#bitcoin has shown a repeating structure across bear cycles but it’s not as exact as it looks.
In 2014 and 2018, $BTC bottomed near the 1M MA50, while in 2022 it formed a bottom between the 1M MA50 and 1W MA350 zone. That shift already tells us the market structure is evolving, not just repeating.
Right now, the idea of a $45K–$50K bottom range comes from:
• Historical moving average support zones
• Descending triangle breakdown patterns
• Fibonacci overlaps (0.236 + 0.5 levels)
But here’s the key point:
These levels are confluence zones, not guarantees
Bitcoin $BTC doesn’t bottom just because indicators align it bottoms when selling pressure exhausts and demand absorbs supply.
So while the MA + Fibonacci cluster makes $45K–$50K a logical technical area, the actual bottom will still depend on:
• Liquidity conditions
• Market sentiment
• Institutional flows
In past cycles, structure mattered.
In this cycle, flows + structure together will decide the bottom.
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Share you opinion on it will BTC goes to $100k in 2026 ???