AnMik1964

Can Bitcoin Hold Above $74K After Weekend Volatility?
*TLDR: Bitcoin could remain above $74K this week, but the upside is slim given the elevated leverage and the price’s proximity to recent highs.
*Spot price is around $74,522, and the 7-day trend is up with high 24-hour volume.
*The weekend dip to around $70.9K was bought, so the first significant support is now in the sub-$70K area.
*Open interest in derivatives is high and funding is almost flat, so any move towards risk aversion could quickly push BTC below $74K.
$BTC .

Breaking news:
*Quantum computing is already factored into Bitcoin’s price.
Bernstein says Bitcoin’s 50% drop from its all-time high already reflects quantum risk. Developers have three to five years to agree on a post-quantum upgrade.
A technical fix could be done quickly. The bigger challenge is getting millions of owners to transfer their keys in time.
*A British politician just bought bitcoin.
Nigel Farage just became the first sitting member of the UK parliament to publicly endorse bitcoin, investing in Stack BTC, a publicly traded bitcoin treasury firm that added $2.7 million to its bitcoin holdings.
The UK government is simultaneously pushing to ban cryptocurrency donations to political parties.
*Sailor is about to overtake BlackRock.
Strategy just added another $1 billion in Bitcoin, bringing its total assets to 780,897 BTC. BlackRock’s spot ETF is at 790,000. The gap is less than 10,000 BTC.
The strategy also has $14.46 billion in unrealized losses.
*Institutions are pouring back into crypto.
Crypto investment products saw $1.1 billion in inflows last week, the biggest weekly inflow since January. Bitcoin led the way, Ethereum snapped a three-week streak of outflows, and 95% of all inflows came from a single country.
Bitcoin short bets also hit their highest weekly inflows since November 2024.
*Biggest Bitcoin miner moves into cryptocurrencies.
Foundry Digital has launched a Zcash mining pool and already controls 30% of the network’s hashrate, with several institutional miners joining the pool ahead of the public launch. Foundry has also released a brand new block explorer for the Zcash network.
$BTC , $ZEC .

April 14, 2026
Bitcoin leads the way, with the rest of the market following.
The market has risen to $2.52 trillion (+4.56%), driven by strong institutional buying, with a large accumulation of Bitcoin setting the tone. This demand is attracting capital across the market, with Ethereum and other first-tier tokens joining in.
At the same time, sentiment is rising on the back of upcoming regulatory clarity, giving the rise a bit more substance than just momentum.
The momentum is strong, but now it needs to be sustained.

Will US regulation spark a bull market or push crypto offshore?
*TLDR: US regulation is likely to be moderately bullish for crypto overall, while still moving some high-risk activity offshore, depending on how “Clarity” actually plays out.
*A clear, balanced market structure bill plus stablecoin regulations could unlock more institutional and corporate demand, supporting broader growth.
*If Congress stalls or regulations are restrictive (yield, DeFi, privacy), trade and innovation will continue to migrate to Europe, the UAE, and Asia, even as global prices rise.
*Current trajectory in 2026 points to greater formal clarity (SEC–CFTC taxonomy, GENIUS Act, Clarity Act pending), which is a positive factor for large companies but creates selective pressures for riskier niches.

Latest News:
*Morgan Stanley Wants More Than Just Bitcoin
Morgan Stanley manages $9.3 trillion in client assets. They just launched a spot Bitcoin ETF, and they’re already saying it’s just the beginning.
A tokenized money market fund is next on their agenda, along with digital asset taxation strategies that most retail investors have never had access to.
*HYPE Gets Its Own ETF
Bitwise just filed a second amendment to its fund charter for a spot hyper-liquid ETF. A Bloomberg analyst says it could launch any day now.
HYPE shares are up about 200% over the past year. Grayscale and 21Shares are vying for the same approval, but Bitwise has been ahead of them since September.
*Bitcoin miners are running out of money ahead of halving
The 2028 halving is two years away, and big miners are already selling Bitcoin to cover costs.
Rising energy prices and record hashrates are crushing margins. Those without scale and power deals are being given a heads-up: the next halving will be brutal.
*World, Sam Altman’s human identification project, is reducing the daily unlock rate of WLD tokens by 43% starting this July.
Almost half of the total is already in circulation. The market shuddered the day the news broke.
*The biggest ETH fund plan just fell through:
Ether Machine had 400,000 ETH in stock and the possibility of a Nasdaq listing. Now the whole plan has been scrapped.
The SPAC merger is complete, and someone named in the termination notice owes $50 million within 15 days.
$BTC , $ETH , $HYPE .

April 13, 2026
Market is stabilizing, but slowly.
Sentiment has returned to neutral (~42) after weeks of fear, showing a gradual return to confidence. But this is not a big shift, more of a slow rise than a decisive change.
There is a split underfoot. Public sentiment is divided, optimistic narratives about AI and altcoins are being met with calls for a broader pullback. At the same time, activity is fading, with volume and liquidations falling, indicating less participation.

Цей тиждень запам’ятається надовго!
🔸ПОНЕДІЛОК - ТЕРМІНОВА ЗАЯВА FED
Коли Федеральний резерв говорить “термінова заява” - це не жарти.
Минулого разу після такого BTC впав на 8%.
Що скажуть - невідомо, але буде шалена волатильність.
🔸ВІВТОРОК - ДАНІ ПРО ІНДЕКС ВИРОБНИКА (PPI)
Усі стежать за CPI, а справжній сигнал дає PPI.
Якщо ціни на заводському рівні ростуть - інфляція ще жива.
Якщо падають - з’являється шанс на зниження ставок.
🔸СЕРЕДА - ЕКОНОМІЧНИЙ ЗВІТ FED
Це звіт із 12 регіонів - реальна картина економіки США.
Якщо там з’явиться слово “рецесія” - ринок здригнеться.
Якщо ні - інвестори зітхнуть із полегшенням.
🔸ЧЕТВЕР - ЗАЯВКИ НА ДОПОМОГУ ЗА БЕЗРОБІТТЯ
Щотижневий показник активності ринку праці.
Якщо цифра росте - економіка сповільнюється, Fed слабшає.
Якщо падає - це сигнал про продовження жорсткої політики.
🔸П’ЯТНИЦЯ - ВИСТУП ЧЛЕНА РАДИ FED
Остання інтрига тижня.
Один із 7 осіб, які ухвалюють рішення щодо ставок, бере слово.
Якщо пролунає - “є прогрес у боротьбі з інфляцією” = можливий ралі.
Але якщо скаже “потрібно більше жорсткості” = тиждень закінчимо червоною свічкою.

Are current price movements driven by news rather than fundamentals?
*TLDR: Short-term cryptocurrency price movements are currently driven more by macroeconomic/news and positioning than by slowly changing fundamentals.
*Intraday and weekly movements mostly follow headlines on macroeconomics, geopolitics, ETF flows and liquidations, which are amplified by low leverage and low liquidity.
*Fundamental and structural flows (ETF assets under management, stablecoin growth, network usage) move slowly and set a wider range within which news-driven movements trade.
*For individual coins, upgrades, tokenomics changes, security events and real-world adoption still play the biggest role in why some assets outperform or lag the overall market.

Fundraising and Airdrops:
*L1’s high-speed blockchain Pharos Network raises $44 million in Series A funding round, with investors including SNZ Holding, Flow Traders, and Chainlink, among others.
*Oh, an AI startup for adults, raises $7.5 million in Series A funding round led by Maven11 Capital, with support from L1D, Auros Cyber Fund, Hashed, and others.
*Pixie Chess raises $5.2 million in a seed round led by Paradigm, backed by Seed Club and notable angel investors including Jordi Hayes, Dylan Abruscato, and others.
*Bitcoin cashback card platform GoSats raises $5 million in a Series A funding round led by Konvoy with participation from Y Combinator and Taisu Ventures.

DeFi in Brief:
*Stablecoin protocol Ethena announces plans to further diversify USDe support by including more risk-weighted assets (RWAs) beyond Treasuries, equity and commodity trading, primary lending, and more.
*Hyperbeat launches Liquid Banking, its non-banking service powered by Hyperliquid and beatUSD.
*On-chain risk management platform Chaos Labs announces its exit from Aave, citing “fundamental disagreements about how risk should be managed within Aave.”
*Sushiswap integrates criminals into its Hyperliquid-powered platform.
*Given the extremely negative sentiment in the crypto market, leading crypto protocols continue to seek diversification beyond crypto markets to expand their reach.

Major Project Updates:
*Polymarket announces plans to launch Polymarket USD, a new collateral token on the platform, as well as an updated trading engine and smart contracts.
*Ethereum Foundation announces upcoming sale of 5,000 ETH in stablecoins via CoWSwap’s TWAP feature to fund R&D, grants, and donations.
*Circle’s Arc Blockchain announces its quantum-resistant roadmap designed to protect their blockchain in a post-quantum world.
*Biconomy, in collaboration with the Ethereum Foundation, introduces ERC-8211, a standard for agent-based execution.
*Cosmos wallet, Leap, announces plans to end support for its products, including WebApp validator, Cosmos Snaps, and Compass wallet, on May 28, 2026.
*Stablecoins remain one of the most profitable business models for cryptocurrency companies, as each protocol seeks to develop its own stablecoins to internalize these revenues.
$ETH .

Story of the Week:
*The recent $285 million Drift Protocol hack has many protocols, most notably Solana, scrambling to ensure the security of their users’ funds.
*ZachXBT releases cache of data extracted from North Korean payment server showing chat logs, crypto transactions, and fraudulent credentials.
*ZachXBT reveals new information that Solana’s exit protocol, Elemental, had a developer from the DPRK on its payroll for years before it was exposed.
*Solana Foundation launches STRIDE, a new security initiative that includes 24/7 active monitoring of DeFi protocols, a network of security firms for real-time response, and official vetting of leading protocols.
*As hackers from North Korean states maintain their lead as the primary perpetrators of large-scale crypto exploits, protocols and blockchains must step up security measures to prevent losses.
$SOL .

Market Review 04/06 - 04/10/2026
*Bitcoin (BTC) has surged on news of a shaky ceasefire between Iran and the US, rising 7.17% this week, while Ethereum (ETH) has lagged slightly, rising 6.19% over the same period. The total cryptocurrency market cap has rebounded, rising 0.68% to $2.43 trillion, compared to $2.29 trillion the previous week.
*Weekly liquidations have shifted toward short positions as markets have rallied on news of the ceasefire, with $430 million in short positions liquidated on Tuesday alone. Funding rates have generally risen, possibly indicating renewed risk appetite.
*Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys 4,871 BTC for $329.9 million, bringing its total portfolio to 766,970 BTC.
*Six Swiss banks, including UBS and Sygnum, team up to pilot a regulated Swiss franc stablecoin.
*Morgan Stanley launches first BTC ETF tied to a US bank, with a low 0.14% fee, cheaper than rivals.
*Both the cryptocurrency and stock markets took a breather this week after the previous week’s sell-off as the market found a compelling reason to rally again. Despite further escalation from Israel, the market appears to be holding steady, though many traders are not entirely convinced. The S&P 500 is up 5.17% this week, while the Nasdaq has surged 6.18% over the same period.
$BTC , $ETH .

Why are institutionals buying while retail is still wary?
*TLDR: Institutions are increasing exposure while retail remains cautious as they operate with different incentives, information and time horizons and the current situation still looks “scary” for individuals but attractive for long-term capital.
*Market sentiment is neutral despite the crypto market cap growing by 6.27% in 30 days, so the price is climbing the wall of concern.
*Institutions have new, regulated instruments (mostly ETFs) and mandates for distribution, while the retail market is still suffering from past drawdowns and issues with alt/NFT funds.
*Positioning data shows stable institutional flows focused on BTC/ETH and high but cooled leverage encouraging systematic buying during dips, while retail trading focuses on scary headlines.

Latest news:
*Stablecoins could bury Visa and Mastercard.
Chainalysis just released a report with numbers that are hard to ignore.
Stablecoins processed $28 trillion in real-world payments last year. Two catalysts could push that number to a level that will make traditional payment systems look small by 2035.
Stripe and Mastercard are already anticipating this. They’ve spent billions on stablecoin infrastructure acquisitions this year alone.
*Bitcoin has a quantum clock ticking.
Bernstein says the crypto industry has three to five years to prepare for quantum computers before they become a real threat to Bitcoin.
The risk isn’t uniform. Certain types of wallets are much more vulnerable, and a significant amount of BTC is currently held in those addresses.
*Stablecoin issuers are now treated as banks.
FinCEN and OFAC have just repealed a joint rule under the GENIUS Act. Stablecoin issuers must now implement anti-money laundering programs, maintain sanctions oversight, and have the authority to freeze and block transactions.
There is a strict deadline for compliance, and the consequences of missing it are clearly spelled out.
*Michael Saylor stated at a Mizuho event this week that Bitcoin had already bottomed out in early February.
He pointed to one specific factor that he said drives every major trend reversal, and it has nothing to do with sentiment or price charts.
*South Korea’s ruling party is finalizing its Digital Assets Act. Stablecoins are classified under foreign exchange laws, and returns on stablecoin balances are completely prohibited.
The bill also sets strict custody rules for issuers of risk-weighted assets (RWA). But there are key provisions that have been omitted, and they matter.
$BTC .

April 09, 2026
Two of the biggest market winds have just shifted.
Cryptocurrency surged to $2.42 trillion (+1.13%) after Morgan Stanley opened the doors to institutional ETFs wider, while global tensions cooled. New access to Bitcoin and less geopolitical tension gave buyers a reason to return to investing.
The move then fed itself. A strong short rally forced bear traders out, accelerating the rally, while capital moved into prominent names like Zcash and Monad, where momentum is tied to stronger fundamentals, not just speculation.
The question now is whether this breakout will have lasting power.

Is cryptocurrency entering a “selective liquidity” phase?
*TLDR: Yes, the current data is consistent with an early phase of “selective liquidity” rather than broad, healthy risk.
*Total market cap is up only about 6% in 30 days, while 24-hour volume is up about 33% and open interest in derivatives is up about 21%.
*Attention and flow are centered around major currencies and a few narratives, while 7-day risers and fallers are mostly tiny, illiquid memes or thematic coins.
*Altcoin popularity is weakening (non-BTC/ETH stocks are falling), but not yet fully capitulating, and social sentiment is roughly neutral.

Latest News:
*Institutions Choose XRP Over Bitcoin
XRP attracted more institutional funds than Bitcoin last week. Inflows totaled $119.6 million, its best week since December.
Bitcoin lagged. Ethereum lost ground completely.
*CME Wants More Crypto.
CME Group will add Avalanche and Sui futures next month, expanding its lineup that already includes Cardano, Chainlink, and Stellar.
The exchange now covers over 75% of the total crypto market cap through regulated products.
*Binance Has a New Trading Rule.
Starting April 14, Binance is implementing a rule that can cancel your order mid-execution without your intervention.
It targets taker orders during volatile times. You won’t be able to cancel it.
*South Korea is putting crypto exchanges under tighter scrutiny.
South Korean regulators now require all cryptocurrency exchanges to check for assets every five minutes.
Three of the country’s five largest exchanges were doing so only once every 24 hours.
An exchange incident earlier this year forced regulators to act quickly.
*ETH treasuries have a profitability problem.
ETH-pegged ETFs now offer passive income. So what exactly do ether treasuries offer that’s different?
One large stockholder reported losses of $734 million in 2025 using a combination of liquid and native rates.
The gap between treasuries and ETFs is rapidly closing.
$XRP , $BTC , $ETH .

April 08, 2026
The market has risen to $2.44 trillion (+4.53%), with an obvious catalyst: institutional demand.
The news surrounding Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin spot ETF has brought in new flows, with Bitcoin taking the lead and dragging the rest of the market with it.
But it’s not just about the headlines. Trading volume and leverage have increased sharply, sentiment has returned to neutral (~46), and overall participation has increased this time around, which has had a positive impact.
However, this is not yet definitive. Given the rapid growth of positions and the still-active macroeconomic factors, it is necessary to hold above key levels to fix this move.