CryptoQuant Quicktake

XRP is showing a notable divergence between spot and derivatives activity, with buying pressure strengthening across spot markets while perpetual futures continue to reflect aggressive sell-side positioning.
On July 23, All CEX Estimated Spot CVD climbed to approximately $388.6 million, its highest reading since June 1, indicating a significant increase in net aggressive buying across centralized spot exchanges.
At the same time, Binance Perpetual CVD remained deeply negative at around -$547.4 million.
For comparison, its strongest reading during May was approximately -$5 million, highlighting how substantially derivatives taker activity has shifted toward the sell side.
The divergence becomes more important when combined with open interest.
XRP open interest on Binance increased from roughly $198 million on July 8 to $215.7 million on July 23, a rise of nearly 9%.
Rising open interest alongside strongly negative perpetual CVD is consistent with fresh leveraged sell-side exposure being added, rather than the movement being explained solely by the closure of existing long positions.
Open interest alone, however, cannot identify the direction of every newly opened position.
Spot trading activity also expanded across major exchanges. On July 21, Coinbase recorded approximately $157 million in XRP spot volume, compared with around $111 million on Binance, showing that the increase in spot-market participation was not concentrated on a single venue.
Taken together, the data reveal an increasingly clear split in XRP positioning: spot participants are showing stronger buying activity while leveraged traders remain heavily skewed toward selling, even as derivatives exposure expands.
Written by Amr Taha

Binance Pool is one of the largest BTC mining pools in the network. Therefore, the wallet activity of miners within the pool serves as an important leading indicator of the potential direction of new Bitcoin supply entering the market. The selling or accumulation behavior of large scale miners can often have a direct impact on the supply balance in the spot market.
In the current chart, the Miner Supply Ratio has declined to 0.00. The gradual decrease in this indicator over the past few months suggests that Binance Pool miners are holding onto their Bitcoin instead of sending it to exchanges. This indicates that the amount of newly circulating supply has weakened. Although this alone does not guarantee a price increase, it is considered a positive signal showing that selling pressure from miners has eased significantly.
Meanwhile, the Miner Netflow Total stands at -8.37 BTC. A negative netflow indicates that more BTC is leaving Binance Pool wallets than entering them. This suggests that miners are withdrawing their Bitcoin holdings or transferring them to long term storage wallets.
Historically, periods of negative netflow among miners have coincided with reduced miner driven selling pressure entering the market.
Another notable metric on the chart is the MVRV Ratio, which currently stands at 1.25. An MVRV above 1 indicates that investors, on average, remain above their cost basis and are still in profit. However, the fact that the indicator is trading at lower levels compared to previous months suggests that the market is not in an overvalued state.
In summary, there is no sign of selling activity from miners. On the contrary, the data indicates that miners are restricting BTC supply. This reduces selling pressure in the market, while the MVRV ratio of 1.25 also supports the view that BTC is not currently trading in an excessively overvalued zone. In other words, miners are exhibiting behavior that helps reduce selling pressure rather than increase it.
Written by PelinayPA

Ethereum data indicates that the 30-day simple moving average (SMA 30D) of funding rates for Ethereum perpetual contracts on Binance has risen to approximately 0.00339, its highest level in six months, coinciding with ETH trading near $1,920. This increase reflects a gradual improvement in trader sentiment, with continued strengthening of activity in the derivatives market.
The SMA reaching its highest level in six months suggests a gradual return of optimism among traders, accompanied by stronger demand for long positions compared to previous months. However, the market has not yet reached the elevated funding levels that often precede sharp corrections.
The data shows that the SMA had been trending lower over the past few months before stabilizing and gradually reversing upward, reaching its highest reading in six months. This shift coincides with Ethereum's price recovery and the market regaining much of its positive momentum, reflecting growing investor confidence in the continuation of the uptrend.
The rising moving average also indicates that traders are increasingly willing to pay the cost of maintaining long positions, reflecting stronger expectations for further price appreciation. At the same time, a continued rise in this indicator could signal increasing use of leverage in the market, potentially raising the risk of large-scale liquidations if Ethereum experiences a sudden price decline.
Written by Arab Chain

The Bitcoin Futures Volume Bubble Map shows a brief increase in trading activity as Bitcoin tested the $60,000 level in late June and early July 2026. Since then, the bubbles have shifted from red, indicating rising volume, back to gray as the price has recovered modestly. This suggests that the burst of futures activity near the recent low may be easing, with the market potentially moving away from heavy repositioning and into a more settled period of consolidation.
Written by nino

Bitcoin inflows from mid-size investors remained below or close to their June 22 readings across Binance, Coinbase, and Coinbase Prime on July 23.
Binance recorded 3,000 BTC, below its previous reading of 3,446 BTC.
Coinbase registered 2,600 BTC, close to the previous 2,170 BTC, while
Coinbase Prime posted 1,264 BTC, below its previous reading of 1,560 BTC.
Combined inflows reached 6,864 BTC, slightly below the 7,176 BTC recorded on June 22. The gap between Binance and Coinbase also narrowed from 1,276 BTC to 400 BTC, showing a more balanced distribution across the two exchanges.
Previous Bitcoin corrections in October 2025 and January 2026 coincided with sharp inflow spikes concentrated on a single platform.
The current readings show no similar surge, reducing the likelihood of an immediate repeat of that sell-side pattern.
With Bitcoin trading near $65,800, contained and distributed inflows suggest limited immediate selling pressure and support a more constructive short-term outlook.
Written by Amr Taha

BlackRock’s IBIT recorded approximately $557 million in positive netflows across four sessions between July 14 and July 21, pointing to renewed and increasingly consistent demand for Bitcoin exposure through the ETF.
The fund attracted about $155 million on July 14, followed by $131 million on July 17, $114 million on July 20, and $157 million on July 21. The latest three readings alone totaled roughly $402 million, while the July 21 inflow was the strongest of the four sessions.
Demand was not limited to IBIT. On July 20, 21Shares ARKB added approximately $70 million, bringing the combined positive flows into the two funds to around $184 million for the day.
The key signal is the repetition of positive readings rather than a single exceptional inflow.
Continued ETF demand at similar levels could provide an important indication of sustained institutional participation in Bitcoin.
Written by Amr Taha

Data shows that the 30-day Open Interest Z-Score for XRP futures on Binance has risen to approximately 1.60, coinciding with XRP trading near $1.14. Open interest reached approximately 440.6 million XRP, while its 30-day moving average increased to 418.5 million XRP, with a standard deviation of approximately 13.8 million XRP.
This increase in the Z-Score indicates that open interest has moved above its 30-day historical average, suggesting stronger trader participation in the derivatives market and a faster-than-usual return of leveraged activity. However, the current reading remains well below the levels recorded during the 2025 peak, when open interest exceeded 1 billion XRP and coincided with a significant price rally.
Meanwhile, the chart shows that XRP continues to trade within a relatively low range compared with previous highs, indicating that the recent increase in open interest has yet to translate into a decisive price breakout. This divergence often suggests that traders are building new positions while awaiting a catalyst capable of driving the market in a clearer direction.
If open interest continues to rise alongside higher prices, it could signal growing market confidence and sustained bullish momentum. Conversely, if open interest continues to increase while the price remains weak or begins to decline, it may indicate the buildup of highly leveraged speculative positions, increasing the risk of large-scale liquidations and heightened volatility in either direction
Written by Arab Chain

CryptoQuant's latest Binance on-chain data presents an interesting contrast. While daily Bitcoin inflows to Binance continue to fluctuate with occasional spikes, the 30-day Total Netflow remains close to or below neutral, indicating that withdrawals are largely offsetting deposits.
Large inflow spikes are often interpreted as potential selling pressure because investors typically move Bitcoin onto exchanges before trading. However, inflows alone do not tell the full story. The more important metric is netflow, which measures the balance between deposits and withdrawals.
The current chart shows that although Binance continues to receive Bitcoin deposits, sustained net inflows have weakened considerably compared with previous months. This suggests that much of the incoming BTC is either absorbed by market demand or followed by withdrawals into long-term custody.
As the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance serves as a key indicator of global market sentiment. A neutral or negative netflow generally reflects stronger holding behavior rather than aggressive selling, especially when Bitcoin prices remain stable or trend higher.
This divergence may indicate that investors are becoming more confident in Bitcoin's long-term outlook. Instead of preparing for large-scale distribution, many participants appear to be using Binance primarily for liquidity while continuing to reduce exchange-held balances.
Although short-term volatility remains possible whenever inflows spike, the broader picture does not currently point to persistent selling pressure. Investors should continue monitoring Binance's netflow alongside ETF flows, exchange reserves, and stablecoin liquidity to determine whether accumulation or distribution is becoming the dominant market trend.
Written by XWIN Japan

Bitcoin has rebounded to around $66,500, and market sentiment has improved significantly compared with June.
Several positive factors are supporting the recovery. Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. have shifted from persistent outflows to renewed inflows, signaling that institutional investors are gradually returning. At the same time, regulatory progress, including the CLARITY Act in the U.S. and recent legal reforms in Japan, has strengthened confidence in the long-term growth of digital assets. On-chain data also shows continued accumulation by long-term holders and large Bitcoin holders, while macro conditions have become more supportive as inflation concerns ease.
However, a higher price alone does not confirm the start of a new bull market.
Three on-chain indicators suggest that the recovery remains in its early stage.
First, Bitcoin Apparent Demand has improved from the severe demand deficit seen earlier this year, but it remains in negative territory, indicating that new capital inflows are still insufficient.
Second, Adjusted SOPR has recovered toward 1.0, suggesting that panic selling is fading and investor sentiment is improving. Even so, it has not consistently remained above 1.0, meaning confidence is still rebuilding.
Finally, Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) has turned slightly positive after months of loss realization. This reflects improving market psychology, but profit-taking remains far below levels typically seen during strong bull markets.
Taken together, these indicators suggest that Bitcoin has moved beyond the worst phase of the downturn. Nevertheless, sustainable demand has yet to fully return. The market is improving, but confirmation of a lasting bull cycle will depend on stronger capital inflows and continued on-chain strength.
Written by XWIN Japan

Something shifted on July 21. After two weeks of XRP grinding sideways between $1.07–$1.11, price broke to $1.143 the same day Binance saw over $2.35M in short liquidations — the largest single-day short wipeout in recent data, well above the July 13 long flush ($2.95M) that briefly pushed funding negative.
What stands out isn’t just the squeeze, but the backdrop. Binance spot activity has been thinning for weeks: inflows and outflows are both down roughly 98% vs. monthly and quarterly baselines, and deposit addresses have fallen over 96% in the same window. Meanwhile, Open Interest kept climbing — up 5.3% week-over-week to $428.9M — with leverage near the higher end of its recent range at 0.164.
In short, positioning has been building in a market where very little spot liquidity is changing hands. Rising leverage against a shrinking tradable float tends to make price more reactive to squeezes in either direction, since there’s little organic flow to absorb the move.
Adding to this, NVT has climbed 44.7% vs. the 3-month average while total transactions are down about 34% — valuation running ahead of network usage, not bearish alone, but worth watching if price keeps drifting up on thin volume.
None of this confirms a reversal. Funding stays modest (0.001), down 57.6% week-over-week though elevated vs. longer baselines, and price is still around 12.5% below its 3-month average. A leverage-fueled bounce alongside collapsing spot participation has historically been prone to reversing quickly. It’s worth watching whether spot inflows return to validate the move, or whether this proves to be another short-lived derivatives-driven spike.
Written by CryptoOnchain

XRP wallet activity turned sharply withdrawal-dominant across Coinbase, Binance and Crypto.com on July 22, producing a combined reading of approximately -13,026 net depositing versus withdrawing wallets over seven days.
Coinbase led the shift at -8,900, its first major negative reading since June 20, 2025, and nearly 2.8 times deeper than the previous -3,200 level.
Binance recorded -2,626, its second negative reading since June 30, when the metric fell to -6,216.
Crypto.com reached -1,500, marking its first negative reading since August 2025.
The current pattern contrasts with the sharp deposit-dominant spikes recorded on Coinbase and Binance on July 19 and October 7, 2025, which were later followed by an XRP price decline exceeding 65%.
With XRP trading near $1.14, the data highlights a notable reversal in exchange-side wallet behavior.
However, the metric measures wallet counts rather than XRP transfer volume and should be evaluated alongside exchange netflows, derivatives positioning and broader market liquidity.
Written by Amr Taha

ERC-20 stablecoin liquidity shows a modest improvement in exchange inflows, but the broader balance-sheet signal remains restrictive.
Exchange net flow has turned slightly positive at approximately $62.8 million. This indicates that stablecoins are entering trading venues on a net basis, creating some immediately deployable liquidity. The move is constructive, but it remains small relative to the multi-billion-dollar inflow episodes recorded earlier in the period.
Minted and redeemed supply both stand near $1.5 billion at the latest reading. Gross issuance therefore does not show a clear expansion in net stablecoin supply. Minting activity has also moderated significantly from the large spikes seen in the first half of 2025.
The more important signal comes from exchange reserves. ERC-20 stablecoin balances have fallen to roughly $61.8 billion, well below the late-2025 peak above $75 billion and beneath the declining 100-day moving average. This suggests that the pool of stablecoin capital available on exchanges continues to contract despite the latest positive net flow.
The combined picture does not support a strong liquidity-expansion thesis. Stablecoin purchasing power may be stabilising at the margin, but it has not returned at sufficient scale to provide a durable tailwind for Bitcoin and the wider crypto market.
The near-term price implication is neutral to mildly constructive. Crypto prices could benefit if positive netflows persist, but a stronger upside signal would require exchange reserves to stabilise and minted supply to consistently exceed redemptions. Continued reserve contraction would leave rallies more dependent on leverage and external capital flows
Written by Novaque Research

XRP’s Binance exchange balance has declined to approximately 2.6 billion tokens, extending a broader downtrend from above 3.1 billion. The reduction lowers immediately available sell-side inventory and supports a tighter exchange-supply profile.
Recent whale activity does not indicate sustained distribution. Whale-to-exchange flow has fallen to roughly 140 XRP after several large episodic spikes earlier in the year. Exchange inflow value bands also show limited activity at the latest reading, with no comparable recurrence of the large 1 million XRP-plus deposits seen during previous periods of market stress.
However, the spot-demand signal remains less convincing. The 90-day Spot Taker CVD has shifted to neutral after a brief period of taker-buy dominance in May. This means aggressive buyers are no longer consistently controlling execution, even as XRP recovers near $1.14.
Our chart choice describes a market with reduced exchange supply and limited current whale selling, but insufficient evidence of strong spot accumulation. That structure can support price if demand improves, although falling reserves alone do not guarantee appreciation. Tokens may also leave Binance for custody, other venues or non-trading purposes.
The near-term outlook is cautiously constructive. XRP could extend towards the $1.20–$1.30 region if Spot Taker CVD returns to buy-dominant conditions while whale inflows remain subdued. A renewed rise in large-value deposits, combined with continued neutral spot demand, would increase the risk of a move back towards $1.00–$1.05
Written by Novaque Research

A short-term look at Bitcoin’s recovery toward $66,500 shows stronger immediate buying pressure, without the leverage excess normally associated with a fragile, derivatives-led rally.
The all-exchange Taker Buy Sell Ratio has risen to approximately 1.17, indicating that aggressive market buyers currently exceed sellers. Funding rates remain positive near 0.004, but they are well below the extreme readings recorded during previous crowded long phases. Long positioning has returned, although the cost of leverage remains moderate.
Open interest stands near $23.2 billion and remains close to, or slightly below, its 100-day average. It has recovered only modestly from the recent lows despite Bitcoin’s price rebound. This suggests that fresh derivatives exposure has not been the primary source of the advance.
Spot Taker CVD provides a more cautious signal. Buy-side dominance supported the market during May, but the latest readings have shifted towards neutral. Buyers are absorbing supply, yet the chart does not show persistent spot accumulation across the full 90-day window.
Taken together, the evidence points to a taker-led recovery with restrained leverage, rather than a heavily leveraged breakout. The structure is healthier than one driven by rapidly expanding open interest and elevated funding, but it still requires renewed spot CVD confirmation.
The near-term bias remains moderately constructive. Bitcoin could retest the $68,000–$70,000 area if taker demand persists while funding and open interest remain controlled. A weakening taker ratio or rapid leverage expansion without stronger spot CVD would increase the risk of a return towards $62,000–$64,000.
Written by Novaque Research

Ethereum’s liquid supply continues to tighten, but the available data does not yet confirm a demand-driven price squeeze.
The ETH 2.0 staking rate has climbed to approximately 33.6%, up sharply from about 28% in early 2025. This rise shows that a growing share of supply remains committed to staking rather than circulating freely in spot markets.
Exchange reserves reinforce that trend. Holdings across exchanges have fallen from above 21 million ETH to roughly 15.1 million ETH. The decline has persisted through both rallies and sell-offs, suggesting a structural reduction in immediately available exchange supply rather than a short-lived withdrawal cycle.
Recent exchange netflow is also negative at approximately 46,300 ETH, indicating that withdrawals currently exceed deposits. At the same time, staking inflows remain positive at around 62,200 ETH, although they sit well below the large episodic spikes recorded earlier in the period.
The combined signal is constructive for Ethereum’s medium-term supply profile. More ETH is entering staking while less remains on exchanges. However, reduced supply alone does not create a price squeeze. Price still requires sustained spot demand, stronger network activity or institutional inflows.
ETH is recovering near $1,900, but the market has not yet demonstrated the demand intensity needed to convert declining liquidity into a decisive breakout. The near-term bias is moderately constructive while exchange reserves continue falling. A sustained move above $2,000 would strengthen the supply-squeeze thesis, while renewed exchange inflows would weaken it.
Written by Novaque Research

Data indicates that the TradFi perpetual equity market on Binance has maintained strong activity in recent months, with cumulative trading volume surpassing $100 billion since February 2026. This reflects growing demand among traders seeking exposure to global equities through perpetual derivative contracts traded on the cryptocurrency exchange. The data also shows that trading activity remained relatively stable between February and July, despite shifts in liquidity allocation across different equities.
This sustained level of trading suggests that perpetual contracts linked to traditional equities are no longer a niche product within cryptocurrency markets, but have evolved into a well-established segment that attracts traders looking to gain exposure to global stock price movements in a 24/7 trading environment. It also highlights the increasing convergence between traditional financial markets and digital asset infrastructure, enabling investors to access equity-linked products using the same trading ecosystem they use for cryptocurrencies.
The fact that monthly trading volumes have remained above $100 billion since February underscores the growing demand for perpetual contracts tied to traditional stocks on Binance. More importantly, it reflects deep market liquidity, consistent trading activity, and sustained investor participation rather than a short-lived surge in interest.
Written by Arab Chain

Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin Exchange Netflow on Binance is currently negative at around -1.6K BTC, indicating that more $BTC is being withdrawn from the exchange than deposited. This usually reflects that short-term supply pressure on Binance is easing to some extent, as $BTC is not being sent to the exchange aggressively for potential selling.
The notable point is that negative netflow is appearing while $BTC price has recovered to around $65K–$66K. This suggests that the market is showing better absorption compared to the previous weak phase.
However, negative netflow does not automatically confirm a new uptrend. It needs to be accompanied by spot demand, volume, and a more stable price structure.
For $BTC, if Binance continues to maintain negative netflow while price holds support, short-term selling pressure may continue to decline.
Written by Rei Researcher

According to the latest chart, Binance's Ethereum spot price is trading at approximately $1,920. The price has reached the Price Channel resistance zone. First of all, the Binance spot price used in this analysis is one of the most reliable reference prices for Ethereum. This is because Binance has the highest trading volume and liquidity in both the spot and derivatives markets. Therefore, using the Binance price when evaluating technical levels provides a more accurate reflection of the market's actual supply and demand dynamics. Looking at previous price movements, whenever the price touched the upper boundary of the Price Channel, the upward trend came to an end and profit taking selling pressure emerged.
In addition, although the Fund Market Premium indicator remains in positive territory, suggesting that buying interest in the futures market has not completely disappeared, this alone does not guarantee further price appreciation. At the same time, the absence of a significant surge in Fund Volume indicates that the current rally is not being supported by strong new capital inflows.
Therefore, when all the data on the chart are evaluated together, the fact that the Binance price has reached the Price Channel resistance increases the likelihood of selling pressure emerging from this level and raises the probability of a downward correction.
As long as the channel resistance remains unbroken, the technical outlook suggests that, rather than expecting further upside, traders should closely monitor the potential selling pressure that could develop around this resistance area.
Written by PelinayPA

$USDC has shown net outflows on exchanges since last May. However, it has now reached almost neutral state.
It appears that it will soon shift to net inflows.
$USDC is a stablecoin primarily used on Coinbase and utilized by U.S. investors.
The pattern of U.S. fund outflows is ending, and the market is shifting to net inflows. This implies that the time is approaching for upward pressure from the U.S. to reappear.
$BTC is showing a flow similar to the netflow of $USDC. It typically showed a downtrend when $USDC experienced outflows and an uptrend when fund flowed in.
Currently, it is rebounding slightly as stablecoin net outflows decrease. However, if it shifts to net inflows, it is highly likely that a full-scale rally will begin.
Written by CW8900

data shows that the Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) for XRP on Binance has fallen to approximately 0.02605, its lowest level in around five months, while XRP is trading near $1.14. This metric measures the proportion of XRP's supply held on the platform relative to its total circulating supply.
The recent decline in the ESR reflects a decrease in the share of XRP held on Binance relative to the total circulating supply. This development could indicate that some XRP is moving away from the platform, either to private wallets or to other entities. From an analytical perspective, a decrease in XRP balances on exchanges could reduce the amount of XRP immediately available for sale, potentially easing selling pressure if this trend continues.
However, a lower ESR does not necessarily mean that the price will rise immediately. XRP's price movements can be influenced by various other factors, including investor activity, liquidity, the overall market trend, trading volume, and the movement of XRP between exchanges and private wallets.
With the ESR reaching its lowest level in five months, it is crucial to monitor whether this trend will continue in the coming weeks. A continued decline in XRP's supply on Binance could be viewed as a positive sign in terms of potentially lower selling pressure. Conversely, a reversal in the trend, accompanied by an increase in XRP inflows to the platform, could indicate a potential rise in the amount of XRP available for sale.
Written by Arab Chain