Reserve policymakers have signaled they will wait and see what happens with the economy before making another move. They are deeply divided between those who are worried that further easing could worsen inflation and those who feel that employment will suffer without lower interest rates.
After cutting interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in 2025, Federal Reserve policymakers have signaled they will wait and see what happens with the economy before making another move. They are deeply divided between those who are worried that further easing could worsen inflation and those who feel that employment will suffer without lower interest rates.
$RENDER Rally Powers the AI Boom, But a 76% Drop in Buying Pressure Exposes Cracks.
Despite the sharp rebound, the RENDER price is still trading inside a descending channel that has been in place since early October. A descending channel forms when price makes lower highs over time, indicating that sellers remain in control of the broader trend.
The recent rally pushed RENDER toward the upper boundary of that channel, but the price failed to break through. More telling, this rejection occurred despite the trendline having only two clear touchpoints, making it relatively weak resistance. Yet sellers still defended it.
That rejection is visible in the candles themselves. Recent daily candles show long upper wicks, which signal selling pressure. Buyers pushed the price higher, but sellers responded quickly near the resistance, forcing the price back down. This behavior often occurs when a rally encounters structural pressure.
Capital flow confirms that this was not a weak bounce. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which tracks whether money is entering or leaving an asset, trended higher while the RENDER price moved lower between October and early January. That showed accumulation during the downtrend.
Despite the sharp rebound, the RENDER price is still trading inside a descending channel that has been in place since early October. A descending channel forms when price makes lower highs over time, indicating that sellers remain in control of the broader trend.
The recent rally pushed RENDER toward the upper boundary of that channel, but the price failed to break through. More telling, this rejection occurred despite the trendline having only two clear touchpoints, making it relatively weak resistance. Yet sellers still defended it.
That rejection is visible in the candles themselves. Recent daily candles show long upper wicks, which signal selling pressure. Buyers pushed the price higher, but sellers responded quickly near the resistance, forcing the price back down. This behavior often occurs when a rally encounters structural pressure.
Capital flow confirms that this was not a weak bounce. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which tracks whether money is entering or leaving an asset, trended higher while the RENDER price moved lower between October and early January. That showed accumulation during the downtrend.
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 aim for records as early 2026 rally builds steam
US stocks tipped higher on Tuesday, with investors continuing to weigh US moves on Venezuela as they brace for a flurry of fresh data this week to shed light on the health of the economy.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) added 0.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) also rose 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) climbed 1% on the heels of Monday's record-setting gain for the blue-chip index, putting a fresh record and a historic break above 50,000 in play.
US stocks tipped higher on Tuesday, with investors continuing to weigh US moves on Venezuela as they brace for a flurry of fresh data this week to shed light on the health of the economy.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) added 0.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) also rose 0.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) climbed 1% on the heels of Monday's record-setting gain for the blue-chip index, putting a fresh record and a historic break above 50,000 in play.
🚨Bitcoin ETFs Absorb $697M in Largest Single-Day Inflow Since October.
According to SoSoValue, on Jan. 5 (ET), U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $697 million. The BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT saw the largest single-day net inflow at $372 million. Spot Ethereum ETFs posted total net inflows of $168 million, Solana spot ETFs $16.24 million, and XRP spot ETFs $46.10 million.
According to SoSoValue, on Jan. 5 (ET), U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $697 million. The BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT saw the largest single-day net inflow at $372 million. Spot Ethereum ETFs posted total net inflows of $168 million, Solana spot ETFs $16.24 million, and XRP spot ETFs $46.10 million.
JUST IN: CNBC says "Venezuela may have quietly amassed a Bitcoin reserve worth tens of billions of dollars." 👀 🇻🇪
"If the US seizes those coins and adds them to its own strategic reserve, you're looking at potentially substantial supply of BTC getting locked up for years." 🚀
"If the US seizes those coins and adds them to its own strategic reserve, you're looking at potentially substantial supply of BTC getting locked up for years." 🚀
$XRP Price Prediction: XRP Breaks 3-Month Downtrend – $5 in 2026?
XRP breaks three-month downtrend with 18% surge past $2.20 resistance, attracting $43.16 million in ETF inflows over seven days as Elliott Wave analysis targets $5 in 2026.
The weekly XRP/USDT chart shows the market transitioning from a correction back into trend continuation.
Price recently broke above a three-month descending trendline, which had capped every rally since the local top near $3.40.
That breakout represents the most important technical development because it signals that sellers who controlled momentum through Q4 2025 are losing dominance.
Structurally, XRP has spent recent months forming a controlled pullback, not a breakdown.
Price consistently respected the horizontal support zone around the mid-$1.80-$2.00 area, which functioned as a demand floor while volatility compressed.
The breakout occurred just above this base, suggesting accumulation rather than panic selling.
XRP breaks three-month downtrend with 18% surge past $2.20 resistance, attracting $43.16 million in ETF inflows over seven days as Elliott Wave analysis targets $5 in 2026.
The weekly XRP/USDT chart shows the market transitioning from a correction back into trend continuation.
Price recently broke above a three-month descending trendline, which had capped every rally since the local top near $3.40.
That breakout represents the most important technical development because it signals that sellers who controlled momentum through Q4 2025 are losing dominance.
Structurally, XRP has spent recent months forming a controlled pullback, not a breakdown.
Price consistently respected the horizontal support zone around the mid-$1.80-$2.00 area, which functioned as a demand floor while volatility compressed.
The breakout occurred just above this base, suggesting accumulation rather than panic selling.
$VIRTUAL coin made outstanding performance by printing 5 bullish consecutive candles stick on chart.
$VIRTUAL is consolidating below the resistance, a breakout and a day close above this key psychological resistance price level will confirm that the Virtual can extend the rally towards 1.65$.
However a rejection from this resistance can take the price of Virtual to 1$ or below it.
$VIRTUAL is consolidating below the resistance, a breakout and a day close above this key psychological resistance price level will confirm that the Virtual can extend the rally towards 1.65$.
However a rejection from this resistance can take the price of Virtual to 1$ or below it.
How JPMorganChase plans to jolt 'on-chain' finance
As rivals such as Citi stake a position in digital assets, JPMorganChase is preparing its blockchain unit for what it hopes is a much larger world.
"Blockchain can touch almost every part of the financial services industry," Kara Kennedy, global co-head of the bank's blockchain unit, Kinexys by J.P. Morgan, told American Banker. "It opens the potential for speed, transparency and much greater programmability."
Kennedy, who is based in Edinburgh, Scotland, became co-head of the bank's blockchain division in August, joining the Singapore-based Naveen Mallea as co-head. Mallea was named to his current job in August 2024. Kennedy oversees Kinexys Digital Assets and Kinexys Labs, which focus on tokenization and blockchain project development. Mallela manages payment projects, such as Kinexys Digital Payments and Kinexys Liink.
As rivals such as Citi stake a position in digital assets, JPMorganChase is preparing its blockchain unit for what it hopes is a much larger world.
"Blockchain can touch almost every part of the financial services industry," Kara Kennedy, global co-head of the bank's blockchain unit, Kinexys by J.P. Morgan, told American Banker. "It opens the potential for speed, transparency and much greater programmability."
Kennedy, who is based in Edinburgh, Scotland, became co-head of the bank's blockchain division in August, joining the Singapore-based Naveen Mallea as co-head. Mallea was named to his current job in August 2024. Kennedy oversees Kinexys Digital Assets and Kinexys Labs, which focus on tokenization and blockchain project development. Mallela manages payment projects, such as Kinexys Digital Payments and Kinexys Liink.
$BTC Breakout the symmetric channel. At the time of writing this on Monday night Bitcoin is trading above $94,0000. Bitcoin is continuously making surges as the start of near due to the back in inflow of Bitcoin ETFs.
The Traders mark the main reason behind the crypto market pump was the captured of Maduro the President Venezuela by US.
A day close above this symmetric channel will indicate the incoming of more bullish momentum.
The Traders mark the main reason behind the crypto market pump was the captured of Maduro the President Venezuela by US.
A day close above this symmetric channel will indicate the incoming of more bullish momentum.
Dogecoin above $0.15 gains bullish momentum.
Dogecoin is up 2% at press time on Monday, building on the 4% gains from Sunday. The dog-themed meme coin extends its recovery over the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.14339 and trades above the $0.15000 round figure.
Dogecoin’s recovery reflects the breakout rally of a descending wedge pattern on the daily logarithmic chart. The breakout rally aims for the 200-day EMA at $0.18202, aligning with the overhead supply zone between $0.18100 and $0.18500.
The momentum indicators on the daily chart indicate a buy-side dominance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 65, with further room before reaching the overbought zone. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to rise alongside green histogram bars, signaling a surge in bullish momentum.
If $DOGE slips below $0.14399, it could offset the breakout rally, potentially risking the $0.13000 round figure.
Dogecoin is up 2% at press time on Monday, building on the 4% gains from Sunday. The dog-themed meme coin extends its recovery over the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.14339 and trades above the $0.15000 round figure.
Dogecoin’s recovery reflects the breakout rally of a descending wedge pattern on the daily logarithmic chart. The breakout rally aims for the 200-day EMA at $0.18202, aligning with the overhead supply zone between $0.18100 and $0.18500.
The momentum indicators on the daily chart indicate a buy-side dominance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 65, with further room before reaching the overbought zone. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to rise alongside green histogram bars, signaling a surge in bullish momentum.
If $DOGE slips below $0.14399, it could offset the breakout rally, potentially risking the $0.13000 round figure.
$BONK has been parabolic.
$BONK is shows strength as the crypto market sentiments change From bearish to bullish. Bonk coin has been up almost almost 80% since last week. This is the highest Price increase in BONK recorded since 15 September.
The Relative Strength Index RSI is at 72 lower then the level of oversold.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD also showing increase in Demand.
$BONK is shows strength as the crypto market sentiments change From bearish to bullish. Bonk coin has been up almost almost 80% since last week. This is the highest Price increase in BONK recorded since 15 September.
The Relative Strength Index RSI is at 72 lower then the level of oversold.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD also showing increase in Demand.
$DOGE made the exact pump as predicted in previous update.
Doge coin made a strong pullback in this week by forming and closing consecutive 4 straight green bullish candle stick. $DOGE is now consolidating below the resistance price if it will break out this resistance the next target will be 0.18$.
However a decline will result in again fall of price to 0.125$.
Doge coin made a strong pullback in this week by forming and closing consecutive 4 straight green bullish candle stick. $DOGE is now consolidating below the resistance price if it will break out this resistance the next target will be 0.18$.
However a decline will result in again fall of price to 0.125$.
$MUBARAK is about to breakout the side ways ranging market.
$MUBARAK has again made strong comeback today, consolidating below the resistance price level of sideways trend, a breakout from this trend will extend the pump towards 0.028$ on short term.
$MUBARAK has again made strong comeback today, consolidating below the resistance price level of sideways trend, a breakout from this trend will extend the pump towards 0.028$ on short term.
What is Ethereum’s Fair Price Right Now Following Recent Developments?
Hashed CEO Simon Seojoon Kim has developed a comprehensive valuation tool that calculates the fair value of Ethereum (ETH) using multiple indicators. According to data shared by Kim, there is a significant difference between the current market price and the model outputs.
According to the current data in the tool, Ethereum’s market price is at $3,135.6. In contrast, the “Composite Fair Value,” calculated by averaging all 12 different models, is $4,895.6. This suggests that Ethereum may be approximately 56.1% undervalued compared to its current price, indicating an overall “undervalued” outlook.
The valuation range between the models is quite wide. The lowest calculation comes from the P/S Ratio (25x) model, which is based on revenue multiplier and predicts Ethereum’s fair value at only $6.2, arguing that the current price is excessively high. In contrast, the most optimistic scenario is painted by the Ecosystem Construction (MV=PQ) model, which calculates Ethereum’s fair value at $10,693.8 based on the total transaction volume across layer-1 and layer-2.
Many of the prominent models in the valuation tool indicate that Ethereum is trading below its current price.
*This is not investment advice.
Hashed CEO Simon Seojoon Kim has developed a comprehensive valuation tool that calculates the fair value of Ethereum (ETH) using multiple indicators. According to data shared by Kim, there is a significant difference between the current market price and the model outputs.
According to the current data in the tool, Ethereum’s market price is at $3,135.6. In contrast, the “Composite Fair Value,” calculated by averaging all 12 different models, is $4,895.6. This suggests that Ethereum may be approximately 56.1% undervalued compared to its current price, indicating an overall “undervalued” outlook.
The valuation range between the models is quite wide. The lowest calculation comes from the P/S Ratio (25x) model, which is based on revenue multiplier and predicts Ethereum’s fair value at only $6.2, arguing that the current price is excessively high. In contrast, the most optimistic scenario is painted by the Ecosystem Construction (MV=PQ) model, which calculates Ethereum’s fair value at $10,693.8 based on the total transaction volume across layer-1 and layer-2.
Many of the prominent models in the valuation tool indicate that Ethereum is trading below its current price.
*This is not investment advice.
$BTC Technical Analysis and Price Forecast:
Bitcoin is retesting the resistance of symmetric triangle, A break out above this symmetric channel will extend the rally towards $98k. At the time of writing this Bitcoin is trading near $91,200.
Relative strength Index RSI at 58 higher then the level of neutral indicating the buying demand in Bitcoin. To keep continue the bullish momentum bitcoin should keep continue sustain the RSI above 50.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD is also indicating the rise of demand in BItcoin by forming green histogram and made bullish Crossover already.
However a decline from the resistance trend line of symmetric channel will take down the price of bitcoin again below $90K.
Bitcoin is retesting the resistance of symmetric triangle, A break out above this symmetric channel will extend the rally towards $98k. At the time of writing this Bitcoin is trading near $91,200.
Relative strength Index RSI at 58 higher then the level of neutral indicating the buying demand in Bitcoin. To keep continue the bullish momentum bitcoin should keep continue sustain the RSI above 50.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD is also indicating the rise of demand in BItcoin by forming green histogram and made bullish Crossover already.
However a decline from the resistance trend line of symmetric channel will take down the price of bitcoin again below $90K.
$TRUMP coin found support near 4$ and making a pullback.
Trump coin pumped nearly 5% today after the US captured the president of Venezuela Maduro. Trading indicators are showing that the momentum has been shift from bearish to bullish but don't forget to manage the risk and mark stoploss.
Trump coin pumped nearly 5% today after the US captured the president of Venezuela Maduro. Trading indicators are showing that the momentum has been shift from bearish to bullish but don't forget to manage the risk and mark stoploss.
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